— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice

PLBL NASDAQ

Polibeli Group Ltd
1W: +2.8% 1M: +4.6% 3M: -18.5% YTD: -49.4% 1Y: -20.3%
$5.50
+0.00 (+0.00%)
After Hours: $5.47 (-0.03, -0.45%)
Weekly Expected Move ±6.1%
$5 $5 $5 $6 $6
NASDAQ · Consumer Cyclical · Department Stores · Tech Score Sell · Power 40 · $2.0B mcap · 156M float · 0.166% daily turnover · Short 46% of daily vol
Credit Risk of going bust: lower than 59% of companies Debt: 0.2% of company value Bonds: none of note held by US funds details ▾
If the stock fell to about $0.00 (down 99.9%), Polibeli Group Ltd would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $3.9M against a stock market value of $2.02B.
Distance to default 6.10 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $3.7M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 96.7%. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

NO EDGE
31.3 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Efficient Scale  ·  ROIC: 4.3%
Cost Advantage
30
Intangibles
14
Switching Cost
12
Network Effect
45
Scale ★
80
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. PLBL has No discernible competitive edge (31.3/100). The business operates without significant structural advantages. The primary source of advantage is Efficient Scale. ROIC of 4.3% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

C-
Oct 27, 2026
DCF
1
ROE
1
ROA
3
D/E
1
P/E
1
P/B
1
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. PLBL receives an overall rating of C-. Areas of concern: DCF (1/5), ROE (1/5), D/E (1/5), P/E (1/5), P/B (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-10-20 D+ C-
2026-10-19 None ADDED
2026-07-05 EXISTED None
2026-07-01 None ADDED
2026-04-04 EXISTED None
2026-03-02 C C-
2026-01-15 None ADDED
2026-01-04 EXISTED None

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 25 Grade D
Profitability
7
Balance Sheet
47
Earnings Quality
21
Growth
—
Value
27
Momentum
—
Safety
100
Cash Flow
18
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. PLBL scores highest in Safety (100/100) and lowest in Profitability (7/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
27.57
Safe Zone
Piotroski F-Score
2/9
✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗
Beneish M-Score
—
—
Ohlson O-Score
11.42
Bankruptcy prob: 100.0%
High Risk
Credit Rating
B-
Score: 20.0/100
Earnings Quality
25/100
OCF/NI: -5.91x
Accruals: 9.5%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. PLBL scores 27.57, placing it in the Safe Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Bankruptcy is statistically unlikely within the next two years. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. PLBL scores 2/9, suggesting weak financial fundamentals — the company fails the majority of these accounting tests. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. PLBL's implied 100.0% bankruptcy probability signals significant financial distress. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. PLBL receives an estimated rating of B- (score: 20.0/100). The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). PLBL's score of 25/100 is low — reported earnings may not be fully supported by cash flows.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
4550.00x
PEG
45.50x
P/S
185.20x
P/B
-45.71x
P/FCF
-2172.50x
P/OCF
—
EV/EBITDA
-1778.79x
EV/Revenue
570.27x
EV/EBIT
-1734.24x
EV/FCF
-2174.12x
Earnings Yield
0.01%
FCF Yield
-0.05%
Shareholder Yield
0.00%
Graham Number
—
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 4550.0x earnings, PLBL is priced for high growth expectations.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
1.000
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
-0.132
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
-0.329
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.318
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
-0.388
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
-0.5%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. PLBL's ROE of -0.5% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.318), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue. A tax burden ratio of 1.00 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$0.01
Price/Value
1542.20x
Margin of Safety
-154119.71%
Premium
154119.71%
Assessment
Overvalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with PLBL's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. PLBL trades at a 154120% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $0.01, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 4550.0x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 307 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$5.50
Median 1Y
$2.02
5th Pctile
$0.41
95th Pctile
$10.09
Ann. Volatility
95.0%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
291
Revenue / Employee
—
Profit / Employee
—
SGA / Employee
—
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q2'26 Current
ROE -0.5% -0.54%
ROA 1.4% 1.38%
ROIC 4.3% 4.28%
ROCE 4.0% 3.95%
Gross Margin 8.7% 8.71%
Operating Margin -32.9% -32.88%
Net Margin 4.3% 4.35%
EBITDA Margin -32.1% -32.06%
FCF Margin -26.2% -26.23%
OCF Margin -25.7% -25.68%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 4.44%
Cash ROA snapshot only -8.15%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only -32.88%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 4.35%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 41.60%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio 13108.68 4550.000
P/S Ratio 569.84 185.199
P/B Ratio -70.23 -45.709
P/FCF -2172.50 -2172.500
P/OCF — —
EV/EBITDA -1778.79 -1778.791
EV/Revenue 570.27 570.269
EV/EBIT -1734.24 -1734.236
EV/FCF -2174.12 -2174.118
Earnings Yield 0.0% 0.01%
FCF Yield -0.0% -0.05%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 45.500
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 6543.847
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 0.00%
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 0.93 0.928
Quick Ratio 0.74 0.741
Debt/Equity -0.09 -0.090
Net Debt/Equity — —
Debt/Assets 0.23 0.232
Debt/EBITDA -2.28 -2.281
Net Debt/EBITDA -1.32 -1.324
Interest Coverage — —
Equity Multiplier -0.39 -0.388
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.095
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.420
FCF to Debt snapshot only -0.359
Defensive Interval snapshot only 1737.5 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.32 0.318
Inventory Turnover 1.51 1.508
Receivables Turnover (trade) 0.60 0.598
Payables Turnover 1.45 1.454
DSO (trade) 611 610.8 days
DIO 242 242.1 days
DPO 251 251.1 days
Cash Conversion Cycle (trade) 602 601.8 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 10.368
Operating Cycle snapshot only 852.9 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 3.259
Capital Intensity snapshot only 3.150
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability — —
Earnings Stability — —
Margin Stability — —
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0
Earnings Persistence — —
Earnings Smoothness — —
ROE Trend — —
Gross Margin Trend — —
FCF Margin Trend — —
Sustainable Growth Rate — —
Internal Growth Rate 1.4% 1.40%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income -5.91 -5.907
FCF/OCF 1.02 1.022
FCF/Net Income snapshot only -6.034
CapEx/Revenue 0.6% 0.55%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.670
Accruals Ratio 0.10 0.095
Sloan Accruals snapshot only 0.043
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only -46.502
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.250
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.00%
FCF Payout Ratio — —
Total Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.00%
Div. Increase Streak — —
Chowder Number — —
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.00%
Total Shareholder Return 0.0% 0.00%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 1.00 1.000
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) -0.13 -0.132
EBIT Margin -0.33 -0.329
Asset Turnover 0.32 0.318
Equity Multiplier -0.39 -0.388
Per Share
Metric Trend Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $0.00 $0.00
Book Value/Share $-0.12 $-0.12
Tangible Book/Share $-0.12 $-0.12
Revenue/Share $0.01 $0.03
FCF/Share $-0.00 $-0.00
OCF/Share $-0.00 $-0.00
Cash/Share $0.00 $0.00
EBITDA/Share $-0.00 $-0.00
Debt/Share $0.01 $0.01
Net Debt/Share $0.01 $0.01
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — 27.570
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 45.719
Piotroski F-Score 2 2
Beneish M-Score — —
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only 11.423
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-0.12
Credit
Metric Trend Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only B-
Credit Score 20.00 20.000
Credit Grade snapshot only 16
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 900.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 62
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 49

Sign in to InsiderStreet

You'll also get our free weekly newsletter with
smart money signals, market insights, and alpha ideas.
Unsubscribe anytime.

For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms