RVMD NASDAQ
Revolution Medicines, Inc.
1W: +0.8%
1M: -10.4%
3M: -0.1%
YTD: +132.4%
1Y: +243.7%
3Y: +533.4%
5Y: +556.0%
$186.22
+2.32 (+1.26%)
Weekly Expected Move ±7.2%
$160
$174
$187
$201
$214
Credit Risk of going bust: lower than 73% of companies Debt: 1.6% of company value Bonds: $112.0M held by 36 funds → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the safest four tenths, about 1 in 3,500 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $0.29 (down 99.8%), Revolution Medicines, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $641.9M against a stock market value of $39.42B.
Distance to default 8.06 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $243.7M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 61.7%; Altman Z'' 1.52. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $0.29 (down 99.8%), Revolution Medicines, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $641.9M against a stock market value of $39.42B.
Distance to default 8.06 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $243.7M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 61.7%; Altman Z'' 1.52. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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Supply Chain
Oct Typical
☀️
Sunny
+12.3% YTD avg
Midterm Year
⛈️
Stormy
-24.3% YTD avg
2026 Now
☀️
Sunny
Above typical
20yr Avg YTD
+12.3%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
-24.3%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
+135.7%
Above 20yr avg
Typical Vol
83%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
💨
+0.8%
Midterm
⛈️
-14.6%
50% win
76% vol
Feb
20yr
💨
-7.2%
Midterm
⛈️
-27.9%
71% win
48% vol
Mar
20yr
⛈️
+5.2%
Midterm
🌧️
-2.5%
43% win
71% vol
Apr
20yr
💨
+1.3%
Midterm
⛈️
-19.2%
71% win
91% vol
May
20yr
⛈️
-3.7%
Midterm
⛈️
-36.9%
43% win
65% vol
Jun
20yr
💨
+0.9%
Midterm
⛈️
-20.1%
86% win
55% vol
Jul
20yr
🌫️
+6.8%
Midterm
⛈️
-22.1%
57% win
54% vol
Aug
20yr
💨
+13.4%
Midterm
⛈️
-20.4%
71% win
60% vol
Sep
20yr
💨
+7.6%
Midterm
⛈️
-24.6%
43% win
50% vol
Oct
20yr
🌫️
+16.3%
Midterm
⛈️
-22.6%
57% win
83% vol
Now:
-9.3%
Nov
20yr
💨
+28.7%
Midterm
⛈️
-9.8%
83% win
46% vol
Dec
20yr
⛈️
-2.7%
Midterm
💨
+1.0%
50% win
53% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: +135.7%