— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: OBE.TO (TSX) · $vol 4M · OBELF (OTC) · $vol 2M

OBE AMEX

Obsidian Energy Ltd.
1W: -2.3% 1M: -13.6% 3M: +32.7% YTD: +66.0% 1Y: +57.9% 3Y: +25.6% 5Y: +213.5%
$10.40
-0.04 (-0.38%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±6.3%
$9 $10 $10 $11 $12
AMEX · Energy · Oil & Gas Exploration & Production · Tech Score Sell · Power 36 · $694.5M mcap · 59M float · 1.34% daily turnover · Short 37% of daily vol

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 0Hold: 1Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusHold
Avg Target$—
Analysts0

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
3
ROE
2
ROA
5
D/E
1
P/E
1
P/B
5
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. OBE receives an overall rating of B. Strongest factors: ROA (5/5), P/B (5/5). Areas of concern: ROE (2/5), D/E (1/5), P/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-07-31 B+ B
2026-07-27 B B+
2026-05-22 B- B
2026-05-21 B B-
2026-05-11 B+ B
2026-05-04 A- B+
2026-04-30 B+ A-
2026-04-16 A- B+
2026-04-10 B+ A-
2026-04-08 A- B+

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ — Grade A
Profitability
53
Balance Sheet
59
Earnings Quality
69
Growth
35
Value
—
Momentum
70
Safety
—
Cash Flow
25

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
—
—
Piotroski F-Score
5/9
✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗
Beneish M-Score
-2.67
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-9.05
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BBB-
Score: 51.9/100
Trend: Improving
Earnings Quality
75/100
OCF/NI: 8.05x
Accruals: -7.5%
The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. OBE scores 5/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. OBE's score of -2.67 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. OBE's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. OBE receives an estimated rating of BBB- (score: 51.9/100), with a improving trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). OBE's score of 75/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
51.08x
PEG
0.81x
P/S
2.54x
P/B
0.71x
P/FCF
—
P/OCF
—
EV/EBITDA
—
EV/Revenue
—
EV/EBIT
—
EV/FCF
—
Earnings Yield
—
FCF Yield
—
Shareholder Yield
—
Graham Number
$11.65
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 51.1x earnings, OBE is priced for high growth expectations. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $11.65 per share, suggesting a potential 12% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.736
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.355
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.164
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.247
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
1.398
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
1.5%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. OBE's ROE of 1.5% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.247), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$2.53
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with OBE's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. OBE trades at a premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $2.53, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 51.1x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$10.44
Median 1Y
$11.08
5th Pctile
$3.10
95th Pctile
$39.67
Ann. Volatility
72.4%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
—
Revenue / Employee
—
Rev: $540,359,283
Profit / Employee
—
NI: $35,171,314
SGA / Employee
—
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
ROE 75.6% 76.2% 71.8% 25.3% 22.1% 67.8% 67.4% 56.4% 54.7% 6.7% 5.5% 6.6% 7.0% -13.3% -13.0% -14.4% -15.3% 2.5% 0.5% 1.5% 1.48%
ROA 34.2% 34.6% 32.7% 14.1% 12.7% 43.7% 42.8% 37.8% 37.3% 4.8% 3.9% 4.7% 5.0% -9.3% -8.9% -10.4% -11.3% 1.8% 0.3% 1.1% 1.06%
ROIC 36.7% 38.7% 41.5% 22.4% 21.6% 68.3% 63.2% 57.5% 58.0% 8.3% 2.0% 5.0% 8.0% -11.3% -4.2% -9.4% -15.9% 2.5% 1.4% 2.3% 2.32%
ROCE 34.3% 48.5% 48.2% 22.9% 17.0% 30.0% 30.1% 25.5% 25.5% 8.7% 7.1% 8.1% 8.7% -12.6% -12.1% -15.7% -17.7% 4.1% 3.7% 4.2% 4.22%
Gross Margin 53.4% 29.8% 40.3% 52.7% 27.4% 71.7% 31.3% 29.3% 36.4% 61.8% 65.0% 65.6% 63.6% -1.3% 60.4% 54.6% 53.1% 45.5% 25.6% 40.8% 40.83%
Operating Margin 45.7% 18.7% 28.8% 45.6% 20.2% 3.0% 20.7% 18.1% 19.9% 60.1% -70.4% 62.5% 63.3% -1.7% 19.2% 12.5% 1.8% -6.7% 21.4% 32.9% 32.88%
Net Margin 36.2% 13.7% 8.2% 40.4% 14.5% 3.0% 16.1% 10.6% 12.0% 22.2% 7.3% 20.0% 17.1% -1.3% 7.1% 10.9% 12.8% -9.7% -13.5% 23.9% 23.85%
EBITDA Margin 49.9% 52.4% 53.4% 58.0% 56.1% 1.8% 52.0% 48.0% 49.0% 66.0% 44.3% 67.1% 62.8% 51.5% 38.6% 51.1% 50.8% 40.6% 56.0% 60.4% 60.42%
FCF Margin 9.4% 11.6% 6.5% 13.3% 14.6% 14.9% 13.6% 8.3% 9.1% 8.2% 5.5% -7.8% -11.4% -8.5% -5.0% 5.3% -0.6% -9.7% -13.7% -37.7% -37.73%
OCF Margin 35.4% 39.9% 41.7% 43.4% 45.4% 49.7% 49.4% 48.9% 46.1% 48.6% 48.5% 49.2% 52.3% 47.6% 49.2% 49.2% 44.3% 39.1% 36.8% 34.5% 34.49%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only -2.65%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 11.62%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only -2.12%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only -1.32%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 2.32%
Cash ROA snapshot only 8.14%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 9.36%
CROIC snapshot only -10.24%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 8.54%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 5.82%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 6.84%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 1.87%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 51.085
P/S Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 2.542
P/B Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.707
P/FCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
P/OCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBITDA — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/Revenue — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBIT — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/FCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Earnings Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.806
Graham Number snapshot only $11.65
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 0.54 0.16 0.19 0.27 0.49 0.45 0.48 0.53 0.52 0.41 0.45 0.49 0.45 1.79 1.56 0.80 0.52 0.54 0.58 0.78 0.781
Quick Ratio 0.54 0.16 0.19 0.27 0.45 0.42 0.43 0.49 0.50 0.41 0.41 0.49 0.45 1.79 1.56 0.80 0.52 0.54 0.58 0.78 0.781
Debt/Equity 0.57 0.52 0.48 0.38 0.28 0.15 0.16 0.17 0.14 0.14 0.17 0.23 0.21 0.24 0.25 0.16 0.11 0.16 0.20 0.27 0.268
Net Debt/Equity 0.56 0.51 0.47 0.37 0.28 0.15 0.16 0.17 0.14 0.14 0.17 0.23 0.20 0.24 0.25 0.16 0.11 0.16 0.19 0.27 0.268
Debt/Assets 0.31 0.28 0.25 0.22 0.17 0.10 0.12 0.13 0.11 0.10 0.12 0.16 0.15 0.16 0.16 0.12 0.08 0.12 0.13 0.18 0.184
Debt/EBITDA 0.81 0.73 0.62 0.81 0.54 0.29 0.34 0.41 0.35 0.59 0.79 0.96 0.83 0.80 0.81 0.58 0.45 0.79 1.08 1.51 1.506
Net Debt/EBITDA 0.80 0.71 0.61 0.79 0.56 0.29 0.34 0.41 0.35 0.59 0.79 0.96 0.83 0.80 0.81 0.58 0.45 0.79 1.07 1.51 1.505
Interest Coverage 13.93 13.13 13.24 7.22 7.01 18.06 17.72 14.38 15.23 5.46 4.81 5.91 5.55 -7.11 -7.30 -9.45 -13.27 3.36 3.32 4.37 4.371
Equity Multiplier 1.86 1.87 1.92 1.70 1.65 1.40 1.40 1.38 1.36 1.37 1.41 1.43 1.41 1.50 1.54 1.34 1.29 1.33 1.45 1.46 1.457
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.001
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 13.764
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.001
FCF to Debt snapshot only -0.485
Defensive Interval snapshot only 193.1 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.36 0.42 0.49 0.55 0.60 0.51 0.48 0.42 0.41 0.33 0.31 0.31 0.30 0.35 0.36 0.36 0.34 0.31 0.24 0.25 0.247
Inventory Turnover 475.20 213.15 671.40 — 154.74 118.80 82.95 127.22 84.06 143.39 37.30 84.30 131.89 — 175.01 — — — — — —
Receivables Turnover 8.93 9.07 8.19 9.05 12.72 12.15 9.96 8.77 9.66 9.52 8.35 8.96 8.18 9.62 9.61 9.77 9.48 8.52 5.64 6.60 6.601
Payables Turnover 2.59 3.05 2.49 3.72 3.94 3.24 2.54 3.36 2.72 2.35 1.88 2.08 1.47 3.78 3.48 4.90 4.39 1.69 2.55 4.23 4.231
DSO 41 40 45 40 29 30 37 42 38 38 44 41 45 38 38 37 39 43 65 55 55.3 days
DIO 1 2 1 0 2 3 4 3 4 3 10 4 3 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO 141 120 146 98 93 113 143 108 134 156 194 176 248 97 105 74 83 216 143 86 86.3 days
Cash Conversion Cycle -99 -78 -101 -58 -62 -80 -102 -64 -92 -115 -141 -131 -201 -59 -65 -37 -45 -173 -79 -31 -31.0 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 0.297
Cash Velocity snapshot only 2407.724
Capital Intensity snapshot only 4.237
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 27.0% 73.6% 1.0% 1.2% 1.1% 84.9% 47.6% 2.0% -9.4% -21.1% -22.4% -10.4% -11.1% 4.7% 16.3% 7.9% 1.0% -19.2% -38.8% -37.2% -37.24%
Net Income 1.3% 1.5% 164.2% -41.7% -53.1% 91.8% 97.9% 2.6% 2.8% -86.4% -88.9% -84.8% -83.5% -2.9% -3.2% -3.0% -3.0% 1.2% 1.0% 1.1% 1.09%
EPS 1.3% 1.5% 149.4% -47.4% -57.1% 74.3% 97.2% 2.6% 2.9% -86.3% -88.4% -83.9% -82.6% -2.9% -3.3% -3.2% -3.3% 1.2% 1.0% 1.1% 1.10%
FCF 3.5% 1.6% 39.4% 1.2% 2.2% 1.4% 2.1% -36.6% -43.4% -56.6% -68.5% -1.8% -2.1% -2.1% -2.1% 1.7% 94.3% 8.0% -67.1% -5.5% -5.49%
EBITDA 1.9% 2.4% 3.5% -10.7% -4.4% 42.7% 25.8% 63.8% 40.2% -50.8% -53.4% -42.1% -37.4% 11.6% 22.9% -3.0% -20.7% -36.6% -44.4% -36.0% -35.98%
Op. Income 1.3% 1.6% 44.2% -22.2% -36.3% 92.4% 73.8% 1.7% 1.8% -76.1% -93.9% -81.7% -70.7% -2.2% -2.8% -2.4% -2.4% 1.2% 1.3% 1.3% 1.29%
OCF Growth snapshot only -55.97%
Asset Growth snapshot only 9.58%
Equity Growth snapshot only 0.54%
Debt Growth snapshot only 64.85%
Shares Change snapshot only -5.59%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 3Y -5.0% 3.9% 12.4% 23.1% 30.9% 30.3% 31.3% 32.5% 34.1% 36.3% 32.8% 25.4% 19.1% 15.2% 10.0% -0.5% -6.6% -12.6% -18.0% -15.3% -15.33%
Revenue 5Y -10.8% -3.9% 2.6% 11.1% 14.7% 16.1% 15.8% 12.1% 10.3% 10.3% 10.2% 11.3% 12.6% 12.8% 15.4% 17.6% 16.7% 16.5% 10.8% 5.9% 5.94%
EPS 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — -32.9% -33.8% — — — — -62.1% -78.6% -67.1% -67.15%
EPS 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — -41.8% -41.85%
Net Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — -31.9% -33.3% — — — — -64.6% -80.1% -69.3% -69.29%
Net Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — -43.0% -42.97%
EBITDA 3Y 86.7% 63.0% 64.4% 27.2% 34.5% 68.8% 54.3% 56.9% 56.5% 34.2% 38.1% -5.4% -5.7% -7.8% -10.4% -2.7% -11.4% -29.6% -31.7% -28.9% -28.88%
EBITDA 5Y — — — — — 34.2% 39.7% 65.3% 54.2% 24.9% 21.1% 14.3% 16.4% 21.4% 16.0% 16.8% 13.8% 11.3% 12.5% -12.1% -12.05%
Gross Profit 3Y — — — — — — — — — — 97.2% 48.3% 36.6% -34.4% -31.9% -50.9% — -9.1% -18.3% -14.2% -14.25%
Gross Profit 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 39.9% 10.7% 10.69%
Op. Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — — 68.6% -27.5% -19.2% — — — — -60.6% -66.1% -57.8% -57.78%
Op. Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 25.0% -31.0% -30.96%
FCF 3Y — — — — — — 4.0% 68.9% 23.8% 39.8% 10.7% — — — — -26.8% — — — — —
FCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 24.4% — — — — —
OCF 3Y 18.9% 26.1% 83.8% 79.8% 1.0% 81.0% 58.9% 49.5% 45.2% 64.4% 65.7% 45.0% 35.6% 22.1% 16.3% 3.8% -7.4% -19.3% -25.7% -24.6% -24.61%
OCF 5Y — — — — 39.7% 29.6% 25.3% 29.8% 33.0% 28.9% 52.6% 43.2% 50.6% 36.3% 29.2% 26.6% 21.5% 24.7% 19.7% 7.7% 7.69%
Assets 3Y -22.4% -18.6% -17.4% -14.8% -14.0% 5.0% 29.6% 31.3% 31.9% 32.7% 33.3% 22.9% 21.7% 13.9% 12.7% 6.5% 4.9% -5.6% -4.5% -2.9% -2.87%
Assets 5Y -19.6% -15.6% -13.6% -13.1% -12.6% -6.0% -5.2% -5.1% -4.9% -3.2% -3.0% -0.7% -0.5% 2.1% 16.0% 13.6% 13.3% 14.0% 15.0% 9.5% 9.53%
Equity 3Y -28.7% -25.8% -24.3% -18.3% -16.6% 13.1% 66.9% 70.7% 71.7% 72.0% 68.1% 35.8% 33.4% 22.6% 21.4% 15.5% 14.0% -4.2% -5.5% -4.7% -4.70%
Book Value 3Y -30.2% -26.6% -27.8% -22.2% -20.6% 8.6% 59.3% 62.5% 64.9% 66.1% 65.0% 33.8% 32.5% 20.4% 25.1% 21.1% 22.0% 2.6% 1.7% 1.9% 1.94%
Dividend 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.76 0.35 0.01 0.19 0.31 0.37 0.47 0.50 0.46 0.48 0.52 0.58 0.54 0.55 0.65 0.58 0.35 0.23 0.12 0.11 0.105
Earnings Stability 0.30 0.11 0.12 0.13 0.08 0.30 0.34 0.38 0.37 0.44 0.39 0.39 0.38 0.25 0.24 0.17 0.15 0.02 0.13 0.34 0.345
Margin Stability 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.43 0.47 0.474
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.50 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.200
Earnings Smoothness — — — 0.47 0.28 0.37 0.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 — — — — — — — —
ROE Trend 2.70 2.10 2.66 2.03 1.96 1.43 0.25 0.07 0.06 -0.46 -0.46 -0.27 -0.25 -0.43 -0.42 -0.41 -0.42 0.06 0.05 0.06 0.062
Gross Margin Trend 2.76 2.55 2.16 2.17 2.13 1.57 0.17 0.01 0.02 -0.08 0.01 0.13 0.23 -0.35 -0.36 -0.43 -0.55 0.31 0.17 0.11 0.115
FCF Margin Trend 0.12 0.11 0.02 0.05 0.04 0.05 0.06 -0.05 -0.03 -0.05 -0.05 -0.19 -0.23 -0.20 -0.15 0.05 0.01 -0.10 -0.14 -0.36 -0.365
Sustainable Growth Rate 75.6% 76.2% 71.8% 25.3% 22.1% 67.8% 67.4% 56.4% 54.7% 6.7% 5.5% 6.6% 7.0% — — — — 2.5% 0.5% 1.5% 1.48%
Internal Growth Rate 51.9% 52.9% 48.6% 16.4% 14.6% 77.7% 74.7% 60.7% 59.4% 5.1% 4.1% 4.9% 5.3% — — — — 1.8% 0.3% 1.1% 1.07%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 0.37 0.48 0.62 1.69 2.14 0.58 0.55 0.54 0.51 3.27 3.79 3.23 3.13 -1.79 -2.01 -1.71 -1.32 6.81 28.81 8.05 8.054
FCF/OCF 0.27 0.29 0.16 0.31 0.32 0.30 0.27 0.17 0.20 0.17 0.11 -0.16 -0.22 -0.18 -0.10 0.11 -0.01 -0.25 -0.37 -1.09 -1.094
FCF/Net Income snapshot only -8.810
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.668
CapEx/Revenue 26.0% 28.3% 35.2% 30.1% 30.9% 34.7% 35.9% 40.6% 37.0% 40.4% 42.9% 56.9% 63.7% 56.1% 54.2% 43.9% 45.0% 48.7% 50.4% 72.2% 72.23%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 2.049
Accruals Ratio 0.21 0.18 0.12 -0.10 -0.14 0.19 0.19 0.17 0.18 -0.11 -0.11 -0.10 -0.11 -0.26 -0.27 -0.28 -0.26 -0.10 -0.09 -0.07 -0.075
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.084
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 0.478
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.750
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — — — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
FCF Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — — — — 0.0% — — — — —
Total Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.5% 3.5% 43.9% 64.8% 51.9% 43.8% — — — — 1.6% 10.0% 1.4% 1.40%
Div. Increase Streak — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Total Shareholder Return — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 1.00 1.00 0.98 0.97 0.92 1.41 1.39 1.45 1.46 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.76 0.76 0.76 0.76 0.75 0.75 0.71 0.74 0.736
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.96 0.95 0.93 0.87 0.86 0.95 0.95 0.94 0.94 0.82 0.81 0.82 0.83 1.14 1.16 1.12 1.09 0.67 0.14 0.35 0.355
EBIT Margin 1.00 0.88 0.73 0.30 0.27 0.65 0.68 0.66 0.66 0.24 0.21 0.25 0.27 -0.30 -0.28 -0.34 -0.41 0.11 0.13 0.16 0.164
Asset Turnover 0.36 0.42 0.49 0.55 0.60 0.51 0.48 0.42 0.41 0.33 0.31 0.31 0.30 0.35 0.36 0.36 0.34 0.31 0.24 0.25 0.247
Equity Multiplier 2.21 2.20 2.20 1.80 1.74 1.55 1.58 1.49 1.47 1.38 1.41 1.40 1.39 1.43 1.47 1.39 1.35 1.42 1.50 1.40 1.398
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $5.08 $5.53 $4.88 $2.36 $2.18 $9.63 $9.62 $8.40 $8.50 $1.32 $1.11 $1.35 $1.47 $-2.56 $-2.61 $-3.01 $-3.44 $0.52 $0.09 $0.30 $0.30
Book Value/Share $9.28 $10.19 $9.45 $10.70 $11.21 $19.16 $19.16 $19.10 $19.64 $20.13 $20.49 $21.01 $21.55 $17.79 $18.48 $19.00 $20.36 $20.67 $20.15 $20.23 $20.96
Tangible Book/Share $9.28 $10.19 $9.45 $10.70 $11.21 $19.16 $19.16 $19.10 $19.64 $20.13 $20.49 $21.01 $21.55 $17.79 $18.48 $19.00 $20.36 $20.67 $20.15 $20.23 $20.23
Revenue/Share $5.34 $6.64 $7.30 $9.20 $10.24 $11.16 $10.74 $9.36 $9.45 $8.89 $8.71 $8.91 $8.83 $9.62 $10.64 $10.47 $10.22 $9.13 $7.40 $6.96 $5.83
FCF/Share $0.50 $0.77 $0.47 $1.22 $1.49 $1.67 $1.46 $0.77 $0.86 $0.73 $0.48 $-0.69 $-1.00 $-0.82 $-0.53 $0.55 $-0.07 $-0.88 $-1.01 $-2.63 $-2.72
OCF/Share $1.89 $2.65 $3.04 $3.99 $4.65 $5.54 $5.31 $4.58 $4.36 $4.32 $4.22 $4.38 $4.62 $4.58 $5.23 $5.15 $4.53 $3.56 $2.72 $2.40 $2.49
Cash/Share $0.05 $0.10 $0.07 $0.11 $-0.08 $0.01 $0.00 $0.00 $0.01 $0.01 $0.00 $0.00 $0.01 $0.00 $0.00 $0.02 $0.01 $0.00 $0.02 $0.00 $0.00
EBITDA/Share $6.48 $7.34 $7.33 $4.99 $5.67 $9.51 $9.20 $8.17 $8.09 $4.73 $4.48 $5.02 $5.32 $5.45 $5.78 $5.30 $4.84 $4.06 $3.65 $3.60 $3.60
Debt/Share $5.26 $5.34 $4.54 $4.05 $3.08 $2.81 $3.16 $3.32 $2.85 $2.79 $3.55 $4.82 $4.43 $4.34 $4.67 $3.10 $2.17 $3.21 $3.93 $5.41 $5.41
Net Debt/Share $5.21 $5.24 $4.47 $3.94 $3.16 $2.80 $3.15 $3.31 $2.84 $2.79 $3.55 $4.81 $4.42 $4.34 $4.67 $3.08 $2.16 $3.21 $3.91 $5.41 $5.41
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Piotroski F-Score 6 7 6 5 5 7 6 5 7 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 7 6 5 5
Beneish M-Score -1.25 -1.25 -1.19 -1.54 -2.07 -1.39 -1.51 -1.71 -1.89 -2.85 -3.30 -2.95 -3.02 -4.32 -3.41 -3.89 -8.78 -5.43 -1.44 -2.67 -2.672
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -9.049
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 4.99%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-7.35
EVA snapshot only $-136306087.11
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BBB-
Credit Score 63.87 62.65 64.82 72.56 70.68 80.01 75.61 65.19 77.43 60.02 56.33 55.85 56.70 47.81 48.56 42.72 40.24 55.33 53.47 51.90 51.897
Credit Grade snapshot only 10
Credit Trend snapshot only 9.181
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 350.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 49
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 46

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