NVR NYSE
NVR, Inc.
1W: -1.6%
1M: -9.0%
3M: -11.4%
YTD: -21.2%
1Y: -25.4%
3Y: +3.0%
5Y: +14.4%
$5,806.02
+78.25 (+1.37%)
After Hours: $5724.64 (-81.39, -1.40%)
Weekly Expected Move ±4.1%
$5487
$5734
$5982
$6230
$6477
Credit Risk of going bust: lower than 89% of companies Debt: 6.5% of company value Bonds: none of note held by US funds details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the safest four tenths, about 1 in 3,500 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $21.78 (down 99.6%), NVR, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $1.07B against a stock market value of $15.35B.
Distance to default 13.02 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-09-30, debt counted $453.8M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 28.1%; Altman Z'' 16.76. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $21.78 (down 99.6%), NVR, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $1.07B against a stock market value of $15.35B.
Distance to default 13.02 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-09-30, debt counted $453.8M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 28.1%; Altman Z'' 16.76. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.
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Income Statement
Cash Flow
Balance Sheet
Earnings
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Analysis
Technicals
Weather
Peers
ESG
Institutions
ETF Exposure
Dark Pool
Short Interest
Supply Chain
Oct Typical
☀️
Sunny
+11.6% YTD avg
Midterm Year
⛈️
Stormy
-16.7% YTD avg
2026 Now
⛈️
Stormy
Below typical
20yr Avg YTD
+11.6%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
-16.7%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
-20.2%
Below 20yr avg
Typical Vol
33%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
⛅
+5.8%
Midterm
☁️
-0.1%
70% win
34% vol
Feb
20yr
🌧️
+3.1%
Midterm
🌧️
-1.4%
30% win
31% vol
Mar
20yr
💨
+5.4%
Midterm
🌧️
-4.6%
60% win
48% vol
Apr
20yr
💨
+9.0%
Midterm
🌧️
-4.6%
50% win
37% vol
May
20yr
☁️
+7.3%
Midterm
⛈️
-9.5%
50% win
30% vol
Jun
20yr
☁️
+7.0%
Midterm
⛈️
-13.8%
55% win
27% vol
Jul
20yr
💨
+9.2%
Midterm
⛈️
-16.5%
50% win
36% vol
Aug
20yr
☀️
+11.2%
Midterm
⛈️
-16.6%
60% win
26% vol
Sep
20yr
🌧️
+10.7%
Midterm
⛈️
-16.9%
35% win
30% vol
Oct
20yr
🌧️
+10.8%
Midterm
⛈️
-15.5%
43% win
33% vol
Now:
-5.7%
Nov
20yr
💨
+14.2%
Midterm
⛈️
-11.5%
85% win
36% vol
Dec
20yr
⛅
+3.3%
Midterm
☀️
+4.0%
75% win
30% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: -20.2%