— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: PFC.L (LSE) · $vol 0M · POFCF (OTC) · $vol 0M

POFCY OTC

Petrofac Limited
1W: +0.0% 1M: +0.0% 3M: +0.0% YTD: -98.0% 1Y: -99.9% 3Y: -100.0% 5Y: -100.0%
$0.00
+0.00 (+0.00%)
 
OTC · Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services · Tech Score Neutral · Power 50 · $105116 mcap · 439M float · 0.372% daily turnover · Short 44% of daily vol

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 0Hold: 1Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusHold
Avg Target$—
Analysts0

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 6 Grade D
Profitability
0
Balance Sheet
42
Earnings Quality
18
Growth
17
Value
15
Momentum
23
Safety
15
Cash Flow
30
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. POFCY scores highest in Balance Sheet (42/100) and lowest in Profitability (0/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
0.04
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
1/9
✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗
Beneish M-Score
20.93
Possible Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-2.23
Bankruptcy prob: 9.7%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
B-
Score: 20.0/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
—
OCF/NI: 0.02x
Accruals: -33.7%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. POFCY scores 0.04, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. POFCY scores 1/9, suggesting weak financial fundamentals — the company fails the majority of these accounting tests. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. POFCY's score of 20.93 exceeds the −1.78 red flag threshold — this does not confirm manipulation but indicates the earnings profile resembles past manipulators statistically. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. POFCY's implied 9.7% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. POFCY receives an estimated rating of B- (score: 20.0/100), with a deteriorating trend.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
-0.05x
PEG
-0.00x
P/S
0.01x
P/B
-0.07x
P/FCF
-1.50x
P/OCF
—
EV/EBITDA
-1.29x
EV/Revenue
0.16x
EV/EBIT
-1.08x
EV/FCF
-14.82x
Earnings Yield
-1275.01%
FCF Yield
-66.60%
Shareholder Yield
0.00%
Graham Number
—
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. POFCY currently has negative earnings — the P/E ratio is not meaningful.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.968
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
1.436
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
-0.152
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
1.625
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
-46.089
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
1588.1%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. POFCY's ROE of 1588.1% is driven by Asset Turnover (1.625), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue. A tax burden ratio of 0.97 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
—
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$0.00
Median 1Y
$0.00
5th Pctile
$0.00
95th Pctile
$0.00
Ann. Volatility
604.0%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q4'14 Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Current
ROE 45.2% 22.4% -14.2% -22.5% -23.5% -7.6% -2.6% -6.3% 3.9% 11.6% 17.7% 12.0% -20.9% -62.0% -78.9% -60.6% -2.0% -4.0% -22.3% 15.9% 15.88%
ROA 10.8% 4.7% -2.9% -4.2% -4.1% -1.2% -0.3% -0.7% 0.5% 1.5% 2.0% 1.3% -2.4% -6.5% -8.9% -7.1% -15.1% -17.4% -25.0% -34.5% -34.46%
ROIC 32.8% 23.4% 20.9% 24.5% 20.6% -45.9% -4.5% -76.8% 22.1% 73.7% 37.0% 16.4% -7.8% 13.6% -1.6% -2.1% -34.3% -35.7% -1.6% -5.1% -5.10%
ROCE 23.7% 23.4% 19.9% 20.9% 18.2% 27.9% 40.6% 46.2% 52.5% 43.4% 44.8% 35.8% 52.0% 17.6% -1.1% -1.8% -71.0% -1.5% 3.1% 1.8% 1.84%
Gross Margin 15.9% 2.6% 9.1% 10.0% 8.8% 11.3% 13.2% 12.4% 12.3% 11.7% 10.7% 7.9% 5.7% 6.7% 1.6% 7.9% -15.1% 0.5% -15.1% 0.2% 0.16%
Operating Margin 11.4% -2.8% 4.8% 6.8% 5.8% 7.6% 9.5% 8.9% 8.5% 7.7% 7.2% 2.8% -1.1% -5.4% 2.1% 3.8% -22.1% -8.9% -24.3% -12.3% -12.26%
Net Margin -0.4% -5.7% -4.6% 0.3% -0.3% 2.2% -3.0% -0.6% 2.7% 4.9% -2.4% -3.7% -5.8% -5.6% -10.8% 3.1% -27.2% -13.7% -26.4% -16.8% -16.77%
EBITDA Margin 14.5% 0.1% 7.8% 9.2% 8.4% 10.2% 12.6% 11.7% 0.0% 10.4% 8.3% 6.0% 0.5% -3.3% 3.3% 6.7% -20.4% -3.2% -20.9% -5.4% -5.40%
FCF Margin -3.1% 0.1% 5.2% 6.3% 6.7% 5.9% 5.6% 4.0% 6.4% 8.5% 5.6% 7.9% 1.2% -0.9% -3.8% -8.2% -6.9% -9.8% -5.7% -1.1% -1.11%
OCF Margin 4.5% 6.9% 10.1% 10.2% 9.0% 7.7% 7.5% 5.5% 8.0% 10.1% 7.0% 9.0% 2.2% -0.1% -2.7% -6.9% -5.5% -8.5% -4.8% -0.5% -0.47%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only -15.80%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only -1.76%
ROIC Economic snapshot only -3.47%
Cash ROA snapshot only -0.89%
Cash ROIC snapshot only -17.91%
CROIC snapshot only -41.79%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only -13.52%
Pretax Margin snapshot only -21.89%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 8.25%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.32%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q4'14 Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Current
P/E Ratio 2.02 6.39 -8.08 -5.05 -5.55 -12.51 -53.19 -29.86 43.12 15.30 10.21 9.40 -5.65 -1.54 -1.31 -2.17 -0.77 -0.81 -0.29 -0.08 -0.054
P/S Ratio 0.12 0.17 0.14 0.12 0.13 0.08 0.10 0.13 0.12 0.13 0.12 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.08 0.11 0.08 0.10 0.05 0.02 0.011
P/B Ratio 0.83 1.48 1.50 1.57 1.76 1.16 1.63 2.48 2.13 2.09 2.21 1.23 1.55 1.49 1.20 1.45 3.36 -12.31 -0.60 -0.14 -0.068
P/FCF -3.93 146.88 2.73 1.95 1.96 1.38 1.86 3.26 1.94 1.57 2.19 0.84 5.95 -6.94 -2.14 -1.35 -1.12 -1.02 -0.82 -1.50 -1.501
P/OCF 2.76 2.46 1.40 1.21 1.46 1.07 1.39 2.36 1.55 1.32 1.77 0.74 3.23 — — — — — — — —
EV/EBITDA 2.14 2.72 2.85 2.65 3.12 2.08 1.86 2.21 1.77 1.35 2.16 1.74 1.68 3.30 7.10 14.42 -5.20 -7.18 -1.96 -1.29 -1.287
EV/Revenue 0.26 0.32 0.26 0.22 0.21 0.18 0.19 0.23 0.15 0.12 0.16 0.10 0.11 0.12 0.13 0.20 0.18 0.24 0.19 0.16 0.164
EV/EBIT 2.86 3.95 4.63 4.07 5.25 2.97 2.53 2.99 1.77 1.34 1.98 1.53 2.45 6.99 -54.72 -45.32 -3.32 -4.39 -1.57 -1.08 -1.077
EV/FCF -8.15 273.21 4.94 3.44 3.12 3.11 3.31 5.91 2.41 1.37 2.85 1.32 9.74 -13.26 -3.48 -2.47 -2.56 -2.50 -3.33 -14.82 -14.823
Earnings Yield 49.6% 15.7% -12.4% -19.8% -18.0% -8.0% -1.9% -3.3% 2.3% 6.5% 9.8% 10.6% -17.7% -65.0% -76.5% -46.1% -1.3% -1.2% -3.4% -12.8% -12.75%
FCF Yield -25.4% 0.7% 36.7% 51.3% 51.1% 72.5% 53.7% 30.7% 51.5% 63.6% 45.7% 1.2% 16.8% -14.4% -46.7% -74.1% -89.5% -98.5% -1.2% -66.6% -66.60%
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 0.00%
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q4'14 Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Current
Current Ratio 1.40 1.30 1.12 1.23 1.23 1.28 1.12 1.12 1.14 1.23 1.26 1.35 1.01 0.99 1.39 1.43 0.94 0.88 0.72 0.68 0.676
Quick Ratio 1.40 1.29 1.12 1.22 1.23 1.27 1.12 1.12 1.14 1.22 1.26 1.34 1.01 0.98 1.38 1.42 0.93 0.88 0.72 0.67 0.673
Debt/Equity 1.45 1.89 2.16 2.66 2.17 2.33 2.33 3.05 1.54 1.21 2.29 2.18 2.57 3.35 2.14 2.11 7.82 -23.95 -2.32 -1.49 -1.487
Net Debt/Equity 0.90 1.27 1.22 1.20 1.04 1.46 1.27 2.01 0.51 -0.26 0.67 0.70 0.99 1.36 0.76 1.21 4.33 — — — —
Debt/Assets 0.30 0.31 0.31 0.33 0.29 0.31 0.28 0.32 0.19 0.15 0.24 0.23 0.26 0.28 0.26 0.29 0.31 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.337
Debt/EBITDA 1.79 1.86 2.26 2.55 2.42 1.85 1.49 1.50 1.03 0.90 1.72 1.96 1.70 3.89 7.75 11.42 -5.28 -5.68 -1.88 -1.41 -1.411
Net Debt/EBITDA 1.11 1.26 1.28 1.15 1.16 1.16 0.81 0.99 0.34 -0.19 0.50 0.63 0.66 1.58 2.74 6.53 -2.93 -4.25 -1.47 -1.16 -1.157
Interest Coverage — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Equity Multiplier 4.80 6.05 6.95 8.01 7.51 7.44 8.29 9.58 8.21 8.29 9.44 9.43 9.70 12.13 8.08 7.38 25.33 -71.24 -6.88 -4.41 -4.412
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.053
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.180
FCF to Debt snapshot only -0.062
Defensive Interval snapshot only 1260.1 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q4'14 Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Current
Asset Turnover 1.76 1.76 1.66 1.71 1.71 1.76 1.77 1.68 1.74 1.70 1.68 1.77 1.92 1.57 1.45 1.39 1.50 1.42 1.54 1.63 1.625
Inventory Turnover 483.67 379.83 804.34 724.67 1004.67 778.71 1213.71 1230.11 670.00 652.38 801.52 1057.33 600.76 531.59 335.50 348.29 446.00 480.73 314.76 362.73 362.733
Receivables Turnover 8.50 5.36 10.39 5.79 9.63 6.18 12.24 8.80 11.08 6.95 10.27 13.71 11.27 8.50 9.44 10.57 8.15 9.47 8.98 4.81 4.808
Payables Turnover 14.92 4.81 20.94 5.42 24.62 6.02 28.19 7.94 34.41 10.37 28.83 19.36 51.70 16.35 16.03 11.63 15.70 9.35 9.19 9.80 9.804
DSO 43 68 35 63 38 59 30 41 33 53 36 27 32 43 39 35 45 39 41 76 75.9 days
DIO 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1.0 days
DPO 24 76 17 67 15 61 13 46 11 35 13 19 7 22 23 31 23 39 40 37 37.2 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 19 -7 18 -4 23 -1 17 -4 23 18 23 8 26 21 17 4 22 0 2 40 39.7 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 35.357
Operating Cycle snapshot only 76.9 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 30.829
Capital Intensity snapshot only 0.534
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q4'14 Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Current
Revenue 3.7% 7.8% 3.4% 20.1% 17.1% 13.2% 9.0% -8.8% -16.9% -18.7% -20.4% -18.9% -21.4% -29.7% -37.3% -41.3% -41.7% -37.8% -28.9% -19.3% -19.27%
Net Income -34.3% -69.9% -1.2% -1.3% -1.5% -1.3% 87.8% 83.9% 1.1% 2.1% 5.9% 2.3% -4.4% -4.3% -4.2% -5.2% -3.7% -84.7% -88.8% -2.4% -2.35%
EPS -32.0% -69.5% -1.2% -1.3% -1.5% -1.3% 87.8% 83.7% 1.1% 2.1% 5.9% 2.3% -4.5% -4.4% -3.8% -3.7% -2.1% -20.8% -39.9% -2.3% -2.34%
FCF -1.3% 1.0% 1.4% 1.8% 3.5% 57.0% 18.0% -43.0% -21.2% 16.4% -20.1% 62.1% -85.5% -1.1% -1.4% -1.6% -4.4% -5.6% -9.0% 89.1% 89.11%
EBITDA -9.4% 18.0% -22.0% -16.2% -34.5% -13.7% 21.1% 17.7% 7.5% -20.8% -40.9% -53.8% -38.2% -70.0% -84.5% -86.3% -1.3% -1.6% -4.8% -8.3% -8.33%
Op. Income -2.5% -25.6% -53.0% -43.8% -58.6% -12.3% 44.6% 33.2% 80.7% 14.1% -12.1% -29.0% -57.4% -85.9% -1.0% -1.0% -1.7% -3.2% -38.1% -29.9% -29.89%
OCF Growth snapshot only 94.46%
Asset Growth snapshot only -23.34%
Equity Growth snapshot only -2.28%
Debt Growth snapshot only -9.45%
Shares Change snapshot only 0.39%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q4'14 Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Current
Revenue 3Y — — — — — 71.6% 35.0% 13.7% 0.3% -0.3% -3.5% -3.9% -8.6% -13.5% -18.4% -24.3% -27.5% -29.1% -29.2% -27.3% -27.31%
Revenue 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — 23.7% 4.2% -6.9% -14.3% -15.4% -16.7% -15.9% -15.91%
EPS 3Y — — — — — — — — -68.8% -55.0% -52.5% -58.7% — — — — — — — — —
EPS 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Income 3Y — — — — — — — — -69.0% -55.0% -52.5% -59.0% — — — — — — — — —
Net Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EBITDA 3Y — — — — — 50.4% 23.1% 4.8% -13.9% -6.9% -17.6% -23.1% -24.2% -41.0% -51.9% -58.0% — — — — —
EBITDA 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — -4.2% -29.7% -40.8% — — — — —
Gross Profit 3Y — — — — — 43.7% 16.7% -0.4% -9.6% -10.4% -15.7% -18.2% -25.4% -27.1% -34.0% -37.4% -70.4% — — — —
Gross Profit 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — 7.1% -15.7% -25.6% -57.0% — — — —
Op. Income 3Y — — — — — 38.6% 15.3% -1.1% -10.0% -9.4% -15.8% -19.0% -31.7% -48.0% — — — — — — —
Op. Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — -15.6% — — — — — — —
FCF 3Y — — — — — 29.7% 0.1% 18.7% — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
OCF 3Y — — — — — 21.3% -5.3% -12.2% 4.2% 2.0% — — -28.2% — — — — — — — —
OCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Assets 3Y — — — — — 28.8% 15.6% 11.2% 2.9% 3.5% -6.3% -11.1% -22.2% -21.5% -23.4% -27.1% -26.5% -27.0% -28.5% -25.7% -25.69%
Assets 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — 3.9% -4.7% -6.0% -9.3% -12.1% -17.6% -19.1% -19.07%
Equity 3Y — — — — — 10.0% -6.4% -18.5% -23.0% -21.9% -31.7% -33.9% -38.5% -37.7% -27.2% -25.1% -51.0% — — — —
Book Value 3Y — — — — — 11.5% -4.8% -17.1% -22.6% -21.9% -31.7% -33.5% -38.0% -37.6% -30.2% -34.7% -57.4% — — — —
Dividend 3Y — — — — — 1.0% -0.9% -6.0% -10.0% -16.6% -14.7% -21.0% -25.5% -44.9% — — — — — — —
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q4'14 Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Current
Revenue Stability — 0.82 0.79 1.00 0.87 0.79 0.76 0.69 0.07 0.02 0.08 0.18 0.49 0.23 0.04 0.09 0.54 0.58 0.70 0.72 0.722
Earnings Stability — 0.01 0.26 0.60 0.93 0.22 0.38 0.60 0.72 0.28 0.31 0.48 0.67 0.48 0.49 0.56 0.76 0.86 0.67 0.64 0.638
Margin Stability — 0.88 0.76 0.70 0.62 0.76 0.73 0.71 0.67 0.77 0.74 0.71 0.64 0.73 0.65 0.63 0.36 0.26 0.00 0.00 0.000
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence — 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness 0.59 0.00 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
ROE Trend — -0.30 -0.75 -0.92 -0.90 -0.57 -0.26 -0.20 0.00 0.07 0.32 0.33 -0.14 -0.99 -1.01 -0.70 -4.27 — — — —
Gross Margin Trend — -0.03 -0.06 -0.08 -0.09 -0.06 -0.04 -0.02 -0.00 0.01 0.01 0.00 -0.01 -0.03 -0.05 -0.06 -0.10 -0.12 -0.14 -0.16 -0.158
FCF Margin Trend — -0.03 0.04 0.10 0.09 0.10 0.09 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.00 0.03 -0.05 -0.08 -0.09 -0.14 -0.11 -0.14 -0.07 -0.01 -0.010
Sustainable Growth Rate 18.8% -6.8% — — — — — — -31.6% -17.2% -15.5% -15.0% — — — — — — — — —
Internal Growth Rate 4.7% — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q4'14 Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Current
OCF/Net Income 0.73 2.60 -5.75 -4.16 -3.79 -11.74 -38.32 -12.63 27.86 11.62 5.77 12.64 -1.75 0.02 0.44 1.35 0.54 0.69 0.29 0.02 0.022
FCF/OCF -0.70 0.02 0.51 0.62 0.75 0.77 0.75 0.72 0.80 0.84 0.81 0.88 0.54 9.62 1.40 1.19 1.26 1.14 1.20 2.33 2.333
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.052
CapEx/Revenue 7.6% 6.8% 4.9% 3.8% 2.3% 1.8% 1.9% 1.5% 1.6% 1.6% 1.3% 1.1% 1.0% 0.8% 1.1% 1.3% 1.4% 1.2% 0.9% 0.6% 0.63%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.254
Accruals Ratio 0.03 -0.08 -0.20 -0.22 -0.19 -0.15 -0.14 -0.10 -0.13 -0.16 -0.10 -0.15 -0.07 -0.06 -0.05 0.03 -0.07 -0.05 -0.18 -0.34 -0.337
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.639
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only -0.750
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q4'14 Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Current
Dividend Yield 28.9% 20.4% 24.2% 25.1% 23.1% 37.2% 27.9% 20.7% 21.2% 16.2% 18.4% 23.9% 19.2% 8.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.65 $0.66 $0.66 $0.65 $0.66 $0.65 $0.61 $0.52 $0.46 $0.38 $0.37 $0.25 $0.19 $0.06 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio 58.3% 1.3% — — — — — — 9.1% 2.5% 1.9% 2.2% — — — — — — — — —
FCF Payout Ratio — 30.0% 66.1% 48.9% 45.3% 51.3% 52.0% 67.6% 41.2% 25.5% 40.2% 20.2% 1.1% — — — — — — — —
Total Payout Ratio 67.7% 1.5% — — — — — — 11.8% 3.3% 2.4% 2.9% — — — — — — — — —
Div. Increase Streak 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 — — — — — — —
Chowder Number 0.54 0.25 0.30 0.19 0.23 0.36 0.21 -0.00 -0.07 -0.26 -0.20 -0.28 -0.40 -0.75 — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield 4.6% 3.0% 3.5% 4.3% 4.4% 7.1% 6.4% 5.7% 6.2% 5.5% 5.5% 7.0% 6.5% 2.1% 2.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield 4.6% 3.0% 3.5% 4.3% -13.5% -21.8% -65.1% -56.9% -61.1% -58.3% -15.7% -34.5% 6.5% 2.1% 2.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Shareholder Return 33.6% 23.4% 27.7% 29.4% 9.6% 15.4% -37.2% -36.2% -39.9% -42.1% 2.7% -10.5% 25.7% 10.1% 2.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q4'14 Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.80 0.72 1.40 1.20 1.48 -1.68 -0.19 -1.63 0.23 0.44 0.46 0.25 -13.22 1.25 1.00 0.90 0.94 0.96 0.95 0.97 0.968
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.85 0.46 -0.23 -0.38 -0.40 0.06 0.14 0.03 0.14 0.23 0.33 0.41 0.02 -1.90 25.76 12.71 2.01 2.30 1.41 1.44 1.436
EBIT Margin 0.09 0.08 0.06 0.05 0.04 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09 0.09 0.08 0.07 0.05 0.02 -0.00 -0.00 -0.05 -0.06 -0.12 -0.15 -0.152
Asset Turnover 1.76 1.76 1.66 1.71 1.71 1.76 1.77 1.68 1.74 1.70 1.68 1.77 1.92 1.57 1.45 1.39 1.50 1.42 1.54 1.63 1.625
Equity Multiplier 4.18 4.76 4.91 5.37 5.80 6.62 7.52 8.60 7.79 7.80 8.76 9.51 8.78 9.52 8.86 8.51 13.29 23.18 89.14 -46.09 -46.089
Per Share
Metric Trend Q4'14 Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $1.12 $0.51 $-0.34 $-0.51 $-0.51 $-0.14 $-0.04 $-0.08 $0.05 $0.15 $0.20 $0.11 $-0.18 $-0.51 $-0.57 $-0.31 $-0.55 $-0.62 $-0.79 $-1.03 $-1.03
Book Value/Share $2.70 $2.19 $1.81 $1.65 $1.61 $1.51 $1.34 $1.01 $1.01 $1.11 $0.92 $0.86 $0.64 $0.53 $0.62 $0.46 $0.12 $-0.04 $-0.38 $-0.59 $-0.42
Tangible Book/Share $2.49 $1.86 $1.66 $1.39 $1.48 $1.26 $1.22 $0.81 $0.88 $0.90 $0.71 $0.61 $0.39 $0.27 $0.43 $0.33 $0.01 $-0.16 $-0.50 $-0.70 $-0.70
Revenue/Share $18.22 $19.05 $19.24 $21.05 $21.64 $21.37 $20.98 $19.42 $17.41 $17.37 $16.56 $15.84 $14.26 $12.40 $9.22 $6.06 $5.43 $5.05 $4.86 $4.87 $2.40
FCF/Share $-0.57 $0.02 $1.00 $1.33 $1.45 $1.27 $1.18 $0.77 $1.11 $1.48 $0.93 $1.26 $0.17 $-0.11 $-0.35 $-0.50 $-0.38 $-0.49 $-0.28 $-0.05 $-0.11
OCF/Share $0.81 $1.32 $1.94 $2.14 $1.94 $1.64 $1.58 $1.06 $1.39 $1.76 $1.15 $1.43 $0.31 $-0.01 $-0.25 $-0.42 $-0.30 $-0.43 $-0.23 $-0.02 $-0.09
Cash/Share $1.48 $1.34 $1.70 $2.42 $1.82 $1.31 $1.42 $1.05 $1.03 $1.64 $1.49 $1.28 $1.01 $1.06 $0.85 $0.42 $0.44 $0.24 $0.19 $0.16 $0.19
EBITDA/Share $2.18 $2.22 $1.73 $1.73 $1.45 $1.90 $2.10 $2.06 $1.51 $1.50 $1.23 $0.96 $0.97 $0.46 $0.17 $0.09 $-0.19 $-0.17 $-0.48 $-0.62 $-0.62
Debt/Share $3.90 $4.13 $3.91 $4.40 $3.50 $3.51 $3.13 $3.09 $1.55 $1.35 $2.11 $1.88 $1.65 $1.78 $1.31 $0.97 $0.98 $0.97 $0.89 $0.88 $0.88
Net Debt/Share $2.42 $2.79 $2.21 $1.98 $1.68 $2.19 $1.70 $2.04 $0.51 $-0.29 $0.62 $0.60 $0.64 $0.72 $0.47 $0.56 $0.54 $0.73 $0.70 $0.72 $0.72
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q4'14 Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.040
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only -5.408
Piotroski F-Score 4 5 3 4 5 4 8 7 6 7 6 7 3 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1
Beneish M-Score 35.55 0.53 -2.61 -2.64 -3.14 -3.86 -3.37 -3.37 -3.44 -3.47 -3.25 -3.26 -2.73 -3.03 0.21 -2.63 -3.80 3.46 -6.51 20.93 20.933
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -2.228
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-1.20
EVA snapshot only $-696750000.00
Credit
Metric Trend Q4'14 Q2'15 Q4'15 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only B-
Credit Score 61.57 62.96 64.52 68.38 75.45 76.57 75.56 71.09 86.61 83.89 77.82 82.80 74.51 55.83 41.75 39.43 31.83 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.000
Credit Grade snapshot only 16
Credit Trend snapshot only -19.433
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 900.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 18
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 19

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