— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: 6594.T (JPX) · $vol 79M · NNDNF (OTC) · $vol 0M

NJDCY OTC

Nidec Corporation
1W: -27.3% 1M: -15.6% 3M: -21.5% YTD: -4.1% 1Y: -25.3% 3Y: -41.8% 5Y: -77.6%
$3.25
+0.05 (+1.56%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±13.9%
$2 $3 $3 $4 $4
OTC · Industrials · Industrial - Machinery · Tech Score Sell · Power 42 · $14.9B mcap · 924M float · 0.0018% daily turnover · Short 21% of daily vol

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 1Hold: 0Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$—
Analysts0

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B+
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
4
ROE
3
ROA
4
D/E
1
P/E
3
P/B
3
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. NJDCY receives an overall rating of B+. Strongest factors: DCF (4/5), ROA (4/5). Areas of concern: D/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-10-02 A- B+
2026-09-29 A A-
2026-09-02 A- A
2026-05-04 B+ A-
2026-04-27 A- B+
2026-02-18 None ADDED
2026-02-18 EXISTED None
2026-01-22 B B+
2026-01-03 B+ B

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ — Grade B
Profitability
20
Balance Sheet
76
Earnings Quality
69
Growth
51
Value
—
Momentum
80
Safety
—
Cash Flow
41

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
—
—
Piotroski F-Score
6/9
✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗
Beneish M-Score
-2.67
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-9.77
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
A-
Score: 66.7/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 1.84x
Accruals: -3.0%
The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. NJDCY scores 6/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. NJDCY's score of -2.67 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. NJDCY's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. NJDCY receives an estimated rating of A- (score: 66.7/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). NJDCY's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
-4.78x
PEG
0.01x
P/S
0.90x
P/B
3.06x
P/FCF
—
P/OCF
—
EV/EBITDA
—
EV/Revenue
—
EV/EBIT
—
EV/FCF
—
Earnings Yield
—
FCF Yield
—
Shareholder Yield
—
Graham Number
$438.94
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. NJDCY currently has negative earnings — the P/E ratio is not meaningful. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $438.94 per share, suggesting a potential 13406% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.605
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.974
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.083
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.733
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
2.279
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
8.2%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. NJDCY's ROE of 8.2% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.733), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
13.17%
Fair P/E
34.84x
Intrinsic Value
$984.82
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with NJDCY's realized 13.2% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. NJDCY trades at a premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $984.82, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 34.8x compares to the current market P/E of -4.8x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$3.25
Median 1Y
$2.34
5th Pctile
$0.78
95th Pctile
$7.03
Ann. Volatility
64.8%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
ROE 11.9% 13.1% 13.2% 12.6% 11.4% 11.3% 11.7% 10.9% 3.4% 4.6% 4.1% 5.9% 8.4% 7.2% 6.0% 6.9% 10.0% 8.9% 10.7% 8.2% 8.15%
ROA 5.6% 6.2% 6.3% 5.9% 5.5% 5.5% 5.8% 5.2% 1.6% 2.3% 2.1% 2.9% 4.2% 3.6% 3.0% 3.5% 5.2% 9.0% 5.4% 3.6% 3.58%
ROIC 9.2% 9.8% 9.7% 9.1% 8.2% 7.3% 7.0% 6.6% 2.1% 2.7% 2.6% 3.6% 5.0% 4.5% 4.9% 4.5% 7.9% 11.5% 9.4% 7.0% 6.97%
ROCE 9.8% 10.6% 11.2% 11.2% 10.1% 10.4% 10.5% 9.7% 6.8% 6.1% 6.1% 7.5% 7.7% 6.9% 7.5% 7.0% 10.6% 15.2% 10.3% 10.5% 10.50%
Gross Margin 22.9% 22.3% 21.5% 21.3% 19.3% 20.2% 20.3% 18.1% 15.0% 22.2% 21.6% 21.9% 19.0% 20.2% 20.9% 20.2% 21.1% 9.6% 20.6% 20.7% 20.72%
Operating Margin 10.3% 10.0% 9.9% 8.9% 7.2% 8.3% 8.8% 4.9% -4.5% 10.6% 9.4% 8.9% -0.9% 9.3% 9.4% 8.4% 9.8% 9.6% 7.2% 4.2% 4.17%
Net Margin 8.9% 7.5% 7.2% 6.6% 7.1% 7.6% 7.7% 3.1% -10.9% 11.3% 7.1% 6.7% -3.3% 8.6% 3.0% 9.1% 5.0% 7.1% 6.1% 1.4% 1.43%
EBITDA Margin 9.8% 15.4% 15.1% 14.3% 8.3% 12.5% 15.9% 10.2% 2.4% 16.0% 16.1% 14.6% 5.1% 14.7% 14.5% 13.7% 15.1% 15.0% 15.1% 4.2% 4.17%
FCF Margin 7.4% 7.2% 4.8% 1.6% -1.1% -1.7% -1.3% -0.5% -0.5% 2.5% 3.9% 4.7% 8.2% 6.9% 6.3% 7.0% 6.3% 5.4% 6.1% 5.1% 5.07%
OCF Margin 13.5% 12.7% 10.3% 7.7% 5.0% 4.8% 5.2% 5.5% 6.4% 8.8% 10.1% 11.1% 13.7% 12.1% 11.2% 11.7% 10.9% 8.9% 9.8% 9.0% 8.98%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 7.11%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 8.59%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 3.18%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 5.13%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 4.65%
Cash ROA snapshot only 6.26%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 14.10%
CROIC snapshot only 7.96%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 4.44%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 8.06%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 3.23%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 7.28%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
P/E Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — -4.778
P/S Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.897
P/B Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 3.056
P/FCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
P/OCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBITDA — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/Revenue — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBIT — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/FCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Earnings Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.012
Graham Number snapshot only $438.94
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
Current Ratio 1.63 1.63 1.43 1.32 1.38 1.32 1.45 1.58 1.54 1.72 1.60 1.55 1.62 1.73 1.67 1.69 1.53 1.58 1.61 1.36 1.358
Quick Ratio 1.16 1.10 0.96 0.88 0.89 0.82 0.91 0.98 0.96 1.08 1.02 0.96 1.04 1.12 1.06 1.09 1.00 1.03 1.06 1.01 1.015
Debt/Equity 0.48 0.46 0.47 0.47 0.46 0.44 0.44 0.50 0.52 0.45 0.42 0.45 0.37 0.38 0.42 0.37 0.37 0.00 0.15 0.86 0.865
Net Debt/Equity 0.27 0.30 0.31 0.31 0.30 0.31 0.30 0.37 0.38 0.32 0.29 0.32 0.23 0.23 0.28 0.23 0.23 -0.14 -0.05 0.22 0.219
Debt/Assets 0.24 0.22 0.23 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.24 0.25 0.22 0.21 0.22 0.19 0.20 0.21 0.19 0.19 0.20 0.07 0.32 0.315
Debt/EBITDA 2.32 2.08 2.15 2.22 2.36 2.51 2.43 2.63 3.03 2.70 2.62 2.43 1.98 2.21 2.18 2.15 1.68 0.01 0.66 3.68 3.681
Net Debt/EBITDA 1.32 1.37 1.40 1.47 1.56 1.75 1.65 1.94 2.22 1.89 1.82 1.73 1.25 1.34 1.48 1.33 1.03 -0.64 -0.24 0.93 0.931
Interest Coverage 26.82 31.93 34.37 36.58 31.21 28.50 25.40 17.90 10.17 8.59 7.69 7.78 7.84 7.51 9.25 14.94 41.32 2975.94 40.54 17.86 17.859
Equity Multiplier 2.06 2.05 2.07 2.11 2.07 2.03 1.99 2.07 2.12 2.03 1.97 2.00 1.93 1.95 1.99 1.92 1.93 0.01 1.98 2.74 2.744
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.523
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 26.488
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.747
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.112
Defensive Interval snapshot only 2122.8 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.74 0.79 0.80 0.79 0.78 0.78 0.79 0.82 0.81 0.76 0.73 0.77 0.78 0.75 0.78 0.78 0.80 1.49 0.79 0.73 0.733
Inventory Turnover 4.35 4.32 4.32 4.18 4.02 3.67 3.71 3.77 3.74 3.36 3.30 3.33 3.45 3.32 3.51 3.47 3.71 6.98 3.70 3.66 3.656
Receivables Turnover 4.23 4.13 3.98 3.91 3.94 3.78 3.78 3.91 3.85 3.66 3.46 3.67 3.72 3.58 3.71 3.73 3.78 7.13 3.81 3.72 3.719
Payables Turnover 4.67 3.69 3.63 3.39 3.68 3.40 3.48 3.53 3.59 3.62 3.45 3.70 3.64 3.54 3.69 3.81 3.74 7.16 3.64 3.43 3.429
DSO 86 88 92 93 93 97 97 93 95 100 105 99 98 102 98 98 97 51 96 98 98.2 days
DIO 84 84 85 87 91 99 98 97 98 109 111 110 106 110 104 105 98 52 99 100 99.8 days
DPO 78 99 101 108 99 107 105 104 102 101 106 99 100 103 99 96 98 51 100 106 106.4 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 92 74 76 73 84 89 90 87 91 107 110 110 104 109 104 107 97 52 94 92 91.6 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 3.623
Operating Cycle snapshot only 198.0 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 2.963
Capital Intensity snapshot only 1.433
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
Revenue 5.4% 14.4% 15.7% 18.0% 18.5% 16.3% 20.3% 20.1% 16.9% 12.8% 6.3% 3.9% 5.1% 7.5% 9.6% 10.9% 10.6% 6.5% 5.5% 4.3% 4.34%
Net Income 1.1% 78.9% 73.8% 47.7% 11.3% 6.1% 11.4% 2.1% -66.8% -52.8% -58.6% -38.2% 1.8% 74.5% 48.4% 32.2% 32.9% 33.0% 87.1% 12.9% 12.89%
EPS 1.1% 78.9% 73.9% 48.0% 12.2% 7.5% 13.4% 3.8% -66.5% -52.6% -58.6% -38.2% 1.8% 74.5% 48.4% 32.2% 33.0% 33.3% 87.5% 13.2% 13.17%
FCF 3.9% 3.7% 71.3% -60.0% -1.2% -1.3% -1.3% -1.4% 49.3% 2.6% 4.3% 10.3% 19.8% 2.0% 76.2% 64.9% -15.1% -16.2% 1.7% -24.1% -24.13%
EBITDA 28.6% 37.2% 34.6% 25.7% 10.2% 2.4% 9.6% 3.8% -7.7% 2.1% -6.3% 9.1% 30.3% 20.4% 19.0% 8.1% 24.8% 23.1% 26.4% 5.7% 5.69%
Op. Income 47.1% 62.2% 55.8% 36.5% 7.1% -3.0% -1.9% -9.9% -41.6% -32.6% -32.7% -10.7% 63.1% 41.3% 40.9% 18.2% 47.1% 47.8% 36.0% 19.2% 19.20%
OCF Growth snapshot only -19.68%
Asset Growth snapshot only 10.84%
Equity Growth snapshot only -22.50%
Debt Growth snapshot only 80.67%
Shares Change snapshot only -0.25%
Dividend Growth snapshot only -99.19%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 2.8% 4.4% 5.2% 6.9% 8.9% 10.9% 13.0% 13.2% 13.5% 14.5% 14.0% 13.8% 13.4% 12.2% 11.9% 11.5% 10.8% 8.9% 7.1% 6.3% 6.34%
Revenue 5Y 6.7% 8.1% 9.0% 9.8% 9.8% 9.7% 9.6% 9.0% 8.6% 8.4% 8.3% 8.8% 9.7% 10.6% 10.9% 10.8% 11.2% 11.4% 11.3% 11.2% 11.25%
EPS 3Y -1.9% -0.7% -2.0% -0.2% 7.6% 24.2% 39.1% 36.2% -7.9% -3.0% -6.5% -1.7% 1.8% -3.8% -11.3% -5.3% 7.7% 3.3% 4.8% -2.6% -2.56%
EPS 5Y 6.7% 9.0% 8.6% 6.4% 4.4% 4.6% 5.8% 3.1% -18.7% -13.0% -15.1% -8.6% 3.2% 9.6% 10.6% 15.6% 23.8% 16.2% 17.8% 7.3% 7.29%
Net Income 3Y -2.3% -1.1% -2.2% -0.4% 7.1% 23.4% 38.0% 35.2% -8.6% -3.6% -7.1% -2.3% 1.1% -4.4% -11.9% -5.9% 7.3% 3.0% 4.7% -2.7% -2.65%
Net Income 5Y 6.5% 8.7% 8.3% 6.1% 4.0% 4.1% 5.2% 2.5% -19.2% -13.5% -15.5% -9.0% 2.7% 9.1% 10.1% 15.1% 23.3% 15.7% 17.3% 6.8% 6.82%
EBITDA 3Y 0.6% 1.5% 0.9% 2.8% 8.8% 10.8% 17.1% 14.7% 9.4% 12.7% 11.4% 12.5% 9.8% 8.0% 6.9% 7.0% 14.5% 14.8% 12.1% 7.6% 7.62%
EBITDA 5Y 4.4% 5.8% 5.8% 5.7% 6.2% 4.8% 6.2% 4.1% 0.7% 1.8% 1.1% 4.2% 9.1% 10.8% 12.3% 12.2% 16.3% 16.3% 15.8% 10.2% 10.22%
Gross Profit 3Y 0.9% 2.4% 2.2% 3.8% 6.0% 8.4% 11.2% 10.1% 7.5% 9.6% 9.8% 10.8% 10.8% 8.6% 8.6% 8.2% 10.0% 4.2% 2.9% 3.8% 3.84%
Gross Profit 5Y 6.4% 7.9% 8.1% 8.0% 7.1% 6.1% 5.9% 4.5% 3.0% 3.3% 3.2% 5.2% 8.1% 9.2% 10.1% 9.7% 10.1% 7.5% 7.4% 7.1% 7.06%
Op. Income 3Y -1.4% 0.6% -0.0% 2.7% 8.6% 14.0% 21.3% 16.3% -2.7% 2.0% 0.9% 3.2% 0.7% -2.6% -2.4% -1.6% 11.9% 12.1% 8.9% 8.0% 7.97%
Op. Income 5Y 5.5% 7.6% 6.8% 5.5% 4.1% 3.0% 3.0% 0.1% -9.7% -7.8% -8.0% -2.7% 4.1% 7.1% 11.1% 10.7% 17.2% 17.2% 14.5% 9.1% 9.14%
FCF 3Y 18.2% 26.9% 4.7% -14.4% — — — — — 29.4% 21.6% 13.1% 17.4% 10.5% 22.8% 81.2% — — — — —
FCF 5Y 12.6% 13.5% -5.0% -16.7% — — — — — -1.4% 3.8% 17.8% 37.8% 55.7% 1.3% 54.5% 46.2% 39.9% 26.4% 12.6% 12.58%
OCF 3Y 7.7% 7.7% -2.5% -7.7% -17.7% -15.2% -9.1% -9.9% -5.1% 8.4% 10.3% 11.8% 13.7% 10.2% 14.9% 28.1% 44.1% 33.7% 32.4% 25.5% 25.52%
OCF 5Y 8.2% 8.3% 1.0% 0.6% -6.1% -6.8% 0.6% -5.5% -4.0% 2.6% 2.9% 7.2% 13.6% 13.2% 13.5% 12.5% 11.1% 7.9% 8.6% 5.6% 5.58%
Assets 3Y 8.4% 7.3% 7.8% 10.3% 12.4% 15.9% 15.2% 9.3% 10.6% 14.1% 15.0% 13.7% 12.0% 14.9% 10.2% 10.8% 7.5% -80.0% 4.9% 9.8% 9.83%
Assets 5Y 10.4% 11.7% 12.4% 11.1% 9.8% 11.1% 11.3% 9.5% 10.1% 10.9% 10.8% 10.5% 11.0% 13.2% 10.0% 9.3% 9.4% -59.3% 10.9% 12.5% 12.52%
Equity 3Y 5.5% 4.8% 4.4% 6.7% 9.0% 14.5% 16.6% 11.7% 12.7% 16.9% 18.5% 16.5% 14.4% 16.8% 11.6% 14.3% 10.0% 7.0% 5.0% 0.0% 0.02%
Book Value 3Y 5.9% 5.2% 4.7% 7.0% 9.5% 15.2% 17.5% 12.6% 13.5% 17.7% 19.2% 17.2% 15.1% 17.6% 12.3% 15.0% 10.4% 7.2% 5.2% 0.1% 0.11%
Dividend 3Y 3.1% 1.7% 1.6% 0.2% 0.4% 3.1% 3.3% 5.6% 5.6% 2.7% 2.7% 0.5% 0.5% 3.0% 3.0% 5.1% 5.0% -18.5% -18.7% -80.0% -79.96%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.88 0.85 0.87 0.91 0.93 0.91 0.83 0.78 0.79 0.82 0.84 0.87 0.93 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.99 0.99 0.97 0.96 0.958
