RXO Smart Money
RXO, Inc.
1W: +0.6%
1M: +44.9%
3M: +26.6%
YTD: +123.3%
1Y: +66.4%
3Y: +52.0%
$29.10
+0.42 (+1.48%)
After Hours: $28.82 (-0.28, -0.96%)
Weekly Expected Move ±12.1%
$22
$25
$29
$32
$36
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 65% of companies Debt: 13.3% of company value Bonds: $48.4M held by 94 funds, 199 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the middle of the pack, about 1 in 580 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $0.47 (down 98%), RXO, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $728.0M against a stock market value of $4.73B.
Distance to default 3.80 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $265.5M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 75.4%; Altman Z'' 0.78. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $0.47 (down 98%), RXO, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $728.0M against a stock market value of $4.73B.
Distance to default 3.80 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $265.5M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 75.4%; Altman Z'' 0.78. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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🏦 Institutional Activity
Latest: Q2 2026339
Institutions Holding
+21 vs prior
105.0%
Ownership
+49.37%
64
New
103
Increased
111
Reduced
30
Closed
👔 Insider Trades
25 records| Date | Name | Title | Type | Shares | Price | Value | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | HARRIS JAMES E | officer: chief financial officer | F-Tax Withholding | 27,858 | $19.79 | $551K | Filing |
| 2026-08-22 | Firestone Jeffrey D. | officer: chief legal officer | F-Tax Withholding | 11,172 | $22.54 | $252K | Filing |
| 2026-05-15 | Wilkerson Andrew M. | officer: chief executive officer | G-Gift | 168,943 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-05-02 | Wilkerson Andrew M. | officer: chief executive officer | F-Tax Withholding | 40,370 | $19.59 | $791K | Filing |
| 2026-03-22 | Wilkerson Andrew M. | officer: chief executive officer | F-Tax Withholding | 22,923 | $13.23 | $303K | Filing |
| 2026-02-28 | Wilkerson Andrew M. | officer: chief executive officer | F-Tax Withholding | 22,990 | $15.96 | $367K | Filing |
| 2026-02-28 | Kerr Jason S. | officer: chief accounting officer | F-Tax Withholding | 993 | $15.96 | $16K | Filing |
| 2026-02-28 | HARRIS JAMES E | officer: chief financial officer | F-Tax Withholding | 5,660 | $15.96 | $90K | Filing |
| 2026-02-28 | Firestone Jeffrey D. | officer: chief legal officer | F-Tax Withholding | 3,891 | $15.96 | $62K | Filing |
| 2026-02-23 | Firestone Jeffrey D. | officer: chief legal officer | F-Tax Withholding | 7,384 | $14.66 | $108K | Filing |
| 2026-02-23 | HARRIS JAMES E | officer: chief financial officer | F-Tax Withholding | 9,808 | $14.66 | $144K | Filing |
| 2026-02-23 | Kerr Jason S. | officer: chief accounting officer | F-Tax Withholding | 2,563 | $14.66 | $38K | Filing |
| 2026-02-23 | Wilkerson Andrew M. | officer: chief executive officer | F-Tax Withholding | 35,379 | $14.66 | $519K | Filing |
| 2026-02-12 | DeMichele Michael | 10% owner | P-Purchase | 532,276 | $12.00 | $6.4M | Filing |
| 2026-02-12 | NANJI FARHAD | 10% owner | P-Purchase | 532,276 | $12.00 | $6.4M | Filing |
| 2026-02-12 | MFN Partners Management, LLC | 10% owner | P-Purchase | 532,276 | $12.00 | $6.4M | Filing |
| 2026-02-12 | MFN Partners Management, LP | 10% owner | P-Purchase | 532,276 | $12.00 | $6.4M | Filing |
| 2026-02-12 | MFN Partners GP, LLC | 10% owner | P-Purchase | 532,276 | $12.00 | $6.4M | Filing |
| 2026-02-12 | MFN Partners, LP | 10% owner | P-Purchase | 532,276 | $12.00 | $6.4M | Filing |
| 2025-11-20 | Cooper Troy A. | director | P-Purchase | 8,317 | $10.61 | $88K | Filing |
| 2025-11-17 | Kingshott Adrian | director | P-Purchase | 9,350 | $10.75 | $101K | Filing |
| 2025-11-17 | Kingshott Adrian | director | P-Purchase | 9,350 | $10.75 | $101K | Filing |
| 2025-11-14 | Wilkerson Andrew M. | officer: chief executive officer | F-Tax Withholding | 684 | $10.86 | $7K | Filing |
| 2025-11-10 | Wilkerson Andrew M. | officer: chief executive officer | P-Purchase | 7,775 | $12.88 | $100K | Filing |
| 2025-11-10 | Wilkerson Andrew M. | officer: chief executive officer | P-Purchase | 3,850 | $12.80 | $49K | Filing |
🏛️ Congressional Trades
0 records| Date | Politician | Chamber | Type | Amount | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No congressional trades found | |||||
🏦 Top Institutional Holders
20 holders| Holder | Shares | Value | Date Reported | Filing | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orbis Allan Gray Ltd | 36,397,974 | $1.0B | — | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| MFN Partners Management, LP | 28,109,942 | $776M | — | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| BlackRock, Inc. | 25,135,757 | $693M | +969,878 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | 9,290,827 | $256M | +256,028 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 7,430,859 | $205M | +60,375 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| STATE STREET CORP | 6,658,205 | $184M | +89,865 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Hood River Capital Management LLC | 6,478,546 | $179M | +2,026,330 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Finepoint Capital LP | 5,355,445 | $148M | -4,718,173 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 4,269,292 | $118M | +282,209 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| FIL Ltd | 2,625,000 | $72M | -3,925,000 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Sixth Street Partners Management Company | 2,613,414 | $72M | +2,613,414 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC | 2,613,414 | $72M | +7,755 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Maple Rock Capital Partners Inc. | 2,583,655 | $71M | +2,583,655 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP | 2,441,326 | $67M | +392,423 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Boston Partners | 2,207,594 | $61M | -289,422 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC | 1,983,060 | $55M | +874,187 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| NORTHERN TRUST CORP | 1,711,702 | $47M | +212,541 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| MORGAN STANLEY | 1,706,328 | $47M | +457,314 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Invesco Ltd. | 1,213,400 | $33M | -148,994 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| EMERALD ADVISERS, LLC | 1,174,517 | $32M | +736,046 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |