PKOH NASDAQ
Park-Ohio Holdings Corp.
1W: -5.1%
1M: -9.8%
3M: +11.1%
YTD: +109.5%
1Y: +109.0%
3Y: +94.4%
5Y: +100.7%
$44.48
+1.13 (+2.61%)
After Hours: $45.27 (+0.79, +1.78%)
Weekly Expected Move ±4.7%
$39
$41
$43
$45
$47
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 68% of companies Debt: 52.8% of company value Bonds: $60.9M held by 70 funds, 278 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the middle of the pack, about 1 in 580 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $3.14 (down 93%), Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $704.0M against a stock market value of $628.1M.
Distance to default 3.56 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $333.6M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 44.2%; Altman Z 2.36. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $3.14 (down 93%), Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $704.0M against a stock market value of $628.1M.
Distance to default 3.56 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $333.6M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 44.2%; Altman Z 2.36. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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Supply Chain
Oct Typical
☀️
Sunny
+5.3% YTD avg
Midterm Year
☀️
Sunny
+15.6% YTD avg
2026 Now
☀️
Sunny
Above typical
20yr Avg YTD
+5.3%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
+15.6%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
+115.0%
Above 20yr avg
Typical Vol
65%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
⛈️
-0.5%
Midterm
☀️
+11.5%
40% win
53% vol
Feb
20yr
⛈️
-1.7%
Midterm
☀️
+12.5%
45% win
49% vol
Mar
20yr
🌫️
+0.7%
Midterm
☀️
+14.7%
35% win
96% vol
Apr
20yr
💨
+4.5%
Midterm
☀️
+24.6%
65% win
64% vol
May
20yr
💨
+5.2%
Midterm
☀️
+27.4%
55% win
61% vol
Jun
20yr
💨
+7.1%
Midterm
☀️
+32.1%
55% win
51% vol
Jul
20yr
💨
+8.6%
Midterm
☀️
+29.3%
55% win
59% vol
Aug
20yr
💨
+6.0%
Midterm
☀️
+15.3%
50% win
61% vol
Sep
20yr
⛈️
+7.4%
Midterm
☀️
+12.4%
55% win
48% vol
Oct
20yr
⛈️
+8.1%
Midterm
☀️
+22.0%
52% win
65% vol
Now:
-3.7%
Nov
20yr
💨
+14.3%
Midterm
☀️
+41.9%
70% win
67% vol
Dec
20yr
💨
+4.2%
Midterm
⛈️
-1.3%
60% win
54% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: +115.0%