— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice

SPR NYSE

Spirit AeroSystems Holdings, Inc.
1W: +7.5% 1M: +10.8% 3M: -3.8% 1Y: +21.8% 3Y: +50.7% 5Y: +16.4%
$39.50
Last traded 2025-12-05 — delisted
NYSE · Industrials · Aerospace & Defense · $4.6B mcap · 101M float · 1.55% daily turnover · Short 37% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

NO EDGE
32.0 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Efficient Scale  ·  ROIC: 418.9%
Cost Advantage
30
Intangibles
14
Switching Cost
12
Network Effect
50
Scale ★
80
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. SPR has No discernible competitive edge (32.0/100). The business operates without significant structural advantages. The primary source of advantage is Efficient Scale. ROIC of 418.9% confirms the company is generating returns well above its cost of capital — a hallmark of durable competitive advantages.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 14Hold: 27Sell: 2Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusHold
Avg Target$—
Analysts0
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2025-07-14 Susquehanna Charles Minervino $37 $40 +3 -1.3% $40.54
2024-07-17 Truist Financial Michael Ciarmoli $30 $35 +5 -2.5% $35.88
2024-07-17 Susquehanna Charles Minervino $41 $37 -4 +3.1% $35.88
2024-07-08 Bernstein Douglas Harned $35 $37 +2 +8.7% $34.03
2024-07-02 Barclays Davis Strauss Initiated $37 — +9.2% $33.88
2024-07-02 CFRA Stewart Glickman Initiated $37 — +8.9% $33.97
2024-07-01 Truist Financial Michael Ciarmoli $25 $30 +5 -11.3% $33.81
2024-05-22 Bernstein Douglas Harned $66 $35 -31 +12.2% $31.19
2023-11-30 Robert W. Baird — $36 $50 +14 +81.9% $27.49
2023-11-29 Robert W. Baird Peter Arment Initiated $36 — +37.6% $26.16
2023-08-03 Truist Financial Michael Ciarmoli $46 $25 -21 +11.8% $22.36
2023-02-08 J.P. Morgan — Initiated $44 — +14.9% $38.28
2023-02-02 RBC Capital — Initiated $36 — -0.2% $36.06
2022-10-12 Truist Financial Michael Ciarmoli Initiated $46 — +95.7% $23.50
2022-08-21 Susquehanna Charles Minervino Initiated $41 — +27.9% $32.06
2022-02-16 Wolfe Research Mike Maugeri Initiated $60 — +15.3% $52.03
2021-11-02 Vertical Research Robert Stallard Initiated $46 — +14.5% $40.18
2021-09-28 Bernstein Douglas Harned Initiated $66 — +44.5% $45.68
2021-08-11 Cowen & Co. Cai von Rumohr Initiated $70 — +62.1% $43.17
2021-04-14 Capital One Financial Jonathan Raviv Initiated $50 — +7.1% $46.67

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 13 Grade D
Profitability
0
Balance Sheet
17
Earnings Quality
30
Growth
31
Value
23
Momentum
34
Safety
0
Cash Flow
30
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. SPR scores highest in Momentum (34/100) and lowest in Profitability (0/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
-1.02
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
3/9
✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-4.69
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
0.34
Bankruptcy prob: 58.5%
High Risk
Credit Rating
CCC
Score: 12.9/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
—
OCF/NI: 0.24x
Accruals: -30.2%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. SPR scores -1.02, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. SPR scores 3/9, suggesting weak financial fundamentals — the company fails the majority of these accounting tests. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. SPR's score of -4.69 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. SPR's implied 58.5% bankruptcy probability signals significant financial distress. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. SPR receives an estimated rating of CCC (score: 12.9/100), with a deteriorating trend.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
-2.36x
PEG
0.04x
P/S
0.98x
P/B
-1.03x
P/FCF
-5.73x
P/OCF
—
EV/EBITDA
-4.51x
EV/Revenue
1.36x
EV/EBIT
-3.97x
EV/FCF
-10.84x
Earnings Yield
-56.50%
FCF Yield
-17.46%
Shareholder Yield
0.03%
Graham Number
—
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. SPR currently has negative earnings — the P/E ratio is not meaningful.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
1.005
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
1.180
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
-0.343
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.972
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
-2.035
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
80.4%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. SPR's ROE of 80.4% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.972), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue. A tax burden ratio of 1.00 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
—
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$39.50
Median 1Y
$29.67
5th Pctile
$11.49
95th Pctile
$76.95
Ann. Volatility
59.3%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Current
ROE -66.5% -81.8% -82.9% -89.8% -82.9% -78.6% -1.0% -2.2% -5.4% 23.3% 4.2% 2.1% 1.6% 1.2% 1.1% 1.0% 1.4% 99.0% 88.5% 80.4% 80.40%
ROA -10.9% -11.8% -10.3% -10.0% -6.7% -5.5% -5.6% -5.9% -7.6% -11.0% -12.7% -14.1% -9.1% -14.3% -17.3% -21.1% -31.2% -32.3% -35.9% -39.5% -39.52%
ROIC -19.8% -19.7% -12.3% -13.3% -12.1% -8.9% -8.7% -5.1% -7.0% -8.8% -9.6% -13.9% -3.3% -16.6% -25.3% -26.3% -63.6% -70.2% -1.2% 4.2% 4.19%
ROCE -13.3% -12.3% -7.7% -6.0% -5.3% -3.6% -4.3% -4.1% -6.3% -11.2% -12.9% -15.6% -5.8% -13.4% -19.7% -28.9% -56.0% -57.4% -1.4% -3.4% -3.40%
Gross Margin -3.2% -6.2% -1.0% -5.5% 1.3% 3.8% -1.6% 6.5% -3.8% -0.1% -2.3% -3.7% 16.1% -25.6% -15.7% -16.7% -27.7% -30.3% -14.2% -39.1% -39.08%
Operating Margin -10.2% -13.4% -8.9% -15.6% -6.8% -2.8% -8.3% 0.4% -10.4% -6.2% -8.8% -9.3% 11.9% -31.0% -22.2% -23.8% -34.9% -32.0% -29.4% -42.2% -42.22%
Net Margin -33.8% -19.0% -13.5% -11.6% -11.2% -4.5% -9.7% -10.0% -18.4% -19.6% -15.1% -14.2% 4.2% -36.2% -27.8% -32.4% -38.2% -40.3% -38.6% -45.7% -45.69%
EBITDA Margin -4.4% -3.6% 1.3% 2.0% 1.4% 6.9% 1.1% 3.6% -7.5% -9.3% -3.8% -3.3% 15.1% -26.3% -17.0% -20.8% -28.8% -28.8% -27.1% -36.3% -36.26%
FCF Margin -26.2% -22.4% -14.1% -6.8% -5.4% -7.4% -7.6% -12.3% -10.3% -5.4% -7.8% -8.7% -6.2% -11.9% -17.6% -20.4% -20.2% -21.2% -14.3% -12.6% -12.56%
OCF Margin -22.7% -18.8% -10.8% -3.2% -1.6% -3.9% -4.4% -9.3% -7.8% -3.2% -5.4% -6.6% -3.7% -9.4% -15.2% -17.7% -17.7% -18.3% -11.2% -9.6% -9.60%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only -25.74%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 7.10%
Cash ROA snapshot only -10.05%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only -27.36%
Pretax Margin snapshot only -40.46%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.77%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 5.41%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.44%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Current
P/E Ratio -4.66 -5.86 -6.54 -6.43 -8.30 -12.09 -7.49 -5.48 -5.68 -4.65 -3.61 -1.83 -5.99 -4.40 -3.30 -2.70 -1.87 -1.78 -1.94 -1.77 -2.361
P/S Ratio 1.19 1.60 1.38 1.22 1.14 1.21 0.68 0.48 0.62 0.68 0.57 0.31 0.61 0.66 0.59 0.60 0.63 0.62 0.73 0.72 0.978
P/B Ratio 4.74 7.44 8.86 10.85 10.02 13.36 13.59 -50.24 -12.53 -8.03 -4.89 -1.99 -7.39 -3.75 -2.52 -2.00 -1.52 -1.19 -1.20 -1.02 -1.027
P/FCF -4.55 -7.14 -9.78 -17.89 -21.00 -16.25 -9.02 -3.94 -6.01 -12.53 -7.37 -3.55 -9.88 -5.60 -3.37 -2.93 -3.14 -2.92 -5.09 -5.73 -5.728
P/OCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBITDA -10.00 -14.98 -41.55 -180.91 436.12 60.64 47.58 35.34 153.25 -40.80 -27.47 -16.01 176.25 -29.23 -16.38 -12.01 -5.96 -6.09 -5.79 -4.51 -4.507
EV/Revenue 1.80 2.30 2.06 1.82 1.74 1.85 1.37 1.15 1.27 1.32 1.21 0.96 1.19 1.27 1.21 1.36 1.40 1.46 1.53 1.36 1.362
EV/EBIT -6.88 -9.45 -15.37 -19.32 -22.10 -38.39 -29.68 -30.14 -21.69 -13.90 -11.59 -8.14 -26.32 -13.63 -9.87 -8.42 -4.94 -5.07 -4.95 -3.97 -3.971
EV/FCF -6.88 -10.29 -14.55 -26.65 -32.23 -24.90 -18.10 -9.39 -12.41 -24.34 -15.56 -11.01 -19.33 -10.69 -6.85 -6.66 -6.94 -6.88 -10.74 -10.84 -10.842
Earnings Yield -21.4% -17.1% -15.3% -15.6% -12.0% -8.3% -13.3% -18.3% -17.6% -21.5% -27.7% -54.5% -16.7% -22.7% -30.3% -37.0% -53.5% -56.1% -51.6% -56.5% -56.50%
FCF Yield -22.0% -14.0% -10.2% -5.6% -4.8% -6.2% -11.1% -25.4% -16.6% -8.0% -13.6% -28.1% -10.1% -17.9% -29.6% -34.1% -31.9% -34.2% -19.7% -17.5% -17.46%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.040
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 0.03%
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Current
Current Ratio 2.62 2.68 2.48 2.06 2.03 1.98 1.47 1.42 1.62 1.57 1.51 1.41 1.71 1.52 1.31 1.15 1.05 1.03 0.77 0.68 0.682
Quick Ratio 1.79 1.74 1.62 1.35 1.29 1.22 0.86 0.79 0.86 0.83 0.76 0.69 0.90 0.76 0.64 0.56 0.52 0.44 0.50 0.46 0.460
Debt/Equity 4.61 5.25 6.59 8.68 8.65 10.13 17.10 -83.89 -16.01 -8.84 -6.27 -4.62 -8.72 -3.73 -2.74 -2.65 -2.05 -1.69 -1.43 -0.97 -0.974
Net Debt/Equity 2.42 3.29 4.32 5.31 5.35 7.12 13.68 — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Debt/Assets 0.47 0.46 0.48 0.48 0.50 0.52 0.55 0.58 0.59 0.60 0.61 0.61 0.63 0.62 0.61 0.73 0.80 0.83 0.87 0.72 0.722
Debt/EBITDA -6.44 -7.33 -20.77 -97.18 245.52 30.01 29.83 24.79 94.79 -23.11 -16.67 -11.97 106.27 -15.21 -8.75 -7.01 -3.63 -3.66 -3.27 -2.28 -2.281
Net Debt/EBITDA -3.38 -4.59 -13.62 -59.44 151.94 21.07 23.87 20.49 79.04 -19.80 -14.46 -10.84 86.18 -13.93 -8.31 -6.72 -3.26 -3.50 -3.04 -2.13 -2.126
Interest Coverage -4.56 -3.52 -2.05 -1.48 -1.28 -0.84 -0.87 -0.77 -1.21 -1.95 -2.04 -2.22 -0.86 -1.80 -2.35 -2.98 -5.06 -4.75 -4.99 -5.57 -5.571
Equity Multiplier 9.79 11.36 13.83 18.24 17.26 19.62 31.01 -145.63 -26.93 -14.67 -10.35 -7.61 -13.91 -6.05 -4.52 -3.63 -2.58 -2.02 -1.64 -1.35 -1.349
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.055
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only -4.908
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.068
FCF to Debt snapshot only -0.182
Defensive Interval snapshot only 902.4 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Current
Asset Turnover 0.43 0.43 0.49 0.52 0.49 0.55 0.61 0.66 0.70 0.75 0.80 0.84 0.89 0.95 0.96 0.95 0.92 0.93 0.96 0.97 0.972
Inventory Turnover 3.04 2.89 2.99 3.11 2.89 3.04 3.39 3.43 3.48 3.59 3.62 3.69 3.61 3.91 3.90 3.83 4.20 3.95 4.74 5.05 5.047
Receivables Turnover 3.65 4.74 6.22 5.93 6.20 4.62 4.76 6.79 10.76 5.14 7.02 6.57 11.47 5.17 12.17 4.69 7.37 4.92 14.22 5.41 5.408
Payables Turnover 4.77 5.78 6.77 6.93 6.35 6.49 6.35 6.24 6.06 6.16 6.04 6.06 5.77 6.28 6.59 6.70 7.16 6.78 7.81 8.20 8.202
DSO 100 77 59 62 59 79 77 54 34 71 52 56 32 71 30 78 49 74 26 67 67.5 days
DIO 120 126 122 117 126 120 108 106 105 102 101 99 101 93 94 95 87 92 77 72 72.3 days
DPO 77 63 54 53 58 56 58 58 60 59 60 60 63 58 55 55 51 54 47 45 44.5 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 144 140 127 126 127 143 127 102 78 113 93 94 70 106 68 119 85 113 56 95 95.3 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 4.289
Operating Cycle snapshot only 139.8 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 21.383
Capital Intensity snapshot only 0.955
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Current
Revenue -56.7% -53.7% -36.0% -16.2% 16.1% 30.9% 25.0% 27.1% 27.2% 25.1% 20.3% 16.2% 20.2% 19.5% 19.5% 16.6% 4.4% -2.9% -2.6% -1.3% -1.31%
Net Income -2.6% -5.3% -2.4% -41.4% 37.9% 52.0% 46.1% 41.0% -0.9% -83.4% -1.1% -1.2% -12.9% -22.9% -35.2% -53.4% -2.5% -1.2% -1.0% -81.3% -81.31%
EPS -2.7% -5.3% -2.4% -40.8% 38.0% 52.1% 46.3% 41.2% -0.4% -82.6% -1.1% -1.2% -1.8% -11.0% -22.0% -37.7% -2.4% -1.2% -1.0% -80.7% -80.69%
FCF -2.3% -6.9% -49.7% 58.5% 76.0% 56.5% 33.0% -1.3% -1.4% 8.4% -23.5% 17.9% 27.6% -1.6% -1.7% -1.7% -2.4% -74.0% 21.0% 39.3% 39.26%
EBITDA -1.6% -1.9% -5.4% 90.7% 1.0% 1.3% 1.7% 5.1% 1.6% -2.3% -2.8% -3.1% -1.9% -59.7% -99.6% -1.2% -37.2% -4.4% -2.5% -1.6% -1.64%
Op. Income -1.9% -2.7% -2.1% 14.0% 40.8% 53.2% 21.7% 54.6% 37.9% 6.0% 6.0% -1.3% 53.0% -73.3% -1.3% -1.1% -13.1% -2.1% -1.4% -1.2% -1.23%
OCF Growth snapshot only 46.34%
Asset Growth snapshot only -13.40%
Debt Growth snapshot only -14.32%
Shares Change snapshot only 0.34%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Current
Revenue 3Y -21.3% -22.8% -20.1% -19.1% -18.2% -17.2% -16.3% -14.8% -13.8% -8.8% -1.3% 7.4% 21.1% 25.1% 21.6% 19.9% 16.9% 13.2% 11.9% 10.2% 10.18%
Revenue 5Y -12.5% -13.3% -11.8% -11.3% -10.3% -9.1% -8.0% -6.9% -6.4% -5.5% -5.2% -4.8% -3.5% -3.2% -3.3% -3.5% -4.3% -2.5% 2.3% 7.3% 7.34%
EPS 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EPS 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EBITDA 3Y — — — — -75.4% -51.5% -51.9% -48.4% -65.4% — — — — — — — — — — — —
EBITDA 5Y — — — — -55.7% -31.9% -29.2% -26.5% -44.5% — — — -47.9% — — — — — — — —
Gross Profit 3Y — — — — — — — -53.1% -62.2% -73.8% -77.1% — — — — — — — — — —
Gross Profit 5Y — — — — — — — -30.5% -40.7% -55.3% -71.8% — -28.2% — — — — — — — —
Op. Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Op. Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
OCF 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
OCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Assets 3Y 16.8% 13.6% 11.3% 10.9% 10.8% 6.0% 3.3% 0.1% -4.3% -2.1% -2.4% -0.3% -6.1% -4.9% -4.0% -3.1% -4.4% -4.7% -3.7% -3.1% -3.12%
Assets 5Y 7.7% 6.3% 6.4% 7.6% 7.4% 6.5% 5.1% 3.9% 4.8% 4.1% 3.1% 2.8% 4.1% 1.4% 1.6% 1.0% -2.3% -1.5% -2.4% -1.6% -1.56%
Equity 3Y -21.9% -23.9% -16.3% -27.6% -28.7% -33.9% -46.5% — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Book Value 3Y -19.3% -21.6% -16.1% -27.1% -28.4% -33.7% -46.5% — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Dividend 3Y -30.4% -55.2% -52.1% -45.9% -34.4% 1.9% 0.8% 0.8% -0.8% -10.7% -22.8% -38.8% — — — — — — — — —
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Current
Revenue Stability 0.19 0.29 0.46 0.51 0.45 0.52 0.60 0.53 0.40 0.38 0.39 0.24 0.06 0.03 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.01 0.31 0.88 0.883
Earnings Stability 0.49 0.61 0.64 0.60 0.55 0.59 0.63 0.62 0.60 0.69 0.79 0.76 0.57 0.74 0.79 0.77 0.62 0.73 0.75 0.74 0.736
Margin Stability 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.82 0.84 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.95 0.91 0.86 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
ROE Trend -1.42 -1.59 -1.50 -1.67 -0.85 -0.54 -1.05 — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Gross Margin Trend -0.28 -0.28 -0.15 -0.09 -0.03 0.02 0.01 0.07 0.09 0.08 0.03 -0.02 0.04 -0.04 -0.07 -0.10 -0.24 -0.21 -0.19 -0.22 -0.216
FCF Margin Trend -0.34 -0.27 -0.15 -0.04 0.03 0.03 0.03 -0.02 0.06 0.09 0.03 0.01 0.02 -0.05 -0.10 -0.10 -0.12 -0.13 -0.02 0.02 0.020
Sustainable Growth Rate — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Internal Growth Rate — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Current
OCF/Net Income 0.89 0.69 0.51 0.17 0.12 0.39 0.48 1.05 0.72 0.22 0.34 0.39 0.37 0.63 0.84 0.80 0.52 0.53 0.30 0.24 0.236
FCF/OCF 1.15 1.19 1.31 2.17 3.38 1.92 1.72 1.32 1.31 1.68 1.44 1.31 1.66 1.26 1.16 1.16 1.14 1.16 1.27 1.31 1.308
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.309
CapEx/Revenue 3.5% 3.6% 3.4% 3.7% 3.8% 3.6% 3.2% 3.0% 2.4% 2.2% 2.4% 2.1% 2.4% 2.4% 2.4% 2.8% 2.4% 2.9% 3.1% 3.0% 2.96%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.725
Accruals Ratio -0.01 -0.04 -0.05 -0.08 -0.06 -0.03 -0.03 0.00 -0.02 -0.09 -0.08 -0.09 -0.06 -0.05 -0.03 -0.04 -0.15 -0.15 -0.25 -0.30 -0.302
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.380
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only -3.242
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Current
Dividend Yield 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.15 $0.04 $0.04 $0.04 $0.04 $0.04 $0.04 $0.04 $0.04 $0.03 $0.02 $0.01 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF Payout Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Total Payout Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 — — — — — — — — —
Chowder Number -0.69 -0.92 -0.89 -0.84 -0.72 0.05 0.03 0.03 -0.02 -0.28 -0.53 -0.77 — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.03%
Net Buyback Yield -0.1% -0.0% -0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.1% -0.1% -0.1% -0.3% -0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.03%
Total Shareholder Return 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% -0.1% -0.2% -0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.03%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.80 0.87 1.06 1.20 0.97 0.94 0.91 1.00 1.01 1.01 1.02 0.99 1.04 1.04 1.03 1.03 1.00 1.00 1.01 1.00 1.005
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.22 1.29 1.49 1.68 1.79 2.20 2.16 2.30 1.83 1.52 1.49 1.45 2.16 1.56 1.43 1.34 1.20 1.21 1.20 1.18 1.180
EBIT Margin -0.26 -0.24 -0.13 -0.09 -0.08 -0.05 -0.05 -0.04 -0.06 -0.10 -0.10 -0.12 -0.05 -0.09 -0.12 -0.16 -0.28 -0.29 -0.31 -0.34 -0.343
Asset Turnover 0.43 0.43 0.49 0.52 0.49 0.55 0.61 0.66 0.70 0.75 0.80 0.84 0.89 0.95 0.96 0.95 0.92 0.93 0.96 0.97 0.972
Equity Multiplier 6.11 6.92 8.08 8.99 12.36 14.30 18.76 38.22 71.73 -211.51 -33.25 -14.63 -18.22 -8.52 -6.23 -4.85 -4.39 -3.07 -2.46 -2.03 -2.035
Per Share
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-8.37 $-8.44 $-7.28 $-6.87 $-5.19 $-4.04 $-3.91 $-4.04 $-5.21 $-7.38 $-8.16 $-8.88 $-5.30 $-8.19 $-9.95 $-12.23 $-18.24 $-18.16 $-19.98 $-22.10 $-22.10
Book Value/Share $8.24 $6.65 $5.37 $4.07 $4.30 $3.66 $2.15 $-0.44 $-2.36 $-4.27 $-6.01 $-8.17 $-4.30 $-9.62 $-13.01 $-16.56 $-22.35 $-27.20 $-32.25 $-38.47 $-38.37
Tangible Book/Share $0.73 $-0.95 $-2.63 $-3.98 $-3.72 $-4.32 $-5.76 $-8.32 $-10.40 $-12.27 $-13.95 $-16.07 $-11.42 $-16.71 $-20.04 $-23.52 $-28.99 $-33.81 $-38.62 $-44.78 $-44.78
Revenue/Share $32.74 $31.01 $34.41 $36.05 $37.90 $40.49 $42.86 $45.65 $47.99 $50.39 $51.27 $52.81 $52.05 $54.38 $55.26 $55.27 $53.85 $52.17 $53.35 $54.37 $40.33
FCF/Share $-8.57 $-6.94 $-4.87 $-2.47 $-2.05 $-3.01 $-3.25 $-5.61 $-4.93 $-2.74 $-3.99 $-4.58 $-3.22 $-6.45 $-9.73 $-11.28 $-10.86 $-11.08 $-7.62 $-6.83 $-7.60
OCF/Share $-7.43 $-5.83 $-3.70 $-1.14 $-0.61 $-1.56 $-1.89 $-4.24 $-3.77 $-1.63 $-2.77 $-3.49 $-1.94 $-5.12 $-8.38 $-9.76 $-9.56 $-9.56 $-5.97 $-5.22 $-6.38
Cash/Share $18.01 $13.06 $12.18 $13.72 $14.18 $11.03 $7.36 $6.40 $6.28 $5.41 $5.00 $3.56 $7.09 $3.03 $1.77 $1.86 $4.58 $1.94 $3.14 $2.54 $2.54
EBITDA/Share $-5.89 $-4.77 $-1.70 $-0.36 $0.15 $1.23 $1.24 $1.49 $0.40 $-1.63 $-2.26 $-3.15 $0.35 $-2.36 $-4.07 $-6.26 $-12.64 $-12.53 $-14.13 $-16.43 $-16.43
Debt/Share $37.94 $34.94 $35.38 $35.31 $37.19 $37.05 $36.85 $36.94 $37.81 $37.78 $37.66 $37.72 $37.49 $35.84 $35.59 $43.87 $45.85 $45.84 $46.16 $37.46 $37.46
Net Debt/Share $19.93 $21.88 $23.20 $21.60 $23.02 $26.02 $29.48 $30.53 $31.52 $32.37 $32.67 $34.17 $30.41 $32.81 $33.82 $42.02 $41.27 $43.90 $43.02 $34.92 $34.92
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — -1.020
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only -5.688
Piotroski F-Score 2 1 3 2 4 4 3 3 2 2 3 2 4 2 3 2 2 1 3 3 3
Beneish M-Score -3.85 -2.12 20.93 -1.55 -4.71 -4.02 -2.81 -3.33 -3.25 -39.09 -3.13 -4.27 -3.23 -3.02 -2.69 -2.83 -4.10 -3.51 -4.15 -4.69 -4.689
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only 0.343
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-58.60
Credit
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only CCC
Credit Score 26.61 29.26 29.07 27.92 19.06 18.14 16.11 18.41 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 15.47 12.90 12.87 12.866
Credit Grade snapshot only 17
Credit Trend snapshot only -7.134
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 1200.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 1
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 1

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