— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: NOVN.SW (SIX) · $vol 435M · NVSEF (OTC) · $vol 3M · NVS.TO (TSX) · $vol 0M

NVS NYSE

Novartis AG
1W: +2.4% 1M: +5.7% 3M: -3.8% YTD: +11.0% 1Y: +16.8% 3Y: +72.8% 5Y: +121.5%
$156.86
+3.05 (+1.98%)
After Hours: $154.97 (-1.89, -1.20%)
Weekly Expected Move ±3.4%
$141 $146 $151 $156 $162
NYSE · Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - General · Tech Score Buy · Power 62 · $292.3B mcap · 1.83B float · 0.111% daily turnover · Short 46% of daily vol
Credit Risk of going bust: lower than 80% of companies Debt: 14.4% of company value Bonds: none of note held by US funds details ▾
If the stock fell to about $1.81 (down 99%), Novartis AG would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $49.01B against a stock market value of $292.35B.
Distance to default 9.62 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $28.61B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 27.6%; Altman Z'' 2.30. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$140
Low
$146
Avg Target
$156
High
Based on 6 analyst ratings (12 mo)
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 6Hold: 17Sell: 2Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusHold
Avg Target$146.00
Analysts2
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2026-10-06 Morgan Stanley Thibault Boutherin $170 $156 -14 +10.8% $140.85
2026-09-10 HSBC — $112 $136 +24 -1.1% $137.48
2026-03-26 Morgan Stanley Thibault Boutherin $143 $170 +27 +13.6% $149.70
2025-12-10 HSBC — Initiated $112 — -14.5% $131.01
2025-12-03 Morgan Stanley — Initiated $143 — +8.1% $132.28
2025-10-29 CFRA Wan Nurhayati $108 $126 +18 +2.2% $123.33
2024-10-30 BMO Capital Etzer Darout $118 $120 +2 +9.2% $109.91
2024-09-05 Goldman Sachs James Quigley Initiated $121 — +1.4% $119.38
2024-07-19 BMO Capital Etzer Darout Initiated $118 — +11.2% $106.13
2024-04-23 CFRA Wan Nurhayati Initiated $108 — +11.0% $97.27

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B+
Oct 27, 2026
DCF
4
ROE
5
ROA
5
D/E
1
P/E
2
P/B
1
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. NVS receives an overall rating of B+. Strongest factors: DCF (4/5), ROE (5/5), ROA (5/5). Areas of concern: D/E (1/5), P/E (2/5), P/B (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-04-24 A- B+
2026-04-01 B+ A-
2026-02-24 A- B+
2026-02-18 B+ A-
2026-02-05 A- B+
2026-01-03 B+ A-

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 65 Grade A
Profitability
89
Balance Sheet
54
Earnings Quality
72
Growth
37
Value
46
Momentum
67
Safety
90
Cash Flow
71
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. NVS scores highest in Safety (90/100) and lowest in Growth (37/100). An overall grade of A places NVS among the highest-quality companies in its peer group.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
3.57
Safe Zone
Piotroski F-Score
5/9
✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗
Beneish M-Score
-2.53
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-8.26
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
AA-
Score: 82.4/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 1.44x
Accruals: -5.0%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. NVS scores 3.57, placing it in the Safe Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Bankruptcy is statistically unlikely within the next two years. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. NVS scores 5/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. NVS's score of -2.53 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. NVS's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. NVS receives an estimated rating of AA- (score: 82.4/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). NVS's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
23.59x
PEG
-5.25x
P/S
5.39x
P/B
7.11x
P/FCF
18.96x
P/OCF
16.31x
EV/EBITDA
15.33x
EV/Revenue
6.13x
EV/EBIT
20.18x
EV/FCF
21.57x
Earnings Yield
4.25%
FCF Yield
5.27%
Shareholder Yield
5.29%
Graham Number
$57.06
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 23.6x earnings, NVS commands a growth premium. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $57.06 per share, 170% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.822
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.918
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.304
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.491
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
2.711
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
30.6%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. NVS's ROE of 30.6% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.491), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
15.00%
Fair P/E
38.50x
Intrinsic Value
$256.65
Price/Value
0.61x
Margin of Safety
38.94%
Premium
-38.94%
Assessment
Neutral
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with NVS's realized 15.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. NVS actually compounded EPS at 22.2% over three years; the model uses 15%, the highest rate it will extrapolate — of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it over the following seven years. NVS trades at a -39% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $256.65, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 38.5x compares to the current market P/E of 23.6x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$156.81
Median 1Y
$171.13
5th Pctile
$120.91
95th Pctile
$242.12
Ann. Volatility
21.3%
Analyst Target
$146.00
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical Analyst target

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
75,267
-0.8% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$728,224
Rev: $54,811,252,000
Profit / Employee
$186,743
NI: $14,055,610,000
SGA / Employee
$176,781
Avg labor cost proxy
R&D / Employee
$142,715
Innovation spend

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
ROE 17.6% 38.7% 43.2% 39.3% 37.1% 11.0% 12.4% 13.3% 15.8% 28.0% 33.2% 34.6% 43.2% 26.3% 33.0% 32.6% 32.8% 31.0% 35.2% 30.6% 30.55%
ROA 7.8% 18.2% 19.6% 18.6% 18.2% 5.6% 5.9% 6.5% 6.8% 13.7% 14.8% 15.5% 16.3% 11.8% 13.2% 13.5% 13.7% 12.8% 12.4% 11.3% 11.27%
ROIC 11.9% 15.2% 15.0% 13.5% 12.5% 10.8% 10.5% 11.3% 15.7% 15.5% 17.2% 17.4% 20.4% 20.5% 21.9% 21.6% 23.1% 20.9% 18.7% 16.8% 16.84%
ROCE 13.7% 26.5% 28.5% 27.0% 26.6% 10.0% 10.7% 11.8% 14.5% 13.6% 16.3% 16.9% 18.1% 19.9% 23.4% 23.0% 23.3% 19.8% 19.5% 18.7% 18.74%
Gross Margin 70.5% 70.6% 69.9% 71.3% 73.3% 68.9% 72.9% 71.5% 74.2% 74.3% 74.5% 75.3% 75.4% 75.5% 76.3% 77.6% 75.4% 73.4% 74.4% 74.5% 74.47%
Operating Margin 24.2% 18.9% 22.3% 17.0% 16.9% 14.9% 23.7% 23.9% 14.6% 21.9% 27.8% 31.2% 27.5% 26.0% 34.2% 32.8% 31.3% 26.4% 31.3% 32.8% 32.84%
Net Margin 20.6% 1.2% 17.3% 12.9% 14.6% 11.2% 20.8% 19.7% 14.6% 72.0% 22.2% 25.2% 24.2% 20.8% 26.5% 27.2% 27.4% 18.1% 23.3% 22.7% 22.65%
EBITDA Margin 36.5% 1.4% 33.4% 30.9% 34.4% 29.9% 41.5% 39.1% 40.4% 35.5% 38.5% 40.8% 42.6% 38.3% 42.8% 41.0% 40.7% 38.0% 40.0% 41.2% 41.17%
FCF Margin 23.2% 22.9% 21.9% 21.3% 22.1% 23.5% 27.9% 27.6% 29.0% 26.9% 23.4% 25.9% 25.8% 26.7% 27.9% 30.5% 30.3% 27.9% 29.2% 28.4% 28.43%
OCF Margin 29.0% 28.5% 27.5% 26.9% 27.9% 28.6% 32.4% 32.9% 33.4% 31.0% 28.8% 30.8% 32.0% 34.1% 35.7% 37.7% 37.4% 34.1% 34.2% 33.1% 33.05%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 34.00%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 30.65%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 13.37%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 17.53%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 15.60%
Cash ROA snapshot only 15.07%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 22.19%
CROIC snapshot only 19.09%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 25.08%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 27.90%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 20.27%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 23.59%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 1.03%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio 15.85 6.92 7.03 7.04 6.58 24.27 24.70 24.60 24.00 13.20 12.66 13.07 12.85 15.85 17.16 17.37 16.73 19.02 21.63 23.51 23.590
P/S Ratio 2.97 3.14 3.21 3.06 2.86 3.39 3.62 4.03 3.92 4.20 4.04 4.33 4.53 3.66 4.15 4.30 4.27 4.74 5.22 5.39 5.394
P/B Ratio 2.74 2.46 2.76 2.57 2.36 2.84 3.33 3.63 4.93 4.20 4.86 5.07 5.22 4.30 5.75 5.65 5.43 5.77 7.60 7.22 7.110
P/FCF 12.76 13.73 14.62 14.37 12.90 14.46 12.98 14.61 13.54 15.60 17.25 16.70 17.56 13.71 14.86 14.11 14.11 17.00 17.89 18.96 18.962
P/OCF 10.23 11.03 11.64 11.38 10.24 11.86 11.16 12.24 11.74 13.56 14.02 14.03 14.17 10.74 11.61 11.41 11.42 13.90 15.27 16.31 16.312
EV/EBITDA 9.68 5.11 5.53 5.43 4.98 11.18 11.72 12.22 11.15 11.42 11.49 12.22 12.40 10.00 11.18 11.57 11.47 12.77 14.85 15.33 15.332
EV/Revenue 3.47 3.20 3.44 3.28 3.04 3.58 3.97 4.40 4.18 4.47 4.41 4.75 4.89 4.01 4.60 4.76 4.67 5.19 5.94 6.13 6.134
EV/EBIT 14.47 6.27 6.72 6.73 6.35 20.09 21.85 21.92 21.46 20.89 19.85 19.65 17.87 14.15 15.32 15.73 15.00 16.66 19.57 20.18 20.175
EV/FCF 14.91 13.97 15.70 15.38 13.75 15.26 14.25 15.94 14.44 16.58 18.82 18.32 18.97 15.01 16.48 15.64 15.42 18.63 20.34 21.57 21.575
Earnings Yield 6.3% 14.5% 14.2% 14.2% 15.2% 4.1% 4.0% 4.1% 4.2% 7.6% 7.9% 7.7% 7.8% 6.3% 5.8% 5.8% 6.0% 5.3% 4.6% 4.3% 4.25%
FCF Yield 7.8% 7.3% 6.8% 7.0% 7.8% 6.9% 7.7% 6.8% 7.4% 6.4% 5.8% 6.0% 5.7% 7.3% 6.7% 7.1% 7.1% 5.9% 5.6% 5.3% 5.27%
EV/OCF snapshot only 18.560
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 8.241
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 20.085
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 5.29%
Graham Number snapshot only $57.06
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 0.88 1.51 1.25 1.38 1.31 1.29 1.05 1.05 0.94 1.16 0.90 0.93 1.11 1.04 0.79 0.82 0.88 1.12 0.85 0.86 0.862
Quick Ratio 0.65 1.29 1.01 1.13 1.07 1.04 0.79 0.79 0.83 0.93 0.71 0.72 0.90 0.84 0.61 0.62 0.68 0.89 0.65 0.67 0.666
Debt/Equity 0.60 0.46 0.51 0.49 0.47 0.47 0.56 0.55 0.66 0.56 0.69 0.69 0.74 0.71 0.81 0.78 0.72 0.80 1.22 1.18 1.180
Net Debt/Equity 0.46 0.04 0.20 0.18 0.16 0.16 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.27 0.44 0.49 0.42 0.41 0.63 0.61 0.50 0.55 1.04 0.99 0.995
Debt/Assets 0.28 0.24 0.25 0.25 0.24 0.24 0.26 0.26 0.22 0.26 0.29 0.30 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.30 0.32 0.40 0.40 0.402
Debt/EBITDA 1.83 0.94 0.95 0.98 0.93 1.75 1.80 1.69 1.40 1.44 1.49 1.53 1.63 1.51 1.43 1.44 1.40 1.62 2.10 2.20 2.202
Net Debt/EBITDA 1.39 0.09 0.38 0.36 0.31 0.58 1.04 1.02 0.69 0.68 0.96 1.08 0.92 0.86 1.10 1.13 0.97 1.11 1.79 1.86 1.856
Interest Coverage 15.57 33.23 33.54 31.69 29.53 10.43 10.26 10.84 10.62 11.38 11.83 12.75 14.09 14.57 15.13 15.14 15.68 15.23 13.92 12.17 12.167
Equity Multiplier 2.14 1.95 2.03 1.95 1.95 1.98 2.16 2.14 2.95 2.14 2.38 2.34 2.39 2.32 2.60 2.49 2.42 2.51 3.08 2.94 2.938
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.242
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 16.011
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.157
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.323
Defensive Interval snapshot only 262.2 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.42 0.40 0.43 0.43 0.42 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.42 0.43 0.46 0.47 0.46 0.51 0.55 0.55 0.53 0.52 0.51 0.49 0.491
Inventory Turnover 2.30 2.30 2.24 2.22 2.12 2.10 1.84 1.76 2.18 1.91 1.85 1.78 2.17 2.20 2.24 2.17 2.17 2.27 2.29 2.27 2.270
Receivables Turnover 6.37 6.52 6.36 6.19 5.98 6.19 5.54 5.23 6.29 6.15 5.70 5.61 6.76 7.12 6.48 6.39 6.71 6.86 6.23 5.95 5.953
