NVMI NASDAQ
Nova Ltd.
1W: +2.4%
1M: -11.6%
3M: -10.7%
YTD: -5.7%
1Y: -5.1%
3Y: +239.7%
5Y: +213.7%
$327.60
+11.27 (+3.56%)
After Hours: $322.09 (-5.51, -1.68%)
Weekly Expected Move ±6.3%
$272
$292
$311
$331
$350
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 55% of companies Debt: 7.4% of company value Bonds: $95.7M held by 42 funds → details ▾
If the stock fell to about $5.41 (down 98%), Nova Ltd. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $803.5M against a stock market value of $10.06B.
Distance to default 4.67 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $733.6M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 59.0%; Altman Z'' 3.69. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
Total debt $803.5M against a stock market value of $10.06B.
Distance to default 4.67 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $733.6M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 59.0%; Altman Z'' 3.69. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
Overview
Chart
Smart Money
Financials
Income Statement
Cash Flow
Balance Sheet
Earnings
Analysis
Technicals
Weather
Peers
ESG
Institutions
ETF Exposure
Dark Pool
Short Interest
Oct Typical
☀️
Sunny
+34.5% YTD avg
Midterm Year
⛈️
Stormy
-16.7% YTD avg
2026 Now
⛈️
Stormy
Below typical
20yr Avg YTD
+34.5%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
-16.7%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
-5.7%
Below 20yr avg
Typical Vol
50%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
💨
+3.8%
Midterm
⛈️
-6.7%
65% win
47% vol
Feb
20yr
💨
+4.4%
Midterm
⛈️
-7.3%
60% win
65% vol
Mar
20yr
💨
+7.6%
Midterm
⛈️
-9.2%
60% win
60% vol
Apr
20yr
💨
+7.3%
Midterm
⛈️
-12.5%
55% win
52% vol
May
20yr
💨
+14.8%
Midterm
⛈️
-12.0%
80% win
52% vol
Jun
20yr
💨
+18.1%
Midterm
⛈️
-14.7%
60% win
64% vol
Jul
20yr
🌫️
+20.0%
Midterm
⛈️
-12.2%
50% win
57% vol
Aug
20yr
🌫️
+21.1%
Midterm
⛈️
-11.6%
55% win
52% vol
Sep
20yr
💨
+31.0%
Midterm
⛈️
-12.8%
50% win
49% vol
Oct
20yr
⛈️
+32.9%
Midterm
⛈️
-17.4%
57% win
50% vol
Now:
-14.9%
Nov
20yr
💨
+47.2%
Midterm
⛈️
-6.7%
75% win
66% vol
Dec
20yr
💨
+5.2%
Midterm
💨
+3.5%
65% win
61% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: -5.7%