— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice

PSXP NYSE

Phillips 66 Partners LP
1W: +2.2% 1M: -4.5% 3M: +18.4% 1Y: +38.4% 3Y: -16.9% 5Y: -23.6%
$42.01
Last traded 2022-03-08 — delisted
NYSE · Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

NARROW EDGE
56.9 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Switching Costs  ·  ROIC: 15.6%
Cost Advantage
60
Intangibles
63
Switching Cost
66
Network Effect
37
Scale
47
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. PSXP has a Narrow competitive edge (56.9/100) — meaningful but not impregnable advantages over competitors. The primary source of advantage is Switching Costs. ROIC of 15.6% confirms the company is generating returns well above its cost of capital — a hallmark of durable competitive advantages.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 6Hold: 10Sell: 1Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusHold
Avg Target$—
Analysts0

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 56 Grade A
Profitability
70
Balance Sheet
28
Earnings Quality
78
Growth
55
Value
67
Momentum
73
Safety
30
Cash Flow
84
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. PSXP scores highest in Cash Flow (84/100) and lowest in Balance Sheet (28/100). An overall grade of A places PSXP among the highest-quality companies in its peer group.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
1.71
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
7/9
✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-2.62
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-7.45
Bankruptcy prob: 0.1%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
B-
Score: 20.0/100
Trend: Stable
Earnings Quality
75/100
OCF/NI: 1.54x
Accruals: -5.6%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. PSXP scores 1.71, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. PSXP scores 7/9, signaling strong financial health across all three dimensions. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. PSXP's score of -2.62 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. PSXP's implied 0.1% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. PSXP receives an estimated rating of B- (score: 20.0/100), with a stable trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). PSXP's score of 75/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
12.47x
PEG
-2.16x
P/S
0.00x
P/B
-4836.45x
P/FCF
9.86x
P/OCF
7.20x
EV/EBITDA
11.56x
EV/Revenue
10.59x
EV/EBIT
13.36x
EV/FCF
14.42x
Earnings Yield
9.01%
FCF Yield
10.14%
Shareholder Yield
10.20%
Graham Number
—
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 12.5x earnings, PSXP trades at a reasonable valuation. An earnings yield of 9.0% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.895
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.920
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.793
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.160
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
-4786.333
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
-49866.7%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. PSXP's ROE of -49866.7% is driven by EBIT Margin (0.793) as the dominant factor.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$27.61
Price/Value
1.31x
Margin of Safety
-30.63%
Premium
30.63%
Assessment
Neutral
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with PSXP's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. PSXP trades at a 31% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $27.61, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 12.5x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$42.01
Median 1Y
$36.42
5th Pctile
$18.74
95th Pctile
$70.99
Ann. Volatility
41.6%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Current
ROE -81.1% -89.4% -93.1% -1.1% -1.3% -619.0% -737.0% -796.0% -822.0% -869.0% -889.0% -923.0% -951.0% -973.0% -942.0% -791.0% -364.7% -344.7% -368.7% -498.7% -498.67%
ROA 10.2% 11.0% 11.2% 9.8% 11.3% 12.8% 14.9% 14.3% 14.0% 14.4% 13.9% 14.4% 14.2% 14.2% 13.0% 11.1% 7.8% 7.3% 7.7% 10.4% 10.42%
ROIC 25.1% 18.4% 19.1% 14.5% 15.2% 16.0% 17.4% 15.5% 14.9% 15.1% 15.1% 15.3% 14.9% 13.1% 12.8% 11.6% 12.6% 13.5% 10.5% 15.6% 15.62%
ROCE 12.6% 13.7% 14.2% 12.2% 13.7% 15.1% 17.1% 16.5% 15.2% 15.8% 15.0% 15.3% 15.7% 16.1% 15.9% 14.1% 10.9% 10.7% 11.3% 14.0% 14.04%
Gross Margin 86.6% 86.8% 85.3% 90.0% 89.1% 88.6% 88.7% 88.9% 90.4% 89.0% 88.9% 89.0% 88.8% 87.1% 86.8% 85.3% 86.5% 87.9% 86.6% 89.4% 89.43%
Operating Margin 41.8% 46.2% 40.2% 43.7% 41.0% 45.3% 47.9% 47.4% 34.8% 46.8% 45.6% 49.5% 45.3% 41.1% 45.3% 43.4% 38.1% 44.3% 45.6% 96.7% 96.68%
Net Margin 50.0% 52.3% 48.5% 47.8% 67.2% 73.2% 81.9% 81.9% 65.6% 88.6% 87.8% 87.6% 84.6% 1.1% 77.7% 39.2% -7.1% 80.4% 85.5% 90.3% 90.33%
EBITDA Margin 75.8% 78.2% 74.5% 67.6% 90.6% 96.1% 1.0% 1.0% 84.4% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 1.3% 1.1% 69.1% 22.2% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 1.11%
FCF Margin 0.0% 1.2% 9.9% 31.4% 30.9% 29.8% 30.5% 14.7% -34.1% -26.1% -23.1% -7.0% 35.6% 8.1% 7.2% 4.3% 15.2% 49.8% 65.1% 73.5% 73.47%
OCF Margin 66.3% 63.6% 64.3% 77.5% 75.9% 80.8% 85.6% 85.4% 84.9% 88.7% 90.2% 90.2% 99.5% 95.8% 98.1% 92.0% 88.8% 92.2% 94.5% 1.0% 1.01%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 11.56%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 23.06%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 15.46%
Cash ROA snapshot only 16.24%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 30.08%
CROIC snapshot only 21.97%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 52.23%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 72.95%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 6.20%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Current
P/E Ratio 15.95 14.16 14.63 15.22 12.07 11.22 9.51 7.29 8.79 7.87 13.13 16.14 9.28 8.97 5.92 8.09 13.22 17.43 14.80 11.10 12.466
P/S Ratio 6.48 5.76 5.63 7.51 6.50 6.60 6.29 5.55 6.63 6.22 10.56 13.23 8.09 8.16 5.24 6.16 7.07 8.48 7.58 7.25 0.000
P/B Ratio -6.48 -5396.12 -5808.20 -7016.00 -6470.80 -6944.57 -7010.78 -5802.55 -7228.38 -6842.08 -11668.99 -14896.91 -8820.87 -8727.44 -5579.37 -6395.45 -3615.77 -4505.15 -4092.99 -4152.60 -4836.445
P/FCF 18383.30 461.21 57.17 23.95 21.01 22.12 20.62 37.68 -19.43 -23.84 -45.76 -188.57 22.73 100.32 72.46 142.12 46.36 17.03 11.64 9.86 9.864
P/OCF 9.77 9.05 8.75 9.69 8.56 8.16 7.35 6.51 7.81 7.01 11.70 14.66 8.13 8.52 5.34 6.70 7.96 9.20 8.02 7.20 7.203
EV/EBITDA 15.09 13.13 12.93 14.33 12.06 11.36 10.03 8.58 9.87 9.12 13.24 15.71 10.33 10.28 7.81 9.65 13.35 15.68 13.89 11.56 11.562
EV/Revenue 9.25 8.16 7.85 10.47 9.29 9.25 8.83 8.47 9.55 9.12 13.42 16.10 11.22 11.63 8.80 9.92 10.92 12.16 11.12 10.59 10.594
EV/EBIT 15.49 13.86 13.95 15.54 12.99 12.19 10.66 9.67 11.11 10.21 14.80 17.53 11.51 11.44 8.74 11.05 16.01 18.94 16.68 13.36 13.356
EV/FCF 26243.30 653.60 79.69 33.37 30.03 31.02 28.92 57.46 -28.00 -34.97 -58.15 -229.45 31.56 142.84 121.56 228.83 71.62 24.42 17.09 14.42 14.418
Earnings Yield 6.3% 7.1% 6.8% 6.6% 8.3% 8.9% 10.5% 13.7% 11.4% 12.7% 7.6% 6.2% 10.8% 11.1% 16.9% 12.4% 7.6% 5.7% 6.8% 9.0% 9.01%
FCF Yield 0.0% 0.2% 1.7% 4.2% 4.8% 4.5% 4.8% 2.7% -5.1% -4.2% -2.2% -0.5% 4.4% 1.0% 1.4% 0.7% 2.2% 5.9% 8.6% 10.1% 10.14%
EV/OCF snapshot only 10.529
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 12.080
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 18.147
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 10.20%
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Current
Current Ratio 0.85 0.71 0.64 1.71 1.52 1.25 1.00 0.48 0.62 0.76 1.51 2.08 1.05 0.28 0.20 0.22 0.21 0.24 0.31 0.34 0.337
Quick Ratio 0.73 0.62 0.56 1.64 1.45 1.19 0.95 0.43 0.55 0.72 1.49 2.02 0.99 0.25 0.18 0.20 0.19 0.18 0.26 0.31 0.311
Debt/Equity -2.77 -2252.00 -2290.00 -2945.00 -2946.00 -2946.00 -2922.00 -3048.00 -3188.00 -3324.00 -3815.00 -3516.00 -3516.00 -3707.00 -3783.00 -3909.00 -1972.00 -1955.00 -1948.00 -1948.50 -1948.500
Net Debt/Equity — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Debt/Assets 0.57 0.54 0.54 0.55 0.55 0.54 0.52 0.52 0.50 0.51 0.53 0.51 0.50 0.51 0.52 0.54 0.56 0.56 0.55 0.55 0.549
Debt/EBITDA 4.52 3.87 3.66 4.32 3.84 3.44 2.98 2.95 3.02 3.02 3.41 3.05 2.97 3.07 3.16 3.66 4.71 4.75 4.50 3.71 3.711
Net Debt/EBITDA 4.52 3.87 3.65 4.05 3.62 3.26 2.88 2.95 3.02 2.90 2.82 2.80 2.89 3.06 3.15 3.66 4.71 4.74 4.42 3.65 3.652
Interest Coverage 7.69 6.97 6.30 6.23 6.65 7.13 7.88 7.96 8.37 8.94 9.28 9.57 9.67 9.78 9.15 7.70 5.58 5.29 5.58 7.10 7.102
Equity Multiplier -4.84 -4168.00 -4219.00 -5334.00 -5386.00 -5506.00 -5643.00 -5819.00 -6353.00 -6544.00 -7190.00 -6961.00 -6997.00 -7203.00 -7294.00 -7258.00 -3526.50 -3500.50 -3538.50 -3550.50 -3550.500
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.099
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 8.203
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.016
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.216
Defensive Interval snapshot only 138.6 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Current
Asset Turnover 0.25 0.27 0.29 0.20 0.21 0.22 0.23 0.19 0.19 0.18 0.17 0.18 0.16 0.16 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.16 0.160
Inventory Turnover 12.57 13.67 15.37 10.09 9.44 9.68 10.08 9.36 9.08 9.08 9.44 9.23 9.31 9.11 9.48 9.31 9.59 5.68 6.74 8.81 8.812
Receivables Turnover 15.47 16.31 18.52 11.05 12.22 12.76 11.91 11.55 12.06 12.43 10.14 11.26 11.79 11.56 11.26 9.84 10.13 10.73 11.37 9.88 9.879
Payables Turnover 3.59 3.58 3.96 2.25 2.65 2.18 1.50 1.38 1.54 1.45 1.08 1.13 1.20 1.24 1.17 1.38 1.61 1.64 1.21 1.49 1.492
DSO 24 22 20 33 30 29 31 32 30 29 36 32 31 32 32 37 36 34 32 37 36.9 days
DIO 29 27 24 36 39 38 36 39 40 40 39 40 39 40 38 39 38 64 54 41 41.4 days
DPO 102 102 92 162 138 167 243 265 237 252 337 324 305 295 312 264 227 222 302 245 244.6 days
Cash Conversion Cycle -49 -53 -49 -93 -69 -101 -176 -195 -166 -183 -262 -252 -235 -224 -241 -187 -153 -124 -216 -166 -166.3 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 0.307
Operating Cycle snapshot only 78.4 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 18.484
Capital Intensity snapshot only 6.196
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Current
Revenue 1.9% 1.7% 1.7% 24.0% 17.1% 12.3% 8.0% 11.9% 9.5% 4.5% -0.8% 7.8% 0.0% -2.8% -3.7% -7.8% -6.2% -0.7% 1.5% 10.4% 10.40%
Net Income 63.8% 61.1% 48.5% 53.2% 55.0% 62.4% 85.6% 72.7% 53.4% 40.4% 20.6% 16.0% 15.7% 12.0% 6.0% -14.3% -42.5% -46.9% -41.3% -5.4% -5.44%
EPS 26.0% 34.2% 35.1% 21.9% 23.0% 30.4% 49.6% 67.9% 50.4% 37.7% -19.8% -33.9% -34.0% -35.9% -9.8% -14.5% -39.0% -43.6% -37.7% -0.5% -0.55%
FCF -98.1% -81.6% 3.8% 4.2% 1025.7% 25.8% 2.3% -47.4% -2.2% -1.9% -1.8% -1.5% 2.0% 1.3% 1.3% 1.6% -59.8% 5.1% 8.1% 17.7% 17.71%
EBITDA 86.5% 83.9% 75.1% 51.2% 47.0% 47.2% 56.5% 51.3% 37.5% 28.5% 14.3% 11.8% 12.3% 9.8% 7.1% -7.5% -29.4% -31.8% -27.9% -1.6% -1.59%
Op. Income 1.4% 1.3% 1.2% 16.7% 12.0% 8.0% 12.6% 18.2% 11.5% 7.3% -3.2% 4.2% 7.6% 0.8% 1.0% -8.1% -15.9% -6.6% -4.1% 47.0% 47.03%
OCF Growth snapshot only 20.73%
Asset Growth snapshot only -2.16%
Debt Growth snapshot only -0.31%
Shares Change snapshot only -4.92%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 6.43%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Current
Revenue 3Y 97.0% 77.3% 75.1% 59.8% 60.5% 62.1% 62.4% 57.9% 54.1% 47.2% 41.6% 14.4% 8.6% 4.5% 1.0% 3.6% 0.9% 0.3% -1.0% 3.1% 3.12%
Revenue 5Y — — — — — — 1.1% 77.4% 57.9% 45.6% 41.9% 37.5% 35.2% 34.0% 32.5% 31.3% 28.0% 25.2% 22.7% 8.8% 8.76%
EPS 3Y 69.7% 48.2% 40.0% 30.1% 32.2% 37.6% 38.4% 34.7% 32.6% 34.1% 17.5% 10.6% 6.9% 4.8% 2.7% -1.7% -15.4% -20.8% -23.3% -17.5% -17.46%
EPS 5Y — — — — — — 99.8% 69.7% 55.3% 42.4% 26.9% 19.6% 18.1% 18.1% 13.9% 6.7% -1.3% -2.7% -1.9% 2.9% 2.85%
Net Income 3Y 94.2% 68.8% 60.1% 58.4% 59.1% 63.0% 64.4% 60.0% 57.3% 54.3% 49.2% 45.3% 40.1% 36.7% 33.4% 19.7% 0.7% -5.8% -9.1% -2.1% -2.05%
Net Income 5Y — — — — — — 1.3% 94.1% 77.1% 61.4% 55.8% 51.4% 48.2% 46.7% 41.5% 32.4% 21.0% 16.9% 15.6% 20.0% 19.97%
EBITDA 3Y 1.1% 84.4% 76.5% 70.2% 67.8% 67.8% 66.1% 60.4% 55.6% 51.5% 46.3% 36.8% 31.4% 27.6% 24.2% 16.1% 3.0% -1.3% -4.1% 0.6% 0.58%
EBITDA 5Y — — — — — — 1.3% 99.6% 80.3% 64.0% 58.0% 52.9% 48.8% 46.1% 41.2% 33.7% 24.5% 21.1% 19.3% 18.4% 18.41%
Gross Profit 3Y 92.3% 73.2% 71.1% 56.6% 57.8% 59.8% 60.7% 56.1% 53.8% 47.6% 42.7% 15.3% 9.3% 5.0% 1.4% 3.4% 0.2% -0.4% -2.0% 2.7% 2.69%
Gross Profit 5Y — — — — — — 1.0% 75.1% 56.2% 44.2% 40.7% 36.4% 34.1% 32.9% 31.4% 29.9% 27.0% 24.7% 22.4% 8.9% 8.87%
Op. Income 3Y 81.7% 62.6% 58.5% 45.5% 45.9% 49.6% 52.4% 48.2% 44.9% 39.1% 33.3% 12.8% 10.4% 5.3% 3.3% 4.2% 0.3% 0.4% -2.1% 12.1% 12.09%
Op. Income 5Y — — — — — — 95.1% 68.8% 49.6% 37.9% 34.1% 30.6% 30.1% 29.4% 28.2% 25.5% 22.5% 20.4% 18.0% 14.2% 14.20%
FCF 3Y -81.2% -46.7% 1.5% — — — — 83.8% — — — — 9.9% 95.2% -8.8% -46.4% -20.3% 19.0% 27.4% 76.2% 76.17%
FCF 5Y — — — — — — 95.8% 42.5% — — — — — — — 12.7% 57.7% 52.7% 1.0% — —
OCF 3Y 1.2% 86.9% 80.7% 72.0% 72.1% 68.4% 71.4% 57.2% 51.7% 48.3% 43.5% 27.3% 24.3% 19.8% 16.3% 9.7% 6.3% 4.8% 2.3% 8.9% 8.93%
OCF 5Y — — — — — — 1.3% 96.6% 75.4% 60.6% 54.7% 48.1% 48.9% 41.9% 40.7% 33.0% 27.9% 26.8% 24.8% 18.6% 18.57%
Assets 3Y 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.1% 54.7% 55.3% 56.5% 56.3% 33.3% 33.1% 35.7% 19.2% 19.3% 20.0% 20.0% 10.8% 9.4% 8.3% 7.8% 6.9% 6.86%
Assets 5Y — — — — — — 57.7% 58.4% 80.4% 80.4% 83.0% 66.8% 36.9% 37.4% 37.7% 36.6% 21.3% 20.4% 19.7% 11.6% 11.56%
Equity 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Book Value 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Dividend 3Y 16.3% 16.5% 13.6% -2.0% -1.4% -0.4% -0.8% -17.1% -17.3% -15.3% -23.9% -18.3% -18.9% -19.0% -19.3% -15.2% -14.2% -14.8% -15.2% -15.4% -15.40%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Current
Revenue Stability 0.81 0.79 0.79 0.91 0.90 0.91 0.88 0.93 0.91 0.88 0.85 0.95 0.87 0.78 0.68 0.76 0.68 0.66 0.61 0.75 0.746
Earnings Stability 0.98 0.97 0.99 0.98 0.96 0.94 0.90 0.91 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.95 0.97 0.98 0.96 0.85 0.52 0.42 0.40 0.57 0.572
Margin Stability 0.97 0.97 0.96 0.97 0.97 0.98 0.96 0.96 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.989
Rev. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earn. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 0
Earnings Persistence 0.50 0.50 0.81 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.84 0.92 0.94 0.94 0.95 0.98 0.94 0.83 0.81 0.83 0.98 0.978
Earnings Smoothness 0.52 0.53 0.61 0.58 0.57 0.52 0.40 0.47 0.58 0.66 0.81 0.85 0.85 0.89 0.94 0.85 0.46 0.39 0.48 0.94 0.944
ROE Trend — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Gross Margin Trend -0.04 -0.03 -0.03 -0.02 -0.00 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 -0.00 -0.01 -0.02 -0.03 -0.02 -0.02 -0.00 -0.005
FCF Margin Trend 0.05 0.05 0.25 0.33 0.28 0.20 0.23 0.05 -0.50 -0.42 -0.43 -0.30 0.37 0.06 0.04 0.00 0.15 0.59 0.73 0.75 0.748
Sustainable Growth Rate — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Internal Growth Rate — — — — — — — 3.4% 2.9% 3.0% 2.7% 2.6% 2.5% 2.4% 1.5% — — — — — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.63 1.56 1.67 1.57 1.41 1.37 1.29 1.12 1.13 1.12 1.12 1.10 1.14 1.05 1.11 1.21 1.66 1.89 1.85 1.54 1.541
FCF/OCF 0.00 0.02 0.15 0.40 0.41 0.37 0.36 0.17 -0.40 -0.29 -0.26 -0.08 0.36 0.08 0.07 0.05 0.17 0.54 0.69 0.73 0.730
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 1.126
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 1.098
CapEx/Revenue 66.3% 62.3% 54.5% 46.1% 45.0% 51.0% 55.1% 70.6% 1.2% 1.1% 1.1% 97.2% 63.9% 87.7% 90.9% 87.7% 73.5% 42.4% 29.4% 27.1% 27.14%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 2.206
Accruals Ratio -0.06 -0.06 -0.08 -0.06 -0.05 -0.05 -0.04 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.05 -0.07 -0.07 -0.06 -0.056
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.009
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 0.996
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.750
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Current
Dividend Yield 7.5% 8.4% 8.4% 9.2% 10.7% 10.7% 11.4% 10.6% 9.1% 10.1% 6.2% 5.1% 8.9% 9.3% 14.9% 13.1% 11.6% 9.4% 10.3% 10.2% 8.33%
Dividend/Share $3.86 $4.16 $4.42 $4.79 $5.11 $5.48 $5.83 $4.45 $4.74 $4.98 $3.50 $3.14 $3.25 $3.36 $3.44 $3.46 $3.68 $3.69 $3.71 $3.68 $3.50
Payout Ratio 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.4% 1.3% 1.2% 1.1% 77.0% 79.7% 79.5% 81.2% 82.2% 82.9% 83.6% 88.4% 1.1% 1.5% 1.6% 1.5% 1.1% 1.13%
FCF Payout Ratio 1382.0% 38.8% 4.8% 2.2% 2.2% 2.4% 2.4% 4.0% — — — — 2.0% 9.3% 10.8% 18.6% 5.4% 1.6% 1.2% 1.0% 1.01%
Total Payout Ratio 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.4% 1.3% 1.2% 1.1% 77.0% 79.7% 79.5% 81.2% 82.2% 82.9% 83.6% 88.4% 1.1% 1.5% 1.6% 1.5% 1.1% 1.13%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1
Chowder Number 1.43 1.42 1.27 0.79 0.78 0.75 0.75 0.06 0.04 0.03 -0.03 0.29 0.29 0.27 0.30 0.23 0.18 0.13 0.12 0.11 0.114
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield -18.5% -8.8% -2.9% -17.2% -18.1% -15.9% -16.4% -2.2% -2.1% -1.5% -1.3% -1.1% -1.6% -1.5% -0.7% -0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Shareholder Return -11.0% -0.4% 5.5% -8.0% -7.4% -5.1% -5.0% 8.4% 7.0% 8.6% 4.9% 4.0% 7.4% 7.8% 14.2% 13.1% 11.6% 9.4% 10.3% 10.2% 10.20%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.78 0.81 0.81 0.87 0.89 0.90 0.92 0.99 1.00 1.00 0.99 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.15 1.16 0.87 0.89 0.895
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.87 0.86 0.84 0.84 0.85 0.86 0.87 0.87 0.88 0.89 0.89 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.88 0.85 0.68 0.65 0.89 0.92 0.920
EBIT Margin 0.60 0.59 0.56 0.67 0.71 0.76 0.83 0.88 0.86 0.89 0.91 0.92 0.98 1.02 1.01 0.90 0.68 0.64 0.67 0.79 0.793
Asset Turnover 0.25 0.27 0.29 0.20 0.21 0.22 0.23 0.19 0.19 0.18 0.17 0.18 0.16 0.16 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.16 0.160
Equity Multiplier -7.98 -8.14 -8.33 -11.07 -11.15 -4837.00 -4931.00 -5576.50 -5869.50 -6025.00 -6416.50 -6390.00 -6675.00 -6873.50 -7242.00 -7109.50 -4683.33 -4734.67 -4790.33 -4786.33 -4786.333
Per Share
Metric Trend Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $3.22 $3.49 $3.59 $3.44 $3.96 $4.55 $5.38 $5.78 $5.95 $6.27 $4.31 $3.82 $3.93 $4.02 $3.89 $3.27 $2.40 $2.26 $2.42 $3.25 $3.25
Book Value/Share $-7.93 $-0.01 $-0.01 $-0.01 $-0.01 $-0.01 $-0.01 $-0.01 $-0.01 $-0.01 $-0.00 $-0.00 $-0.00 $-0.00 $-0.00 $-0.00 $-0.01 $-0.01 $-0.01 $-0.01 $12.76
Tangible Book/Share $-9.65 $-1.70 $-1.68 $-1.39 $-1.37 $-1.37 $-1.36 $-1.35 $-1.35 $-1.34 $-0.90 $-0.77 $-0.77 $-0.77 $-0.77 $-0.77 $-0.82 $-0.82 $-0.82 $-0.81 $-0.81
Revenue/Share $7.92 $8.59 $9.33 $6.97 $7.35 $7.74 $8.13 $7.58 $7.90 $7.93 $5.36 $4.66 $4.51 $4.41 $4.39 $4.29 $4.48 $4.65 $4.73 $4.98 $4.98
FCF/Share $0.00 $0.11 $0.92 $2.19 $2.27 $2.31 $2.48 $1.12 $-2.69 $-2.07 $-1.24 $-0.33 $1.60 $0.36 $0.32 $0.19 $0.68 $2.32 $3.08 $3.66 $3.66
OCF/Share $5.25 $5.46 $6.01 $5.40 $5.58 $6.26 $6.96 $6.47 $6.71 $7.04 $4.84 $4.20 $4.48 $4.23 $4.31 $3.94 $3.98 $4.29 $4.47 $5.01 $5.01
Cash/Share $0.01 $0.01 $0.02 $1.38 $1.23 $1.11 $0.73 $0.01 $0.01 $0.94 $3.18 $1.18 $0.38 $0.03 $0.01 $0.03 $0.01 $0.01 $0.31 $0.27 $0.27
EBITDA/Share $4.86 $5.33 $5.66 $5.09 $5.66 $6.30 $7.15 $7.49 $7.64 $7.94 $5.43 $4.77 $4.89 $4.99 $4.95 $4.41 $3.67 $3.61 $3.79 $4.56 $4.56
Debt/Share $21.96 $20.62 $20.72 $21.97 $21.75 $21.66 $21.31 $22.12 $23.09 $23.98 $18.51 $14.55 $14.52 $15.31 $15.62 $16.14 $17.27 $17.12 $17.06 $16.92 $16.92
Net Debt/Share $21.96 $20.62 $20.70 $20.59 $20.52 $20.55 $20.59 $22.11 $23.07 $23.04 $15.33 $13.37 $14.14 $15.28 $15.61 $16.11 $17.26 $17.11 $16.75 $16.66 $16.66
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.710
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 2.570
Piotroski F-Score 6 5 5 8 8 7 7 6 7 6 6 7 5 4 5 3 4 6 6 7 7
Beneish M-Score -1.78 -1.84 -2.05 -2.56 -2.40 -2.46 -2.06 -2.31 -2.51 -2.51 -2.64 -2.41 -2.42 -2.41 -2.68 -2.58 -2.64 -2.77 -2.70 -2.62 -2.621
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -7.449
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-17.17
EVA snapshot only $215278947.37
Credit
Metric Trend Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only B-
Credit Score 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.000
Credit Grade snapshot only 16
Credit Trend snapshot only 0.000
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 900.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 66
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 40

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