Payables Turnover 3.44 2.90 3.10 3.17 3.09 2.72 2.61 2.57 3.16 2.48 2.65 2.61 3.15 2.70 3.11 3.03 3.10 3.02 3.23 3.25 3.245
DSO 57 56 57 59 61 59 66 70 58 59 64 65 54 51 56 57 54 53 59 61 61.3 days
DIO 159 159 163 165 172 174 198 208 167 192 198 206 168 166 163 168 168 161 160 161 160.8 days
DPO 106 126 118 115 118 134 140 142 116 147 138 140 116 135 117 120 118 121 113 112 112.5 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 110 89 102 108 115 98 124 136 110 103 124 131 106 82 102 105 105 93 105 110 109.6 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 4.535
Operating Cycle snapshot only 222.1 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 7.235
Capital Intensity snapshot only 2.193
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 5.6% 6.0% 6.2% 2.4% -4.2% -5.9% -9.4% -11.6% -4.4% -6.2% -0.6% 4.7% 4.1% 10.8% 11.5% 12.9% 12.9% 8.6% 5.3% 0.8% 0.81%
Net Income 38.1% 2.0% 2.0% 1.6% 1.2% -71.0% -70.9% -66.7% -64.1% 1.1% 1.2% 1.1% 1.2% -19.6% -15.7% -15.6% -18.2% 17.1% 5.2% -6.6% -6.55%
EPS 41.0% 2.0% 2.1% 1.6% 1.3% -69.7% -69.3% -64.9% -62.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.3% -17.1% -12.4% -11.9% -14.6% 21.7% 8.7% -4.3% -4.31%
FCF 10.8% 9.3% 12.9% 9.1% -8.7% -3.5% 15.1% 14.4% 24.9% 7.6% -16.3% -1.7% -7.2% 9.8% 32.7% 32.8% 32.4% 13.3% 10.2% -5.9% -5.87%
EBITDA 12.1% 92.1% 90.8% 74.9% 63.7% -51.8% -50.7% -47.3% -41.4% 14.5% 12.8% 12.9% 9.6% 13.5% 19.4% 19.6% 16.4% 10.2% 2.4% -2.0% -1.98%
Op. Income 26.1% 15.1% 23.4% -0.7% -19.6% -24.2% -28.9% -15.4% -3.5% 10.3% 22.1% 27.5% 48.8% 48.9% 50.5% 42.2% 29.1% 20.7% 8.1% 1.8% 1.85%
OCF Growth snapshot only -11.54%
Asset Growth snapshot only 16.90%
Equity Growth snapshot only -1.05%
Debt Growth snapshot only 50.18%
Shares Change snapshot only -2.35%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 18.19%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 3.4% 3.4% 3.2% 2.8% 0.4% 0.7% -1.3% -2.0% -1.1% -2.2% -1.5% -1.8% -1.6% -0.7% 0.1% 1.5% 3.9% 4.1% 5.3% 6.0% 6.04%
Revenue 5Y 1.1% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% 0.3% -0.1% -0.6% -0.8% 0.3% -0.5% -0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 1.2% 1.3% 2.2% 2.6% 2.4% 2.4% 1.5% 1.53%
EPS 3Y -8.8% 25.5% 27.0% 28.7% 24.8% -14.2% -14.5% 5.3% 7.0% 26.7% 28.3% 25.7% 25.9% -17.6% -15.6% -12.5% -9.5% 30.9% 28.7% 22.2% 22.23%
EPS 5Y 8.9% 30.6% 32.3% 30.4% 28.7% -0.3% -0.7% -9.2% -8.0% 5.9% 7.0% 10.1% 11.1% 3.1% 4.2% 17.4% 19.2% 15.4% 15.0% 10.9% 10.87%
Net Income 3Y -9.9% 24.0% 25.1% 26.4% 22.7% -16.0% -16.7% 2.0% 3.3% 22.5% 24.2% 21.7% 21.5% -20.8% -19.0% -15.9% -12.9% 26.2% 24.4% 18.6% 18.60%
Net Income 5Y 7.6% 29.0% 30.6% 28.6% 26.7% -2.0% -2.7% -11.2% -10.2% 3.3% 4.3% 7.3% 8.3% 0.4% 1.2% 13.6% 15.2% 11.6% 11.2% 7.3% 7.27%
EBITDA 3Y -3.7% 17.3% 16.7% 28.5% 26.4% 0.7% 0.4% 0.8% 2.4% 2.0% 2.0% 1.4% 1.7% -14.4% -12.8% -10.7% -9.3% 12.7% 11.3% 9.8% 9.83%
EBITDA 5Y 5.7% 17.8% 20.9% 22.5% 21.3% 4.6% 2.8% -4.6% -3.1% -2.3% -2.4% 4.8% 5.3% 5.8% 6.4% 6.7% 6.5% 5.8% 5.3% 4.1% 4.08%
Gross Profit 3Y 3.8% 4.5% 4.2% 3.6% 1.4% 0.9% -0.7% -1.2% -0.2% -0.6% 0.7% 0.8% 1.0% 1.7% 2.6% 4.1% 6.3% 6.5% 7.1% 7.5% 7.45%
Gross Profit 5Y 2.5% 3.0% 3.1% 3.1% 2.0% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 1.2% 1.0% 1.3% 1.7% 1.8% 2.6% 2.8% 4.0% 4.4% 4.1% 4.1% 3.1% 3.05%
Op. Income 3Y 8.9% 11.9% 13.9% 8.8% 3.4% -0.9% -3.5% -0.3% -0.7% -1.3% 2.3% 2.3% 4.9% 7.6% 9.3% 15.3% 22.9% 25.6% 25.7% 22.7% 22.69%
Op. Income 5Y 6.8% 7.2% 9.4% 6.5% 3.4% 0.5% -1.0% -0.1% 0.1% 3.2% 5.1% 6.8% 9.7% 9.9% 10.6% 12.5% 13.5% 11.6% 11.8% 9.2% 9.19%
FCF 3Y 4.4% 2.9% 1.3% 2.2% -0.6% 0.9% 4.8% 1.1% 8.1% 4.3% 2.8% 7.1% 1.9% 4.5% 8.5% 14.3% 15.3% 10.2% 6.9% 7.1% 7.10%
FCF 5Y 7.8% 8.1% 6.0% 4.0% 2.4% 3.9% 5.9% 4.4% 5.4% 2.5% 0.0% 3.8% 2.6% 4.0% 5.0% 6.2% 9.2% 7.2% 9.7% 8.9% 8.92%
OCF 3Y 3.0% 1.8% 1.0% 2.1% 0.4% 1.5% 4.2% 1.7% 6.7% 1.9% 1.3% 3.9% 1.7% 5.3% 9.2% 13.5% 14.6% 10.4% 7.2% 6.2% 6.17%
OCF 5Y 4.8% 5.6% 4.0% 2.7% 1.8% 2.4% 3.5% 2.7% 2.9% 0.3% -0.6% 2.5% 2.9% 5.3% 6.7% 7.3% 9.8% 7.0% 7.7% 6.5% 6.50%
Assets 3Y -5.4% -3.3% -3.2% 1.9% 0.7% -0.3% -3.0% -3.6% -4.6% -8.9% -8.2% -7.7% -5.1% -8.1% -7.2% -5.3% -3.2% -0.5% 1.8% 3.2% 3.22%
Assets 5Y -2.0% 0.3% -1.0% -1.7% -2.6% -2.5% -3.7% -4.8% -4.7% -7.2% -7.3% -3.5% -2.2% -2.9% -4.1% -3.3% -3.7% -2.7% -0.5% -0.3% -0.32%
Equity 3Y -10.0% -4.9% 9.2% 7.0% 5.0% 2.3% 0.8% -1.2% -11.2% -6.2% -7.7% -8.3% -8.6% -13.3% -14.6% -12.6% -10.0% -8.1% -9.6% -7.1% -7.12%
Book Value 3Y -8.9% -3.7% 10.9% 8.9% 6.9% 4.5% 3.4% 1.9% -8.1% -3.1% -4.7% -5.2% -5.3% -9.9% -11.0% -9.0% -6.4% -4.7% -6.5% -4.3% -4.28%
Dividend 3Y 3.0% 3.0% 2.1% 2.4% 2.4% 2.8% 1.5% 2.1% 2.4% 2.2% -7.5% 5.1% 5.3% 5.7% 18.9% 5.0% 4.7% 4.4% 7.3% 8.1% 8.10%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.32 0.39 0.49 0.68 0.26 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.08 0.00 0.01 0.11 0.34 0.33 0.46 0.31 0.309
Earnings Stability 0.07 0.52 0.53 0.31 0.33 0.05 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.12 0.16 0.00 0.01 0.11 0.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Margin Stability 0.97 0.96 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.98 0.98 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.961
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.50 1.00 0.50 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.85 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.92 0.94 0.94 0.93 0.93 0.98 0.97 0.974
Earnings Smoothness 0.68 0.01 0.00 0.12 0.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.28 0.26 0.28 0.23 0.78 0.83 0.83 0.80 0.84 0.95 0.93 0.932
ROE Trend -0.00 0.18 0.19 0.22 0.21 -0.13 -0.14 -0.12 -0.06 0.08 0.12 0.13 0.12 0.05 0.08 0.06 0.02 0.01 -0.01 -0.05 -0.049
Gross Margin Trend -0.00 -0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.01 0.01 -0.01 -0.010
FCF Margin Trend 0.01 0.00 -0.00 -0.01 -0.01 0.01 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.04 -0.01 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.04 0.03 0.01 0.04 0.00 0.003
Sustainable Growth Rate 4.4% 26.8% 29.8% 26.5% 24.3% -0.9% -0.4% 0.7% 1.2% 14.3% 21.9% 18.3% 24.5% 9.5% 13.1% 13.9% 15.1% 13.8% 12.7% 8.9% 8.95%
Internal Growth Rate 2.0% 14.4% 15.6% 14.3% 13.5% — — 0.3% 0.5% 7.5% 10.8% 8.9% 10.2% 4.5% 5.6% 6.1% 6.7% 6.0% 4.7% 3.4% 3.41%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.55 0.63 0.60 0.62 0.64 2.05 2.21 2.01 2.04 0.97 0.90 0.93 0.91 1.48 1.48 1.52 1.46 1.37 1.42 1.44 1.441
FCF/OCF 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.79 0.79 0.82 0.86 0.84 0.87 0.87 0.81 0.84 0.81 0.78 0.78 0.81 0.81 0.82 0.85 0.86 0.860
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 1.240
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.826
CapEx/Revenue 5.8% 5.6% 5.6% 5.6% 5.8% 5.1% 4.5% 5.3% 4.4% 4.1% 5.4% 4.9% 6.2% 7.4% 7.8% 7.2% 7.1% 6.2% 5.0% 4.6% 4.62%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.481
Accruals Ratio -0.04 0.07 0.08 0.07 0.06 -0.06 -0.07 -0.07 -0.07 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 -0.06 -0.06 -0.07 -0.06 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.050
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.035
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 1.586
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield 4.7% 4.4% 4.4% 4.6% 5.2% 4.4% 4.2% 3.9% 3.9% 3.7% 2.7% 3.6% 3.4% 4.0% 3.5% 3.3% 3.2% 2.9% 3.0% 3.0% 2.87%
Dividend/Share $3.27 $3.27 $3.36 $3.39 $3.44 $3.49 $3.42 $3.46 $3.50 $3.51 $2.53 $3.73 $3.76 $3.80 $3.92 $3.99 $4.01 $4.03 $4.51 $4.71 $4.47
Payout Ratio 75.1% 30.7% 31.0% 32.7% 34.4% 1.1% 1.0% 94.9% 92.6% 48.9% 34.2% 47.1% 43.3% 63.8% 60.3% 57.3% 54.1% 55.6% 63.9% 70.7% 70.72%
FCF Payout Ratio 60.5% 60.9% 64.6% 66.7% 67.5% 64.3% 54.3% 56.3% 52.2% 57.7% 46.5% 60.2% 59.2% 55.2% 52.2% 46.5% 45.7% 49.7% 52.8% 57.0% 57.04%
Total Payout Ratio 1.2% 43.4% 46.2% 57.4% 71.7% 2.6% 2.6% 2.4% 2.2% 1.1% 79.6% 81.7% 82.1% 1.3% 1.4% 1.4% 1.3% 1.2% 1.3% 1.2% 1.24%
Div. Increase Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1
Chowder Number 0.10 0.10 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 -0.26 0.09 0.08 0.09 0.52 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.14 0.18 0.184
Buyback Yield 3.0% 1.8% 2.2% 3.5% 5.7% 6.3% 6.3% 6.0% 5.4% 4.4% 3.6% 2.6% 3.0% 4.4% 4.5% 4.7% 4.4% 3.5% 2.9% 2.3% 2.28%
Net Buyback Yield 3.0% 1.8% 2.2% 3.5% 5.7% 6.3% 6.3% 6.0% 5.4% 4.4% 3.6% 2.6% 3.0% 4.4% 4.5% 4.7% 4.4% 3.5% 2.9% 2.3% 2.28%
Total Shareholder Return 7.8% 6.3% 6.6% 8.2% 10.9% 10.8% 10.5% 9.8% 9.3% 8.1% 6.3% 6.2% 6.4% 8.4% 8.0% 8.0% 7.6% 6.4% 5.8% 5.3% 5.29%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.83 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.94 0.87 0.89 0.90 0.92 1.63 1.57 1.48 1.38 0.88 0.86 0.87 0.88 0.86 0.86 0.82 0.822
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.94 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.92 0.92 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.94 0.93 0.93 0.92 0.918
EBIT Margin 0.24 0.51 0.51 0.49 0.48 0.18 0.18 0.20 0.19 0.21 0.22 0.24 0.27 0.28 0.30 0.30 0.31 0.31 0.30 0.30 0.304
Asset Turnover 0.42 0.40 0.43 0.43 0.42 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.42 0.43 0.46 0.47 0.46 0.51 0.55 0.55 0.53 0.52 0.51 0.49 0.491
Equity Multiplier 2.26 2.12 2.20 2.11 2.04 1.96 2.09 2.04 2.34 2.05 2.25 2.23 2.65 2.23 2.49 2.41 2.41 2.42 2.84 2.71 2.711
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $4.35 $10.66 $10.81 $10.39 $10.00 $3.23 $3.31 $3.65 $3.78 $7.19 $7.41 $7.91 $8.68 $5.96 $6.50 $6.97 $7.42 $7.25 $7.06 $6.67 $6.67
Book Value/Share $25.19 $30.03 $27.51 $28.46 $27.90 $27.60 $24.56 $24.75 $18.39 $22.60 $19.30 $20.40 $21.37 $21.98 $19.39 $21.42 $22.85 $23.91 $20.10 $21.70 $22.08
Tangible Book/Share $-3.00 $1.72 $-1.32 $0.20 $0.12 $-0.75 $-3.71 $-2.71 $-5.62 $-1.72 $-4.70 $-5.51 $-4.69 $-3.80 $-7.11 $-6.53 $-5.29 $-4.59 $-14.88 $-14.26 $-14.26
Revenue/Share $23.24 $23.47 $23.69 $23.88 $23.03 $23.15 $22.64 $22.27 $23.12 $22.60 $23.22 $23.88 $24.64 $25.81 $26.89 $28.16 $29.06 $29.11 $29.26 $29.07 $28.76
FCF/Share $5.40 $5.37 $5.19 $5.09 $5.10 $5.43 $6.31 $6.15 $6.69 $6.09 $5.44 $6.19 $6.36 $6.89 $7.50 $8.57 $8.79 $8.11 $8.54 $8.26 $8.38
OCF/Share $6.74 $6.69 $6.52 $6.43 $6.43 $6.62 $7.33 $7.33 $7.72 $7.00 $6.70 $7.36 $7.88 $8.79 $9.60 $10.61 $10.86 $9.92 $10.00 $9.61 $9.49
Cash/Share $3.62 $12.48 $8.41 $8.94 $8.76 $8.66 $5.78 $5.33 $6.12 $6.76 $4.71 $4.12 $6.92 $6.66 $3.64 $3.57 $5.03 $6.01 $3.64 $4.02 $4.05
EBITDA/Share $8.32 $14.67 $14.75 $14.42 $14.08 $7.41 $7.67 $8.02 $8.67 $8.84 $8.91 $9.28 $9.72 $10.34 $11.06 $11.59 $11.82 $11.83 $11.69 $11.63 $11.63
Debt/Share $15.23 $13.77 $14.01 $14.06 $13.09 $12.98 $13.78 $13.53 $12.14 $12.76 $13.27 $14.17 $15.87 $15.60 $15.80 $16.65 $16.51 $19.20 $24.53 $25.61 $25.61
Net Debt/Share $11.61 $1.29 $5.60 $5.12 $4.33 $4.32 $7.99 $8.19 $6.02 $6.00 $8.56 $10.04 $8.95 $8.94 $12.16 $13.08 $11.48 $13.19 $20.89 $21.59 $21.59
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 3.572
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 5.687
Piotroski F-Score 8 8 8 8 7 4 5 5 6 6 6 6 7 6 6 6 6 7 5 5 5
Beneish M-Score -2.68 -2.20 -2.16 -2.18 -2.20 -2.74 -2.80 -2.75 -3.03 -2.60 -2.54 -2.54 -2.23 -2.79 -2.68 -2.70 -2.64 -2.31 -2.53 -2.53 -2.526
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -8.263
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-27.55
EVA snapshot only $5667374836.25
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only AA-
Credit Score 79.75 90.30 90.00 90.00 87.00 83.00 83.00 83.00 82.25 86.00 86.00 86.00 86.00 86.00 87.85 91.00 91.00 87.25 83.00 82.40 82.400
Credit Grade snapshot only 4
Credit Trend snapshot only -8.600
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 100.000

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