— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: NG.L (LSE) · $vol 175M · NGG (NYSE) · $vol 75M · NNGF.DE (XETRA) · $vol 3M

NGGTF OTC

National Grid plc
1W: -2.8% 1M: +3.6% 3M: -0.6% YTD: +3.1% 1Y: -1.9% 3Y: +48.3% 5Y: +54.3%
$15.94
-0.06 (-0.35%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±8.0%
$14 $15 $16 $17 $19
OTC · Utilities · Regulated Electric · Tech Score Buy · Power 68 · $80.1B mcap · 4.93B float · 0.0003% daily turnover · Short 50% of daily vol
Credit Risk of going bust: lower than 73% of companies Debt: 43.1% of company value Bonds: none of note held by US funds details ▾
If the stock fell to about $0.55 (down 97%), National Grid plc would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $62.24B against a stock market value of $82.20B.
Distance to default 8.10 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-03-31, debt counted $33.71B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 21.6%; Altman Z'' 2.07. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 8Hold: 7Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$—
Analysts0

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B
Oct 27, 2026
DCF
1
ROE
3
ROA
3
D/E
4
P/E
2
P/B
3
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. NGGTF receives an overall rating of B. Strongest factors: D/E (4/5). Areas of concern: DCF (1/5), P/E (2/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-10-26 B- B
2026-09-18 B B-
2026-08-03 B- B
2026-07-02 B B-
2026-05-12 None ADDED
2026-05-12 EXISTED None
2026-04-30 B- B
2026-04-27 B B-
2026-04-24 B- B
2026-04-07 None ADDED

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ — Grade A
Profitability
60
Balance Sheet
37
Earnings Quality
72
Growth
44
Value
—
Momentum
75
Safety
—
Cash Flow
35

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
—
—
Piotroski F-Score
5/9
✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗
Beneish M-Score
-1.48
Possible Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-7.96
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BB
Score: 41.9/100
Trend: Improving
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 1.92x
Accruals: -2.8%
The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. NGGTF scores 5/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. NGGTF's score of -1.48 exceeds the −1.78 red flag threshold — this does not confirm manipulation but indicates the earnings profile resembles past manipulators statistically. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. NGGTF's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. NGGTF receives an estimated rating of BB (score: 41.9/100), with a improving trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). NGGTF's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
18.50x
PEG
1.85x
P/S
3.47x
P/B
1.55x
P/FCF
—
P/OCF
—
EV/EBITDA
—
EV/Revenue
—
EV/EBIT
—
EV/FCF
—
Earnings Yield
—
FCF Yield
—
Shareholder Yield
—
Graham Number
$10.78
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 18.5x earnings, NGGTF trades at a reasonable valuation. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $10.78 per share, 48% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.775
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.843
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.281
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.165
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
2.789
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
8.4%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. NGGTF's ROE of 8.4% is driven by a balanced combination of operating margin, asset efficiency, and leverage.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
10.44%
Fair P/E
29.39x
Intrinsic Value
$19.18
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with NGGTF's realized 10.4% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. NGGTF trades at a premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $19.18, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 29.4x compares to the current market P/E of 18.5x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$15.94
Median 1Y
$16.04
5th Pctile
$7.71
95th Pctile
$33.49
Ann. Volatility
42.1%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
33,017
+10.1% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$537,061
Rev: $17,732,136,000
Profit / Employee
$98,412
NI: $3,249,271,000
SGA / Employee
—
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
ROE 18.5% 10.7% 10.9% 18.1% 18.5% 7.9% 7.6% 6.5% 7.8% 8.3% 7.8% 10.8% 13.3% 29.1% 27.7% 7.7% 5.5% 8.6% 7.9% 8.4% 8.41%
ROA 3.9% 2.9% 2.7% 5.7% 5.7% 2.5% 2.3% 1.9% 2.2% 2.4% 2.0% 2.9% 3.3% 8.3% 7.9% 2.4% 1.8% 2.8% 2.8% 3.0% 3.02%
ROIC 5.5% 7.9% 7.0% 11.2% 11.0% 6.3% 6.2% 4.9% 5.0% 4.6% 2.7% 3.7% 4.7% 3.3% 3.3% 4.4% 3.7% 4.9% 5.0% 4.7% 4.70%
ROCE 2.4% 4.2% 4.6% 4.6% 4.4% 4.3% 5.8% 4.7% 5.0% 3.7% 3.9% 4.8% 4.5% 5.5% 5.7% 6.0% 4.7% 5.2% 5.5% 5.0% 5.04%
Gross Margin 23.4% 83.1% 18.8% -8.6% 19.6% 40.5% 17.3% 26.9% 18.7% 19.7% 18.8% 22.6% 1.0% 11.2% 22.3% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 22.9% 36.9% 36.89%
Operating Margin 22.7% 26.5% 18.3% 27.2% 19.4% 27.1% 17.3% 26.9% 18.7% 19.7% 18.8% 22.6% 19.7% 9.8% 22.4% 21.9% 16.4% 34.8% 22.9% 32.3% 32.28%
Net Margin 13.2% 11.2% 9.4% 34.1% 6.7% 12.5% 6.2% 10.5% 9.2% 12.6% 6.8% 16.3% 12.9% 53.5% 13.3% 10.1% 8.1% 21.6% 8.7% 24.7% 24.70%
EBITDA Margin 0.0% 34.5% 0.0% 38.6% 0.0% 36.6% 28.6% 31.6% 30.9% 29.7% 35.1% 24.0% 29.6% 30.7% 38.1% 32.7% 30.4% 45.6% 38.4% 42.1% 42.14%
FCF Margin 27.2% 12.9% 10.1% 5.0% 4.8% 4.6% -1.2% -7.5% -3.5% -2.2% 1.5% 3.9% 0.1% 0.0% -4.3% -4.1% -5.1% -10.7% -12.7% -21.2% -21.23%
OCF Margin 47.4% 34.8% 32.9% 29.5% 29.8% 28.9% 26.5% 26.2% 30.1% 30.2% 34.2% 34.0% 31.3% 31.8% 29.0% 32.0% 34.6% 37.0% 40.1% 35.2% 35.22%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 7.85%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 11.94%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 2.68%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 3.49%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 4.56%
Cash ROA snapshot only 5.75%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 7.48%
CROIC snapshot only -4.51%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 22.12%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 23.66%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.10%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
P/E Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 18.500
P/S Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 3.470
P/B Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.545
P/FCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
P/OCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBITDA — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/Revenue — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBIT — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/FCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Earnings Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
PEG Ratio snapshot only 1.850
Graham Number snapshot only $10.78
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
Current Ratio 0.75 1.29 0.77 0.77 0.85 0.87 0.70 0.68 0.79 1.06 0.69 0.73 0.71 1.00 0.93 0.91 1.61 1.35 0.97 0.76 0.764
Quick Ratio 0.70 1.25 0.71 0.73 0.79 0.83 0.65 0.61 0.71 1.01 0.67 0.70 0.66 0.91 0.82 0.85 1.54 1.30 0.90 0.71 0.707
Debt/Equity 2.57 1.41 1.55 1.41 1.43 1.48 1.65 1.57 1.75 1.57 2.13 1.91 1.87 1.46 1.52 1.58 1.30 1.26 1.23 1.19 1.190
Net Debt/Equity 2.29 0.92 1.39 1.25 1.34 1.37 1.46 1.47 1.67 1.45 2.00 1.77 1.76 1.36 1.46 1.43 1.09 1.07 1.13 1.12 1.118
Debt/Assets 0.51 0.43 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.46 0.47 0.46 0.49 0.46 0.49 0.48 0.48 0.46 0.48 0.48 0.46 0.45 0.44 0.43 0.432
Debt/EBITDA 22.37 9.49 8.65 8.06 8.36 9.14 6.32 6.98 6.91 6.99 8.99 8.75 8.75 6.57 6.42 6.78 7.58 6.63 6.16 6.51 6.512
Net Debt/EBITDA 20.00 6.22 7.79 7.14 7.82 8.43 5.59 6.51 6.60 6.43 8.43 8.11 8.22 6.14 6.14 6.17 6.39 5.67 5.61 6.12 6.118
Interest Coverage — — — — — — 5.50 2.51 3.03 2.14 2.38 2.86 5.85 5.69 2.87 2.31 2.18 3.73 3.49 3.83 3.830
Equity Multiplier 5.01 3.23 3.42 3.12 3.15 3.25 3.49 3.43 3.59 3.39 4.31 3.98 3.88 3.14 3.20 3.29 2.84 2.82 2.79 2.76 2.755
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.289
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 5.544
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.060
FCF to Debt snapshot only -0.080
Defensive Interval snapshot only 5009.2 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.18 0.24 0.26 0.24 0.25 0.25 0.23 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.20 0.23 0.22 0.23 0.21 0.21 0.20 0.18 0.17 0.16 0.165
Inventory Turnover 5.17 14.97 15.09 39.58 31.69 28.73 22.73 24.44 23.44 24.15 24.10 30.61 11.97 15.64 18.35 8.22 0.00 0.00 8.52 21.78 21.784
Receivables Turnover 4.64 10.49 7.08 9.34 6.84 6.19 6.27 6.18 7.73 11.10 6.95 15.12 6.32 11.08 5.89 7.81 6.44 6.62 6.37 5.11 5.115
Payables Turnover 0.72 3.01 2.29 7.16 4.78 3.55 3.12 3.76 3.34 5.46 3.48 5.51 2.18 3.41 3.92 2.19 0.00 0.00 1.32 3.03 3.033
DSO 79 35 52 39 53 59 58 59 47 33 52 24 58 33 62 47 57 55 57 71 71.4 days
DIO 71 24 24 9 12 13 16 15 16 15 15 12 30 23 20 44 — — 43 17 16.8 days
DPO 504 121 159 51 76 103 117 97 109 67 105 66 167 107 93 167 — — 276 120 120.4 days
Cash Conversion Cycle -354 -62 -83 -3 -11 -31 -43 -23 -46 -19 -37 -30 -79 -51 -11 -76 — — -176 -32 -32.2 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 0.217
Operating Cycle snapshot only 88.1 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 6.248
Capital Intensity snapshot only 6.128
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
Revenue -13.3% 36.9% 48.3% 1.4% -3.4% -2.1% -0.3% -2.6% -0.6% 1.6% 2.7% 24.8% 38.0% 17.4% -1.2% -8.4% -6.7% -7.4% -9.5% -3.6% -3.61%
Net Income 1.0% -27.9% -30.0% 95.9% 1.1% -57.8% -56.3% -16.3% 0.1% 30.7% 3.3% 43.5% 1.0% 2.3% 1.5% -70.6% -76.5% 27.2% 59.6% 11.9% 11.91%
EPS 1.0% -27.7% -31.8% 99.8% 1.2% -58.0% -57.2% -25.0% -10.2% 29.3% 1.8% 39.6% 1.2% 2.3% 1.3% -68.4% -79.2% -3.7% 46.6% 10.4% 10.44%
FCF 10.6% -37.0% -44.7% -60.4% -54.4% -10.7% -1.3% -2.6% -1.9% 70.0% 1.4% 3.2% -87.7% -99.2% -32.4% -138.2% -12.4% -1.4% -1.2% -90.7% -90.68%
EBITDA -55.0% -25.1% 1.1% 9.5% 9.5% -4.8% 49.6% 40.2% -6.3% 1.3% 5.4% 16.3% 13.7% 26.0% 25.8% 6.1% -12.2% 3.2% 21.7% 0.5% 0.46%
Op. Income 11.5% 24.6% 37.6% -5.0% 0.4% 0.2% -3.9% -7.0% 0.8% -13.9% -14.9% 37.2% 52.5% -21.7% -30.6% 43.5% 22.5% 12.3% 37.9% 2.4% 2.41%
OCF Growth snapshot only -8.35%
Asset Growth snapshot only 1.70%
Equity Growth snapshot only 4.22%
Debt Growth snapshot only -1.40%
Shares Change snapshot only 1.33%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 4.88%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
Revenue 3Y -11.5% 0.5% -9.5% -5.2% 7.5% 10.8% 12.6% -1.1% -1.4% -1.0% 0.6% 7.3% 12.1% 14.2% 11.9% 10.3% 8.4% -0.1% -5.9% -6.5% -6.48%
Revenue 5Y -5.9% 1.7% 3.5% 1.2% -0.1% 0.2% -6.5% -4.0% 4.3% 6.1% 7.8% 4.2% 6.3% 7.3% 6.8% 5.9% 5.4% 4.8% 3.4% 3.7% 3.69%
EPS 3Y -1.7% -9.8% -19.6% 24.2% 45.2% -15.4% -13.8% -14.3% -5.5% -25.9% -26.8% 10.6% 25.8% 80.7% 71.0% 13.0% 0.7% -0.1% -11.8% -30.4% -30.44%
EPS 5Y 0.7% -3.3% -6.2% 9.3% 7.3% -9.3% -13.4% -9.6% 3.3% -10.1% -10.1% 2.6% 13.3% 13.2% 14.0% 7.0% -1.4% 12.4% 8.8% 9.0% 8.95%
Net Income 3Y -1.7% -9.9% -19.2% 23.3% 43.8% -15.8% -13.9% -11.5% -3.0% -22.7% -23.3% 16.2% 28.4% 83.5% 73.7% 11.6% 6.0% 7.2% -2.5% -25.2% -25.20%
Net Income 5Y 1.8% -2.3% -5.6% 9.1% 6.8% -9.5% -13.7% -7.9% 5.4% -8.2% -8.0% 5.4% 14.0% 16.9% 18.0% 8.8% 4.2% 18.3% 14.4% 14.6% 14.64%
EBITDA 3Y -15.8% 3.8% 3.8% 75.7% 1.1% -7.9% 50.8% 13.5% 15.3% 10.6% 13.9% 18.2% 3.9% 14.1% 14.7% 15.9% 7.9% 11.3% 10.3% 3.2% 3.22%
EBITDA 5Y -23.8% -9.3% -10.7% -8.9% 6.5% 3.1% 12.8% 48.6% 7.7% 2.1% 27.7% 11.5% 13.0% 14.6% 16.1% 17.2% 4.4% 10.2% 10.0% 10.0% 10.02%
Gross Profit 3Y -1.6% 0.6% -6.1% -58.9% -56.4% -18.2% -17.8% -27.7% -26.1% 75.6% 79.3% -6.1% 38.2% 48.4% -1.8% 66.9% 87.5% 67.5% -0.0% -20.0% -19.96%
Gross Profit 5Y 2.4% -4.2% -2.3% -45.8% -43.3% -11.3% -15.0% -15.2% -10.9% -19.9% -18.7% -14.9% 7.1% 83.1% 45.0% 22.9% 33.4% 40.9% 28.4% 14.2% 14.24%
Op. Income 3Y -7.9% 1.4% -12.4% -0.8% 15.5% 5.8% 9.9% -4.0% -1.0% -7.1% -6.3% 3.2% 9.3% -2.6% -3.4% 15.5% 9.1% 8.1% 5.5% 18.2% 18.18%
Op. Income 5Y -6.7% 1.1% -0.9% -1.1% 1.5% -0.2% -8.3% -1.9% 8.3% -1.0% 2.6% 0.9% 4.7% -2.9% -2.7% 4.3% 2.1% 8.3% 8.8% 12.1% 12.14%
FCF 3Y 57.9% 21.6% -7.6% -36.1% -34.7% -39.4% — — — — -31.7% 2.1% — — — — — — — — —
FCF 5Y 16.8% 17.1% 38.3% 16.2% -0.2% -8.7% — — — — -39.6% -17.7% -55.3% -62.1% — — — — — — —
OCF 3Y 9.5% 9.2% 2.3% -3.5% -4.5% -7.0% -7.2% -10.0% -4.3% -0.3% 5.3% 13.3% 18.5% 21.9% 10.5% 12.5% 8.8% 2.8% 2.3% -3.3% -3.29%
OCF 5Y 1.7% 4.3% 5.9% 3.7% 3.4% 1.4% -3.7% -5.3% -2.7% -3.6% 1.0% 3.7% 5.2% 8.9% 6.2% 8.0% 11.2% 12.3% 9.5% 6.9% 6.94%
Assets 3Y 6.7% 7.9% 3.3% 2.2% 3.4% 2.2% 1.7% 0.6% 4.5% 4.6% 13.5% 14.6% 14.9% 11.4% 12.7% 13.5% 4.6% 4.0% 1.0% 5.4% 5.41%
Assets 5Y 5.9% 6.8% 3.5% 1.4% 3.2% 3.7% 4.9% 4.0% 3.6% 2.7% 7.2% 7.6% 11.8% 9.5% 9.2% 9.3% 9.0% 9.7% 9.5% 10.1% 10.06%
Equity 3Y 3.8% 19.6% 11.6% 16.3% 16.2% 12.6% 14.8% -1.3% 2.8% 1.8% 2.2% 7.2% 10.9% 14.7% 17.1% 14.6% 20.2% 16.6% 12.8% 10.1% 10.08%
Book Value 3Y 3.9% 19.7% 11.1% 17.2% 17.4% 13.2% 15.0% -4.5% 0.2% -2.5% -2.5% 2.0% 8.6% 12.9% 15.3% 16.0% 14.2% 8.6% 2.0% 2.4% 2.36%
Dividend 3Y 2.9% 3.1% 46.9% 74.5% -2.9% -46.3% -37.6% -11.3% 8.8% 11.7% -16.8% -17.4% 13.7% 18.5% 5.9% 3.5% -17.1% -10.4% -0.3% -5.1% -5.11%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.11 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.01 0.08 0.21 0.79 0.50 0.55 0.70 0.33 0.36 0.61 0.66 0.71 0.60 0.42 0.15 0.10 0.102
Earnings Stability 0.01 0.04 0.16 0.18 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.08 0.00 0.26 0.19 0.04 0.01 0.27 0.35 0.27 0.23 0.12 0.08 0.01 0.010
Margin Stability 0.79 0.75 0.78 0.40 0.43 0.37 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.09 0.08 0.47 0.52 0.28 0.15 0.46 0.22 0.37 0.35 0.41 0.407
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.50 0.50 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence 0.50 0.89 0.88 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.93 1.00 0.88 0.99 0.83 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.89 0.50 0.95 0.952
Earnings Smoothness 0.32 0.68 0.65 0.35 0.30 0.19 0.22 0.82 1.00 0.73 0.97 0.64 0.31 0.00 0.15 0.00 0.00 0.76 0.54 0.89 0.888
ROE Trend 0.01 -0.08 -0.04 0.05 0.03 -0.06 -0.06 -0.07 -0.05 0.01 -0.01 0.03 0.04 0.17 0.16 -0.10 -0.14 -0.09 -0.08 0.01 0.006
Gross Margin Trend 0.29 -0.02 -0.10 -0.65 -0.64 0.01 0.01 0.05 0.06 -0.08 -0.08 0.00 0.36 0.30 -0.23 0.31 0.63 0.42 0.11 -0.52 -0.521
FCF Margin Trend 0.12 -0.09 -0.14 -0.15 -0.14 -0.04 -0.09 -0.12 -0.05 -0.01 0.04 0.09 0.01 -0.01 -0.05 -0.06 -0.03 -0.09 -0.08 -0.14 -0.138
Sustainable Growth Rate 6.8% 2.1% -20.9% -20.7% -4.5% 1.8% 2.4% 1.9% 0.3% 1.2% 3.0% 6.6% 7.0% 23.1% 21.1% 1.9% 1.8% 4.1% 3.5% 4.2% 4.20%
Internal Growth Rate 1.4% 0.6% — — — 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.3% 0.8% 1.8% 1.8% 7.0% 6.4% 0.6% 0.6% 1.4% 1.2% 1.5% 1.53%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 2.15 2.89 3.17 1.27 1.33 2.88 2.69 3.04 3.04 2.72 3.43 2.67 2.11 0.89 0.78 2.78 3.72 2.35 2.44 1.92 1.921
FCF/OCF 0.57 0.37 0.31 0.17 0.16 0.16 -0.05 -0.29 -0.12 -0.07 0.04 0.12 0.00 0.00 -0.15 -0.13 -0.15 -0.29 -0.32 -0.60 -0.603
FCF/Net Income snapshot only -1.158
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.867
CapEx/Revenue 20.2% 21.9% 22.8% 24.5% 25.0% 24.3% 27.7% 33.7% 33.6% 32.4% 32.7% 30.1% 31.1% 31.8% 33.3% 36.1% 39.7% 47.8% 52.8% 56.5% 56.47%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 4.495
Accruals Ratio -0.04 -0.05 -0.06 -0.02 -0.02 -0.05 -0.04 -0.04 -0.05 -0.04 -0.05 -0.05 -0.04 0.01 0.02 -0.04 -0.05 -0.04 -0.04 -0.03 -0.028
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.077
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 0.537
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
Dividend Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 3.97%
Dividend/Share $0.42 $0.42 $1.32 $2.24 $1.23 $0.34 $0.29 $0.23 $0.36 $0.37 $0.24 $0.23 $0.40 $0.40 $0.45 $0.46 $0.26 $0.31 $0.33 $0.33 $0.48
Payout Ratio 63.4% 80.8% 2.9% 2.1% 1.2% 77.4% 68.8% 71.1% 95.6% 86.2% 61.5% 39.2% 47.1% 20.7% 23.6% 75.3% 66.9% 52.7% 56.1% 50.0% 50.03%
FCF Payout Ratio 51.4% 75.7% 3.0% 9.9% 5.8% 1.7% — — — — 4.1% 1.3% 52.1% 267.8% — — — — — — —
Total Payout Ratio 65.1% 91.6% 3.3% 2.4% 1.4% 77.5% 69.0% 71.6% 96.0% 86.3% 61.7% 39.3% 49.5% 20.7% 24.7% 75.5% 67.3% 52.9% 56.2% 50.1% 50.06%
Div. Increase Streak 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Total Shareholder Return — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 1.27 0.83 0.80 1.33 1.39 0.81 0.87 0.75 0.74 0.81 0.64 0.70 0.78 2.18 2.30 0.73 0.76 0.80 0.76 0.78 0.775
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.36 0.94 0.86 1.14 1.03 0.79 0.51 0.60 0.67 0.95 0.93 0.99 1.09 0.78 0.68 0.59 0.54 0.73 0.72 0.84 0.843
EBIT Margin 0.13 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.16 0.16 0.22 0.19 0.20 0.14 0.17 0.18 0.17 0.21 0.24 0.26 0.23 0.27 0.30 0.28 0.281
Asset Turnover 0.18 0.24 0.26 0.24 0.25 0.25 0.23 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.20 0.23 0.22 0.23 0.21 0.21 0.20 0.18 0.17 0.16 0.165
Equity Multiplier 4.74 3.68 4.10 3.18 3.27 3.19 3.32 3.34 3.54 3.41 3.97 3.71 4.07 3.51 3.52 3.22 3.00 3.03 2.82 2.79 2.789
Per Share
Metric Trend Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $0.66 $0.52 $0.45 $1.04 $0.99 $0.44 $0.42 $0.33 $0.38 $0.43 $0.39 $0.59 $0.84 $1.94 $1.91 $0.61 $0.40 $0.59 $0.58 $0.65 $0.65
Book Value/Share $3.62 $5.88 $4.74 $5.54 $5.71 $5.66 $5.51 $5.12 $4.77 $5.14 $5.29 $6.01 $7.07 $7.38 $7.32 $8.03 $7.88 $7.70 $7.51 $7.92 $7.91
Tangible Book/Share $1.66 $3.85 $2.89 $3.68 $3.69 $3.62 $3.34 $3.15 $2.84 $3.58 $2.04 $2.78 $3.28 $4.02 $1.47 $4.49 $5.08 $5.03 $4.88 $5.24 $5.24
Revenue/Share $3.00 $4.34 $4.34 $4.49 $4.41 $4.37 $4.32 $3.81 $3.85 $3.83 $3.89 $4.65 $5.71 $5.41 $5.14 $5.34 $4.25 $3.74 $3.53 $3.56 $3.56
FCF/Share $0.82 $0.56 $0.44 $0.23 $0.21 $0.20 $-0.05 $-0.29 $-0.14 $-0.08 $0.06 $0.18 $0.01 $0.00 $-0.22 $-0.22 $-0.22 $-0.40 $-0.45 $-0.76 $-0.76
OCF/Share $1.42 $1.51 $1.43 $1.33 $1.32 $1.26 $1.14 $1.00 $1.16 $1.16 $1.33 $1.58 $1.79 $1.72 $1.49 $1.71 $1.47 $1.39 $1.42 $1.25 $1.25
Cash/Share $0.99 $2.85 $0.73 $0.89 $0.53 $0.65 $1.05 $0.54 $0.39 $0.65 $0.71 $0.84 $0.80 $0.69 $0.47 $1.14 $1.60 $1.41 $0.82 $0.57 $0.57
EBITDA/Share $0.42 $0.87 $0.85 $0.97 $0.98 $0.92 $1.43 $1.16 $1.21 $1.16 $1.25 $1.31 $1.51 $1.64 $1.73 $1.87 $1.35 $1.46 $1.51 $1.45 $1.45
Debt/Share $9.30 $8.26 $7.35 $7.84 $8.18 $8.40 $9.07 $8.07 $8.34 $8.09 $11.26 $11.46 $13.25 $10.74 $11.13 $12.66 $10.22 $9.68 $9.28 $9.42 $9.42
Net Debt/Share $8.31 $5.41 $6.61 $6.95 $7.65 $7.75 $8.02 $7.53 $7.95 $7.44 $10.55 $10.62 $12.45 $10.05 $10.65 $11.52 $8.62 $8.27 $8.46 $8.85 $8.85
Per Employee
Metric Trend Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
Employee Count snapshot only 33,017
Revenue/Employee snapshot only $536514.72
Income/Employee snapshot only $98364.36
EBITDA/Employee snapshot only $218000.24
FCF/Employee snapshot only $-113885.76
Assets/Employee snapshot only $3287922.10
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Piotroski F-Score 5 7 6 6 7 5 3 3 6 6 4 6 9 6 6 5 6 6 5 5 5
Beneish M-Score -2.43 -1.47 -2.52 -8.16 -2.44 -2.65 -2.89 -2.67 -2.93 -3.50 -2.23 -2.20 -2.65 -3.76 -0.84 183.25 -3.45 -2.59 -0.63 -1.48 -1.479
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -7.958
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 6.26%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-12.38
EVA snapshot only $-4425531579.49
Credit
Metric Trend Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BB
Credit Score 49.60 58.55 52.10 51.20 52.55 53.75 45.70 37.20 40.95 42.30 35.60 37.10 44.60 51.10 39.75 39.75 46.90 48.40 45.10 41.95 41.950
Credit Grade snapshot only 12
Credit Trend snapshot only 2.200
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 475.000

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