— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: 4661.T (JPX) · $vol 106M · OLCLF (OTC) · $vol 0M

OLCLY OTC

Oriental Land Co., Ltd.
1W: -6.3% 1M: -5.2% 3M: +13.6% YTD: -3.1% 1Y: -26.3% 3Y: -46.1% 5Y: -42.6%
$17.95
-0.21 (-1.16%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±6.6%
$16 $17 $18 $19 $20
OTC · Consumer Cyclical · Leisure · Tech Score Sell · Power 36 · $29.4B mcap · 1.15B float · 0.0082% daily turnover · Short 52% of daily vol

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B+
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
3
ROE
4
ROA
5
D/E
2
P/E
2
P/B
2
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. OLCLY receives an overall rating of B+. Strongest factors: ROE (4/5), ROA (5/5). Areas of concern: D/E (2/5), P/E (2/5), P/B (2/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-10-01 A- B+
2026-08-18 B+ A-
2026-08-10 A- B+
2026-08-05 B+ A-
2026-08-03 B B+
2026-07-31 B+ B
2026-07-14 B B+
2026-07-06 B+ B
2026-07-01 B B+
2026-06-08 B+ B

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ — Grade A
Profitability
45
Balance Sheet
95
Earnings Quality
86
Growth
41
Value
—
Momentum
72
Safety
—
Cash Flow
48

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
—
—
Piotroski F-Score
4/9
✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗
Beneish M-Score
-2.19
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-12.04
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
AA-
Score: 80.1/100
Trend: Stable
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 1.60x
Accruals: -4.7%
The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. OLCLY scores 4/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. OLCLY's score of -2.19 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. OLCLY's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. OLCLY receives an estimated rating of AA- (score: 80.1/100), with a stable trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). OLCLY's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
34.05x
PEG
4.95x
P/S
6.40x
P/B
4.09x
P/FCF
—
P/OCF
—
EV/EBITDA
—
EV/Revenue
—
EV/EBIT
—
EV/FCF
—
Earnings Yield
—
FCF Yield
—
Shareholder Yield
—
Graham Number
$1061.19
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 34.1x earnings, OLCLY commands a growth premium. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $1061.19 per share, suggesting a potential 5812% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.707
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.996
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.244
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.463
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
1.477
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
11.7%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. OLCLY's ROE of 11.7% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.463), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
15.00%
Fair P/E
38.50x
Intrinsic Value
$2860.81
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with OLCLY's realized 15.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. OLCLY actually compounded EPS at 15.4% over three years; the model uses 15%, the highest rate it will extrapolate — of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it over the following seven years. OLCLY trades at a premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $2860.81, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 38.5x compares to the current market P/E of 34.1x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$17.95
Median 1Y
$16.15
5th Pctile
$9.23
95th Pctile
$28.42
Ann. Volatility
33.6%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
ROE -4.6% -5.0% -3.5% 1.1% 3.5% 6.4% 8.9% 10.2% 11.8% 13.1% 13.9% 13.5% 12.9% 12.0% 12.4% 12.9% 13.0% 12.7% 12.8% 11.7% 11.71%
ROA -3.6% -3.6% -2.5% 0.8% 2.5% 4.5% 6.2% 7.0% 8.3% 9.1% 9.7% 9.4% 9.3% 8.3% 8.5% 8.9% 9.3% 9.0% 8.6% 7.9% 7.93%
ROIC -4.2% -4.2% -2.9% 0.7% 3.1% 5.9% 8.7% 10.4% 11.8% 13.6% 15.2% 15.7% 14.5% 13.5% 14.3% 15.7% 15.1% 15.0% 15.1% 14.8% 14.75%
ROCE -4.3% -5.0% -3.3% 1.2% 3.8% 6.8% 9.4% 10.8% 12.4% 14.1% 15.0% 15.0% 14.4% 12.5% 13.4% 14.3% 14.4% 14.4% 13.0% 12.1% 12.12%
Gross Margin 8.4% 6.4% 35.6% 29.8% 35.8% 36.3% 45.3% 34.9% 41.2% 40.7% 46.5% 31.9% 38.6% 36.5% 46.5% 37.2% 38.8% 36.3% 46.4% 30.0% 29.96%
Operating Margin -17.7% -22.1% 19.2% 10.9% 17.4% 19.8% 32.4% 19.3% 27.5% 26.7% 35.5% 15.6% 22.5% 20.1% 34.5% 21.3% 23.7% 19.3% 34.2% 15.8% 15.77%
Net Margin -12.2% -17.0% 14.1% 10.8% 12.3% 13.6% 22.9% 15.6% 19.5% 18.9% 24.9% 13.4% 16.5% 14.2% 24.2% 16.3% 16.8% 13.7% 23.9% 12.1% 12.06%
EBITDA Margin 4.9% 0.4% 31.2% 23.7% 28.6% 30.7% 40.5% 28.6% 36.1% 27.1% 35.6% 23.3% 0.0% 30.3% 42.8% 30.7% 33.8% 30.8% 42.6% 25.6% 25.64%
FCF Margin -47.1% -57.8% -62.9% -42.9% -29.5% -9.9% 4.7% 11.9% 17.7% 16.6% 15.7% 17.1% 19.0% 20.9% 22.1% 19.4% 17.1% 15.1% 13.0% 13.7% 13.66%
OCF Margin 11.6% 0.2% -10.7% -1.5% 4.7% 11.5% 16.8% 17.3% 17.7% 16.6% 15.7% 19.2% 23.2% 27.2% 30.1% 29.0% 28.3% 28.0% 27.5% 27.4% 27.37%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 12.13%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 9.44%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 8.32%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 14.93%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 8.67%
Cash ROA snapshot only 11.89%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 23.35%
CROIC snapshot only 11.66%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 17.29%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 24.25%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 10.92%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
P/E Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 34.053
P/S Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 6.401
P/B Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 4.094
P/FCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
P/OCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBITDA — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/Revenue — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBIT — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/FCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Earnings Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
PEG Ratio snapshot only 4.954
Graham Number snapshot only $1061.19
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
Current Ratio 2.04 2.54 2.17 3.18 3.11 3.26 3.04 2.16 2.53 2.06 2.16 1.83 2.09 2.39 2.20 2.23 2.73 2.86 3.51 3.27 3.272
Quick Ratio 1.88 2.35 2.05 3.01 2.92 3.04 2.84 2.02 2.33 1.92 2.05 1.75 1.98 2.26 2.07 2.11 2.57 2.70 3.37 3.15 3.149
Debt/Equity 0.25 0.32 0.33 0.32 0.32 0.31 0.30 0.29 0.28 0.27 0.26 0.22 0.22 0.31 0.31 0.27 0.27 0.22 0.31 0.30 0.297
Net Debt/Equity -0.01 0.04 0.00 0.01 0.01 -0.00 -0.04 -0.07 -0.06 -0.10 -0.15 -0.20 -0.16 -0.16 -0.15 -0.20 -0.16 -0.18 -0.21 -0.25 -0.246
Debt/Assets 0.18 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.21 0.20 0.20 0.19 0.18 0.15 0.16 0.21 0.21 0.19 0.19 0.16 0.21 0.20 0.201
Debt/EBITDA -94.66 -22.79 51.86 4.68 3.13 2.20 1.72 1.53 1.33 1.28 1.25 1.10 1.50 2.05 1.75 1.42 1.10 0.92 1.35 1.36 1.363
Net Debt/EBITDA 2.73 -2.60 0.68 0.15 0.08 -0.01 -0.24 -0.36 -0.27 -0.47 -0.72 -0.99 -1.10 -1.07 -0.86 -1.04 -0.67 -0.75 -0.92 -1.13 -1.128
Interest Coverage -97.00 -103.82 -71.04 26.71 87.34 174.07 256.46 310.47 371.04 420.97 469.36 475.30 469.43 231.14 279.70 353.69 434.75 431.15 117.30 82.72 82.721
Equity Multiplier 1.36 1.41 1.46 1.44 1.44 1.43 1.44 1.45 1.42 1.43 1.43 1.43 1.38 1.47 1.50 1.47 1.41 1.37 1.48 1.48 1.481
Cash Ratio snapshot only 2.893
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 114.938
Cash to Debt snapshot only 1.828
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.296
Defensive Interval snapshot only 2213.6 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.22 0.20 0.21 0.26 0.31 0.35 0.39 0.42 0.45 0.47 0.48 0.48 0.49 0.47 0.48 0.49 0.51 0.49 0.47 0.46 0.463
Inventory Turnover 9.09 8.95 10.05 11.51 12.98 12.94 14.44 15.64 14.67 14.12 15.62 17.36 15.25 14.07 14.84 17.25 16.17 15.22 15.05 16.53 16.529
Receivables Turnover 26.11 15.95 13.57 20.28 21.26 22.16 19.66 25.98 22.63 21.24 22.04 24.32 22.22 20.87 20.72 22.85 23.86 22.02 19.50 21.92 21.925
Payables Turnover 31.52 27.88 18.85 19.78 27.20 23.19 19.44 18.29 22.53 21.70 20.16 16.75 21.97 21.15 20.30 17.15 23.08 21.99 19.43 16.89 16.891
DSO 14 23 27 18 17 16 19 14 16 17 17 15 16 17 18 16 15 17 19 17 16.6 days
DIO 40 41 36 32 28 28 25 23 25 26 23 21 24 26 25 21 23 24 24 22 22.1 days
DPO 12 13 19 18 13 16 19 20 16 17 18 22 17 17 18 21 16 17 19 22 21.6 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 43 51 44 31 32 29 25 17 25 26 22 14 24 26 24 16 22 24 24 17 17.1 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 0.846
Operating Cycle snapshot only 39.1 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 1.186
Capital Intensity snapshot only 2.301
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
Revenue -38.8% -24.0% 5.9% 61.6% 51.3% 82.9% 95.0% 75.2% 62.2% 47.4% 37.1% 28.0% 19.2% 12.1% 9.9% 9.8% 10.9% 11.0% 8.1% 4.7% 4.66%
Net Income -3.5% -2.5% 29.0% 1.1% 1.7% 2.3% 3.6% 9.0% 2.7% 1.2% 73.9% 48.9% 22.0% 2.2% -3.6% 3.3% 8.5% 14.5% 11.3% -1.8% -1.84%
EPS -3.5% -2.5% 29.0% 1.1% 1.7% 2.3% 3.6% 8.8% 2.6% 1.2% 73.3% 50.7% 24.5% 4.2% -2.1% 3.9% 8.4% 14.5% 12.0% -1.9% -1.91%
FCF -19.4% -2.7% -1.3% -46.1% 5.2% 68.7% 1.1% 1.5% 2.0% 3.5% 3.6% 84.6% 27.9% 41.1% 54.7% 24.6% -0.1% -19.9% -36.1% -26.3% -26.35%
EBITDA -1.0% -1.3% 56.0% 3.6% 40.4% 11.6% 29.0% 2.0% 1.3% 70.2% 37.0% 20.3% -22.9% -22.2% -11.8% -1.2% 74.5% 68.9% 47.1% 28.3% 28.28%
Op. Income -1.8% -4.5% -15.6% 1.2% 1.9% 2.6% 4.4% 13.4% 2.9% 1.3% 76.0% 48.8% 20.5% 0.9% -5.1% 4.0% 10.9% 17.2% 13.6% -0.8% -0.80%
OCF Growth snapshot only -1.27%
Asset Growth snapshot only 13.74%
Equity Growth snapshot only 13.03%
Debt Growth snapshot only 23.05%
Shares Change snapshot only 0.08%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 38.85%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
Revenue 3Y -24.1% -25.1% -24.2% -19.4% -14.9% -9.9% -5.4% 1.3% 14.5% 27.0% 41.5% 53.6% 43.0% 44.6% 43.2% 35.1% 28.9% 22.4% 17.7% 13.7% 13.75%
Revenue 5Y -14.5% -15.0% -13.8% -10.4% -7.6% -4.6% -2.0% 0.2% 1.4% 2.5% 3.1% 3.3% 3.6% 3.8% 5.0% 7.9% 14.7% 20.6% 27.5% 33.0% 33.04%
EPS 3Y — — — -55.3% -33.7% -18.8% -7.9% 8.4% 86.9% — — — — — — 1.5% 70.1% 38.4% 23.8% 15.4% 15.40%
EPS 5Y — — — -37.0% -20.8% -10.9% -4.6% -0.4% 3.5% 5.4% 6.5% 5.8% 5.7% 4.4% 5.8% 14.8% 54.5% — — — —
Net Income 3Y — — — -55.3% -34.2% -18.5% -7.3% 9.1% 88.2% — — — — — — 1.5% 69.3% 37.7% 23.1% 14.7% 14.72%
Net Income 5Y — — — -37.2% -21.3% -10.9% -4.3% -0.1% 3.4% 5.8% 7.0% 5.9% 5.0% 4.3% 6.0% 14.8% 54.6% — — — —
EBITDA 3Y — — -68.6% -32.3% -22.9% -12.9% -4.6% 8.0% 38.1% 69.0% 3.0% — — — 2.3% 53.5% 46.3% 30.8% 21.1% 15.1% 15.08%
EBITDA 5Y — — -46.8% -14.7% -7.9% -1.4% 3.6% 6.9% 7.3% 6.5% 4.8% 2.6% -3.8% -2.6% 1.0% 8.4% 28.8% 44.7% 1.4% — —
Gross Profit 3Y -59.7% -60.2% -48.7% -30.9% -21.7% -12.7% -4.9% 4.4% 24.3% 52.0% 1.1% 5.5% 1.8% 1.8% 1.1% 60.8% 42.4% 28.7% 19.9% 13.6% 13.59%
Gross Profit 5Y -41.4% -41.9% -31.6% -18.1% -11.7% -6.1% -1.7% 1.1% 2.8% 4.4% 5.1% 4.6% 4.3% 4.3% 5.9% 10.8% 20.8% 33.9% 60.7% 2.1% 2.13%
Op. Income 3Y — — — -60.9% -36.5% -20.2% -8.4% 4.7% 39.2% 1.3% — — — — — 1.8% 74.1% 39.7% 23.8% 15.4% 15.36%
Op. Income 5Y — — — -41.5% -21.9% -10.9% -3.7% 0.2% 2.9% 5.3% 6.2% 5.1% 4.0% 3.4% 5.1% 12.2% 29.2% 72.2% — — —
FCF 3Y — — — — — — -26.2% 35.4% — — — — — — — — — — 65.2% 19.2% 19.21%
FCF 5Y — — — — — — -21.1% -3.0% 7.1% 7.4% 7.6% 11.4% 15.4% 19.3% 23.2% 41.7% — — — — —
OCF 3Y -41.0% -84.4% — — -50.8% -30.6% -18.5% -11.2% -3.7% 1.8% 8.5% 34.4% 80.4% 6.2% — — 1.3% 64.5% 38.8% 32.5% 32.50%
OCF 5Y -25.6% -66.6% — — -33.0% -17.6% -9.1% -6.8% -5.0% -5.1% -5.3% -1.1% 2.4% 5.4% 7.9% 10.5% 13.5% 17.2% 21.7% 31.7% 31.74%
Assets 3Y 3.9% 3.6% 4.3% 1.1% 1.8% 1.6% 2.1% 6.1% 8.2% 6.4% 7.4% 9.2% 8.8% 10.8% 9.2% 9.8% 8.7% 8.1% 11.0% 10.7% 10.69%
Assets 5Y 6.0% 5.9% 5.8% 5.0% 5.9% 5.4% 5.7% 5.7% 6.0% 6.0% 6.6% 5.2% 4.8% 6.0% 5.4% 7.3% 7.9% 6.0% 8.2% 9.5% 9.48%
Equity 3Y 0.4% -0.9% -1.7% -2.0% -2.2% -2.4% -2.0% 0.4% 2.9% 4.2% 5.9% 7.7% 8.4% 9.4% 8.4% 8.9% 9.4% 9.6% 10.0% 10.0% 10.02%
Book Value 3Y 1.4% -0.8% -1.5% -1.9% -1.5% -2.7% -2.7% -0.3% 2.2% 3.5% 5.1% 7.4% 8.4% 9.4% 8.1% 9.0% 9.9% 10.1% 10.7% 10.7% 10.67%
Dividend 3Y -1.1% -4.7% -7.4% -7.8% -7.7% -16.7% -28.6% -42.0% — — — 21.5% — — — 66.4% 38.3% 25.3% 17.8% 12.3% 12.25%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.52 0.56 0.54 0.53 0.57 0.37 0.19 0.07 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.07 0.11 0.15 0.23 0.46 0.82 0.96 0.97 0.93 0.934
Earnings Stability 0.62 0.65 0.62 0.57 0.59 0.40 0.24 0.12 0.03 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.15 0.21 0.30 0.49 0.80 0.85 0.86 0.84 0.837
Margin Stability 0.54 0.50 0.49 0.41 0.53 0.51 0.49 0.41 0.53 0.50 0.48 0.40 0.52 0.53 0.63 0.81 0.86 0.80 0.65 0.45 0.450
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.50 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.80 0.91 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.97 0.94 0.95 0.99 0.993
Earnings Smoothness — — — — — — — 0.00 0.00 0.24 0.46 0.61 0.80 0.98 0.96 0.97 0.92 0.86 0.89 0.98 0.981
ROE Trend -0.11 -0.10 -0.06 0.01 0.05 0.10 0.13 0.13 0.12 0.12 0.10 0.07 0.05 0.02 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.017
Gross Margin Trend -0.29 -0.25 -0.13 0.06 0.12 0.20 0.26 0.26 0.22 0.21 0.17 0.09 0.05 0.01 -0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.00 -0.02 -0.019
FCF Margin Trend -0.52 -0.57 -0.53 -0.22 -0.05 0.25 0.51 0.57 0.56 0.50 0.45 0.33 0.25 0.18 0.12 0.05 -0.01 -0.04 -0.06 -0.05 -0.046
Sustainable Growth Rate — — — -0.3% 2.1% 5.5% 8.4% 9.9% 11.8% 13.1% 13.9% 13.1% 12.1% 10.7% 10.7% 11.1% 11.0% 10.5% 10.3% 9.3% 9.35%
Internal Growth Rate — — — — 1.6% 4.0% 6.1% 7.4% 9.0% 10.1% 10.7% 10.0% 9.5% 8.0% 7.9% 8.3% 8.5% 8.0% 7.5% 6.8% 6.76%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
OCF/Net Income -0.70 -0.01 0.90 -0.52 0.59 0.90 1.06 1.04 0.97 0.86 0.78 0.99 1.24 1.54 1.70 1.59 1.55 1.54 1.51 1.60 1.597
FCF/OCF -4.08 -263.55 5.91 27.99 -6.22 -0.86 0.28 0.69 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.89 0.82 0.77 0.73 0.67 0.60 0.54 0.47 0.50 0.499
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.797
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.809
CapEx/Revenue 58.6% 58.0% 52.3% 41.3% 34.3% 21.4% 12.1% 5.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.1% 4.2% 6.3% 8.0% 9.6% 11.2% 12.9% 14.4% 13.7% 13.70%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 1.445
Accruals Ratio -0.06 -0.04 -0.00 0.01 0.01 0.00 -0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.00 -0.02 -0.04 -0.06 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.04 -0.05 -0.047
Sloan Accruals snapshot only 0.074
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 1.595
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
Dividend Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.57%
Dividend/Share $7.90 $7.44 $6.99 $6.52 $6.00 $4.28 $2.55 $1.27 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $2.33 $4.69 $7.03 $9.31 $10.79 $12.21 $13.63 $15.05 $14.98 $16.00
Payout Ratio — — — 1.3% 38.0% 14.6% 6.1% 2.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3.2% 6.6% 10.4% 13.2% 14.2% 15.7% 17.5% 19.1% 20.2% 20.17%
FCF Payout Ratio — — — — — — 20.7% 3.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3.6% 6.5% 8.7% 10.6% 13.4% 16.8% 21.1% 26.6% 25.3% 25.30%
Total Payout Ratio — — — 1.3% 38.3% 14.8% 6.2% 2.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3.2% 6.6% 10.4% 13.2% 26.7% 40.0% 54.0% 66.9% 58.2% 58.21%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 — — — 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Total Shareholder Return — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.89 0.79 0.82 0.69 0.70 0.71 0.71 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.72 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.707
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.01 1.01 1.01 0.96 0.99 0.99 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.996
EBIT Margin -0.18 -0.23 -0.14 0.04 0.12 0.18 0.23 0.23 0.25 0.27 0.28 0.27 0.26 0.24 0.24 0.25 0.26 0.25 0.26 0.24 0.244
Asset Turnover 0.22 0.20 0.21 0.26 0.31 0.35 0.39 0.42 0.45 0.47 0.48 0.48 0.49 0.47 0.48 0.49 0.51 0.49 0.47 0.46 0.463
Equity Multiplier 1.29 1.38 1.42 1.40 1.40 1.42 1.45 1.45 1.43 1.43 1.43 1.44 1.40 1.45 1.46 1.45 1.39 1.42 1.48 1.48 1.477
Per Share
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-21.61 $-23.38 $-16.25 $4.92 $15.78 $29.30 $41.50 $48.35 $57.48 $65.11 $71.92 $72.89 $71.55 $67.83 $70.38 $75.75 $77.60 $77.65 $78.83 $74.31 $74.31
Book Value/Share $457.80 $453.94 $455.40 $460.91 $459.89 $469.91 $484.32 $496.92 $514.35 $529.22 $553.80 $575.70 $583.32 $593.69 $575.95 $596.34 $610.31 $627.45 $656.45 $673.56 $687.99
Tangible Book/Share $447.13 $443.03 $444.32 $449.74 $449.04 $459.07 $473.38 $486.44 $504.18 $519.34 $544.30 $566.07 $573.97 $583.97 $566.48 $586.85 $600.62 $617.23 $645.93 $662.44 $662.44
Revenue/Share $130.85 $127.64 $136.68 $168.03 $194.90 $229.90 $261.42 $289.35 $314.45 $337.08 $357.15 $374.98 $382.25 $385.15 $398.33 $414.50 $423.84 $427.54 $433.63 $433.51 $439.99
FCF/Share $-61.62 $-73.79 $-85.98 $-72.06 $-57.55 $-22.75 $12.31 $34.35 $55.69 $55.99 $55.95 $64.17 $72.63 $80.56 $87.85 $80.48 $72.50 $64.51 $56.53 $59.23 $63.58
OCF/Share $15.12 $0.28 $-14.56 $-2.57 $9.25 $26.47 $43.81 $50.10 $55.69 $55.99 $55.95 $72.16 $88.71 $104.67 $119.78 $120.26 $119.90 $119.52 $119.17 $118.64 $110.55
Cash/Share $116.99 $127.77 $146.40 $143.13 $141.99 $146.32 $164.43 $178.62 $173.21 $196.64 $225.93 $240.70 $220.74 $276.31 $268.49 $281.47 $261.57 $250.15 $345.97 $365.61 $341.92
EBITDA/Share $-1.20 $-6.33 $2.86 $31.59 $46.62 $66.07 $84.06 $94.56 $107.99 $111.82 $114.76 $115.14 $84.97 $88.69 $102.76 $114.46 $148.19 $149.75 $152.13 $146.72 $146.72
Debt/Share $113.72 $144.22 $148.35 $147.87 $145.77 $145.46 $144.66 $144.32 $143.98 $143.58 $143.01 $126.68 $127.30 $181.66 $180.23 $162.70 $162.46 $137.63 $205.97 $200.05 $200.05
Net Debt/Share $-3.27 $16.45 $1.96 $4.74 $3.78 $-0.86 $-19.77 $-34.30 $-29.22 $-53.06 $-82.91 $-114.02 $-93.43 $-94.65 $-88.26 $-118.76 $-99.11 $-112.53 $-140.00 $-165.56 $-165.56
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Piotroski F-Score 3 3 5 5 6 7 8 7 6 6 6 6 7 6 7 8 7 7 7 4 4
Beneish M-Score -4.44 -2.79 -2.28 -2.79 -2.05 -1.91 -2.26 -2.16 -2.13 -2.15 -2.16 -2.10 -2.51 -2.67 -2.64 -2.78 -2.71 -2.54 -2.49 -2.19 -2.194
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -12.038
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 13.20%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $89.50
EVA snapshot only $39610681873.53
Credit
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only AA-
Credit Score 49.25 50.15 39.65 69.00 71.10 73.80 77.70 78.15 79.95 78.45 79.05 79.65 80.25 78.15 80.25 80.25 81.15 82.65 80.10 80.10 80.100
Credit Grade snapshot only 4
Credit Trend snapshot only -0.150
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 100.000

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