Earnings Stability 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.05 0.03 0.16 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.09 0.04 0.21 0.28 0.16 0.10 0.02 0.020
Margin Stability 0.96 0.96 0.94 0.94 0.95 0.94 0.93 0.92 0.90 0.91 0.91 0.92 0.92 0.93 0.94 0.95 0.94 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.931
Rev. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.81 0.95 0.98 0.95 0.99 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.85 0.50 0.50 0.81 0.87 0.87 0.87 0.50 0.95 0.948
Earnings Smoothness 0.30 0.43 0.46 0.61 0.89 0.94 0.89 0.98 0.00 0.28 0.17 0.53 0.05 0.46 0.61 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.39 0.88 0.879
ROE Trend 0.02 0.04 0.05 0.04 0.02 -0.00 0.00 -0.00 -0.07 -0.07 -0.07 -0.05 0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0.04 0.03 0.05 0.03 0.033
Gross Margin Trend 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.03 -0.03 -0.02 -0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.021
FCF Margin Trend 0.05 0.06 0.03 -0.01 -0.06 -0.06 -0.05 -0.04 -0.04 -0.00 0.02 0.04 0.09 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.02 0.01 0.01 -0.01 -0.008
Sustainable Growth Rate 8.5% 9.7% 9.9% 9.4% 8.4% 8.3% 8.8% 7.7% 0.3% 1.9% 1.5% 3.2% 5.7% 4.6% 3.3% 4.1% 7.2% 7.6% 9.3% 8.1% 8.13%
Internal Growth Rate 4.1% 4.8% 4.9% 4.6% 4.3% 4.3% 4.6% 3.8% 0.2% 0.9% 0.8% 1.6% 2.9% 2.3% 1.7% 2.1% 3.9% 8.3% 4.9% 3.7% 3.70%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.80 1.62 1.31 1.03 0.70 0.67 0.71 0.86 3.19 2.96 3.54 2.92 2.55 2.49 2.91 2.59 1.70 1.47 1.44 1.84 1.842
FCF/OCF 0.54 0.56 0.46 0.21 -0.21 -0.36 -0.24 -0.10 -0.07 0.28 0.39 0.42 0.60 0.57 0.56 0.60 0.58 0.61 0.62 0.56 0.565
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 1.040
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.732
CapEx/Revenue 6.2% 5.5% 5.5% 6.1% 6.0% 6.5% 6.5% 6.0% 6.9% 6.4% 6.1% 6.3% 5.4% 5.2% 4.8% 4.7% 4.6% 3.5% 3.7% 3.9% 3.91%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.978
Accruals Ratio -0.04 -0.04 -0.02 -0.00 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 -0.04 -0.04 -0.05 -0.06 -0.06 -0.05 -0.06 -0.06 -0.04 -0.04 -0.02 -0.03 -0.030
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.051
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 2.289
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
Dividend Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.89%
Dividend/Share $7.50 $7.50 $7.51 $7.51 $7.56 $8.19 $8.23 $8.79 $8.80 $8.75 $8.75 $8.75 $8.75 $9.38 $9.38 $10.00 $10.01 $5.05 $5.03 $0.08 $10.00
Payout Ratio 28.8% 26.0% 25.1% 25.5% 25.9% 26.4% 24.3% 28.8% 89.8% 59.4% 62.4% 46.3% 31.9% 36.5% 45.1% 40.0% 27.4% 14.7% 12.9% 0.3% 0.28%
FCF Payout Ratio 29.5% 28.4% 41.3% 1.2% — — — — — 71.1% 45.1% 37.3% 20.8% 25.8% 27.4% 25.9% 28.1% 16.5% 14.4% 0.3% 0.27%
Total Payout Ratio 28.9% 29.6% 28.6% 35.9% 68.2% 87.0% 88.1% 92.8% 2.1% 89.3% 74.7% 55.4% 32.7% 36.5% 45.1% 40.0% 32.1% 19.7% 17.2% 6.3% 6.28%
Div. Increase Streak 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Total Shareholder Return — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.80 0.80 0.79 0.79 0.79 0.77 0.77 0.76 0.36 0.45 0.43 0.50 0.62 0.60 0.61 0.60 0.71 0.72 0.70 0.60 0.605
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.96 0.97 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.96 0.96 0.93 1.13 1.12 1.08 1.18 1.14 0.94 1.13 0.98 0.90 1.03 0.97 0.974
EBIT Margin 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.09 0.09 0.10 0.09 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.08 0.083
Asset Turnover 0.74 0.79 0.80 0.79 0.78 0.78 0.79 0.82 0.81 0.76 0.73 0.77 0.78 0.75 0.78 0.78 0.80 1.49 0.79 0.73 0.733
Equity Multiplier 2.14 2.12 2.10 2.13 2.07 2.04 2.02 2.09 2.10 2.03 1.98 2.03 2.02 1.99 1.98 1.96 1.93 0.99 1.99 2.28 2.279
Per Share
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $26.03 $28.90 $29.85 $29.44 $29.19 $31.06 $33.86 $30.56 $9.79 $14.73 $14.02 $18.89 $27.45 $25.71 $20.81 $24.98 $36.51 $34.26 $39.02 $28.27 $28.27
Book Value/Share $233.91 $237.15 $245.66 $256.32 $277.90 $308.60 $330.02 $301.89 $294.71 $330.49 $349.75 $337.89 $356.92 $385.50 $347.79 $389.87 $374.40 $380.64 $383.72 $302.90 $166.78
Tangible Book/Share $123.89 $126.52 $134.33 $142.81 $158.67 $179.84 $196.88 $175.81 $167.38 $196.03 $211.64 $204.03 $216.60 $231.98 $205.71 $236.49 $224.53 $379.62 $232.89 $167.77 $167.77
Revenue/Share $345.32 $369.08 $379.47 $393.54 $412.51 $434.97 $464.83 $480.79 $487.98 $493.50 $494.41 $499.86 $512.67 $530.56 $541.76 $554.34 $567.74 $566.26 $572.93 $579.83 $590.15
FCF/Share $25.45 $26.46 $18.15 $6.38 $-4.35 $-7.61 $-5.91 $-2.51 $-2.23 $12.32 $19.41 $23.45 $41.97 $36.36 $34.21 $38.65 $35.65 $30.55 $34.86 $29.40 $22.62
OCF/Share $46.77 $46.92 $39.15 $30.25 $20.43 $20.86 $24.14 $26.25 $31.22 $43.66 $49.69 $55.26 $70.01 $64.04 $60.57 $64.66 $61.94 $50.26 $56.21 $52.07 $51.08
Cash/Share $49.10 $37.08 $40.13 $40.22 $43.35 $41.26 $46.45 $39.69 $41.32 $44.56 $44.89 $43.59 $48.02 $57.93 $46.92 $55.39 $53.62 $53.69 $75.76 $195.72 $185.86
EBITDA/Share $48.84 $52.25 $53.51 $53.94 $54.23 $54.18 $59.68 $56.95 $50.62 $55.63 $55.98 $62.15 $65.94 $66.99 $66.61 $67.18 $82.36 $82.64 $84.39 $71.18 $71.18
Debt/Share $113.42 $108.63 $115.30 $119.60 $128.11 $136.13 $144.79 $149.92 $153.47 $149.95 $146.52 $151.11 $130.71 $147.77 $145.41 $144.64 $138.51 $1.00 $55.80 $261.97 $261.97
Net Debt/Share $64.32 $71.54 $75.17 $79.38 $84.76 $94.87 $98.34 $110.23 $112.15 $105.39 $101.63 $107.52 $82.69 $89.84 $98.49 $89.24 $84.89 $-52.70 $-19.96 $66.25 $66.25
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Piotroski F-Score 9 9 8 7 6 5 6 5 6 7 8 6 7 8 8 8 7 6 7 6 6
Beneish M-Score -2.61 -2.41 -2.32 -2.20 -1.93 -3.06 -2.07 -2.21 -2.60 -2.67 -2.71 -2.74 -2.73 -2.49 -2.71 -2.54 -2.55 -66.10 -2.55 -2.67 -2.673
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -9.772
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 16.33%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-16.71
EVA snapshot only $-51283291807.40
Credit
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only A-
Credit Score 74.40 74.40 70.35 69.45 67.05 67.05 67.05 67.15 62.90 67.00 67.90 66.70 71.80 69.40 69.40 71.90 75.90 82.75 82.75 66.70 66.700
Credit Grade snapshot only 7
Credit Trend snapshot only -5.200
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 175.000

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