QSR NYSE
Restaurant Brands International Inc.
1W: +0.2%
1M: +4.0%
3M: -0.5%
YTD: +9.8%
1Y: +10.4%
3Y: +20.8%
5Y: +40.6%
$73.99
-0.49 (-0.66%)
After Hours: $72.86 (-1.13, -1.53%)
Weekly Expected Move ±2.8%
$71
$73
$75
$78
$80
Credit Risk of going bust: lower than 73% of companies Debt: 37.6% of company value Bonds: $1.11B held by 396 funds, 120 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the safest four tenths, about 1 in 3,500 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $1.94 (down 97%), Restaurant Brands International Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $15.65B against a stock market value of $25.98B.
Distance to default 8.16 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $6.90B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 24.2%; Altman Z'' 1.17. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $1.94 (down 97%), Restaurant Brands International Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $15.65B against a stock market value of $25.98B.
Distance to default 8.16 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $6.90B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 24.2%; Altman Z'' 1.17. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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Weather
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Institutions
ETF Exposure
Dark Pool
Short Interest
Supply Chain
Oct Typical
☀️
Sunny
+8.8% YTD avg
Midterm Year
🌧️
Rainy
-4.5% YTD avg
2026 Now
☀️
Sunny
Tracking typical
20yr Avg YTD
+8.8%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
-4.5%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
+9.1%
Above 20yr avg
Typical Vol
24%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
🌧️
+0.5%
Midterm
🌧️
-4.7%
25% win
26% vol
Feb
20yr
☀️
+3.8%
Midterm
⛈️
-6.7%
67% win
30% vol
Mar
20yr
🌫️
+3.0%
Midterm
⛈️
-5.4%
75% win
47% vol
Apr
20yr
⛅
+6.7%
Midterm
⛈️
-8.6%
67% win
33% vol
May
20yr
⛅
+7.6%
Midterm
⛈️
-8.5%
58% win
22% vol
Jun
20yr
☁️
+8.8%
Midterm
⛈️
-7.1%
50% win
23% vol
Jul
20yr
☀️
+11.9%
Midterm
🌧️
-2.2%
75% win
23% vol
Aug
20yr
🌧️
+9.8%
Midterm
🌧️
-2.7%
42% win
24% vol
Sep
20yr
🌧️
+8.1%
Midterm
⛈️
-5.8%
42% win
24% vol
Oct
20yr
☁️
+6.7%
Midterm
⛈️
-5.5%
50% win
24% vol
Now:
+4.1%
Nov
20yr
☀️
+11.1%
Midterm
⛅
+4.6%
73% win
26% vol
Dec
20yr
⛅
+0.9%
Midterm
⛈️
-1.6%
50% win
24% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: +9.1%