SBH NYSE
Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc.
1W: +6.0%
1M: +1.5%
3M: +12.7%
YTD: +20.4%
1Y: +15.8%
3Y: +117.2%
5Y: +7.4%
$17.18
-0.25 (-1.43%)
After Hours: $17.38 (+0.20, +1.14%)
Weekly Expected Move ±6.2%
$15
$16
$17
$18
$20
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 56% of companies Debt: 48.2% of company value Bonds: $73.3M held by 95 funds, 184 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the middle of the pack, about 1 in 580 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $0.67 (down 96%), Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $1.52B against a stock market value of $1.63B.
Distance to default 4.62 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $405.8M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 42.6%; Altman Z'' 3.96. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $0.67 (down 96%), Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $1.52B against a stock market value of $1.63B.
Distance to default 4.62 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $405.8M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 42.6%; Altman Z'' 3.96. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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Analysis
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Weather
Peers
ESG
Institutions
ETF Exposure
Dark Pool
Short Interest
Supply Chain
Oct Typical
🌧️
Rainy
-2.0% YTD avg
Midterm Year
⛅
Partly Cloudy
+2.5% YTD avg
2026 Now
☀️
Sunny
Above typical
20yr Avg YTD
-2.0%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
+2.5%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
+18.6%
Above 20yr avg
Typical Vol
45%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
⛈️
-0.2%
Midterm
🌧️
-1.0%
45% win
38% vol
Feb
20yr
🌫️
-0.8%
Midterm
⛈️
-5.0%
65% win
46% vol
Mar
20yr
💨
+1.2%
Midterm
⛈️
-7.9%
55% win
52% vol
Apr
20yr
💨
+0.8%
Midterm
🌧️
-4.5%
50% win
43% vol
May
20yr
💨
+0.9%
Midterm
⛈️
-12.2%
40% win
53% vol
Jun
20yr
⛈️
-0.9%
Midterm
⛈️
-15.2%
50% win
46% vol
Jul
20yr
💨
-0.9%
Midterm
⛈️
-8.2%
60% win
41% vol
Aug
20yr
💨
-0.5%
Midterm
⛈️
-10.2%
45% win
49% vol
Sep
20yr
🌫️
-0.2%
Midterm
🌧️
-1.4%
45% win
41% vol
Oct
20yr
⛈️
-2.2%
Midterm
⛅
+2.2%
50% win
45% vol
Now:
+4.6%
Nov
20yr
💨
+5.7%
Midterm
☀️
+12.4%
80% win
65% vol
Dec
20yr
💨
+2.4%
Midterm
⛈️
-5.1%
55% win
47% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: +18.6%