— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: RCI-B.TO (TSX) · $vol 72M · RCI-A.TO (TSX) · $vol 0M · RCIAF (OTC) · $vol 0M

RCI NYSE

Rogers Communications Inc.
1W: -1.5% 1M: +1.1% 3M: -8.7% YTD: -16.2% 1Y: -18.4% 3Y: -5.5% 5Y: -23.9%
$31.77
-0.57 (-1.76%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±4.5%
$29 $31 $32 $34 $35
NYSE · Communication Services · Telecommunications Services · Tech Score Neutral · Power 55 · $17.2B mcap · 481M float · 0.282% daily turnover · Short 51% of daily vol
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 54% of companies Debt: 66.0% of company value Bonds: $834.7M held by 583 funds, 126 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
If the stock fell to about $2.64 (down 92%), Rogers Communications Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $33.33B against a stock market value of $17.16B.
Distance to default 4.76 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-09-30, debt counted $18.04B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 28.6%; Altman Z'' 0.78. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$35
Low
$35
Avg Target
$36
High
Based on 3 analyst ratings (12 mo)
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 11Hold: 13Sell: 1Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusHold
Avg Target$35.00
Analysts1
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2026-10-13 Barclays Lauren Bonham $36 $35 -1 +17.1% $29.90
2026-07-16 Barclays — $37 $36 -1 +6.3% $33.86
2026-01-27 Barclays — $46 $37 -9 +1.4% $36.49
2024-09-19 BMO Capital Tim Casey Initiated $70 — +74.2% $40.19
2024-04-10 Barclays Lauren Bonham Initiated $46 — +14.0% $40.35

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

C+
Oct 27, 2026
DCF
2
ROE
2
ROA
2
D/E
1
P/E
2
P/B
3
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. RCI receives an overall rating of C+. Areas of concern: DCF (2/5), ROE (2/5), ROA (2/5), D/E (1/5), P/E (2/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-10-26 A- C+
2026-10-22 B+ A-
2026-10-12 A- B+
2026-10-01 B+ A-
2026-08-12 A- B+
2026-02-17 A A-
2026-02-12 A- A
2026-02-09 A A-
2026-02-06 A- A
2026-02-04 A A-

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ — Grade C
Profitability
34
Balance Sheet
18
Earnings Quality
63
Growth
27
Value
—
Momentum
59
Safety
—
Cash Flow
65

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
—
—
Piotroski F-Score
5/9
✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-2.22
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-6.64
Bankruptcy prob: 0.1%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BB-
Score: 39.5/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
75/100
OCF/NI: 7.16x
Accruals: -6.0%
The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. RCI scores 5/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. RCI's score of -2.22 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. RCI's implied 0.1% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. RCI receives an estimated rating of BB- (score: 39.5/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). RCI's score of 75/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
25.67x
PEG
-0.30x
P/S
1.06x
P/B
1.46x
P/FCF
—
P/OCF
—
EV/EBITDA
—
EV/Revenue
—
EV/EBIT
—
EV/FCF
—
Earnings Yield
—
FCF Yield
—
Shareholder Yield
—
Graham Number
$33.52
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 25.7x earnings, RCI commands a growth premium. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $33.52 per share, suggesting a potential 6% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.514
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.335
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.227
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.248
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
5.439
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
5.3%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. RCI's ROE of 5.3% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 5.44x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance. A tax burden ratio of 0.51 suggests the company retains less than 60% of pre-tax earnings after taxes.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
5.45%
Fair P/E
19.41x
Intrinsic Value
$31.66
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with RCI's realized 5.5% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. RCI trades at a premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $31.66, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 19.4x compares to the current market P/E of 25.7x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$31.78
Median 1Y
$29.85
5th Pctile
$19.61
95th Pctile
$45.56
Ann. Volatility
26.0%
Analyst Target
$35.00
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical Analyst target

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
—
Revenue / Employee
—
Rev: $21,694,306,000
Profit / Employee
—
NI: $6,888,382,000
SGA / Employee
—
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
ROE 12.3% 11.9% 12.8% 12.1% 12.4% 12.5% 9.9% 7.1% 6.7% 5.4% 7.9% 13.5% 16.6% 16.6% 13.9% 47.8% 49.0% 49.2% 44.4% 5.3% 5.27%
ROA 3.1% 2.7% 2.9% 2.6% 2.6% 2.4% 1.8% 1.2% 1.1% 0.9% 1.3% 2.1% 2.5% 2.5% 2.1% 8.5% 8.5% 8.6% 7.4% 1.0% 0.97%
ROIC 5.9% 4.3% 4.6% 4.5% 4.6% 4.6% 3.8% 2.6% 2.9% 3.1% 3.8% 6.1% 6.6% 6.6% 7.1% 7.6% 7.5% 7.4% 7.6% 4.8% 4.82%
ROCE 7.2% 5.2% 5.6% 5.5% 5.8% 6.0% 4.4% 4.1% 4.8% 5.1% 6.1% 7.2% 7.5% 7.1% 6.2% 12.8% 13.1% 13.6% 14.3% 6.8% 6.78%
Gross Margin 22.0% 24.7% 24.7% 25.1% 24.7% 26.6% 20.5% 47.3% 43.7% 45.2% 45.7% 49.6% 46.2% 45.3% 45.3% 47.0% 43.6% 43.1% 22.2% 24.5% 24.49%
Operating Margin 22.0% 24.7% 24.7% 25.1% 24.7% 26.6% 20.5% 0.0% 21.7% 21.7% 23.3% 27.1% 24.8% 21.9% 22.6% 24.0% 23.8% 20.9% 22.2% 24.5% 24.49%
Net Margin 10.3% 10.8% 10.6% 9.9% 12.2% 13.3% 2.2% -1.9% 6.1% 5.2% 7.7% 10.3% 10.2% 5.6% 3.0% 1.1% 11.4% 8.0% -12.9% 8.9% 8.86%
EBITDA Margin 36.9% 40.8% 40.1% 40.5% 39.6% 42.4% 37.6% 34.2% 42.3% 41.4% 43.6% 47.3% 44.3% 42.3% 39.3% 1.5% 43.0% 44.6% 44.1% 46.8% 46.83%
FCF Margin 11.3% 10.9% 12.9% 11.1% 11.7% 6.5% 6.2% 7.2% 6.6% 8.9% 7.9% 9.1% 7.3% 8.2% 9.5% 7.0% 10.4% 11.8% 11.9% 15.0% 14.98%
OCF Margin 35.7% 36.5% 38.7% 38.4% 38.5% 35.6% 35.8% 33.7% 30.6% 31.1% 28.3% 29.0% 27.6% 28.0% 28.5% 24.3% 26.4% 26.6% 25.8% 28.0% 28.05%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 19.50%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 15.57%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 3.55%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 4.79%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 4.62%
Cash ROA snapshot only 6.82%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 10.51%
CROIC snapshot only 5.61%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 12.87%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 7.62%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
P/E Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 25.672
P/S Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.063
P/B Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.459
P/FCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
P/OCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBITDA — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/Revenue — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBIT — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/FCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Earnings Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Graham Number snapshot only $33.52
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
Current Ratio 0.68 2.39 2.49 2.39 2.02 1.91 0.65 0.90 0.89 0.77 0.65 0.68 0.66 1.00 1.70 0.62 0.61 0.55 0.55 0.67 0.668
Quick Ratio 0.61 2.32 2.43 2.35 1.97 1.85 0.60 0.85 0.84 0.72 0.60 0.64 0.61 0.94 1.64 0.59 0.57 0.53 0.51 0.64 0.637
Debt/Equity 2.17 3.25 3.35 3.86 3.64 3.65 3.99 4.42 4.33 4.34 4.36 4.08 4.58 4.64 4.05 2.56 2.49 2.49 2.76 2.82 2.821
Net Debt/Equity 2.09 3.18 3.29 3.79 3.53 3.59 3.96 4.19 4.25 4.26 4.31 4.00 4.49 4.39 3.43 2.47 2.41 2.42 2.66 2.63 2.630
Debt/Assets 0.54 0.66 0.66 0.68 0.66 0.67 0.66 0.68 0.65 0.66 0.67 0.66 0.67 0.67 0.59 0.48 0.49 0.50 0.51 0.50 0.504
Debt/EBITDA 5.07 7.87 7.64 8.06 7.83 8.00 9.34 8.67 6.81 6.17 5.62 5.14 5.23 5.38 5.04 3.02 3.03 3.01 2.98 4.65 4.654
Net Debt/EBITDA 4.89 7.70 7.50 7.91 7.58 7.88 9.27 8.22 6.68 6.06 5.55 5.05 5.13 5.08 4.27 2.92 2.94 2.92 2.87 4.34 4.339
Interest Coverage 2.84 2.81 2.58 2.23 2.19 2.19 1.75 1.45 1.41 1.30 1.54 1.85 1.94 1.96 1.87 4.31 4.52 4.77 5.01 2.41 2.407
Equity Multiplier 3.98 4.95 5.06 5.67 5.51 5.42 6.03 6.54 6.64 6.54 6.53 6.19 6.86 6.88 6.88 5.29 5.07 5.00 5.45 5.59 5.592
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.184
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 4.720
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.068
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.072
Defensive Interval snapshot only 1368.1 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.29 0.25 0.26 0.25 0.24 0.21 0.20 0.23 0.27 0.30 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.28 0.26 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.25 0.248
Inventory Turnover 17.81 17.98 19.59 24.61 18.05 15.86 18.97 25.68 24.15 21.49 21.08 23.65 20.03 20.64 20.94 23.83 19.98 24.00 25.05 29.16 29.160
Receivables Turnover 3.48 3.62 3.50 3.25 2.91 3.02 3.14 3.67 3.72 4.28 4.47 4.43 3.93 4.14 4.06 4.01 3.75 4.04 4.01 3.90 3.897
Payables Turnover 3.37 3.45 3.16 2.86 2.62 3.04 2.90 2.89 2.84 3.40 3.10 2.96 2.71 2.98 2.95 2.81 2.68 3.03 3.33 3.30 3.304
DSO 105 101 104 112 126 121 116 99 98 85 82 82 93 88 90 91 97 90 91 94 93.7 days
DIO 20 20 19 15 20 23 19 14 15 17 17 15 18 18 17 15 18 15 15 13 12.5 days
DPO 108 106 115 128 139 120 126 126 128 107 118 123 135 122 124 130 136 120 110 110 110.5 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 17 15 7 -0 6 24 10 -13 -15 -5 -19 -26 -24 -17 -17 -24 -21 -15 -4 -4 -4.3 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 0.862
Operating Cycle snapshot only 106.2 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 7.136
Capital Intensity snapshot only 4.110
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
Revenue 12.6% 9.8% 5.2% 2.2% 0.2% -1.3% 4.5% 26.6% 46.2% 64.7% 64.4% 38.2% 20.7% 8.1% 1.9% 2.8% 5.4% 7.4% 8.7% 7.4% 7.38%
Net Income 4.2% 2.9% 5.6% -4.0% 2.9% 5.9% -17.5% -39.6% -45.9% -57.6% -20.3% 1.0% 1.5% 2.1% 73.0% 3.5% 3.0% 3.0% 3.1% -86.9% -86.90%
EPS 4.1% 2.7% 5.4% -4.0% 2.6% 5.9% -21.1% -42.3% -48.1% -59.7% -20.9% 1.0% 1.4% 2.1% 71.4% 3.5% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% -87.0% -86.97%
FCF -30.6% -25.7% 32.6% 3.1% 3.9% -41.4% -49.9% -17.7% -18.1% 1.2% 1.1% 75.2% 34.3% -0.2% 22.0% -20.9% 49.1% 54.5% 36.7% 1.3% 1.28%
EBITDA 4.9% 3.0% 4.5% 1.2% 4.2% 2.9% 4.1% 20.9% 41.3% 58.2% 66.8% 59.9% 37.3% 23.0% 9.2% 60.6% 60.1% 62.6% 70.4% -30.0% -29.95%
Op. Income 8.6% 8.4% 9.5% 5.6% 10.3% 7.1% 2.7% -18.6% -7.0% 2.3% 14.8% 1.1% 86.0% 67.5% 47.0% 2.4% 0.3% 0.9% 2.6% 5.0% 4.98%
OCF Growth snapshot only 23.84%
Asset Growth snapshot only 3.53%
Equity Growth snapshot only -2.08%
Debt Growth snapshot only 7.93%
Shares Change snapshot only 0.56%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 60.42%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
Revenue 3Y -8.3% -7.9% -7.6% -8.1% -6.3% -3.6% 2.5% 12.1% 18.2% 21.3% 21.8% 21.4% 20.9% 20.7% 20.5% 21.6% 23.0% 24.1% 22.1% 15.1% 15.09%
Revenue 5Y -3.2% -3.2% -3.2% -3.1% -3.3% -3.8% -2.7% 0.0% 2.5% 4.9% 6.3% 6.3% 7.8% 9.8% 12.5% 14.9% 16.0% 15.7% 14.9% 14.5% 14.55%
EPS 3Y -15.1% -14.0% -13.3% -15.9% -12.9% -9.3% -9.2% -16.2% -17.8% -24.0% -13.0% 3.8% 9.0% 9.4% 2.3% 73.2% 71.8% 70.1% 76.4% 5.5% 5.45%
EPS 5Y 6.1% 7.5% 5.7% -1.2% -6.0% -6.2% -10.7% -18.3% -20.1% -23.0% -16.4% -7.1% -3.5% -1.6% 0.3% 39.6% 40.2% 39.9% 35.5% -8.3% -8.25%
Net Income 3Y -15.6% -14.5% -13.7% -16.3% -13.0% -9.3% -7.8% -15.0% -16.6% -22.7% -11.5% 5.8% 11.9% 11.6% 4.4% 76.9% 75.6% 74.0% 77.5% 6.3% 6.31%
Net Income 5Y 8.7% 7.1% 5.3% -1.6% -6.3% -6.6% -10.2% -17.9% -19.7% -22.5% -15.8% -6.3% -2.2% -0.4% 1.6% 41.3% 42.1% 41.9% 37.2% -7.0% -6.98%
EBITDA 3Y -8.0% -7.7% -7.3% -8.5% -6.6% -4.1% 1.9% 9.7% 15.6% 18.8% 22.0% 25.1% 26.5% 26.0% 23.8% 45.9% 45.9% 46.8% 45.9% 21.6% 21.62%
EBITDA 5Y 1.1% 1.2% 1.3% -6.7% -8.0% -8.3% -7.4% -0.2% 2.8% 5.1% 6.7% 8.2% 9.6% 11.4% 14.0% 27.6% 27.7% 27.4% 27.5% 17.1% 17.10%
Gross Profit 3Y -24.0% -22.9% -22.1% -23.1% -18.6% -13.4% -4.0% 25.5% 37.4% 45.2% 52.0% 52.3% 54.2% 52.2% 49.6% 50.8% 50.3% 50.1% 43.7% 17.3% 17.34%
Gross Profit 5Y -12.2% -11.7% -11.0% -11.7% -11.5% -11.8% -12.0% -4.1% 1.0% 5.3% 8.7% 8.7% 12.4% 16.4% 23.6% 32.4% 32.4% 31.5% 27.3% 23.3% 23.30%
Op. Income 3Y -11.4% -9.6% -8.4% -9.4% -6.3% -3.7% 2.8% -1.2% 3.6% 5.9% 8.9% 21.6% 24.0% 22.4% 20.1% 20.4% 20.1% 20.0% 20.1% 31.0% 31.01%
Op. Income 5Y -1.0% -0.9% -0.5% -12.1% -12.0% -12.2% -12.3% -8.7% -6.5% -4.1% -2.0% 4.8% 7.3% 8.9% 12.9% 15.6% 15.7% 15.0% 14.3% 14.1% 14.10%
FCF 3Y -3.0% -5.9% 1.5% -5.0% -5.0% -21.8% -28.9% -18.3% -16.1% -0.7% 11.8% 14.1% 4.6% 9.5% 8.7% 4.5% 17.9% 51.3% 52.0% 46.8% 46.84%
FCF 5Y -1.5% -4.5% 0.3% -4.2% -1.0% -14.2% -14.2% -6.9% -4.9% 1.9% 1.9% 4.4% -1.2% 1.4% -1.6% -5.4% 3.4% 8.6% 18.4% 21.8% 21.84%
OCF 3Y -1.0% -0.8% 1.4% 0.6% 1.8% -0.7% -1.1% 5.3% 8.2% 15.7% 19.1% 16.4% 10.9% 10.5% 8.8% 4.4% 8.4% 12.6% 9.4% 8.3% 8.28%
OCF 5Y 1.0% 1.7% 4.7% 3.2% 2.7% -0.4% -0.0% 2.6% 4.0% 6.2% 5.6% 6.1% 5.9% 6.6% 5.2% 3.6% 6.8% 9.0% 11.2% 11.0% 11.00%
Assets 3Y 9.5% 18.4% 15.5% 15.0% 14.6% 11.9% 21.9% 22.5% 21.3% 22.8% 22.5% 20.6% 19.4% 9.9% 12.1% 17.8% 17.3% 17.1% 9.0% 8.9% 8.93%
Assets 5Y 8.2% 14.4% 14.0% 14.1% 14.0% 13.2% 18.2% 18.8% 16.8% 15.9% 14.3% 14.1% 14.0% 12.8% 14.9% 18.1% 18.3% 19.2% 19.1% 18.5% 18.46%
Equity 3Y 8.8% 10.4% 7.1% 0.1% 2.3% 0.5% 5.1% 3.0% 2.9% 1.7% 1.7% 2.3% -0.4% -1.5% 1.2% 20.6% 20.7% 20.3% 12.7% 14.8% 14.80%
Book Value 3Y 9.4% 11.0% 7.6% 0.5% 2.5% 0.4% 3.4% 1.5% 1.4% 0.0% -0.1% 0.3% -3.0% -3.5% -0.8% 18.1% 18.1% 17.6% 12.0% 13.9% 13.87%
Dividend 3Y 2.4% 2.5% 2.3% 2.3% 0.1% -0.0% -1.5% -1.1% -3.1% -5.6% -8.1% -11.6% -10.7% -8.4% -5.6% -2.1% 7.1% 10.3% 14.7% 16.3% 16.34%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.41 0.52 0.51 0.38 0.45 0.63 0.33 0.00 0.02 0.08 0.14 0.24 0.42 0.56 0.72 0.87 0.91 0.87 0.85 0.93 0.932
Earnings Stability 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.21 0.61 0.72 0.77 0.82 0.84 0.83 0.81 0.27 0.09 0.06 0.04 0.43 0.45 0.44 0.43 0.13 0.127
Margin Stability 0.74 0.76 0.75 0.70 0.72 0.75 0.76 0.75 0.72 0.71 0.66 0.70 0.70 0.71 0.67 0.67 0.69 0.70 0.68 0.73 0.729
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.98 0.99 0.98 0.98 0.99 0.98 0.93 0.84 0.82 0.50 0.92 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness 0.96 0.97 0.95 0.96 0.97 0.94 0.81 0.51 0.40 0.19 0.77 0.31 0.14 0.00 0.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
ROE Trend -0.05 -0.04 -0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 -0.03 -0.06 -0.06 -0.07 -0.03 0.04 0.07 0.07 0.05 0.30 0.27 0.28 0.26 -0.21 -0.213
Gross Margin Trend -0.08 -0.06 -0.02 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.00 0.08 0.13 0.16 0.21 0.18 0.16 0.14 0.12 0.07 0.04 0.01 -0.07 -0.12 -0.123
FCF Margin Trend -0.04 -0.03 -0.01 -0.04 -0.03 -0.07 -0.05 -0.04 -0.05 0.00 -0.02 -0.00 -0.02 0.01 0.02 -0.01 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.07 0.069
Sustainable Growth Rate 2.3% 2.4% 3.1% 2.1% 2.6% 3.0% 0.8% -2.8% -2.6% -3.1% 0.5% 6.8% 9.5% 9.6% 7.2% 42.5% 42.1% 41.9% 36.2% -1.9% -1.92%
Internal Growth Rate 0.6% 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 0.1% — — — 0.1% 1.1% 1.4% 1.5% 1.1% 8.1% 7.9% 7.9% 6.4% — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 3.36 3.40 3.44 3.69 3.53 3.09 4.03 6.78 7.58 10.49 6.58 3.94 3.28 3.30 3.89 0.76 0.83 0.84 0.94 7.16 7.160
FCF/OCF 0.32 0.30 0.33 0.29 0.31 0.18 0.17 0.21 0.22 0.29 0.28 0.32 0.27 0.29 0.33 0.29 0.39 0.44 0.46 0.53 0.534
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 3.825
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.629
CapEx/Revenue 24.4% 25.5% 25.8% 27.3% 26.7% 29.1% 29.6% 26.5% 24.0% 22.2% 20.4% 19.8% 20.2% 19.8% 19.0% 17.3% 16.0% 14.8% 13.8% 13.1% 13.06%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.598
Accruals Ratio -0.07 -0.07 -0.07 -0.07 -0.07 -0.05 -0.05 -0.07 -0.07 -0.09 -0.07 -0.06 -0.06 -0.06 -0.06 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.00 -0.06 -0.060
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.053
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 1.523
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.750
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
Dividend Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 4.48%
Dividend/Share $2.00 $1.99 $1.99 $2.00 $1.99 $1.99 $1.91 $1.93 $1.81 $1.68 $1.55 $1.40 $1.35 $1.36 $1.37 $1.39 $1.79 $1.94 $2.11 $2.23 $2.00
Payout Ratio 81.6% 79.9% 75.5% 82.8% 79.3% 75.5% 91.7% 1.4% 1.4% 1.6% 94.1% 49.8% 42.6% 41.8% 48.7% 11.1% 14.1% 15.0% 18.4% 1.4% 1.36%
FCF Payout Ratio 76.6% 78.4% 65.9% 77.8% 73.7% 1.3% 1.3% 95.7% 85.5% 52.9% 51.2% 40.0% 49.0% 43.4% 37.5% 50.5% 43.1% 40.3% 42.2% 35.7% 35.68%
Total Payout Ratio 81.6% 79.9% 75.5% 82.8% 79.3% 75.5% 91.7% 1.4% 1.4% 1.6% 94.1% 49.8% 42.6% 41.8% 48.7% 11.1% 14.1% 15.0% 18.4% 1.4% 1.36%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Total Shareholder Return — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.74 0.74 0.64 0.60 0.58 0.63 0.71 0.75 0.75 0.71 0.91 0.90 0.89 0.87 0.51 0.514
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.71 0.70 0.69 0.65 0.64 0.66 0.57 0.45 0.40 0.32 0.39 0.50 0.52 0.52 0.50 0.78 0.79 0.79 0.68 0.34 0.335
EBIT Margin 0.21 0.21 0.22 0.22 0.23 0.24 0.21 0.17 0.17 0.16 0.17 0.21 0.21 0.22 0.20 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.46 0.23 0.227
Asset Turnover 0.29 0.25 0.26 0.25 0.24 0.21 0.20 0.23 0.27 0.30 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.28 0.26 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.25 0.248
Equity Multiplier 4.02 4.37 4.42 4.68 4.73 5.18 5.56 6.14 6.08 5.99 6.27 6.37 6.75 6.71 6.71 5.65 5.73 5.70 6.03 5.44 5.439
Per Share
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $2.44 $2.49 $2.64 $2.41 $2.51 $2.64 $2.08 $1.39 $1.30 $1.06 $1.65 $2.81 $3.17 $3.26 $2.82 $12.52 $12.71 $12.99 $11.42 $1.63 $1.63
Book Value/Share $20.80 $21.92 $21.34 $19.09 $19.87 $20.42 $21.82 $20.73 $19.73 $19.90 $19.88 $21.02 $19.02 $19.72 $20.82 $31.43 $32.73 $33.19 $30.68 $30.61 $42.07
Tangible Book/Share $-11.40 $-10.23 $-10.78 $-13.09 $-12.19 $-11.70 $-43.92 $-44.73 $-44.87 $-43.98 $-44.50 $-42.90 $-43.39 $-43.37 $-42.01 $-59.69 $-57.42 $-57.16 $-59.74 $-61.40 $-61.40
Revenue/Share $23.02 $23.22 $23.44 $23.12 $22.98 $22.91 $23.43 $27.99 $32.27 $35.90 $38.24 $38.17 $37.66 $38.37 $38.59 $39.00 $40.03 $40.92 $41.89 $41.65 $42.06
FCF/Share $2.61 $2.54 $3.02 $2.57 $2.70 $1.49 $1.45 $2.02 $2.12 $3.18 $3.02 $3.49 $2.76 $3.14 $3.66 $2.75 $4.15 $4.82 $4.99 $6.24 $6.31
OCF/Share $8.22 $8.47 $9.07 $8.88 $8.84 $8.15 $8.39 $9.43 $9.87 $11.16 $10.83 $11.05 $10.38 $10.75 $10.98 $9.48 $10.57 $10.88 $10.79 $11.68 $11.80
Cash/Share $1.65 $1.60 $1.31 $1.36 $2.27 $1.09 $0.68 $4.78 $1.66 $1.62 $1.04 $1.50 $1.64 $4.97 $12.92 $2.81 $2.48 $2.56 $3.20 $5.84 $5.84
EBITDA/Share $8.90 $9.04 $9.37 $9.14 $9.24 $9.30 $9.33 $10.57 $12.54 $14.00 $15.45 $16.68 $16.65 $17.03 $16.71 $26.64 $26.89 $27.49 $28.43 $18.55 $18.55
Debt/Share $45.13 $71.21 $71.58 $73.64 $72.33 $74.43 $87.14 $91.62 $85.44 $86.40 $86.78 $85.66 $87.07 $91.56 $84.24 $80.45 $81.46 $82.72 $84.66 $86.35 $86.35
Net Debt/Share $43.48 $69.61 $70.26 $72.28 $70.07 $73.34 $86.47 $86.84 $83.77 $84.78 $85.74 $84.17 $85.43 $86.59 $71.32 $77.65 $78.98 $80.16 $81.46 $80.51 $80.51
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Piotroski F-Score 6 5 5 5 5 6 4 6 6 6 5 7 6 7 6 4 5 4 5 5 5
Beneish M-Score -2.52 -2.68 -2.74 -2.67 -2.76 -2.61 -2.15 -2.32 -2.40 -2.46 -2.96 -2.69 -2.68 -2.67 -2.66 -2.13 -2.15 -2.19 -1.72 -2.22 -2.223
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -6.637
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-107.90
EVA snapshot only $-3117832503.38
Credit
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BB-
Credit Score 39.10 45.75 45.75 44.75 45.15 43.80 31.00 31.65 32.65 30.10 33.60 33.60 33.60 36.15 42.30 43.85 44.75 44.75 50.00 39.50 39.500
Credit Grade snapshot only 13
Credit Trend snapshot only -4.350
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 550.000

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