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SLMNP OTC

LyondellBasell Advanced Polymers Inc.
1W: +0.9% 1M: +0.8% 3M: +1.1% YTD: +2.6% 1Y: -1.8% 3Y: +17.6% 5Y: +11.4%
$857.00
+6.00 (+0.71%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±0.5%
$848 $853 $857 $861 $866
OTC · Basic Materials · Chemicals · Tech Score Neutral · Power 59 · $26.2B mcap · 27M float · 0.0002% daily turnover · Short 58% of daily vol

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 51 Grade D
Profitability
24
Balance Sheet
21
Earnings Quality
80
Growth
66
Value
83
Momentum
92
Safety
50
Cash Flow
35
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. SLMNP scores highest in Momentum (92/100) and lowest in Balance Sheet (21/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
2.09
Grey Zone
Piotroski F-Score
7/9
✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-2.45
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-5.53
Bankruptcy prob: 0.4%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
B+
Score: 31.5/100
Trend: Improving
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 1.87x
Accruals: -1.7%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. SLMNP scores 2.09, placing it in the Grey Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Financial distress is possible and warrants monitoring. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. SLMNP scores 7/9, signaling strong financial health across all three dimensions. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. SLMNP's score of -2.45 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. SLMNP's implied 0.4% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. SLMNP receives an estimated rating of B+ (score: 31.5/100), with a improving trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). SLMNP's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
50.57x
PEG
0.43x
P/S
10.61x
P/B
6.57x
P/FCF
0.50x
P/OCF
0.29x
EV/EBITDA
5.71x
EV/Revenue
0.33x
EV/EBIT
11.07x
EV/FCF
23.53x
Earnings Yield
181.61%
FCF Yield
198.45%
Shareholder Yield
174.62%
Graham Number
$13023.66
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 50.6x earnings, SLMNP is priced for high growth expectations. An earnings yield of 181.6% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $13023.66 per share, suggesting a potential 1420% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
1.372
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.314
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.030
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
1.514
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
9.873
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
19.1%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. SLMNP's ROE of 19.1% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 9.87x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance. A tax burden ratio of 1.37 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$9857.73
Price/Value
0.06x
Margin of Safety
93.52%
Premium
-93.52%
Assessment
Undervalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with SLMNP's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. At an intrinsic value of $9857.73, SLMNP appears undervalued with a 94% margin of safety. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 50.6x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$857.00
Median 1Y
$865.16
5th Pctile
$624.22
95th Pctile
$1196.23
Ann. Volatility
21.6%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Current
ROE -2.4% -2.7% -2.6% -2.1% 18.5% 25.9% 25.3% 19.1% 19.11%
ROA -21.8% -21.8% -21.6% -20.1% 1.9% 2.5% 2.5% 1.9% 1.94%
ROIC -28.0% -27.5% -25.9% -23.4% 8.5% 9.7% 9.8% 10.7% 10.69%
ROCE -28.9% -28.5% -26.6% -23.8% 6.6% 7.7% 6.9% 6.3% 6.25%
Gross Margin 16.0% 16.8% 15.7% 15.2% 14.1% 15.6% 14.1% 13.5% 13.50%
Operating Margin -63.3% 3.2% 3.8% 5.0% 2.0% 4.8% 2.0% 2.9% 2.90%
Net Margin -63.4% 0.5% 0.9% 2.4% 1.4% 2.2% 0.8% 0.7% 0.70%
EBITDA Margin -59.9% 6.6% 6.9% 8.0% 5.1% 7.5% 4.9% 5.4% 5.38%
FCF Margin 5.9% 4.1% 2.9% 3.3% 2.8% 2.9% 1.0% 1.4% 1.40%
OCF Margin 8.7% 6.5% 5.2% 5.2% 4.3% 4.1% 2.0% 2.4% 2.40%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 10.69%
Cash ROA snapshot only 3.65%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 6.09%
CROIC snapshot only 3.55%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 4.20%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 0.93%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 11.27%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Current
P/E Ratio -0.03 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 0.42 0.37 0.42 0.55 50.575
P/S Ratio 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 10.608
P/B Ratio 0.08 0.10 0.10 0.08 0.07 0.08 0.09 0.10 6.566
P/FCF 0.33 0.29 0.28 0.18 0.21 0.22 0.71 0.50 0.504
P/OCF 0.23 0.18 0.15 0.11 0.13 0.16 0.36 0.29 0.294
EV/EBITDA -2.57 -2.84 -3.24 -3.88 5.34 4.90 5.45 5.71 5.708
EV/Revenue 1.54 0.76 0.52 0.37 0.36 0.34 0.35 0.33 0.329
EV/EBIT -2.43 -2.52 -2.66 -2.87 10.26 8.74 9.91 11.07 11.067
EV/FCF 26.00 18.65 17.80 11.38 12.94 11.54 34.61 23.53 23.534
Earnings Yield -31.9% -26.7% -26.4% -25.6% 2.4% 2.7% 2.4% 1.8% 1.82%
FCF Yield 3.0% 3.4% 3.6% 5.6% 4.9% 4.5% 1.4% 2.0% 1.98%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.426
EV/OCF snapshot only 13.716
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 2.297
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 11.085
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 1.75%
Graham Number snapshot only $13023.66
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Current
Current Ratio 1.68 1.60 1.71 1.68 1.68 1.61 1.79 1.72 1.716
Quick Ratio 1.07 1.01 1.08 1.06 1.09 0.98 1.09 1.09 1.095
Debt/Equity 6.00 6.68 6.61 5.57 4.66 4.34 4.45 4.76 4.760
Net Debt/Equity 5.77 6.40 6.28 5.27 4.39 4.11 4.21 4.49 4.490
Debt/Assets 0.54 0.54 0.55 0.52 0.52 0.49 0.52 0.52 0.519
Debt/EBITDA -2.64 -2.92 -3.36 -4.03 5.58 5.08 5.65 5.92 5.921
Net Debt/EBITDA -2.54 -2.80 -3.19 -3.81 5.26 4.81 5.34 5.59 5.586
Interest Coverage -28.26 -13.62 -8.65 -5.88 1.61 1.84 1.72 1.46 1.457
Equity Multiplier 11.04 12.35 12.11 10.68 8.90 8.79 8.59 9.17 9.172
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.106
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 2.825
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.057
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.041
Defensive Interval snapshot only 595.8 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Current
Asset Turnover 0.34 0.69 1.02 1.35 1.40 1.43 1.46 1.51 1.514
Inventory Turnover 1.93 3.65 5.31 6.85 7.71 7.13 7.14 7.67 7.674
Receivables Turnover 1.60 3.20 4.66 5.89 6.27 6.29 6.38 6.30 6.303
Payables Turnover 1.81 3.58 4.90 5.99 6.95 6.56 6.82 6.73 6.734
DSO 227 114 78 62 58 58 57 58 57.9 days
DIO 189 100 69 53 47 51 51 48 47.6 days
DPO 201 102 74 61 53 56 54 54 54.2 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 216 112 73 54 53 54 55 51 51.3 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 9.534
Operating Cycle snapshot only 105.5 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 51.798
Capital Intensity snapshot only 0.657
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Current
Revenue — — — — 3.1% 1.1% 47.6% 11.3% 11.35%
Net Income — — — — 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 1.10%
EPS — — — — 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 1.10%
FCF — — — — 89.3% 51.7% -48.5% -52.2% -52.18%
EBITDA — — — — 1.5% 1.5% 1.6% 1.7% 1.67%
Op. Income — — — — 1.2% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.26%
OCF Growth snapshot only -48.78%
Asset Growth snapshot only -0.97%
Equity Growth snapshot only 15.31%
Debt Growth snapshot only -1.41%
Shares Change snapshot only 0.53%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 0.20%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Current
Revenue Stability — — — — — — — — —
Earnings Stability — — — — — — — — —
Margin Stability — — — — — — — — —
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 0
Earnings Persistence — — — — — — — — —
Earnings Smoothness — — — — — — — — —
ROE Trend — — — — — — — — —
Gross Margin Trend — — — — — — — — —
FCF Margin Trend — — — — — — — — —
Sustainable Growth Rate — — — — 0.7% 7.5% 7.4% 1.4% 1.42%
Internal Growth Rate — — — — 0.1% 0.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.14%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Current
OCF/Net Income -0.14 -0.21 -0.25 -0.35 3.17 2.32 1.15 1.87 1.875
FCF/OCF 0.68 0.62 0.56 0.62 0.65 0.72 0.51 0.58 0.583
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 1.093
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.416
CapEx/Revenue 2.7% 2.5% 2.3% 2.0% 1.5% 1.2% 1.0% 1.0% 1.00%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.347
Accruals Ratio -0.25 -0.26 -0.27 -0.27 -0.04 -0.03 -0.00 -0.02 -0.017
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.030
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 1.098
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Current
Dividend Yield 65.7% 1.1% 1.7% 2.3% 2.3% 1.9% 1.7% 1.7% 1.86%
Dividend/Share $269.23 $536.93 $803.27 $1071.66 $1072.67 $1073.14 $1075.25 $1073.84 $0.82
Payout Ratio — — — — 96.0% 71.0% 70.6% 92.6% 92.59%
FCF Payout Ratio 22.0% 32.2% 46.0% 40.2% 46.7% 42.7% 1.2% 84.7% 84.73%
Total Payout Ratio — — — — 98.2% 74.3% 73.5% 96.2% 96.15%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 0
Chowder Number — — — — 5.29 2.92 2.04 1.69 1.689
Buyback Yield 0.5% 2.0% 4.8% 5.5% 5.1% 8.9% 7.0% 6.5% 6.46%
Net Buyback Yield 0.1% 1.4% 3.8% 4.2% 3.7% 7.7% 6.2% 5.3% 5.29%
Total Shareholder Return 65.9% 1.1% 1.7% 2.3% 2.3% 2.0% 1.8% 1.7% 1.73%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.96 0.97 0.98 0.99 1.02 0.99 1.17 1.37 1.372
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.04 1.07 1.12 1.17 0.38 0.46 0.42 0.31 0.314
EBIT Margin -0.63 -0.30 -0.19 -0.13 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.030
Asset Turnover 0.34 0.69 1.02 1.35 1.40 1.43 1.46 1.51 1.514
Equity Multiplier 11.04 12.35 12.11 10.68 9.86 10.24 10.01 9.87 9.873
Per Share
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-13072.83 $-12900.26 $-12718.40 $-12172.47 $1117.39 $1511.39 $1522.50 $1159.73 $1159.73
Book Value/Share $5433.39 $4783.97 $4869.64 $5666.95 $6665.02 $6932.36 $7201.07 $6500.19 $7.04
Tangible Book/Share $-15730.84 $-15873.63 $-15539.44 $-14619.95 $-13494.82 $-12919.21 $-12474.09 $-12704.45 $-12704.45
Revenue/Share $20625.18 $40865.28 $60104.53 $81918.69 $83258.59 $85542.86 $88235.97 $90733.72 $83.71
FCF/Share $1222.50 $1668.15 $1744.87 $2664.48 $2295.40 $2516.11 $893.70 $1267.29 $2.31
OCF/Share $1789.48 $2672.05 $3138.80 $4267.56 $3542.56 $3505.95 $1751.53 $2174.49 $3.56
Cash/Share $1202.88 $1332.73 $1622.24 $1697.60 $1801.45 $1608.10 $1735.44 $1751.68 $1.81
EBITDA/Share $-12353.50 $-10939.44 $-9592.45 $-7824.48 $5559.34 $5921.03 $5670.71 $5224.98 $5224.98
Debt/Share $32580.70 $31957.49 $32205.84 $31547.07 $31028.11 $30087.20 $32032.77 $30937.72 $30937.72
Net Debt/Share $31377.82 $30624.76 $30583.60 $29849.48 $29226.66 $28479.10 $30297.33 $29186.04 $29186.04
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — 2.092
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 2.026
Piotroski F-Score 3 3 3 3 6 7 7 7 7
Beneish M-Score — — — — -2.54 -2.47 -2.33 -2.45 -2.449
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -5.532
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-24426.35
EVA snapshot only $7322929.05
Credit
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only B+
Credit Score 23.89 24.04 24.03 24.02 35.02 33.95 33.61 31.50 31.502
Credit Grade snapshot only 14
Credit Trend snapshot only 7.482
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 650.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 14
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 18

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms