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NIQ NYSE

NIQ Global Intelligence Plc
1W: -6.7% 1M: -9.4% 3M: +69.3% YTD: +5.4% 1Y: +8.1%
$16.64
-0.60 (-3.48%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±4.7%
$15 $16 $17 $17 $18
NYSE · Technology · Software - Application · Tech Score Sell · Power 41 · $4.9B mcap · 56M float · 2.64% daily turnover · Short 60% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
43.8 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Cost Advantage  ·  ROIC: 4.4%
Cost Advantage ★
63
Intangibles
35
Switching Cost
53
Network Effect
28
Scale
33
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. NIQ shows a Weak competitive edge (43.8/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Cost Advantage. ROIC of 4.4% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$15
Low
$19
Avg Target
$25
High
Based on 9 analysts since Aug 10, 2026 earnings
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 7Hold: 2Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$19.11
Analysts9
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2026-09-01 UBS — $17 $25 +8 +31.2% $19.06
2026-08-28 Robert W. Baird — $14 $23 +9 +20.6% $19.07
2026-08-20 Needham Kyle Peterson $18 $21 +3 +14.7% $18.31
2026-08-12 BMO Capital Jeffrey Silber $16 $20 +4 +22.9% $16.27
2026-08-12 BMO Capital Jeffrey Silber $11 $16 +5 -3.5% $16.58
2026-08-11 RBC Capital Ashish Sabadra Initiated $17 — +10.5% $15.38
2026-08-11 UBS Kevin McVeigh $21 $17 -4 +10.9% $15.33
2026-08-11 Deutsche Bank — $14 $15 +1 -2.5% $15.39
2026-08-11 Needham Kyle Peterson $12 $18 +6 +54.1% $11.68
2026-05-18 BMO Capital — Initiated $11 — +34.1% $8.20
2026-05-15 Needham Kyle Peterson Initiated $12 — +46.5% $8.19
2026-05-15 Deutsche Bank — $21 $14 -7 +68.2% $8.32
2026-05-15 UBS Kevin McVeigh $24 $21 -3 +156.1% $8.20
2026-05-15 Robert W. Baird — $20 $14 -6 +70.7% $8.20
2026-02-03 Robert W. Baird — $24 $20 -4 +57.1% $12.73
2025-08-18 Deutsche Bank Faiza Alwy Initiated $21 — +15.5% $18.18
2025-08-18 UBS Kevin McVeigh Initiated $24 — +33.8% $17.94
2025-08-18 Robert W. Baird Jeffrey Meuler Initiated $24 — +33.8% $17.94

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

C
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
3
ROE
1
ROA
1
D/E
1
P/E
1
P/B
3
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. NIQ receives an overall rating of C. Areas of concern: ROE (1/5), ROA (1/5), D/E (1/5), P/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-08-11 C- C
2026-08-03 C C-
2026-07-30 C- C
2026-07-27 C C-
2026-07-06 C- C
2026-06-04 C C-
2026-05-26 C- C
2026-05-21 C C-
2026-05-21 C- C
2026-05-18 C C-

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 22 Grade D
Profitability
20
Balance Sheet
17
Earnings Quality
36
Growth
—
Value
29
Momentum
—
Safety
15
Cash Flow
41
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. NIQ scores highest in Cash Flow (41/100) and lowest in Safety (15/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
0.52
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
3/9
✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗
Beneish M-Score
—
—
Ohlson O-Score
-5.04
Bankruptcy prob: 0.6%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
B-
Score: 20.6/100
Earnings Quality
—
OCF/NI: -1.97x
Accruals: -12.3%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. NIQ scores 0.52, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. NIQ scores 3/9, suggesting weak financial fundamentals — the company fails the majority of these accounting tests. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. NIQ's implied 0.6% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. NIQ receives an estimated rating of B- (score: 20.6/100).

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
-13.64x
PEG
-0.27x
P/S
1.12x
P/B
5.41x
P/FCF
6.98x
P/OCF
4.99x
EV/EBITDA
8.74x
EV/Revenue
1.40x
EV/EBIT
96.06x
EV/FCF
15.54x
Earnings Yield
-10.20%
FCF Yield
14.32%
Shareholder Yield
0.00%
Graham Number
—
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. NIQ currently has negative earnings — the P/E ratio is not meaningful.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
1.466
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
-3.003
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.015
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.649
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
7.455
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
-31.0%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. NIQ's ROE of -31.0% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 7.45x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance. A tax burden ratio of 1.47 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
—
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 302 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$16.63
Median 1Y
$12.11
5th Pctile
$4.30
95th Pctile
$34.16
Ann. Volatility
64.2%
Analyst Target
$19.11
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical Analyst target

Executive Compensation

C-suite compensation breakdown including salary, stock awards, options, and incentive pay. The CEO-to-employee pay ratio and Gini coefficient measure pay distribution fairness.

C-Suite Compensation

ExecutiveSalaryStockTotal
Tracey Massey Operating
ief Operating Officer
$1,000,000 $10,012,374 $12,013,006
Michael Burwell Financial
ancial Officer
$690,385 $7,000,007 $8,935,608
Steen Lomholt-Thomsen Commercial
ercial Officer
$514,975 $3,551,502 $4,665,768
Shaun Zitting Human
Human Resources Officer
$465,000 $1,854,690 $2,762,739
James Peck
Chief Executive Officer
$1,000,000 $— $2,623,617

CEO Pay Ratio

64:1
CEO-to-Employee Pay Ratio
CEO Total Comp: $2,623,617
Avg Employee Cost (SGA/emp): $41,220
Employees: 38,760

C-Suite Pay Equality (Gini)

CEO Compensation Mix

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
38,760
Revenue / Employee
$108,318
Rev: $4,198,399,999
Profit / Employee
$-1,917
NI: $-74,300,000
SGA / Employee
$41,220
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
ROE -76.3% -16.3% -27.4% -31.0% -31.01%
ROA -1.9% -2.4% -3.7% -4.2% -4.16%
ROIC -0.1% 2.0% 3.1% 4.4% 4.40%
ROCE -1.6% 0.1% -0.0% 1.2% 1.22%
Gross Margin 55.6% 54.8% 41.4% 55.5% 55.52%
Operating Margin -0.5% 10.3% 5.8% 5.8% 5.81%
Net Margin -12.2% -2.8% -8.4% -2.7% -2.71%
EBITDA Margin 7.8% 22.1% 13.9% 19.5% 19.48%
FCF Margin 22.1% 14.9% 8.0% 9.0% 9.00%
OCF Margin 26.9% 21.7% 12.6% 12.6% 12.60%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 4.09%
Cash ROA snapshot only 8.18%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 12.90%
CROIC snapshot only 9.22%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 4.30%
Pretax Margin snapshot only -4.37%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 36.60%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.20%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio -34.45 -30.27 -13.38 -9.81 -13.639
P/S Ratio 4.21 2.22 1.03 0.63 1.119
P/B Ratio 26.27 4.92 3.66 3.04 5.413
P/FCF 19.03 14.89 12.91 6.98 6.983
P/OCF 15.61 10.21 8.12 4.99 4.989
EV/EBITDA 108.74 24.60 14.10 8.74 8.740
EV/Revenue 8.51 3.75 2.09 1.40 1.399
EV/EBIT -106.04 2055.01 -11355.93 96.06 96.060
EV/FCF 38.53 25.16 26.22 15.54 15.537
Earnings Yield -2.9% -3.3% -7.5% -10.2% -10.20%
FCF Yield 5.3% 6.7% 7.7% 14.3% 14.32%
EV/OCF snapshot only 11.100
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 2.695
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 25.715
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 0.00%
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 0.97 1.03 1.07 1.09 1.086
Quick Ratio 0.97 1.03 1.07 1.09 1.086
Debt/Equity 28.45 3.92 4.17 4.19 4.185
Net Debt/Equity 26.91 3.39 3.78 3.73 3.726
Debt/Assets 0.70 0.57 0.57 0.56 0.561
Debt/EBITDA 58.17 11.59 7.91 5.41 5.405
Net Debt/EBITDA 55.02 10.04 7.16 4.81 4.812
Interest Coverage -1.08 0.03 -0.00 0.25 0.250
Equity Multiplier 40.55 6.88 7.37 7.45 7.455
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.276
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 2.746
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.110
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.104
Defensive Interval snapshot only 247.4 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.15 0.32 0.48 0.65 0.649
Inventory Turnover — — — — —
Receivables Turnover 1.35 3.70 4.04 5.15 5.149
Payables Turnover 2.33 4.38 7.15 10.76 10.764
DSO 271 99 90 71 70.9 days
DIO 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO 157 83 51 34 33.9 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 114 15 39 37 37.0 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 11.877
Cash Velocity snapshot only 10.534
Capital Intensity snapshot only 1.541
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability — — — — —
Earnings Stability — — — — —
Margin Stability — — — — —
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence — — — — —
Earnings Smoothness — — — — —
ROE Trend — — — — —
Gross Margin Trend — — — — —
FCF Margin Trend — — — — —
Sustainable Growth Rate — — — — —
Internal Growth Rate — — — — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income -2.21 -2.97 -1.65 -1.97 -1.966
FCF/OCF 0.82 0.69 0.63 0.71 0.714
FCF/Net Income snapshot only -1.404
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.787
CapEx/Revenue 4.8% 6.8% 4.7% 3.6% 3.60%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.247
Accruals Ratio -0.06 -0.09 -0.10 -0.12 -0.123
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.113
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 3.502
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio — — — — —
FCF Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Payout Ratio — — — — —
Div. Increase Streak — — — — —
Chowder Number — — — — —
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield -23.6% -20.9% -30.2% -36.8% -36.77%
Total Shareholder Return -23.6% -20.9% -30.2% -36.8% -36.77%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.79 1.16 1.25 1.47 1.466
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.93 -34.55 335.50 -3.00 -3.003
EBIT Margin -0.08 0.00 -0.00 0.01 0.015
Asset Turnover 0.15 0.32 0.48 0.65 0.649
Equity Multiplier 40.55 6.88 7.37 7.45 7.455
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-0.46 $-0.54 $-0.85 $-0.95 $-0.95
Book Value/Share $0.60 $3.35 $3.10 $3.07 $3.89
Tangible Book/Share $-16.22 $-12.32 $-12.18 $-11.90 $-11.90
Revenue/Share $3.73 $7.43 $11.06 $14.87 $14.87
FCF/Share $0.82 $1.11 $0.88 $1.34 $1.34
OCF/Share $1.01 $1.62 $1.40 $1.87 $1.87
Cash/Share $0.92 $1.76 $1.23 $1.41 $1.41
EBITDA/Share $0.29 $1.13 $1.64 $2.38 $2.38
Debt/Share $17.00 $13.13 $12.95 $12.87 $12.87
Net Debt/Share $16.08 $11.37 $11.72 $11.45 $11.45
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — 0.517
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only -0.414
Piotroski F-Score 3 3 3 3 3
Beneish M-Score — — — — —
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -5.044
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-13.47
EVA snapshot only $-240067000.79
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only B-
Credit Score 10.40 18.04 16.69 20.60 20.599
Credit Grade snapshot only 16
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 900.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 11
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 7

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms