STLD NASDAQ
Steel Dynamics, Inc.
1W: +1.0%
1M: +7.4%
3M: -2.2%
YTD: +40.2%
1Y: +61.4%
3Y: +156.9%
5Y: +313.9%
$246.80
+9.25 (+3.89%)
Weekly Expected Move ±4.2%
$221
$231
$242
$252
$262
Credit Risk of going bust: lower than 74% of companies Debt: 10.6% of company value Bonds: $166.2M held by 198 funds, 71 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the safest four tenths, about 1 in 3,500 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $2.27 (down 99.1%), Steel Dynamics, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $4.20B against a stock market value of $35.37B.
Distance to default 8.41 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-09-30, debt counted $2.11B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 35.9%; Altman Z 6.12. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $2.27 (down 99.1%), Steel Dynamics, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $4.20B against a stock market value of $35.37B.
Distance to default 8.41 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-09-30, debt counted $2.11B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 35.9%; Altman Z 6.12. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
Overview
News
Chart
Smart Money
Financials
Income Statement
Cash Flow
Balance Sheet
Earnings
Dividends
Analysis
Technicals
Weather
Peers
ESG
Institutions
ETF Exposure
Dark Pool
Short Interest
Supply Chain
Oct Typical
☀️
Sunny
+16.9% YTD avg
Midterm Year
☀️
Sunny
+23.2% YTD avg
2026 Now
☀️
Sunny
Above typical
20yr Avg YTD
+16.9%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
+23.2%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
+40.2%
Above 20yr avg
Typical Vol
56%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
💨
+3.2%
Midterm
🌧️
-1.1%
50% win
48% vol
Feb
20yr
💨
+7.1%
Midterm
☀️
+8.4%
75% win
42% vol
Mar
20yr
💨
+11.5%
Midterm
☀️
+15.6%
60% win
60% vol
Apr
20yr
💨
+14.6%
Midterm
☀️
+20.0%
65% win
43% vol
May
20yr
🌫️
+14.1%
Midterm
☀️
+16.3%
45% win
40% vol
Jun
20yr
🌫️
+13.9%
Midterm
☀️
+11.9%
35% win
41% vol
Jul
20yr
💨
+15.0%
Midterm
☀️
+15.9%
70% win
38% vol
Aug
20yr
⛈️
+12.1%
Midterm
☀️
+15.8%
40% win
40% vol
Sep
20yr
⛈️
+8.9%
Midterm
☀️
+11.3%
45% win
44% vol
Oct
20yr
💨
+16.3%
Midterm
☀️
+21.7%
76% win
56% vol
Now:
+11.4%
Nov
20yr
💨
+22.8%
Midterm
☀️
+28.0%
70% win
53% vol
Dec
20yr
💨
+3.2%
Midterm
⛈️
-3.3%
75% win
45% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: +40.2%