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NVR NYSE

NVR, Inc.
1W: -1.6% 1M: -9.0% 3M: -11.4% YTD: -21.2% 1Y: -25.4% 3Y: +3.0% 5Y: +14.4%
$5,806.02
+78.25 (+1.37%)
After Hours: $5724.64 (-81.39, -1.40%)
Weekly Expected Move ±4.1%
$5487 $5734 $5982 $6230 $6477
NYSE · Consumer Cyclical · Residential Construction · Tech Score Sell · Power 45 · $15.4B mcap · 3M float · 1.43% daily turnover · Short 65% of daily vol
Credit Risk of going bust: lower than 89% of companies Debt: 6.5% of company value Bonds: none of note held by US funds details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the safest four tenths, about 1 in 3,500 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $21.78 (down 99.6%), NVR, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $1.07B against a stock market value of $15.35B.
Distance to default 13.02 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-09-30, debt counted $453.8M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 28.1%; Altman Z'' 16.76. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.
Oct Typical
☀️
Sunny
+11.6% YTD avg
Midterm Year
⛈️
Stormy
-16.7% YTD avg
2026 Now
⛈️
Stormy
Below typical
20yr Avg YTD
+11.6%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
-16.7%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
-20.2%
Below 20yr avg
Typical Vol
33%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
⛅
+5.8%
Midterm
☁️
-0.1%
70% win 34% vol
Feb
20yr
🌧️
+3.1%
Midterm
🌧️
-1.4%
30% win 31% vol
Mar
20yr
💨
+5.4%
Midterm
🌧️
-4.6%
60% win 48% vol
Apr
20yr
💨
+9.0%
Midterm
🌧️
-4.6%
50% win 37% vol
May
20yr
☁️
+7.3%
Midterm
⛈️
-9.5%
50% win 30% vol
Jun
20yr
☁️
+7.0%
Midterm
⛈️
-13.8%
55% win 27% vol
Jul
20yr
💨
+9.2%
Midterm
⛈️
-16.5%
50% win 36% vol
Aug
20yr
☀️
+11.2%
Midterm
⛈️
-16.6%
60% win 26% vol
Sep
20yr
🌧️
+10.7%
Midterm
⛈️
-16.9%
35% win 30% vol
Oct
20yr
🌧️
+10.8%
Midterm
⛈️
-15.5%
43% win 33% vol
Now: -5.7%
Nov
20yr
💨
+14.2%
Midterm
⛈️
-11.5%
85% win 36% vol
Dec
20yr
⛅
+3.3%
Midterm
☀️
+4.0%
75% win 30% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: -20.2%

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms