SMTC NASDAQ
Semtech Corporation
1W: +6.0%
1M: -17.4%
3M: +39.5%
YTD: +91.9%
1Y: +113.1%
3Y: +775.9%
5Y: +83.9%
$144.35
+7.62 (+5.57%)
Weekly Expected Move ±12.0%
$100
$116
$132
$148
$164
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 57% of companies Debt: 3.8% of company value Bonds: $85.8M held by 56 funds → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the middle of the pack, about 1 in 580 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $1.10 (down 99.2%), Semtech Corporation would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $525.0M against a stock market value of $13.47B.
Distance to default 4.51 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-07-26, debt counted $323.8M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 79.2%; Altman Z 9.90. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $1.10 (down 99.2%), Semtech Corporation would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $525.0M against a stock market value of $13.47B.
Distance to default 4.51 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-07-26, debt counted $323.8M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 79.2%; Altman Z 9.90. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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Technical Signal Summary
Technical Signal
BEARISH
-61
BearishNeutralBullish
Trend (30%)
20
Momentum (25%)
20
Volume (20%)
6
Volatility (10%)
0
Patterns (15%)
50
Price vs SMA 20$162.95
Price vs SMA 50$156.56
Price vs SMA 200$124.08
EMA 9/21 Cross142.82/153.48
SMA 50/200 CrossGolden
ADX DirectionADX 27
Supertrend$167.52
Parabolic SAR$145.22
SMA Slope-1.780
RSI44.5
Stochastic K/D21/14
Williams %R-70
CCI-60
TSI vs Signal-16.5
CMO-11.0
ROC-16.41%
OBV SignalDistrib
Chaikin MF-0.140
MFI23
Force Index-10.4M
Elder Ray Bull-8.31
SMTC is trading above its 200-day but below its 20-day and 50-day moving averages, showing a mixed trend. The 50-day MA remains above the 200-day MA (golden cross intact). RSI at 44 shows bearish momentum. Volume analysis shows OBV is declining (distribution) with Chaikin Money Flow negative at -0.140. The squeeze is off with negative momentum, suggesting downward pressure. ADX at 27 confirms a trending market. Price is 28.5% below its 52-week high. No significant candlestick patterns detected today.
Moving Average Ribbon & Trend
| Moving Average | Value | Distance | % Distance | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMA 20 | $162.95 | $18.52 | -11.37% | Bearish |
| SMA 50 | $156.56 | $12.13 | -7.75% | Bearish |
| SMA 200 | $124.08 | +$20.35 | +16.40% | Bullish |
| EMA 9 | $142.82 | +$1.61 | +1.13% | Bullish |
| EMA 21 | $153.48 | $9.05 | -5.90% | Bearish |
| EMA 50 | $154.93 | $10.50 | -6.78% | Bearish |
| EMA 200 | $127.18 | +$17.25 | +13.56% | Bullish |
| VWMA 20 | $160.47 | $16.04 | -10.00% | Bearish |
| WMA 20 | $150.81 | $6.38 | -4.23% | Bearish |
| DEMA 21 | $144.30 | +$0.13 | +0.09% | Bullish |
| TEMA 21 | $132.55 | +$11.88 | +8.96% | Bullish |
Momentum Dashboard
Volume & Flow Analysis
Under Distribution
OBV: Distribution
CMF: Selling Pressure
Volatility & Range
52-Week
28.5% from high
20-Day
28.5% from high
Bollinger
31th pctile
Donchian
28th pctile
Turtle Long Stop: $165.12
Turtle Short Stop: $158.88
S2
$127.23
S1
$131.98
Pivot
$136.24
R1
$140.99
R2
$145.25
Candlestick Pattern Scanner
No candlestick patterns detected today.
Bullish Patterns
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3 White Soldiers
—
Morning Star
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Bullish Engulfing
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Hammer
—
Inverted Hammer
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Piercing Line
—
Bullish Harami
—
Abandoned Baby
Bearish Patterns
—
3 Black Crows
—
Evening Star
—
Bearish Engulfing
—
Dark Cloud Cover
—
Bearish Harami
—
2 Black Gapping
Neutral
—
Doji