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QCP NYSE

Quality Care Properties, Inc.
1W: +1.1% 1M: -5.3% 3M: -4.4% 1Y: +20.2%
$20.74
Last traded 2018-07-26 — delisted
NYSE · Real Estate · REIT - Healthcare Facilities

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
54.2 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Switching Costs  ·  ROIC: 2.1%
Cost Advantage
41
Intangibles
47
Switching Cost
78
Network Effect
43
Scale
55
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. QCP shows a Weak competitive edge (54.2/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Switching Costs. ROIC of 2.1% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 34 Grade D
Profitability
40
Balance Sheet
42
Earnings Quality
56
Growth
52
Value
58
Momentum
50
Safety
15
Cash Flow
53
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. QCP scores highest in Value (58/100) and lowest in Safety (15/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
0.39
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
4/9
✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓
Beneish M-Score
3.42
Possible Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-7.23
Bankruptcy prob: 0.1%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
B+
Score: 31.7/100
Trend: Improving
Earnings Quality
—
OCF/NI: -0.19x
Accruals: -12.9%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. QCP scores 0.39, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. QCP scores 4/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. QCP's score of 3.42 exceeds the −1.78 red flag threshold — this does not confirm manipulation but indicates the earnings profile resembles past manipulators statistically. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. QCP's implied 0.1% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. QCP receives an estimated rating of B+ (score: 31.7/100), with a improving trend.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
-4.38x
PEG
0.01x
P/S
0.00x
P/B
0.75x
P/FCF
18.99x
P/OCF
18.99x
EV/EBITDA
13.16x
EV/Revenue
11.52x
EV/EBIT
-9.06x
EV/FCF
33.71x
Earnings Yield
-27.53%
FCF Yield
5.27%
Shareholder Yield
0.05%
Graham Number
—
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. QCP currently has negative earnings — the P/E ratio is not meaningful.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
1.004
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
1.399
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
-1.272
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.061
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
1.630
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
-17.7%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. QCP's ROE of -17.7% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.061), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue. A tax burden ratio of 1.00 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
—
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 444 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$20.74
Median 1Y
$20.23
5th Pctile
$10.51
95th Pctile
$38.93
Ann. Volatility
38.9%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Current
ROE -3.5% -2.2% -16.9% -18.3% -15.7% -17.7% -17.71%
ROA -2.2% -1.4% -10.1% -10.9% -9.7% -10.9% -10.87%
ROIC 1.1% 2.2% 3.1% 3.4% 2.8% 2.1% 2.09%
ROCE -2.0% -0.5% -8.4% -8.4% -6.9% -8.2% -8.20%
Gross Margin 99.4% 99.5% 98.7% 98.9% 99.6% 85.0% 85.00%
Operating Margin 59.4% 60.4% 40.5% 30.8% 38.4% 39.0% 39.02%
Net Margin -1.0% 32.7% -4.9% -60.9% -86.1% -27.5% -27.47%
EBITDA Margin 90.5% 91.1% 90.0% 87.1% 93.6% 79.5% 79.53%
FCF Margin 81.1% 72.3% 59.3% 58.9% 43.4% 34.2% 34.18%
OCF Margin 81.1% 72.3% 59.3% 58.9% 43.4% 34.2% 34.18%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 1.92%
Cash ROA snapshot only 2.18%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 2.40%
CROIC snapshot only 2.40%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 29.74%
Pretax Margin snapshot only -1.78%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 9.97%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 3.01%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Current
P/E Ratio -13.85 -25.98 -3.78 -2.98 -2.91 -3.63 -4.376
P/S Ratio 14.01 8.17 5.80 4.13 4.06 6.49 0.000
P/B Ratio 0.48 0.57 0.64 0.55 0.50 0.71 0.747
P/FCF 17.27 11.30 9.78 7.01 9.35 18.99 18.991
P/OCF 17.27 11.30 9.78 7.01 9.35 18.99 18.991
EV/EBITDA 32.41 16.63 11.93 9.17 9.45 13.16 13.163
EV/Revenue 29.33 15.10 10.81 8.25 8.57 11.52 11.523
EV/EBIT -32.08 -139.75 -8.56 -7.81 -9.07 -9.06 -9.059
EV/FCF 36.16 20.88 18.22 14.02 19.75 33.71 33.710
Earnings Yield -7.2% -3.8% -26.5% -33.6% -34.3% -27.5% -27.53%
FCF Yield 5.8% 8.9% 10.2% 14.3% 10.7% 5.3% 5.27%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.008
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 0.745
EV/OCF snapshot only 33.710
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 12.085
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 30.605
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 0.05%
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Current
Current Ratio 3.72 5.06 12.54 7.53 11.43 17.74 17.739
Quick Ratio 3.99 5.06 13.61 8.08 12.21 17.74 17.739
Debt/Equity 0.56 0.56 0.66 0.66 0.68 0.68 0.683
Net Debt/Equity 0.52 0.49 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.546
Debt/Assets 0.36 0.35 0.39 0.39 0.40 0.40 0.402
Debt/EBITDA 18.28 8.73 6.59 5.57 6.10 7.18 7.183
Net Debt/EBITDA 16.93 7.63 5.53 4.58 4.98 5.75 5.747
Interest Coverage — -0.68 -5.36 -3.54 -2.14 -2.50 -2.504
Equity Multiplier 1.58 1.57 1.66 1.68 1.69 1.70 1.699
Cash Ratio snapshot only 8.778
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 1.724
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.200
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.054
Defensive Interval snapshot only 834.0 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Current
Asset Turnover 0.02 0.04 0.07 0.08 0.07 0.06 0.061
Inventory Turnover — — — — — — —
Receivables Turnover 31.42 — 100.07 129.56 110.63 254.84 254.843
Payables Turnover 0.15 0.13 0.35 0.29 0.33 1.44 1.441
DSO 12 0 4 3 3 1 1.4 days
DIO -5633 0 -4023 -2955 -2438 0 0.0 days
DPO 2433 2792 1034 1262 1090 253 253.3 days
Cash Conversion Cycle -8055 -2792 -5054 -4215 -3525 -252 -251.9 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 0.795
Capital Intensity snapshot only 15.648
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Current
Revenue — — — — 2.1% 29.6% 29.63%
Net Income — — — — -3.2% -6.4% -6.37%
EPS — — — — -3.2% -6.4% -6.37%
FCF — — — — 64.5% -38.7% -38.70%
EBITDA — — — — 2.1% 25.0% 24.98%
Op. Income — — — — 1.3% -18.6% -18.56%
OCF Growth snapshot only -38.70%
Asset Growth snapshot only -9.24%
Equity Growth snapshot only -16.05%
Debt Growth snapshot only 2.87%
Shares Change snapshot only 0.03%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 3.27%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Current
Revenue Stability — — — — — — —
Earnings Stability — — — — — — —
Margin Stability — — — — — — —
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 1 1 0
Earnings Persistence — — — — — — —
Earnings Smoothness — — — — — — —
ROE Trend — — — — — — —
Gross Margin Trend — — — — — — —
FCF Margin Trend — — — — — — —
Sustainable Growth Rate — — — — — — —
Internal Growth Rate — — — — — — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Current
OCF/Net Income -0.80 -2.30 -0.39 -0.42 -0.31 -0.19 -0.191
FCF/OCF 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
FCF/Net Income snapshot only -0.191
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.390
CapEx/Revenue 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.000
Accruals Ratio -0.04 -0.05 -0.14 -0.16 -0.13 -0.13 -0.129
Sloan Accruals snapshot only 0.078
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 299.319
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio — — — — — — —
FCF Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.33%
Total Payout Ratio — — — — — — —
Div. Increase Streak — 0 0 0 0 1 0
Chowder Number — — — — — 3.27 3.267
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.03%
Net Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.03%
Total Shareholder Return 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.05%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.99 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.004
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.11 2.92 1.22 1.31 1.47 1.40 1.399
EBIT Margin -0.91 -0.11 -1.26 -1.06 -0.94 -1.27 -1.272
Asset Turnover 0.02 0.04 0.07 0.08 0.07 0.06 0.061
Equity Multiplier 1.58 1.57 1.66 1.68 1.63 1.63 1.630
Per Share
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-1.12 $-0.73 $-4.84 $-5.21 $-4.74 $-5.35 $-5.35
Book Value/Share $32.43 $32.84 $28.74 $28.39 $27.76 $27.56 $27.77
Tangible Book/Share $30.12 $30.76 $26.91 $26.62 $25.91 $26.09 $26.09
Revenue/Share $1.11 $2.31 $3.16 $3.76 $3.40 $2.99 $3.40
FCF/Share $0.90 $1.67 $1.87 $2.21 $1.48 $1.02 $1.48
OCF/Share $0.90 $1.67 $1.87 $2.21 $1.48 $1.02 $1.48
Cash/Share $1.35 $2.30 $3.02 $3.33 $3.48 $3.76 $3.48
EBITDA/Share $1.00 $2.10 $2.86 $3.38 $3.08 $2.62 $2.62
Debt/Share $18.31 $18.30 $18.83 $18.83 $18.83 $18.82 $18.82
Net Debt/Share $16.96 $16.00 $15.81 $15.49 $15.35 $15.06 $15.06
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — 0.395
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 1.076
Piotroski F-Score 3 3 3 3 5 4 4
Beneish M-Score — — — — -3.50 3.42 3.415
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -7.235
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only -53.06%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-11.67
EVA snapshot only $-315637300.00
Credit
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only B+
Credit Score 58.40 27.15 27.55 33.25 29.56 31.69 31.685
Credit Grade snapshot only 14
Credit Trend snapshot only 4.532
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 650.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 34
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 20

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms