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Not Investment Advice

SIMC OTC

Simclar, Inc.
1W: +0.0% 1M: +0.0% 3M: +0.0% YTD: -50.0% 1Y: -50.0% 3Y: -99.5% 5Y: -99.5%
$0.00
+0.00 (+0.00%)
 
OTC · Technology · Hardware, Equipment & Parts · Tech Score Neutral · Power 47 · $647 mcap · 2M float · 0.011% daily turnover · Short 100% of daily vol

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 18 Grade D
Profitability
4
Balance Sheet
33
Earnings Quality
59
Growth
19
Value
32
Momentum
25
Safety
50
Cash Flow
20
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. SIMC scores highest in Earnings Quality (59/100) and lowest in Profitability (4/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
2.35
Grey Zone
Piotroski F-Score
2/9
✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗
Beneish M-Score
-2.47
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-3.80
Bankruptcy prob: 2.2%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
B+
Score: 33.0/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
—
OCF/NI: 0.18x
Accruals: -4.4%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. SIMC scores 2.35, placing it in the Grey Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Financial distress is possible and warrants monitoring. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. SIMC scores 2/9, suggesting weak financial fundamentals — the company fails the majority of these accounting tests. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. SIMC's score of -2.47 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. SIMC's implied 2.2% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. SIMC receives an estimated rating of B+ (score: 33.0/100), with a deteriorating trend.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
0.00x
PEG
-0.00x
P/S
0.00x
P/B
0.00x
P/FCF
-20.44x
P/OCF
—
EV/EBITDA
-20.61x
EV/Revenue
0.36x
EV/EBIT
-10.53x
EV/FCF
-42.36x
Earnings Yield
-17.37%
FCF Yield
-4.89%
Shareholder Yield
0.00%
Graham Number
—
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 0.0x earnings, SIMC trades at a deep value multiple.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.670
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
1.318
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
-0.034
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
1.778
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
3.363
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
-18.2%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. SIMC's ROE of -18.2% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 3.36x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
—
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$0.00
Median 1Y
$0.00
5th Pctile
$0.00
95th Pctile
$0.00
Ann. Volatility
456.6%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q4'03 Q1'04 Q2'04 Q3'04 Q4'04 Q1'05 Q2'05 Q3'05 Q4'05 Q1'06 Q2'06 Q3'06 Q4'06 Q1'07 Q2'07 Q3'07 Q4'07 Q1'08 Q2'08 Q3'08 Current
ROE 10.0% 12.2% 17.0% 18.7% 18.1% 16.2% 10.8% 8.8% 8.5% 11.0% 14.5% 16.5% 18.5% 17.3% 19.7% 18.1% 12.4% 9.1% -12.0% -18.2% -18.15%
ROA 4.6% 5.7% 7.9% 8.3% 8.0% 7.3% 4.6% 3.7% 3.6% 3.6% 4.6% 5.3% 6.1% 4.8% 5.5% 5.1% 3.6% 2.8% -3.6% -5.4% -5.40%
ROIC 7.2% 8.8% 11.0% 12.6% 11.0% 10.2% 7.5% 6.5% 7.9% 5.0% 6.7% 8.3% 9.8% 10.1% 11.6% 11.2% 8.4% 7.0% 11.5% 11.4% 11.38%
ROCE 9.4% 11.6% 16.6% 18.7% 17.1% 15.8% 11.2% 11.4% 13.9% 9.4% 12.4% 15.5% 16.9% 18.5% 21.1% 20.1% 17.5% 14.5% -7.3% -15.4% -15.36%
Gross Margin 13.6% 14.4% 16.3% 13.0% 10.9% 12.7% 12.4% 11.0% 13.7% 14.5% 12.4% 12.8% 11.7% 12.2% 13.4% 9.7% 6.3% 9.0% -4.6% 5.3% 5.26%
Operating Margin 5.2% 6.8% 9.9% 6.0% 3.9% 4.4% 3.5% 3.2% 5.8% 7.0% 5.4% 5.2% 4.6% 4.6% 6.8% 3.0% 1.4% 1.0% 14.2% 4.3% 4.33%
Net Margin 4.0% 4.0% 5.9% 3.7% 3.7% 2.4% 1.6% 1.5% 2.7% 3.3% 2.6% 2.0% 2.9% 2.0% 3.7% 1.3% -0.2% 0.1% -10.0% -3.5% -3.48%
EBITDA Margin 7.6% 9.0% 11.6% 7.9% 5.6% 6.2% 5.9% 5.4% 7.8% 7.1% 7.0% 6.8% 6.1% 6.3% 8.2% 4.6% 3.0% 2.5% -12.5% -2.1% -2.14%
FCF Margin 2.2% 2.6% -1.6% 0.1% -1.8% -3.4% -0.7% -4.1% -0.3% -0.0% 1.3% 3.1% 1.4% 0.9% 3.5% 3.6% 3.7% 6.1% 0.5% -0.9% -0.86%
OCF Margin 2.8% 3.1% -1.0% 2.1% 2.9% 2.9% 5.5% 1.0% 2.5% 1.2% 2.5% 4.0% 2.4% 2.0% 5.3% 5.5% 5.3% 7.4% 1.2% -0.5% -0.54%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 4.03%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 7.48%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 1.00%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 8.86%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 11.38%
Cash ROA snapshot only -1.08%
Cash ROIC snapshot only -1.59%
CROIC snapshot only -2.52%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 3.86%
Pretax Margin snapshot only -4.53%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 7.67%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q4'03 Q1'04 Q2'04 Q3'04 Q4'04 Q1'05 Q2'05 Q3'05 Q4'05 Q1'06 Q2'06 Q3'06 Q4'06 Q1'07 Q2'07 Q3'07 Q4'07 Q1'08 Q2'08 Q3'08 Current
P/E Ratio 13.94 15.25 12.10 15.69 10.91 11.96 16.46 16.18 17.63 14.05 31.18 10.62 13.03 13.56 11.26 21.24 12.73 15.76 -10.28 -5.76 0.000
P/S Ratio 0.43 0.52 0.51 0.70 0.48 0.48 0.47 0.36 0.36 0.33 0.80 0.28 0.35 0.32 0.30 0.53 0.22 0.21 0.19 0.17 0.000
P/B Ratio 1.31 1.73 1.87 2.65 1.81 1.79 1.68 1.36 1.43 1.46 4.29 1.64 2.24 2.19 2.02 3.52 1.48 1.36 1.31 1.15 0.000
P/FCF 19.29 19.90 -31.29 475.09 -25.81 -13.91 -62.95 -8.75 -103.05 -1048.99 62.00 8.88 24.30 37.99 8.68 14.62 5.88 3.40 34.15 -20.44 -20.445
P/OCF 15.28 16.63 — 33.02 16.55 16.56 8.46 34.48 14.67 27.84 32.06 6.80 14.42 16.11 5.78 9.68 4.17 2.80 16.19 — —
EV/EBITDA 8.21 8.47 7.37 8.95 7.28 7.88 9.52 8.89 6.51 10.21 15.95 7.22 8.43 7.93 6.94 10.88 6.76 7.26 -6658.26 -20.61 -20.609
EV/Revenue 0.61 0.66 0.66 0.82 0.63 0.63 0.61 0.51 0.42 0.68 1.10 0.51 0.57 0.52 0.48 0.69 0.38 0.34 0.35 0.36 0.362
EV/EBIT 12.63 12.35 9.81 11.52 9.34 10.17 13.72 13.71 9.67 14.65 21.55 9.44 10.99 10.45 8.93 14.35 9.41 10.71 -22.21 -10.53 -10.532
EV/FCF 27.44 25.26 -40.18 558.07 -34.00 -18.31 -82.38 -12.41 -118.78 -2132.76 84.52 16.54 39.80 60.89 13.65 19.00 10.04 5.66 64.06 -42.36 -42.360
Earnings Yield 7.2% 6.6% 8.3% 6.4% 9.2% 8.4% 6.1% 6.2% 5.7% 7.1% 3.2% 9.4% 7.7% 7.4% 8.9% 4.7% 7.9% 6.3% -9.7% -17.4% -17.37%
FCF Yield 5.2% 5.0% -3.2% 0.2% -3.9% -7.2% -1.6% -11.4% -1.0% -0.1% 1.6% 11.3% 4.1% 2.6% 11.5% 6.8% 17.0% 29.4% 2.9% -4.9% -4.89%
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 2.797
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 8.567
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 7.406
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 0.00%
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q4'03 Q1'04 Q2'04 Q3'04 Q4'04 Q1'05 Q2'05 Q3'05 Q4'05 Q1'06 Q2'06 Q3'06 Q4'06 Q1'07 Q2'07 Q3'07 Q4'07 Q1'08 Q2'08 Q3'08 Current
Current Ratio 2.66 2.45 2.27 2.16 2.05 2.04 1.48 1.24 1.26 1.49 1.55 1.54 1.50 1.43 1.38 1.31 1.31 1.29 1.25 1.22 1.217
Quick Ratio 1.29 1.16 1.18 1.04 1.07 1.03 0.59 0.56 0.62 0.80 0.80 0.82 0.79 0.73 0.76 0.64 0.69 0.67 0.63 0.60 0.602
Debt/Equity 0.57 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.59 0.60 0.56 0.59 0.27 1.56 1.65 1.56 1.43 1.34 1.23 1.10 1.07 0.98 1.17 1.27 1.265
Net Debt/Equity 0.55 0.47 0.53 0.46 0.57 0.56 0.52 0.57 0.22 1.51 1.56 1.42 1.43 1.32 1.16 1.05 1.05 0.91 1.15 1.23 1.231
Debt/Assets 0.26 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.26 0.27 0.23 0.23 0.11 0.41 0.44 0.43 0.40 0.38 0.36 0.32 0.33 0.32 0.35 0.38 0.385
Debt/EBITDA 2.52 2.04 1.64 1.52 1.81 2.00 2.44 2.73 1.08 5.34 4.51 3.69 3.29 3.02 2.68 2.61 2.86 3.14 -3166.24 -10.96 -10.957
Net Debt/EBITDA 2.44 1.80 1.63 1.33 1.75 1.89 2.24 2.62 0.86 5.19 4.25 3.34 3.28 2.98 2.53 2.51 2.80 2.90 -3109.12 -10.66 -10.662
Interest Coverage 17.27 15.20 17.02 27.27 22.49 17.09 9.30 8.29 7.79 5.99 4.82 3.81 3.26 4.02 4.53 4.48 3.86 2.47 -1.24 -2.59 -2.591
Equity Multiplier 2.18 2.23 2.26 2.21 2.31 2.22 2.45 2.53 2.45 3.80 3.77 3.65 3.56 3.49 3.38 3.42 3.26 3.09 3.30 3.29 3.289
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.019
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only -1.324
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.027
FCF to Debt snapshot only -0.044
Defensive Interval snapshot only 710.9 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q4'03 Q1'04 Q2'04 Q3'04 Q4'04 Q1'05 Q2'05 Q3'05 Q4'05 Q1'06 Q2'06 Q3'06 Q4'06 Q1'07 Q2'07 Q3'07 Q4'07 Q1'08 Q2'08 Q3'08 Current
Asset Turnover 1.51 1.66 1.88 1.85 1.84 1.82 1.62 1.66 1.74 1.52 1.79 2.03 2.29 1.99 2.05 2.05 2.10 2.11 1.98 1.78 1.778
Inventory Turnover 3.64 3.88 4.47 4.17 4.39 4.26 3.82 4.04 4.60 4.18 4.64 5.47 6.29 5.51 5.74 5.36 5.83 5.76 5.83 4.84 4.844
Receivables Turnover 7.09 7.99 7.50 8.50 7.77 8.41 6.68 6.97 7.09 5.51 7.23 7.58 7.74 6.59 6.81 7.13 6.56 7.21 6.97 6.92 6.924
Payables Turnover 12.16 11.39 13.05 11.46 11.04 10.44 8.84 7.08 7.26 5.72 8.01 7.20 7.88 6.36 7.23 6.15 6.46 6.49 6.73 5.62 5.621
DSO 51 46 49 43 47 43 55 52 51 66 51 48 47 55 54 51 56 51 52 53 52.7 days
DIO 100 94 82 88 83 86 96 90 79 87 79 67 58 66 64 68 63 63 63 75 75.3 days
DPO 30 32 28 32 33 35 41 52 50 64 46 51 46 57 51 59 57 56 54 65 64.9 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 122 108 102 99 97 94 109 91 81 90 84 64 59 64 67 60 62 58 61 63 63.1 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 13.887
Operating Cycle snapshot only 128.1 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 193.014
Capital Intensity snapshot only 0.500
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q4'03 Q1'04 Q2'04 Q3'04 Q4'04 Q1'05 Q2'05 Q3'05 Q4'05 Q1'06 Q2'06 Q3'06 Q4'06 Q1'07 Q2'07 Q3'07 Q4'07 Q1'08 Q2'08 Q3'08 Current
Revenue 7.6% 21.5% 44.8% 54.4% 48.1% 32.2% 10.1% 8.8% 14.2% 31.3% 64.8% 79.9% 89.7% 77.4% 51.7% 33.1% 17.4% 7.4% -6.0% -17.2% -17.16%
Net Income -20.4% 3.4% 48.8% 1.2% 1.1% 54.8% -26.3% -45.7% -46.6% -22.1% 50.3% 1.1% 1.5% 78.5% 59.2% 28.7% -23.2% -41.1% -1.6% -2.0% -2.00%
EPS -21.4% -1.4% 55.0% 1.6% 1.3% 81.7% -37.2% -45.4% -45.6% -27.9% 68.2% 1.1% 1.4% 76.7% 62.2% 22.9% -24.7% -41.8% -1.6% -2.0% -2.00%
FCF -70.2% -68.6% -1.2% -98.2% -2.2% -2.7% 50.2% -31.4% 78.4% 98.8% 3.9% 2.4% 8.7% 48.6% 3.1% 56.4% 2.1% 6.6% -85.3% -1.2% -1.19%
EBITDA -0.7% 16.0% 50.3% 83.9% 72.9% 35.3% -20.9% -32.0% -15.6% 9.1% 77.0% 1.2% 99.4% 74.7% 52.3% 19.2% -2.5% -22.3% -1.0% -1.2% -1.23%
Op. Income -0.8% 18.8% 61.8% 1.2% 1.1% 52.8% -27.0% -43.3% -27.0% 8.3% 1.0% 1.8% 1.4% 72.7% 48.8% 11.4% -13.5% -30.7% -21.5% -15.8% -15.84%
OCF Growth snapshot only -1.08%
Asset Growth snapshot only -19.83%
Equity Growth snapshot only -16.51%
Debt Growth snapshot only -3.81%
Shares Change snapshot only 0.00%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q4'03 Q1'04 Q2'04 Q3'04 Q4'04 Q1'05 Q2'05 Q3'05 Q4'05 Q1'06 Q2'06 Q3'06 Q4'06 Q1'07 Q2'07 Q3'07 Q4'07 Q1'08 Q2'08 Q3'08 Current
Revenue 3Y -11.8% -8.5% -1.5% 5.6% 13.5% 20.5% 21.4% 21.0% 22.1% 28.2% 38.0% 44.6% 47.5% 45.5% 40.1% 37.6% 36.5% 35.7% 33.0% 25.7% 25.66%
Revenue 5Y -4.1% -0.9% 3.0% 3.0% 2.1% 1.1% 0.0% 1.5% 3.0% 5.8% 11.6% 18.2% 26.0% 32.4% 34.9% 33.5% 32.3% 32.1% 30.2% 27.2% 27.24%
EPS 3Y 23.3% 20.1% — — — — — 2.6% -1.2% 8.9% 17.9% 42.3% 43.3% 32.3% 19.6% 11.2% -0.6% -9.5% — — —
EPS 5Y 3.3% 39.7% — 86.8% 51.1% 65.4% 52.8% — 18.1% 17.8% — — — — — 1.6% 11.7% 5.8% — — —
Net Income 3Y 25.1% 22.0% — — — — — 2.5% -3.5% 7.6% 18.1% 36.3% 40.6% 29.1% 20.8% 13.6% 0.3% -6.4% — — —
Net Income 5Y 6.7% 47.4% — 87.3% 50.8% 61.0% 55.7% — 17.2% 17.0% — — — — — 1.6% 11.2% 5.6% — — —
EBITDA 3Y -2.5% -0.7% 21.2% 47.8% — — 86.1% 32.3% 13.2% 19.7% 28.1% 40.6% 42.8% 37.2% 28.7% 21.7% 18.0% 14.0% — — —
EBITDA 5Y 3.1% 14.7% 31.2% 17.7% 12.2% 10.5% 4.8% 8.0% 6.3% 7.7% 20.0% 37.3% — — 77.0% 43.8% 23.0% 18.4% — — —
Gross Profit 3Y -13.9% -10.0% 3.7% 18.2% 50.7% 62.3% 39.5% 26.1% 17.9% 25.2% 32.8% 42.7% 44.6% 40.6% 34.2% 28.7% 24.5% 22.0% 2.0% -10.4% -10.43%
Gross Profit 5Y -5.3% -0.6% 4.5% 3.1% 1.0% -0.0% -2.6% -1.1% -0.1% 3.9% 12.9% 24.2% 47.0% 55.7% 47.3% 37.1% 25.0% 22.7% 7.4% 0.5% 0.54%
Op. Income 3Y 4.7% 6.6% 12.8% 20.7% 16.5% 14.1% 7.6% -0.0% 14.5% 25.3% 33.9% 51.0% 53.7% 41.9% 30.2% 20.8% 14.8% 9.0% 33.4% 37.7% 37.72%
Op. Income 5Y 7.7% 34.3% — 35.7% 22.6% 20.1% 11.7% 18.5% 11.7% 14.9% 16.3% 22.7% 22.6% 22.7% 30.4% 25.4% 25.5% 18.7% 22.9% 26.4% 26.39%
FCF 3Y — — — -67.5% — — — — — — -35.4% -10.1% 27.3% 0.1% — 3.0% — — — — —
FCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — 7.1% -2.7% -15.2% 20.2% 67.4% 13.8% 19.2% -30.4% — —
OCF 3Y 26.2% 25.5% — -24.6% -10.7% -16.2% 12.8% -2.5% -20.4% -38.8% -21.2% -3.8% 40.2% 25.5% — 89.1% 67.1% 85.6% -20.9% — —
OCF 5Y -7.6% -0.4% — — — — 1.0% — 24.5% 5.6% 77.8% 9.9% 5.1% -0.9% 28.0% 63.5% 19.3% 21.9% -20.3% — —
Assets 3Y -2.7% -0.6% 5.8% 9.9% 15.4% 15.8% 20.6% 19.0% 19.4% 41.0% 41.9% 34.1% 35.5% 33.5% 31.5% 32.2% 26.7% 25.4% 17.8% 14.1% 14.09%
Assets 5Y 1.5% 3.2% 3.1% 0.6% 4.0% 3.6% 5.4% 6.6% 6.2% 17.2% 19.8% 22.2% 24.7% 25.8% 26.9% 25.6% 24.5% 23.6% 22.2% 16.9% 16.86%
Equity 3Y 0.5% 2.0% 7.5% 11.3% 16.3% 16.0% 15.7% 14.2% 14.1% 15.1% 14.8% 15.4% 15.1% 14.9% 15.0% 14.3% 12.9% 12.2% 6.7% 4.5% 4.52%
Book Value 3Y -1.0% 0.4% 8.7% 14.1% 16.2% 17.2% 11.3% 17.4% 16.7% 16.4% 14.6% 20.4% 17.2% 17.7% 13.9% 11.9% 11.9% 8.6% 11.4% 2.2% 2.18%
Dividend 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q4'03 Q1'04 Q2'04 Q3'04 Q4'04 Q1'05 Q2'05 Q3'05 Q4'05 Q1'06 Q2'06 Q3'06 Q4'06 Q1'07 Q2'07 Q3'07 Q4'07 Q1'08 Q2'08 Q3'08 Current
Revenue Stability 0.44 0.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.05 0.12 0.23 0.41 0.57 0.68 0.78 0.83 0.86 0.87 0.90 0.89 0.82 0.817
Earnings Stability 0.00 0.05 0.42 0.50 0.24 0.25 0.50 0.65 0.31 0.34 0.71 0.81 0.63 0.67 0.78 0.80 0.43 0.31 0.12 0.15 0.151
Margin Stability 0.70 0.69 0.79 0.83 0.71 0.69 0.79 0.87 0.94 0.96 0.92 0.87 0.72 0.70 0.81 0.87 0.89 0.87 0.70 0.65 0.648
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.50 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 0
Earnings Persistence 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.89 0.82 0.81 0.91 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.89 0.91 0.84 0.20 0.20 0.200
Earnings Smoothness 0.77 0.97 0.61 0.24 0.28 0.57 0.70 0.41 0.39 0.75 0.60 0.29 0.16 0.44 0.54 0.75 0.74 0.48 — — —
ROE Trend 0.18 0.19 0.15 0.12 0.05 0.03 -0.04 -0.05 -0.05 -0.03 0.01 0.03 0.05 0.03 0.06 0.05 -0.01 -0.05 -0.29 -0.36 -0.360
Gross Margin Trend 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.02 0.00 -0.00 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.00 -0.00 0.00 -0.00 -0.01 -0.00 -0.01 -0.02 -0.03 -0.07 -0.08 -0.083
FCF Margin Trend -0.04 -0.06 -0.11 -0.07 -0.07 -0.10 -0.06 -0.11 -0.01 0.00 0.02 0.05 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.03 0.06 -0.02 -0.04 -0.042
Sustainable Growth Rate 10.0% 12.2% 17.0% 18.7% 18.1% 16.2% 10.8% 8.8% 8.5% 11.0% 14.5% 16.5% 18.5% 17.3% 19.7% 18.1% 12.4% 9.1% — — —
Internal Growth Rate 4.9% 6.0% 8.6% 9.0% 8.7% 7.8% 4.8% 3.8% 3.7% 3.7% 4.8% 5.6% 6.4% 5.0% 5.9% 5.4% 3.8% 2.8% — — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q4'03 Q1'04 Q2'04 Q3'04 Q4'04 Q1'05 Q2'05 Q3'05 Q4'05 Q1'06 Q2'06 Q3'06 Q4'06 Q1'07 Q2'07 Q3'07 Q4'07 Q1'08 Q2'08 Q3'08 Current
OCF/Net Income 0.91 0.92 -0.23 0.48 0.66 0.72 1.95 0.47 1.20 0.50 0.97 1.56 0.90 0.84 1.95 2.19 3.05 5.64 -0.64 0.18 0.178
FCF/OCF 0.79 0.84 1.69 0.07 -0.64 -1.19 -0.13 -3.94 -0.14 -0.03 0.52 0.77 0.59 0.42 0.67 0.66 0.71 0.82 0.47 1.58 1.582
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.282
CapEx/Revenue 0.6% 0.5% 0.7% 2.0% 4.7% 6.3% 6.2% 5.1% 2.8% 1.2% 1.2% 0.9% 1.0% 1.2% 1.8% 1.9% 1.5% 1.3% 0.6% 0.3% 0.31%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.187
Accruals Ratio 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.04 0.03 0.02 -0.04 0.02 -0.01 0.02 0.00 -0.03 0.01 0.01 -0.05 -0.06 -0.07 -0.13 -0.06 -0.04 -0.044
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.107
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only -1.720
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q4'03 Q1'04 Q2'04 Q3'04 Q4'04 Q1'05 Q2'05 Q3'05 Q4'05 Q1'06 Q2'06 Q3'06 Q4'06 Q1'07 Q2'07 Q3'07 Q4'07 Q1'08 Q2'08 Q3'08 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — — —
FCF Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% — 0.0% — — — — — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — —
Total Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — — —
Div. Increase Streak — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Shareholder Return 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q4'03 Q1'04 Q2'04 Q3'04 Q4'04 Q1'05 Q2'05 Q3'05 Q4'05 Q1'06 Q2'06 Q3'06 Q4'06 Q1'07 Q2'07 Q3'07 Q4'07 Q1'08 Q2'08 Q3'08 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.76 0.72 0.69 0.68 0.68 0.69 0.71 0.72 0.56 0.57 0.58 0.59 0.68 0.70 0.71 0.72 0.64 0.63 0.68 0.67 0.670
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.84 0.88 0.92 0.92 0.95 0.94 0.89 0.83 0.84 0.91 0.87 0.82 0.76 0.69 0.72 0.72 0.68 0.65 1.70 1.32 1.318
EBIT Margin 0.05 0.05 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.03 -0.02 -0.03 -0.034
Asset Turnover 1.51 1.66 1.88 1.85 1.84 1.82 1.62 1.66 1.74 1.52 1.79 2.03 2.29 1.99 2.05 2.05 2.10 2.11 1.98 1.78 1.778
Equity Multiplier 2.16 2.15 2.14 2.26 2.25 2.22 2.36 2.38 2.38 3.06 3.15 3.13 3.05 3.64 3.56 3.53 3.40 3.28 3.34 3.36 3.363
Per Share
Metric Trend Q4'03 Q1'04 Q2'04 Q3'04 Q4'04 Q1'05 Q2'05 Q3'05 Q4'05 Q1'06 Q2'06 Q3'06 Q4'06 Q1'07 Q2'07 Q3'07 Q4'07 Q1'08 Q2'08 Q3'08 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $0.17 $0.20 $0.32 $0.38 $0.37 $0.37 $0.20 $0.21 $0.20 $0.27 $0.34 $0.42 $0.49 $0.47 $0.55 $0.52 $0.37 $0.27 $-0.35 $-0.52 $-0.52
Book Value/Share $1.75 $1.78 $2.09 $2.25 $2.24 $2.46 $1.99 $2.46 $2.49 $2.55 $2.48 $2.74 $2.83 $2.90 $3.08 $3.15 $3.14 $3.15 $2.75 $2.63 $3.14
Tangible Book/Share $1.12 $1.16 $1.41 $1.45 $1.47 $1.63 $1.23 $1.54 $1.52 $0.82 $0.83 $0.99 $1.13 $1.24 $1.45 $1.54 $1.55 $1.57 $1.18 $1.08 $1.08
Revenue/Share $5.40 $5.94 $7.66 $8.51 $8.52 $9.22 $7.18 $9.32 $9.91 $11.20 $13.24 $16.39 $18.31 $19.67 $20.47 $20.85 $21.10 $20.87 $19.25 $17.28 $21.10
FCF/Share $0.12 $0.16 $-0.12 $0.01 $-0.16 $-0.32 $-0.05 $-0.38 $-0.03 $-0.00 $0.17 $0.51 $0.26 $0.17 $0.72 $0.76 $0.79 $1.26 $0.11 $-0.15 $0.79
OCF/Share $0.15 $0.19 $-0.07 $0.18 $0.25 $0.27 $0.39 $0.10 $0.24 $0.13 $0.33 $0.66 $0.44 $0.39 $1.08 $1.15 $1.11 $1.54 $0.22 $-0.09 $1.11
Cash/Share $0.03 $0.12 $0.00 $0.15 $0.04 $0.08 $0.09 $0.06 $0.13 $0.12 $0.24 $0.40 $0.01 $0.05 $0.22 $0.14 $0.07 $0.24 $0.06 $0.09 $0.07
EBITDA/Share $0.40 $0.46 $0.68 $0.78 $0.73 $0.73 $0.46 $0.53 $0.63 $0.74 $0.91 $1.16 $1.23 $1.28 $1.41 $1.32 $1.17 $0.99 $-0.00 $-0.30 $-0.30
Debt/Share $1.01 $0.95 $1.11 $1.19 $1.33 $1.47 $1.12 $1.46 $0.68 $3.97 $4.10 $4.29 $4.04 $3.88 $3.78 $3.46 $3.35 $3.10 $3.21 $3.33 $3.33
Net Debt/Share $0.97 $0.83 $1.11 $1.04 $1.29 $1.39 $1.03 $1.40 $0.54 $3.85 $3.86 $3.89 $4.03 $3.83 $3.57 $3.32 $3.29 $2.86 $3.15 $3.24 $3.24
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q4'03 Q1'04 Q2'04 Q3'04 Q4'04 Q1'05 Q2'05 Q3'05 Q4'05 Q1'06 Q2'06 Q3'06 Q4'06 Q1'07 Q2'07 Q3'07 Q4'07 Q1'08 Q2'08 Q3'08 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 2.352
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 1.168
Piotroski F-Score 4 5 6 7 6 5 4 4 7 3 7 7 5 5 8 6 5 5 5 2 2
Beneish M-Score -2.08 -1.91 -1.11 -2.02 -1.84 -2.10 -2.84 -2.21 -2.58 -1.44 -1.01 -1.66 -1.25 -2.20 -2.51 -2.41 -2.29 -3.01 -5.05 -2.47 -2.470
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -3.800
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only -26.05%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-0.20
EVA snapshot only $522467.01
Credit
Metric Trend Q4'03 Q1'04 Q2'04 Q3'04 Q4'04 Q1'05 Q2'05 Q3'05 Q4'05 Q1'06 Q2'06 Q3'06 Q4'06 Q1'07 Q2'07 Q3'07 Q4'07 Q1'08 Q2'08 Q3'08 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only B+
Credit Score 68.75 73.00 70.70 80.53 73.15 73.22 57.51 50.44 59.92 42.55 46.06 51.22 53.28 51.93 55.09 55.85 54.39 57.70 37.83 33.03 33.035
Credit Grade snapshot only 14
Credit Trend snapshot only -22.815
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 650.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 19
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 18

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