PTON NASDAQ
Peloton Interactive, Inc.
1W: +0.4%
1M: +6.7%
3M: -19.9%
YTD: -14.2%
1Y: -30.0%
3Y: +9.6%
5Y: -94.0%
$5.30
+0.05 (+0.95%)
After Hours: $5.28 (-0.02, -0.38%)
Weekly Expected Move ±6.4%
$5
$5
$5
$6
$6
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 76% of companies Debt: 43.5% of company value Bonds: $106.0M held by 15 funds → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the third-riskiest tenth, about 1 in 140 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $0.32 (down 94%), Peloton Interactive, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $1.71B against a stock market value of $2.22B.
Distance to default 2.92 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $654.5M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 61.3%; Altman Z -1.11. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $0.32 (down 94%), Peloton Interactive, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $1.71B against a stock market value of $2.22B.
Distance to default 2.92 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $654.5M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 61.3%; Altman Z -1.11. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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Short Interest
Supply Chain
Oct Typical
☀️
Sunny
+23.9% YTD avg
Midterm Year
⛈️
Stormy
-78.2% YTD avg
2026 Now
⛈️
Stormy
Below typical
20yr Avg YTD
+23.9%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
-78.2%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
-13.4%
Below 20yr avg
Typical Vol
77%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
💨
+7.5%
Midterm
⛈️
-20.4%
29% win
76% vol
Feb
20yr
⛈️
-3.6%
Midterm
⛈️
-24.1%
14% win
100% vol
Mar
20yr
⛈️
-8.7%
Midterm
⛈️
-24.9%
14% win
82% vol
Apr
20yr
⛈️
-23.1%
Midterm
⛈️
-46.8%
43% win
72% vol
May
20yr
💨
-17.4%
Midterm
⛈️
-63.2%
71% win
89% vol
Jun
20yr
💨
-10.7%
Midterm
⛈️
-74.1%
43% win
66% vol
Jul
20yr
💨
-2.6%
Midterm
⛈️
-69.5%
86% win
75% vol
Aug
20yr
⛈️
-0.5%
Midterm
⛈️
-71.0%
57% win
93% vol
Sep
20yr
⛈️
+10.4%
Midterm
⛈️
-80.3%
38% win
71% vol
Oct
20yr
💨
+25.8%
Midterm
⛈️
-76.1%
62% win
77% vol
Now:
+6.2%
Nov
20yr
💨
+23.1%
Midterm
⛈️
-67.7%
71% win
98% vol
Dec
20yr
⛈️
-7.9%
Midterm
⛈️
-30.2%
29% win
74% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: -13.4%