OGN NYSE
Organon & Co.
1W: +0.1%
1M: +0.2%
3M: +1.8%
YTD: +90.6%
1Y: +52.4%
3Y: -4.7%
5Y: -52.1%
$13.75
+0.01 (+0.07%)
After Hours: $13.77 (+0.02, +0.11%)
Weekly Expected Move ±0.5%
$14
$14
$14
$14
$14
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 87% of companies Debt: 70.3% of company value Bonds: $567.6M held by 309 funds, 116 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the second-riskiest tenth, about 1 in 87 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $2.25 (down 84%), Organon & Co. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $8.55B against a stock market value of $3.61B.
Distance to default 1.98 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $4.31B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 62.3%; Altman Z 1.25. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $2.25 (down 84%), Organon & Co. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $8.55B against a stock market value of $3.61B.
Distance to default 1.98 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $4.31B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 62.3%; Altman Z 1.25. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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Dark Pool
Short Interest
Supply Chain
Oct Typical
⛈️
Stormy
-23.1% YTD avg
Midterm Year
⛈️
Stormy
-16.8% YTD avg
2026 Now
☀️
Sunny
Above typical
20yr Avg YTD
-23.1%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
-16.8%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
+90.4%
Above 20yr avg
Typical Vol
44%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
💨
+3.6%
Midterm
☀️
+5.9%
100% win
42% vol
Feb
20yr
⛈️
+3.8%
Midterm
☀️
+27.3%
40% win
59% vol
Mar
20yr
🌧️
+3.1%
Midterm
☀️
+13.0%
20% win
34% vol
Apr
20yr
💨
-2.6%
Midterm
⛅
+3.7%
40% win
89% vol
May
20yr
⛈️
+1.1%
Midterm
☀️
+23.1%
67% win
58% vol
Jun
20yr
⛈️
+1.6%
Midterm
☀️
+11.7%
50% win
35% vol
Jul
20yr
☁️
-2.0%
Midterm
⛅
+3.6%
67% win
25% vol
Aug
20yr
💨
+0.1%
Midterm
⛈️
-6.2%
67% win
41% vol
Sep
20yr
🌧️
-12.7%
Midterm
⛈️
-23.0%
17% win
32% vol
Oct
20yr
⛈️
-21.6%
Midterm
⛈️
-13.9%
50% win
44% vol
Now:
+0.4%
Nov
20yr
⛈️
-25.9%
Midterm
⛈️
-13.4%
40% win
49% vol
Dec
20yr
⛅
+5.2%
Midterm
☀️
+7.3%
60% win
33% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: +90.4%