— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: SHOP.TO (TSX) · $vol 345M · 0VHA.L (LSE) · $vol 3M · 307.F (FSX) · $vol 0M

SHOP NASDAQ

Shopify Inc.
1W: -1.7% 1M: +18.2% 3M: +29.1% YTD: +7.0% 1Y: +0.7% 3Y: +224.5% 5Y: +14.8%
$165.81
-2.37 (-1.41%)
After Hours: $165.82 (+0.01, +0.01%)
Weekly Expected Move ±5.9%
$149 $159 $169 $179 $189
NASDAQ · Technology · Software - Application · Tech Score Buy · Power 65 · $218.2B mcap · 1.21B float · 0.773% daily turnover · Short 33% of daily vol
Credit Risk of going bust: lower than 89% of companies Debt: 0.1% of company value Bonds: none of note held by US funds details ▾
If the stock fell to about $0.02 (down more than 99.9%), Shopify Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $178.0M against a stock market value of $218.24B.
Distance to default 13.09 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $89.0M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 58.7%; Altman Z'' 11.57. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.
Oct Typical
☀️
Sunny
+56.4% YTD avg
Midterm Year
⛈️
Stormy
-31.4% YTD avg
2026 Now
☀️
Sunny
Below typical
20yr Avg YTD
+56.4%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
-31.4%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
+5.5%
Below 20yr avg
Typical Vol
54%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
💨
+19.6%
Midterm
🌧️
-3.3%
64% win 54% vol
Feb
20yr
⛈️
+17.0%
Midterm
⛈️
-10.9%
36% win 66% vol
Mar
20yr
💨
+20.8%
Midterm
⛈️
-17.3%
45% win 67% vol
Apr
20yr
💨
+26.8%
Midterm
⛈️
-22.9%
73% win 63% vol
May
20yr
💨
+40.4%
Midterm
⛈️
-16.6%
67% win 86% vol
Jun
20yr
💨
+46.9%
Midterm
⛈️
-19.3%
67% win 56% vol
Jul
20yr
💨
+53.4%
Midterm
⛈️
-20.7%
83% win 54% vol
Aug
20yr
💨
+67.1%
Midterm
⛈️
-19.6%
75% win 60% vol
Sep
20yr
🌫️
+61.8%
Midterm
⛈️
-12.2%
58% win 52% vol
Oct
20yr
🌫️
+57.7%
Midterm
⛈️
-26.5%
42% win 54% vol
Now: +11.8%
Nov
20yr
💨
+72.3%
Midterm
⛈️
-13.9%
82% win 66% vol
Dec
20yr
⛈️
-1.2%
Midterm
⛈️
-12.2%
45% win 47% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: +5.5%

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms