NGL NYSE
NGL Energy Partners LP
1W: +2.6%
1M: +5.2%
3M: +5.8%
YTD: +60.4%
1Y: +148.9%
3Y: +283.6%
5Y: +471.2%
$16.20
+0.30 (+1.89%)
After Hours: $16.23 (+0.04, +0.22%)
Weekly Expected Move ±5.3%
$14
$15
$16
$16
$17
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 79% of companies Debt: 63.1% of company value Bonds: $168.6M held by 251 funds, 272 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the third-riskiest tenth, about 1 in 140 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $1.76 (down 89%), NGL Energy Partners LP would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $3.39B against a stock market value of $1.98B.
Distance to default 2.71 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $1.64B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 51.3%; Altman Z'' 0.86. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $1.76 (down 89%), NGL Energy Partners LP would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $3.39B against a stock market value of $1.98B.
Distance to default 2.71 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $1.64B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 51.3%; Altman Z'' 0.86. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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Supply Chain
Oct Typical
☀️
Sunny
+19.6% YTD avg
Midterm Year
⛈️
Stormy
-14.7% YTD avg
2026 Now
☀️
Sunny
Above typical
20yr Avg YTD
+19.6%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
-14.7%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
+65.0%
Above 20yr avg
Typical Vol
46%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
💨
+9.7%
Midterm
☀️
+12.6%
93% win
74% vol
Feb
20yr
💨
+15.4%
Midterm
⛅
+2.4%
40% win
77% vol
Mar
20yr
⛈️
+6.2%
Midterm
☁️
-0.6%
40% win
112% vol
Apr
20yr
💨
+10.6%
Midterm
⛅
+2.7%
80% win
76% vol
May
20yr
💨
+18.0%
Midterm
☁️
-0.1%
62% win
42% vol
Jun
20yr
💨
+22.6%
Midterm
☁️
-1.0%
50% win
62% vol
Jul
20yr
🌫️
+21.2%
Midterm
☁️
+0.8%
44% win
43% vol
Aug
20yr
⛈️
+18.8%
Midterm
☁️
-0.6%
31% win
48% vol
Sep
20yr
💨
+20.1%
Midterm
⛈️
-9.0%
56% win
45% vol
Oct
20yr
⛈️
+18.1%
Midterm
⛈️
-17.2%
50% win
46% vol
Now:
+10.8%
Nov
20yr
💨
+21.5%
Midterm
⛈️
-19.2%
60% win
55% vol
Dec
20yr
💨
+1.8%
Midterm
⛈️
-4.3%
73% win
60% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: +65.0%