— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: RFGPF (OTC) · $vol 0M

RFG.AX ASX

Retail Food Group Limited
1W: -5.7% 1M: -8.3% 3M: +25.8% YTD: -14.5% 1Y: -31.5% 3Y: -52.8%
A$1.02 ($0.71)
-0.01 (-1.45%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±5.4%
A$1 A$1 A$1 A$1 A$1
ASX · Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants · Tech Score Sell · Power 43 · A$63.6M mcap · 31M float · 0.221% daily turnover

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B-
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
1
ROE
2
ROA
4
D/E
1
P/E
1
P/B
5
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. RFG.AX receives an overall rating of B-. Strongest factors: ROA (4/5), P/B (5/5). Areas of concern: DCF (1/5), ROE (2/5), D/E (1/5), P/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-08-28 B+ B-
2026-08-27 B- B+
2026-02-04 C+ B-

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 25 Grade D
Profitability
11
Balance Sheet
38
Earnings Quality
52
Growth
42
Value
33
Momentum
42
Safety
0
Cash Flow
48
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. RFG.AX scores highest in Earnings Quality (52/100) and lowest in Safety (0/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
-0.82
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
6/9
✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-2.69
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-5.66
Bankruptcy prob: 0.3%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
B-
Score: 20.2/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
—
OCF/NI: -1.50x
Accruals: -8.8%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. RFG.AX scores -0.82, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. RFG.AX scores 6/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. RFG.AX's score of -2.69 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. RFG.AX's implied 0.3% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. RFG.AX receives an estimated rating of B- (score: 20.2/100), with a deteriorating trend.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
56.15x
PEG
0.46x
P/S
0.51x
P/B
0.32x
P/FCF
3.10x
P/OCF
2.16x
EV/EBITDA
330.06x
EV/Revenue
0.53x
EV/EBIT
-10.22x
EV/FCF
9.70x
Earnings Yield
-30.75%
FCF Yield
32.29%
Shareholder Yield
0.00%
Graham Number
—
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 56.1x earnings, RFG.AX is priced for high growth expectations.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.748
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
1.342
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
-0.052
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.668
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
1.953
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
-6.8%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. RFG.AX's ROE of -6.8% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.668), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
—
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1110 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$1.00
Median 1Y
$0.69
5th Pctile
$0.28
95th Pctile
$1.69
Ann. Volatility
54.3%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
ROE 0.1% -0.5% -4.4% -2.2% -1.6% 2.6% -4.6% -5.7% -6.8% -6.84%
ROA 0.1% -0.3% -2.5% -1.3% -0.9% 1.4% -2.6% -3.2% -3.5% -3.50%
ROIC -0.1% -0.4% -3.6% -3.6% -3.7% -0.4% 2.3% 2.2% 3.0% 2.99%
ROCE 0.5% 0.8% -1.2% 1.2% 3.8% 6.6% 0.7% -1.7% -3.7% -3.70%
Gross Margin 49.3% 50.1% 47.5% 42.8% 39.4% 71.4% 31.3% 34.4% 35.0% 34.96%
Operating Margin -0.9% -1.5% -21.9% -0.4% -1.4% 15.3% -1.1% 1.2% 0.5% 0.45%
Net Margin 0.3% -1.9% -14.5% 7.3% 2.3% 10.5% -32.6% 2.9% -1.5% -1.51%
EBITDA Margin 10.6% 9.6% -3.6% 19.9% 20.1% 16.3% -27.9% 6.0% 7.0% 6.97%
FCF Margin 15.7% 12.8% 2.0% 4.0% 2.3% 3.2% 8.4% 5.4% 5.5% 5.51%
OCF Margin 18.7% 16.2% 5.3% 8.0% 6.0% 6.7% 11.7% 7.9% 7.9% 7.88%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only -2.82%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only -1.36%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 0.74%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 2.81%
Cash ROA snapshot only 4.94%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 7.12%
CROIC snapshot only 4.97%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 3.31%
Pretax Margin snapshot only -7.01%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 46.34%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.15%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
P/E Ratio 18106.70 -7569.02 -573.17 -1513.14 -2770.36 1337.20 -13.75 -8.47 -3.25 56.145
P/S Ratio 62.92 62.70 30.62 30.97 36.95 28.29 0.48 0.35 0.17 0.507
P/B Ratio 18.03 37.56 25.15 33.65 42.02 32.67 0.64 0.49 0.23 0.325
P/FCF 400.04 489.07 1499.75 772.12 1622.21 893.61 5.70 6.57 3.10 3.097
P/OCF 336.81 387.64 581.26 387.04 617.31 423.73 4.09 4.44 2.16 2.163
EV/EBITDA 612.48 630.44 559.68 336.72 308.26 206.83 12.95 25.47 330.06 330.056
EV/Revenue 64.81 63.61 31.16 31.38 37.34 28.66 0.86 0.93 0.53 0.534
EV/EBIT 2575.64 3344.91 -1417.37 1852.27 745.76 334.78 116.99 -55.12 -10.22 -10.225
EV/FCF 412.02 496.22 1526.14 782.30 1639.47 905.21 10.24 17.33 9.70 9.702
Earnings Yield 0.0% -0.0% -0.2% -0.1% -0.0% 0.1% -7.3% -11.8% -30.7% -30.75%
FCF Yield 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 17.5% 15.2% 32.3% 32.29%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.458
EV/OCF snapshot only 6.775
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 1.229
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 12.736
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 0.00%
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
Current Ratio 0.95 0.65 1.22 1.08 1.16 1.23 0.79 0.76 1.35 1.353
Quick Ratio 0.86 0.60 1.15 0.99 1.09 1.12 0.74 0.69 1.24 1.237
Debt/Equity 0.70 0.68 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.52 0.65 0.88 0.61 0.613
Net Debt/Equity 0.54 0.55 0.44 0.44 0.45 0.42 0.51 0.80 0.49 0.489
Debt/Assets 0.37 0.35 0.32 0.31 0.31 0.30 0.35 0.49 0.29 0.286
Debt/EBITDA 23.05 11.26 12.12 5.39 3.96 3.27 7.23 17.49 281.48 281.477
Net Debt/EBITDA 17.80 9.08 9.68 4.38 3.24 2.65 5.74 15.81 224.71 224.707
Interest Coverage 0.95 0.59 -0.63 0.47 0.96 1.66 0.13 -0.29 -0.99 -0.991
Equity Multiplier 1.90 1.95 1.75 1.78 1.77 1.74 1.85 1.79 2.14 2.145
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.502
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 0.031
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.202
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.121
Defensive Interval snapshot only 202.0 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.15 0.31 0.47 0.61 0.66 0.68 0.74 0.76 0.67 0.668
Inventory Turnover 4.15 10.67 22.52 20.78 25.36 22.92 35.10 26.35 31.41 31.411
Receivables Turnover 10.01 12.35 28.00 21.75 42.29 24.52 42.34 23.53 37.55 37.549
Payables Turnover 4.65 3.17 12.24 9.98 20.56 9.10 21.24 12.41 20.51 20.506
DSO 36 30 13 17 9 15 9 16 10 9.7 days
DIO 88 34 16 18 14 16 10 14 12 11.6 days
DPO 79 115 30 37 18 40 17 29 18 17.8 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 46 -51 -1 -2 5 -9 2 -0 4 3.5 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 14.162
Operating Cycle snapshot only 21.3 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 10.885
Capital Intensity snapshot only 1.594
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
Revenue — — — — 3.5% 1.3% 60.4% 23.0% 11.3% 11.28%
Net Income — — — — -18.2% 6.8% -4.2% -1.5% -3.4% -3.37%
EPS — — — — -14.4% 5.6% -35.8% -93.4% -188.0% -187.98%
FCF — — — — -35.0% -43.9% 5.6% 64.3% 1.7% 1.69%
EBITDA — — — — 4.1% 2.1% 90.6% -51.9% -98.5% -98.51%
Op. Income — — — — -27.9% -78.7% 1.7% 1.7% 1.8% 1.79%
OCF Growth snapshot only 46.56%
Asset Growth snapshot only 13.81%
Equity Growth snapshot only -5.94%
Debt Growth snapshot only 5.54%
Shares Change snapshot only -97.69%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
Revenue Stability — — — — — — — — 0.84 0.843
Earnings Stability — — — — — — — — 0.92 0.917
Margin Stability — — — — — — — — 0.93 0.933
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence — — — — — — — — 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness — — — — — — — — — —
ROE Trend — — — — — — — — -0.06 -0.063
Gross Margin Trend — — — — — — — — -0.04 -0.035
FCF Margin Trend — — — — — — — — -0.03 -0.035
Sustainable Growth Rate 0.1% — — — — 2.6% — — — —
Internal Growth Rate 0.1% — — — — 1.5% — — — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 53.76 -19.53 -0.99 -3.91 -4.49 3.16 -3.36 -1.91 -1.50 -1.504
FCF/OCF 0.84 0.79 0.39 0.50 0.38 0.47 0.72 0.68 0.70 0.698
FCF/Net Income snapshot only -1.050
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 48.714
CapEx/Revenue 3.0% 3.4% 3.2% 4.0% 3.7% 4.1% 3.9% 3.1% 2.9% 2.93%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.544
Accruals Ratio -0.03 -0.05 -0.05 -0.06 -0.05 -0.03 -0.11 -0.09 -0.09 -0.088
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.015
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 2.692
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio 0.0% — — — — 0.0% — — — —
FCF Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Payout Ratio 0.0% — — — — 0.0% — — — —
Div. Increase Streak — — — — — — — — — —
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% -0.5% -0.4% -0.3% -0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Shareholder Return 0.0% 0.0% -0.5% -0.4% -0.3% -0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) -2.58 0.63 0.94 1.08 6.17 0.48 0.85 0.84 0.75 0.748
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) -0.05 -0.69 2.59 -1.11 -0.04 0.51 -5.56 2.95 1.34 1.342
EBIT Margin 0.03 0.02 -0.02 0.02 0.05 0.09 0.01 -0.02 -0.05 -0.052
Asset Turnover 0.15 0.31 0.47 0.61 0.66 0.68 0.74 0.76 0.67 0.668
Equity Multiplier 1.90 1.95 1.75 1.78 1.83 1.83 1.80 1.78 1.95 1.953
Per Share
Metric Trend Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $0.00 $-0.00 $-0.00 $-0.00 $-0.00 $0.00 $-0.15 $-0.17 $-0.22 $-0.22
Book Value/Share $0.09 $0.09 $0.09 $0.08 $0.08 $0.08 $3.12 $3.03 $3.10 $3.10
Tangible Book/Share $-0.05 $-0.02 $-0.04 $-0.01 $-0.01 $-0.00 $-0.39 $-0.35 $-0.38 $-0.38
Revenue/Share $0.02 $0.05 $0.07 $0.09 $0.09 $0.09 $4.21 $4.20 $4.16 $1.98
FCF/Share $0.00 $0.01 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.35 $0.23 $0.23 $0.04
OCF/Share $0.00 $0.01 $0.00 $0.01 $0.01 $0.01 $0.49 $0.33 $0.33 $0.09
Cash/Share $0.01 $0.01 $0.01 $0.01 $0.01 $0.01 $0.42 $0.26 $0.38 $0.38
EBITDA/Share $0.00 $0.01 $0.00 $0.01 $0.01 $0.01 $0.28 $0.15 $0.01 $0.01
Debt/Share $0.06 $0.06 $0.05 $0.05 $0.04 $0.04 $2.02 $2.68 $1.90 $1.90
Net Debt/Share $0.05 $0.05 $0.04 $0.04 $0.03 $0.03 $1.60 $2.42 $1.51 $1.51
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — -0.817
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only -3.249
Piotroski F-Score 4 3 3 3 5 8 4 4 6 6
Beneish M-Score — — — — -2.40 -2.51 -2.79 -2.68 -2.69 -2.690
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -5.664
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-2.51
EVA snapshot only $-20416200.00
Credit
Metric Trend Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only B-
Credit Score 47.47 48.21 48.95 52.50 54.04 61.75 17.01 12.10 20.23 20.231
Credit Grade snapshot only 16
Credit Trend snapshot only -33.809
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 900.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 14
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 8

Sign in to InsiderStreet

You'll also get our free weekly newsletter with
smart money signals, market insights, and alpha ideas.
Unsubscribe anytime.

For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms