ONTO NYSE
Onto Innovation Inc.
1W: -2.4%
1M: -25.8%
3M: -1.8%
YTD: +29.2%
1Y: +59.1%
3Y: +81.7%
5Y: +187.8%
$214.17
+10.64 (+5.23%)
Pre-Market: $219.11 (+4.94, +2.31%)
Weekly Expected Move ±9.3%
$161
$180
$198
$217
$236
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 66% of companies Debt: 12.3% of company value Bonds: $215.5M held by 69 funds → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the middle of the pack, about 1 in 580 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $4.19 (down 98%), Onto Innovation Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $1.47B against a stock market value of $10.51B.
Distance to default 3.78 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $735.9M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 71.8%; Altman Z 5.08. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $4.19 (down 98%), Onto Innovation Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $1.47B against a stock market value of $10.51B.
Distance to default 3.78 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $735.9M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 71.8%; Altman Z 5.08. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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Supply Chain
Oct Typical
☀️
Sunny
+16.1% YTD avg
Midterm Year
⛈️
Stormy
-35.3% YTD avg
2026 Now
☀️
Sunny
Above typical
20yr Avg YTD
+16.1%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
-35.3%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
+29.2%
Above 20yr avg
Typical Vol
53%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
💨
+9.2%
Midterm
⛈️
-10.3%
86% win
55% vol
Feb
20yr
⛈️
+5.3%
Midterm
⛈️
-15.6%
57% win
54% vol
Mar
20yr
⛈️
+6.8%
Midterm
⛈️
-16.1%
43% win
79% vol
Apr
20yr
💨
+4.0%
Midterm
⛈️
-30.1%
71% win
66% vol
May
20yr
💨
+12.7%
Midterm
⛈️
-23.0%
57% win
66% vol
Jun
20yr
💨
+14.1%
Midterm
⛈️
-39.8%
86% win
53% vol
Jul
20yr
⛈️
+15.4%
Midterm
⛈️
-20.9%
43% win
64% vol
Aug
20yr
💨
+19.8%
Midterm
⛈️
-31.5%
71% win
63% vol
Sep
20yr
💨
+17.5%
Midterm
⛈️
-38.2%
29% win
49% vol
Oct
20yr
⛈️
+17.8%
Midterm
⛈️
-35.5%
50% win
53% vol
Now:
-30.4%
Nov
20yr
💨
+33.9%
Midterm
⛈️
-22.8%
86% win
46% vol
Dec
20yr
💨
+4.2%
Midterm
⛈️
-14.8%
86% win
35% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: +29.2%