— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: NLY (NYSE) · $vol 174M · NLY-PI (NYSE) · $vol 3M · NLY-PF (NYSE) · $vol 2M

NLY-PG NYSE

Annaly Capital Management, Inc.
1W: -0.0% 1M: -0.5% 3M: -0.5% YTD: +1.9% 1Y: +1.6% 3Y: +26.1% 5Y: +41.6%
$25.00
+0.00 (+0.00%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±0.9%
$25 $25 $25 $25 $25
NYSE · Real Estate · REIT - Mortgage · Tech Score Sell · Power 37 · $13.7B mcap · 17M float · 0.207% daily turnover
Credit Risk of going bust: not rated, financial company (lending is its business) Bonds: none of note held by US funds details ▾
Not rated: lending and leverage are a financial company's business, which the model misreads.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 9Hold: 3Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$—
Analysts0

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B
Oct 27, 2026
DCF
4
ROE
3
ROA
2
D/E
1
P/E
3
P/B
3
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. NLY-PG receives an overall rating of B. Strongest factors: DCF (4/5). Areas of concern: ROA (2/5), D/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-10-21 B+ B
2026-10-16 A- B+
2026-10-14 B+ A-
2026-10-12 A B+
2026-10-01 B+ A
2026-08-18 A- B+
2026-07-22 B+ A-
2026-05-18 A- B+
2026-04-01 B+ A-
2026-03-06 A- B+

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 22 Grade D
Profitability
35
Balance Sheet
13
Earnings Quality
79
Growth
41
Value
68
Momentum
60
Safety
0
Cash Flow
16
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. NLY-PG scores highest in Earnings Quality (79/100) and lowest in Safety (0/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
-0.59
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
3/9
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-1.49
Possible Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-3.35
Bankruptcy prob: 3.4%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
CCC
Score: 7.9/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
75/100
OCF/NI: 0.91x
Accruals: 0.1%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. NLY-PG scores -0.59, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. NLY-PG scores 3/9, suggesting weak financial fundamentals — the company fails the majority of these accounting tests. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. NLY-PG's score of -1.49 exceeds the −1.78 red flag threshold — this does not confirm manipulation but indicates the earnings profile resembles past manipulators statistically. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. NLY-PG's implied 3.4% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. NLY-PG receives an estimated rating of CCC (score: 7.9/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). NLY-PG's score of 75/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
12.74x
PEG
-0.38x
P/S
1.77x
P/B
0.89x
P/FCF
-248.63x
P/OCF
18.67x
EV/EBITDA
28.42x
EV/Revenue
18.52x
EV/EBIT
28.48x
EV/FCF
-1856.35x
Earnings Yield
5.86%
FCF Yield
-0.40%
Shareholder Yield
10.78%
Graham Number
$26.29
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 12.7x earnings, NLY-PG trades at a reasonable valuation. An earnings yield of 5.9% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $26.29 per share, suggesting a potential 5% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.972
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.230
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.650
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.057
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
8.851
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
7.4%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. NLY-PG's ROE of 7.4% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 8.85x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance. A tax burden ratio of 0.97 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$12.61
Price/Value
2.01x
Margin of Safety
-100.60%
Premium
100.60%
Assessment
Neutral
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with NLY-PG's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. NLY-PG trades at a 101% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $12.61, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 12.7x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$25.00
Median 1Y
$25.23
5th Pctile
$13.98
95th Pctile
$45.52
Ann. Volatility
35.5%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical

Executive Compensation

C-suite compensation breakdown including salary, stock awards, options, and incentive pay. The CEO-to-employee pay ratio and Gini coefficient measure pay distribution fairness.

C-Suite Compensation

ExecutiveSalaryStockTotal
David L. Finkelstein
Chief Executive Officer, Co-Chief Investment Officer and Director
$1,000,000 $8,328,092 $17,825,542
Steven F. Campbell
President and Chief Operating Officer
$750,000 $2,739,800 $6,582,250
Serena Wolfe Financial
ancial Officer
$750,000 $2,348,400 $5,833,350
Anthony C. Green
Chief Corporate Officer, Chief Legal Officer and Secretary
$750,000 $2,035,280 $5,086,080

CEO Pay Ratio

Insufficient data for pay ratio.

C-Suite Pay Equality (Gini)

CEO Compensation Mix

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
212
+11.0% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$31,582,660
Rev: $6,695,524,000
Profit / Employee
$9,562,557
NI: $2,027,262,000
SGA / Employee
—
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
ROE 17.6% 20.9% 31.0% 24.7% 14.1% -9.8% -16.1% -19.9% -14.6% -2.9% -4.5% 1.0% 8.4% 5.4% 5.9% 10.9% 14.1% 14.9% 19.5% 7.4% 7.38%
ROA 2.9% 3.3% 4.9% 3.7% 2.2% -1.4% -2.3% -2.4% -1.9% -0.4% -0.6% 0.1% 1.0% 0.7% 0.7% 1.3% 1.7% 1.8% 2.3% 0.8% 0.83%
ROIC 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.0% 0.2% 1.7% 1.9% 4.8% 8.9% 4.6% 5.5% 5.9% 4.7% 4.71%
ROCE -0.0% -0.0% -0.1% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% 0.0% 1.1% 7.4% 11.1% 13.5% 14.8% 8.8% 8.80%
Gross Margin 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 69.9% 90.2% 97.8% 94.2% 99.5% 99.0% 99.9% 98.9% 99.2% 33.4% 33.44%
Operating Margin 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% 0.0% -0.0% -0.0% 0.0% -37.3% 57.3% 89.7% 74.6% 67.4% 1.3% 1.3% 95.8% 96.6% 31.0% 30.95%
Net Margin 91.1% 96.6% 94.2% 1.2% 1.1% 1.1% 76.5% 1.1% 1.2% 96.5% -22.6% 49.9% 89.4% 50.8% 3.2% 51.1% 56.7% 17.3% 36.8% -45.9% -45.94%
EBITDA Margin 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% 0.0% -0.0% -0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 67.9% 1.3% 1.3% 95.8% 97.1% -45.9% -45.92%
FCF Margin 99.7% 1.1% 77.9% 1.6% 2.2% -1.8% -1.4% -85.6% -1.4% -24.8% -10.4% 59.6% 2.1% 75.3% 18.8% 46.5% -4.1% -23.1% -4.3% -1.0% -1.00%
OCF Margin 1.1% 1.4% 1.0% 1.9% 2.8% -2.5% -1.7% -1.1% -1.6% -30.0% -12.8% 2.9% 2.8% 1.5% 42.9% 68.0% 12.7% -8.1% 12.2% 13.3% 13.28%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 6.04%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 5.17%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 0.69%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 2.98%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 4.64%
Cash ROA snapshot only 0.71%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 0.74%
CROIC snapshot only -0.06%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 85.13%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 14.96%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 1.43%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
P/E Ratio 2.75 2.30 1.47 2.25 4.76 -7.89 -5.25 -4.67 -6.25 -31.40 -21.77 100.20 13.28 20.86 20.16 10.23 8.55 8.09 6.11 17.05 12.736
P/S Ratio 2.44 2.12 1.39 2.11 4.21 -9.50 -5.86 -5.16 -7.07 -62.22 -32.24 38.29 11.14 14.43 5.44 3.64 3.18 2.58 2.47 2.48 1.773
P/B Ratio 0.50 0.54 0.51 0.63 0.73 0.76 0.82 0.94 0.91 0.92 1.00 0.93 1.05 1.06 1.10 1.03 1.08 1.09 1.06 1.22 0.886
P/FCF 2.44 1.90 1.79 1.34 1.88 5.29 4.33 6.03 5.21 2.51 3.10 64.22 5.43 19.16 28.98 7.84 -77.99 -11.18 -57.32 -248.63 -248.626
P/OCF 2.13 1.52 1.33 1.13 1.53 3.87 3.49 4.54 4.34 2.08 2.52 13.21 4.02 9.50 12.68 5.36 25.01 — 20.33 18.67 18.674
EV/EBITDA — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 33.84 13.41 22.50 18.40 17.15 28.42 28.415
EV/Revenue 5.03 5.31 3.19 4.83 8.64 -17.88 -12.02 -10.37 -13.07 -151.58 -82.10 102.31 27.14 39.63 15.20 10.58 23.32 19.40 19.23 18.52 18.519
EV/EBIT -550.10 -730.35 -712.66 -802.76 -821.75 -813.82 -926.11 -832.83 -765.23 -964.86 -1445.33 -2518.70 -4706.26 — 34.10 13.47 22.57 18.44 17.19 28.48 28.480
EV/FCF 5.05 4.75 4.10 3.06 3.87 9.96 8.87 12.11 9.63 6.11 7.88 171.61 13.24 52.61 81.02 22.76 -572.32 -83.91 -445.40 -1856.35 -1856.350
Earnings Yield 36.4% 43.4% 68.0% 44.5% 21.0% -12.7% -19.0% -21.4% -16.0% -3.2% -4.6% 1.0% 7.5% 4.8% 5.0% 9.8% 11.7% 12.4% 16.4% 5.9% 5.86%
FCF Yield 40.9% 52.6% 55.9% 74.8% 53.1% 18.9% 23.1% 16.6% 19.2% 39.9% 32.3% 1.6% 18.4% 5.2% 3.5% 12.8% -1.3% -8.9% -1.7% -0.4% -0.40%
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 1.223
EV/OCF snapshot only 139.427
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 22.799
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 21.494
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 10.78%
Graham Number snapshot only $26.29
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
Current Ratio — 0.22 0.23 0.25 — 0.76 0.00 0.00 — — — — — — — 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.03 0.035
Quick Ratio — 0.54 0.24 0.40 — 0.88 0.00 0.00 — — — — — — — 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.03 0.035
Debt/Equity 0.54 0.82 0.74 0.84 0.78 0.83 0.92 1.07 1.17 1.35 1.57 1.59 1.70 1.88 1.99 1.98 6.95 7.18 7.38 8.04 8.042
Net Debt/Equity 0.53 0.80 0.66 0.81 0.77 0.67 0.86 0.95 0.77 1.33 1.54 1.56 1.51 1.86 1.97 1.95 6.83 7.07 7.21 7.90 7.905
Debt/Assets 0.09 0.12 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.12 0.13 0.14 0.17 0.19 0.19 0.21 0.23 0.24 0.23 0.82 0.84 0.87 0.87 0.871
Debt/EBITDA — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 21.96 8.89 19.80 16.21 15.30 25.04 25.039
Net Debt/EBITDA — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 21.74 8.79 19.44 15.95 14.94 24.61 24.609
Interest Coverage -0.10 -0.08 -0.05 -0.03 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.26 0.71 1.17 1.44 1.57 0.95 0.948
Equity Multiplier 5.83 6.67 6.68 7.86 7.26 7.36 7.59 8.49 8.28 8.02 8.38 8.16 8.21 8.09 8.38 8.44 8.43 8.51 8.49 9.24 9.238
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.025
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 0.950
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.017
FCF to Debt snapshot only -0.001
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.04 0.02 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.057
Inventory Turnover — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Receivables Turnover 10.38 11.39 14.67 12.99 4.47 -1.86 -2.65 -2.71 -1.56 -0.21 -0.37 0.27 1.04 1.12 3.10 4.16 5.46 8.32 8.69 8.47 8.467
Payables Turnover 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.11 0.13 0.16 0.15 0.18 0.03 0.14 0.18 2.10 2.101
DSO 35 32 25 28 82 -197 -138 -135 -234 -1766 -982 1333 350 324 118 88 67 44 42 43 43.1 days
DIO — — — — — — — — — — 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO — — — — — — — — — — 7373 3382 2725 2261 2386 2032 10587 2631 2036 174 173.7 days
Cash Conversion Cycle — — — — — — — — — — — -2049 -2375 -1936 -2268 -1944 -10520 -2587 -1994 -131 -130.6 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 3.575
Capital Intensity snapshot only 18.744
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
Revenue 5.6% -40.2% 11.7% 3.1% -27.6% -1.3% -1.4% -1.6% -1.7% 82.1% 79.0% 1.2% 1.8% 6.7% 8.8% 12.8% 3.6% 6.1% 1.7% 85.5% 85.52%
Net Income 3.7% -40.9% 14.2% 6.2% -27.8% -1.4% -1.5% -1.7% -2.0% 70.6% 72.2% 1.1% 1.6% 3.0% 2.4% 11.9% 1.0% 2.3% 3.0% -24.2% -24.18%
EPS 3.6% -43.4% 5.7% -10.6% -43.9% -1.3% -1.4% -1.6% -1.9% 71.2% 72.5% 1.1% 1.5% 2.7% 2.1% 9.7% 66.1% 1.7% 2.4% -38.2% -38.22%
FCF 1.1% 1.3% 1.8% 84.4% 62.3% -47.3% -28.9% -67.6% -54.8% 1.5% 61.3% -89.0% 24.2% -82.8% -85.9% 9.8% -1.1% -3.2% -1.6% -1.0% -1.04%
EBITDA — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 5.7% 53.3% 53.27%
Op. Income — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 125.7% 64.4% 9.7% 8.9% 3.2% 69.5% 69.45%
OCF Growth snapshot only -63.75%
Asset Growth snapshot only 16.12%
Equity Growth snapshot only 6.10%
Debt Growth snapshot only 3.32%
Shares Change snapshot only 22.74%
Dividend Growth snapshot only -3.68%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 10.7% 24.3% 50.7% 66.7% -3.8% — — — — — — -54.1% -23.7% -30.7% -12.5% 9.2% 40.9% — — — —
Revenue 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — -15.3% -11.4% — — — — 7.2% 15.1% 20.0% 20.00%
EPS 3Y 2.4% — — — — — — — — — — -69.5% -35.6% -46.3% -51.1% -30.1% -7.5% — — — —
EPS 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — -25.2% -15.8% -28.4% -28.40%
Net Income 3Y 2.5% — — — — — — — — — — -65.6% -25.2% -37.1% -42.4% -21.0% 5.5% — — — —
Net Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — -13.4% -2.5% -16.8% -16.84%
EBITDA 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EBITDA 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Gross Profit 3Y 11.0% 24.8% 51.7% 68.7% -3.6% — — — — — — -55.4% -24.6% -32.0% -13.0% 8.7% 40.5% — — — —
Gross Profit 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — -16.2% -11.9% — — — — 7.1% 14.9% 15.1% 15.12%
Op. Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Op. Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF 3Y 4.3% — — — — — — — — — — -59.7% -3.0% -39.3% -45.5% -27.3% — — — — —
FCF 5Y — — — — — 5.0% -0.5% -9.8% -3.6% — — — — — — — — — — — —
OCF 3Y 5.5% 1.3% — — — — — 36.8% 64.8% 12.0% 8.7% -34.1% 2.5% -28.8% -35.0% -22.1% -49.5% — -31.6% -22.1% -22.10%
OCF 5Y — — — — — 11.8% 3.9% -6.2% -2.0% 71.1% — — — — — 27.3% 5.5% — -23.8% -19.6% -19.61%
Assets 3Y -10.1% -13.9% -17.6% -12.8% -14.4% -3.6% -1.5% 0.2% 1.8% 2.3% 4.4% 9.8% 10.5% 11.3% 15.1% 13.8% 18.3% 16.9% 17.2% 17.7% 17.69%
Assets 5Y — — — — — -2.9% -2.0% -3.3% -2.5% -5.2% -6.6% -4.7% -4.5% 1.6% 3.7% 7.1% 8.9% 10.2% 11.8% 13.8% 13.77%
Equity 3Y -2.3% -10.2% -11.1% -10.6% -10.6% -2.5% -5.1% -9.3% -7.0% -6.7% -6.4% -3.2% -1.4% 4.4% 6.7% 11.1% 12.6% 11.3% 12.9% 14.4% 14.41%
Book Value 3Y -5.5% -11.5% -12.4% -15.5% -18.3% -12.1% -15.0% -19.1% -17.4% -17.2% -16.7% -14.0% -15.2% -10.9% -9.4% -1.8% -1.3% -2.3% -1.0% -1.1% -1.06%
Dividend 3Y -5.9% -2.5% -0.8% -4.0% -5.1% -4.9% -5.5% -7.2% -11.2% -14.7% -14.5% -14.1% -14.4% -12.6% -11.3% -5.7% -5.3% -4.3% -4.8% -8.6% -8.56%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.00 0.25 0.51 0.66 0.05 0.00 0.01 0.11 0.15 0.25 0.18 0.11 0.31 0.09 0.07 0.14 0.41 0.02 0.15 0.27 0.275
Earnings Stability 0.31 0.15 0.25 0.18 0.45 0.03 0.03 0.01 0.04 0.09 0.13 0.16 0.13 0.03 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.18 0.05 0.09 0.093
Margin Stability 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.98 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.96 0.99 — — 0.95 0.98 0.97 0.99 0.91 0.907
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 1.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.90 0.903
Earnings Smoothness — 0.49 0.87 0.94 0.68 — — — — — — — — — — 0.00 0.32 0.00 0.00 0.72 0.725
ROE Trend 0.28 0.27 0.31 0.19 0.09 -0.37 -0.45 -0.44 -0.31 -0.10 -0.14 -0.03 0.08 0.11 0.16 0.20 0.16 0.12 0.17 0.02 0.017
Gross Margin Trend — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — -0.14 -0.140
FCF Margin Trend — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — -0.54 -0.540
Sustainable Growth Rate 7.6% 10.1% 19.8% 13.1% 1.7% — — — — — — -11.6% -4.1% -7.2% -7.4% -1.9% 1.0% 1.2% 5.6% -6.2% -6.17%
Internal Growth Rate 1.3% 1.6% 3.2% 2.0% 0.3% — — — — — — — — — — — 0.1% 0.1% 0.7% — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.29 1.52 1.10 1.99 3.11 -2.04 -1.51 -1.03 -1.44 -15.13 -8.63 7.59 3.30 2.20 1.59 1.91 0.34 -0.25 0.30 0.91 0.913
FCF/OCF 0.87 0.80 0.74 0.84 0.81 0.73 0.81 0.75 0.83 0.83 0.81 0.21 0.74 0.50 0.44 0.68 -0.32 2.86 -0.35 -0.08 -0.075
FCF/Net Income snapshot only -0.069
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.204
CapEx/Revenue 14.6% 28.4% 26.8% 29.1% 52.0% -65.9% -32.7% -28.1% -27.5% -5.2% -2.4% 2.3% 72.3% 76.6% 24.1% 21.5% 16.8% 15.0% 16.5% 14.3% 14.28%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 96.612
Accruals Ratio -0.01 -0.02 -0.01 -0.04 -0.05 -0.04 -0.06 -0.05 -0.05 -0.06 -0.05 -0.01 -0.02 -0.01 -0.00 -0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.00 0.001
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.054
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 0.324
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.750
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
Dividend Yield 20.7% 22.4% 24.7% 20.9% 18.5% 17.9% 16.8% 16.1% 14.8% 13.6% 12.9% 12.5% 11.2% 11.2% 11.2% 11.5% 10.9% 11.3% 11.6% 10.8% 15.81%
Dividend/Share $3.74 $3.76 $3.64 $3.31 $3.24 $3.30 $3.28 $3.24 $3.04 $2.87 $2.88 $2.81 $2.62 $2.63 $2.64 $2.83 $2.71 $2.77 $2.87 $2.72 $2.90
Payout Ratio 56.9% 51.6% 36.3% 47.0% 88.1% — — — — — — 12.5% 1.5% 2.3% 2.2% 1.2% 92.8% 91.7% 71.1% 1.8% 1.84%
FCF Payout Ratio 50.6% 42.6% 44.1% 28.0% 34.9% 95.0% 72.7% 97.1% 77.0% 34.1% 40.0% 8.0% 61.0% 2.1% 3.2% 90.2% — — — — —
Total Payout Ratio 66.5% 60.2% 36.3% 47.0% 88.1% — — — — — — 12.5% 1.5% 2.3% 2.2% 1.2% 92.8% 91.7% 71.1% 1.8% 1.84%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0
Chowder Number 0.13 0.19 0.27 0.26 0.30 0.36 0.34 0.29 0.15 0.03 0.02 0.03 0.10 0.19 0.25 0.33 0.37 0.41 0.39 0.29 0.290
Buyback Yield 3.5% 3.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.02%
Net Buyback Yield -12.5% -13.6% -19.3% -39.8% -32.1% -35.5% -23.2% -5.9% -6.6% -1.1% -1.0% -10.7% -11.6% -14.8% -19.1% -17.9% -16.8% -16.4% -14.4% -7.7% -7.74%
Total Shareholder Return 8.2% 8.9% 5.3% -18.9% -13.6% -17.5% -6.4% 10.2% 8.2% 12.6% 11.9% 1.8% -0.4% -3.6% -7.9% -6.4% -5.9% -5.1% -2.7% 3.0% 3.02%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 1.00 0.99 0.99 0.98 0.97 1.03 1.01 1.01 1.03 1.10 1.07 0.75 0.98 0.95 0.96 0.99 0.99 1.00 0.99 0.97 0.972
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) -97.46 -128.76 -214.64 -158.71 -86.41 53.18 84.98 87.44 64.46 11.51 24.36 -12.48 -149.19 — 0.63 0.46 0.36 0.31 0.36 0.23 0.230
EBIT Margin -0.01 -0.01 -0.00 -0.01 -0.01 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.16 0.06 -0.04 -0.01 0.00 0.45 0.78 1.03 1.05 1.12 0.65 0.650
Asset Turnover 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.04 0.02 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.057
Equity Multiplier 6.08 6.34 6.33 6.60 6.49 7.02 7.15 8.17 7.77 7.69 7.97 8.31 8.25 8.06 8.38 8.31 8.33 8.32 8.44 8.85 8.851
Per Share
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $6.57 $7.28 $10.04 $7.05 $3.68 $-2.33 $-3.72 $-4.30 $-3.29 $-0.67 $-1.02 $0.22 $1.76 $1.13 $1.18 $2.40 $2.92 $3.02 $4.03 $1.48 $1.48
Book Value/Share $36.20 $31.26 $28.95 $25.28 $24.07 $24.08 $23.82 $21.37 $22.52 $22.77 $22.32 $24.08 $22.10 $22.08 $21.54 $23.94 $23.15 $22.47 $23.11 $20.70 $20.79
Tangible Book/Share $34.44 $27.92 $24.95 $21.27 $21.76 $20.39 $21.99 $19.12 $21.81 $21.16 $20.46 $22.41 $21.29 $21.25 $21.47 $23.37 $23.14 $22.46 $23.10 $20.69 $20.69
Revenue/Share $7.40 $7.89 $10.59 $7.52 $4.17 $-1.93 $-3.33 $-3.90 $-2.91 $-0.34 $-0.69 $0.59 $2.09 $1.63 $4.36 $6.75 $7.84 $9.44 $9.95 $10.20 $10.20
FCF/Share $7.38 $8.82 $8.25 $11.85 $9.31 $3.47 $4.52 $3.34 $3.94 $8.39 $7.20 $0.35 $4.29 $1.23 $0.82 $3.14 $-0.32 $-2.18 $-0.43 $-0.10 $-0.03
OCF/Share $8.46 $11.05 $11.09 $14.03 $11.47 $4.75 $5.61 $4.43 $4.74 $10.14 $8.83 $1.70 $5.80 $2.48 $1.87 $4.59 $1.00 $-0.76 $1.21 $1.35 $1.13
Cash/Share $0.33 $0.34 $2.49 $0.69 $0.33 $3.66 $1.28 $2.51 $8.98 $0.60 $0.64 $0.63 $4.12 $0.50 $0.43 $0.51 $2.93 $2.64 $3.98 $2.85 $2.85
EBITDA/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $1.96 $5.32 $8.13 $9.96 $11.15 $6.65 $6.65
Debt/Share $19.54 $25.48 $21.53 $21.15 $18.78 $19.87 $21.81 $22.80 $26.42 $30.83 $35.09 $38.26 $37.58 $41.55 $42.97 $47.30 $160.94 $161.40 $170.61 $166.45 $166.45
Net Debt/Share $19.21 $25.14 $19.04 $20.46 $18.46 $16.20 $20.53 $20.29 $17.43 $30.24 $34.45 $37.64 $33.46 $41.05 $42.54 $46.79 $158.01 $158.76 $166.63 $163.60 $163.60
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — -0.587
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only -3.779
Piotroski F-Score 6 3 5 4 3 4 2 2 2 4 4 5 5 5 6 6 5 4 4 3 3
Beneish M-Score -2.55 -2.06 — — — — 4.27 — — — -1.46 — — -3.21 33.89 6.81 -0.98 2.10 -2.72 -1.49 -1.494
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -3.346
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-166.40
EVA snapshot only $-7449647155.50
Credit
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only CCC
Credit Score 31.50 31.50 31.50 35.25 32.10 22.20 21.30 18.30 24.00 25.50 24.50 20.00 23.00 20.00 18.50 13.70 10.40 9.80 12.90 7.90 7.900
Credit Grade snapshot only 17
Credit Trend snapshot only -5.800
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 1200.000

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms