— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: SJ.TO (TSX) · $vol 9M

STLJF OTC

Stella-Jones Inc.
1W: -4.0% 1M: -7.0% 3M: -16.5% YTD: -26.8% 1Y: -15.2% 3Y: -1.5% 5Y: +39.7%
$45.93
-1.98 (-4.13%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±2.8%
$43 $45 $46 $47 $49
OTC · Basic Materials · Paper, Lumber & Forest Products · Tech Score Sell · Power 43 · $2.5B mcap · 54M float · 0.017% daily turnover · Short 59% of daily vol

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 1Hold: 0Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$—
Analysts0

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

A-
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
5
ROE
4
ROA
5
D/E
1
P/E
2
P/B
3
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. STLJF receives an overall rating of A-. Strongest factors: DCF (5/5), ROE (4/5), ROA (5/5). Areas of concern: D/E (1/5), P/E (2/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-10-02 B+ A-
2026-08-11 A- B+
2026-06-29 None ADDED
2026-06-28 EXISTED None
2026-06-01 None ADDED
2026-06-01 EXISTED None
2026-05-27 None ADDED
2026-05-26 EXISTED None
2026-05-19 None ADDED
2026-05-19 EXISTED None

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ — Grade B
Profitability
33
Balance Sheet
61
Earnings Quality
72
Growth
25
Value
—
Momentum
58
Safety
—
Cash Flow
72

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
—
—
Piotroski F-Score
5/9
✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗
Beneish M-Score
-2.66
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-8.54
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
A-
Score: 67.5/100
Trend: Stable
Earnings Quality
75/100
OCF/NI: 2.27x
Accruals: -7.9%
The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. STLJF scores 5/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. STLJF's score of -2.66 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. STLJF's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. STLJF receives an estimated rating of A- (score: 67.5/100), with a stable trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). STLJF's score of 75/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
13.90x
PEG
-0.68x
P/S
1.02x
P/B
1.64x
P/FCF
—
P/OCF
—
EV/EBITDA
—
EV/Revenue
—
EV/EBIT
—
EV/FCF
—
Earnings Yield
—
FCF Yield
—
Shareholder Yield
—
Graham Number
$65.33
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 13.9x earnings, STLJF trades at a reasonable valuation. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $65.33 per share, suggesting a potential 42% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.753
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.777
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.126
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.842
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
2.009
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
12.4%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. STLJF's ROE of 12.4% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.842), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
1.96%
Fair P/E
12.42x
Intrinsic Value
$58.94
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with STLJF's realized 2.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. STLJF trades at a premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $58.94, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 12.4x compares to the current market P/E of 13.9x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$45.93
Median 1Y
$46.83
5th Pctile
$27.65
95th Pctile
$79.72
Ann. Volatility
31.6%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
ROE 16.4% 16.1% 15.4% 13.2% 14.9% 16.0% 16.9% 16.8% 18.7% 20.3% 20.8% 20.6% 18.4% 17.8% 18.0% 17.4% 17.4% 16.9% 14.8% 12.4% 12.45%
ROA 9.5% 8.9% 7.8% 7.1% 8.3% 8.4% 8.2% 8.4% 9.4% 9.6% 9.4% 9.6% 8.7% 8.2% 8.1% 8.2% 8.5% 8.2% 7.1% 6.2% 6.20%
ROIC 11.1% 9.9% 8.9% 8.1% 9.2% 9.4% 9.2% 9.7% 10.7% 11.6% 11.5% 11.8% 11.3% 10.8% 10.8% 11.1% 11.3% 10.1% 9.6% 9.1% 9.08%
ROCE 15.6% 13.5% 11.8% 10.8% 12.4% 12.8% 13.1% 13.6% 15.1% 15.0% 14.5% 14.8% 14.2% 13.2% 13.2% 13.5% 13.7% 13.5% 12.2% 11.4% 11.43%
Gross Margin 12.1% 11.9% 15.4% 19.1% 16.5% 16.8% 19.2% 20.6% 22.7% 19.9% 22.2% 21.2% 20.5% 18.9% 21.7% 19.9% 19.2% 19.0% 19.0% 17.3% 17.27%
Operating Margin 7.5% 5.9% 10.3% 14.7% 11.6% 9.2% 13.4% 15.3% 17.5% 12.9% 16.0% 16.0% 14.2% 11.1% 18.5% 15.0% 14.3% 11.8% 11.8% 12.4% 12.38%
Net Margin 5.0% 4.0% 7.1% 10.4% 7.7% 5.4% 8.5% 10.3% 11.6% 8.1% 9.9% 10.5% 8.7% 7.1% 12.0% 10.3% 9.2% 6.9% 7.6% 5.9% 5.85%
EBITDA Margin 10.2% 9.5% 13.5% 17.0% 14.1% 13.1% 16.9% 18.0% 20.3% 17.4% 20.1% 17.5% 17.7% 15.8% 23.2% 18.3% 17.8% 17.2% 16.7% 16.2% 16.22%
FCF Margin 6.1% 6.8% 6.6% 8.4% 6.6% 4.8% 4.6% 0.8% -1.8% -1.7% 0.5% 2.0% 3.8% 7.6% 9.1% 10.4% 11.2% 12.9% 14.9% 14.0% 14.01%
OCF Margin 8.5% 9.1% 9.2% 11.2% 9.5% 8.3% 8.3% 5.0% 2.9% 3.2% 5.2% 6.6% 8.3% 11.8% 13.1% 14.5% 14.7% 16.0% 17.7% 16.7% 16.71%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 15.99%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 15.44%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 7.65%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 8.97%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 8.92%
Cash ROA snapshot only 13.71%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 15.93%
CROIC snapshot only 13.36%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 9.52%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 9.78%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 5.88%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 13.905
P/S Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.018
P/B Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.640
P/FCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
P/OCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBITDA — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/Revenue — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBIT — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/FCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Earnings Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Graham Number snapshot only $65.33
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 4.39 5.74 6.85 5.85 5.53 6.11 4.48 4.59 4.34 5.07 6.38 6.57 6.85 7.48 7.51 6.93 7.25 7.40 4.96 5.25 5.246
Quick Ratio 1.06 1.17 1.87 1.65 1.47 1.33 1.11 1.20 1.09 0.96 1.33 1.53 1.43 1.33 1.67 1.74 1.82 1.34 1.11 1.47 1.470
Debt/Equity 0.46 0.61 0.74 0.64 0.59 0.71 0.86 0.82 0.83 0.97 1.01 0.93 0.88 0.88 0.90 0.82 0.74 0.92 0.81 0.75 0.754
Net Debt/Equity 0.56 0.71 0.84 0.74 0.69 0.82 0.97 0.93 0.94 0.97 1.01 0.93 0.88 0.85 0.86 0.78 0.71 0.90 0.76 0.69 0.691
Debt/Assets 0.27 0.33 0.37 0.34 0.32 0.36 0.40 0.39 0.39 0.43 0.44 0.42 0.41 0.42 0.42 0.40 0.38 0.46 0.40 0.38 0.384
Debt/EBITDA 1.62 2.19 2.75 2.67 2.26 2.47 2.80 2.63 2.42 2.65 2.71 2.60 2.57 2.76 2.81 2.51 2.34 2.83 2.75 2.76 2.756
Net Debt/EBITDA 1.98 2.56 3.10 3.08 2.65 2.85 3.16 2.98 2.77 2.65 2.71 2.60 2.57 2.68 2.68 2.40 2.24 2.77 2.60 2.52 2.525
Interest Coverage 15.64 14.17 13.52 12.30 11.79 10.88 9.44 7.90 8.12 7.34 6.95 6.84 5.94 5.72 6.07 6.36 6.85 7.52 7.11 6.71 6.712
Equity Multiplier 1.72 1.84 1.99 1.90 1.85 1.97 2.14 2.10 2.11 2.24 2.30 2.20 2.13 2.11 2.14 2.06 1.96 2.02 2.04 1.96 1.965
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.336
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 9.045
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.084
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.300
Defensive Interval snapshot only 988.7 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 1.09 1.08 1.00 1.01 1.08 1.07 1.00 1.02 1.02 0.98 0.92 0.94 0.92 0.89 0.84 0.85 0.88 0.85 0.82 0.84 0.842
Inventory Turnover 2.23 2.10 2.01 2.12 2.29 2.17 2.03 2.13 2.09 1.87 1.72 1.81 1.79 1.65 1.56 1.68 1.76 1.64 1.62 1.81 1.812
Receivables Turnover 8.68 13.38 7.36 7.67 9.67 12.56 8.12 8.17 9.09 12.29 8.59 8.17 8.90 13.45 8.94 8.10 9.10 14.47 9.76 8.60 8.597
Payables Turnover 10.50 25.63 12.12 12.53 11.61 18.09 12.54 11.75 11.62 17.03 11.59 11.73 12.48 19.71 13.26 13.17 15.37 23.41 15.68 16.11 16.113
DSO 42 27 50 48 38 29 45 45 40 30 42 45 41 27 41 45 40 25 37 42 42.5 days
DIO 163 174 182 173 160 168 180 172 174 195 213 201 204 222 234 217 207 223 225 201 201.4 days
DPO 35 14 30 29 31 20 29 31 31 21 31 31 29 19 28 28 24 16 23 23 22.7 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 171 187 201 191 166 177 196 185 183 204 224 215 216 230 247 234 224 232 239 221 221.2 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 2.470
Operating Cycle snapshot only 243.9 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 25.505
Capital Intensity snapshot only 1.219
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 11.6% 8.0% 4.2% -0.7% 7.6% 11.5% 12.5% 14.6% 11.9% 8.3% 8.3% 8.5% 4.0% 4.5% 2.5% -0.3% 2.0% 0.7% 1.3% 2.0% 2.01%
Net Income 17.3% 8.1% -8.8% -31.0% -5.0% 6.2% 17.5% 33.2% 34.8% 35.3% 34.5% 35.2% 5.6% -2.1% -2.3% -6.2% 5.0% 5.7% -9.2% -21.7% -21.67%
EPS 22.2% 11.9% -5.3% -27.6% 1.2% 16.1% 26.4% 42.3% 41.8% 40.7% 39.3% 39.3% 8.2% -0.8% -0.5% -4.5% 7.0% 8.4% -7.5% -20.4% -20.38%
FCF -1.6% 52.0% 1.7% 1.6% 16.9% -21.4% -22.3% -88.9% -1.3% -1.4% -88.1% 1.6% 3.2% 5.6% 17.5% 4.3% 2.0% 69.9% 66.6% 37.0% 37.03%
EBITDA 14.6% 6.4% -7.6% -24.5% -1.2% 12.0% 23.4% 38.0% 39.2% 35.7% 34.2% 30.3% 8.2% 1.5% -0.6% -1.2% 5.2% 7.6% -3.5% -7.4% -7.36%
Op. Income 14.5% 5.5% -10.1% -30.3% -4.1% 10.1% 24.4% 42.4% 42.7% 39.0% 36.4% 35.7% 8.5% 0.8% -1.1% -6.9% 1.0% 3.6% -9.7% -12.5% -12.49%
OCF Growth snapshot only 17.44%
Asset Growth snapshot only 5.22%
Equity Growth snapshot only 10.24%
Debt Growth snapshot only 1.90%
Shares Change snapshot only -1.62%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 11.04%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 9.8% 9.0% 8.7% 8.7% 10.9% 12.2% 11.9% 10.9% 10.3% 9.2% 8.3% 7.3% 7.8% 8.0% 7.7% 7.5% 5.9% 4.5% 4.0% 3.4% 3.36%
Revenue 5Y 8.1% 8.4% 8.9% 8.6% 9.7% 10.2% 10.6% 10.3% 9.8% 9.3% 9.3% 9.8% 9.7% 9.8% 9.2% 8.1% 7.3% 6.5% 5.7% 4.7% 4.68%
EPS 3Y 15.1% 20.7% 18.2% 13.8% 18.3% 19.7% 21.9% 19.1% 20.6% 22.3% 18.6% 12.8% 15.8% 17.5% 20.6% 23.7% 18.0% 14.8% 8.6% 2.0% 1.96%
EPS 5Y 8.7% 9.5% 10.4% 9.4% 13.9% 10.9% 12.7% 13.6% 17.0% 23.5% 23.8% 23.9% 20.5% 19.1% 20.2% 17.6% 15.2% 14.5% 8.9% 1.8% 1.79%
Net Income 3Y 12.4% 18.2% 14.8% 10.0% 13.4% 14.0% 16.4% 13.5% 14.5% 15.8% 13.0% 7.5% 10.6% 12.0% 15.6% 19.1% 14.3% 11.8% 6.1% -0.2% -0.22%
Net Income 5Y 7.3% 8.1% 8.4% 7.1% 10.9% 7.5% 9.1% 9.7% 12.7% 18.8% 19.0% 19.1% 15.7% 14.4% 15.7% 13.1% 10.7% 9.9% 5.0% -1.8% -1.81%
EBITDA 3Y 20.9% 17.8% 14.8% 11.1% 14.6% 15.8% 18.7% 16.1% 16.4% 17.4% 15.2% 10.7% 14.2% 15.5% 18.1% 21.1% 16.6% 14.0% 8.8% 6.1% 6.05%
EBITDA 5Y 8.2% 8.6% 9.0% 8.1% 11.4% 13.2% 15.4% 16.7% 19.4% 20.0% 20.2% 19.8% 17.8% 16.4% 17.4% 15.1% 12.4% 12.1% 8.0% 4.4% 4.44%
Gross Profit 3Y 16.6% 13.2% 10.7% 7.4% 10.3% 13.5% 14.6% 14.2% 15.4% 15.5% 15.1% 11.3% 14.7% 16.4% 17.3% 18.6% 13.4% 9.9% 6.6% 3.6% 3.60%
Gross Profit 5Y 6.3% 6.4% 6.9% 6.4% 9.8% 11.8% 13.9% 15.1% 17.1% 17.0% 17.2% 17.1% 15.1% 15.0% 14.0% 12.2% 10.1% 9.3% 7.4% 3.8% 3.82%
Op. Income 3Y 19.1% 16.5% 12.8% 8.4% 12.3% 14.0% 17.0% 14.9% 16.2% 17.3% 15.1% 10.4% 14.1% 15.6% 18.8% 21.6% 16.1% 13.2% 6.8% 3.4% 3.39%
Op. Income 5Y 6.3% 6.9% 7.2% 6.1% 9.8% 11.6% 13.9% 15.2% 18.3% 19.3% 19.5% 19.7% 17.0% 15.7% 16.6% 13.9% 11.4% 11.0% 6.4% 1.9% 1.87%
FCF 3Y 46.9% 37.2% 41.9% 1.3% 59.0% 87.2% 1.7% -43.6% — — -36.7% -8.6% -7.8% 12.3% 19.5% 15.3% 26.3% 45.2% 54.1% 1.7% 1.67%
FCF 5Y 11.8% 10.7% 13.5% 6.7% -2.7% -10.0% -4.2% -28.1% — — -23.4% 30.0% 21.9% 63.9% 1.1% 20.0% 18.3% 29.6% 50.8% 40.8% 40.85%
OCF 3Y 27.4% 25.1% 29.9% 57.3% 35.3% 41.4% 52.4% -6.5% -24.1% -15.6% 10.8% 13.1% 6.5% 17.6% 21.0% 17.2% 22.5% 29.8% 33.8% 55.0% 55.00%
OCF 5Y 9.1% 6.7% 8.1% 5.9% -0.2% -3.3% 2.5% -4.4% -3.4% -3.5% 8.7% 23.2% 20.3% 35.2% 44.1% 21.0% 18.7% 25.6% 36.7% 30.2% 30.24%
Assets 3Y 7.9% 8.9% 8.0% 7.5% 9.0% 10.4% 8.6% 9.9% 12.7% 15.2% 14.2% 15.5% 15.5% 15.5% 14.1% 12.2% 11.4% 10.2% 8.6% 8.5% 8.55%
Assets 5Y 6.1% 6.3% 7.4% 8.2% 10.3% 11.5% 11.1% 10.1% 12.0% 12.5% 11.8% 11.6% 11.4% 12.5% 10.3% 10.0% 10.3% 11.1% 9.9% 10.5% 10.52%
Equity 3Y 5.9% 4.2% 4.1% 5.3% 6.3% 6.5% 4.2% 4.5% 5.4% 6.4% 8.1% 8.0% 7.5% 10.3% 11.5% 9.4% 9.3% 9.4% 10.3% 10.9% 10.93%
Book Value 3Y 8.4% 6.4% 7.2% 9.0% 10.9% 11.8% 9.2% 9.7% 11.0% 12.3% 13.5% 13.3% 12.6% 15.6% 16.3% 13.6% 12.8% 12.3% 13.0% 13.4% 13.35%
Dividend 3Y 7.3% 7.8% 8.7% 6.6% 7.3% 6.5% 6.2% 7.2% 7.4% 8.4% 7.8% 9.5% 9.9% 11.1% 10.5% 7.9% 7.0% 5.3% 5.1% 5.2% 5.24%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.92 0.94 0.95 0.93 0.98 0.97 0.97 0.95 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.96 0.99 0.99 0.98 0.95 0.96 0.94 0.93 0.90 0.903
Earnings Stability 0.62 0.64 0.65 0.47 0.86 0.79 0.75 0.51 0.85 0.93 0.88 0.69 0.92 0.92 0.87 0.62 0.91 0.88 0.61 0.13 0.126
Margin Stability 0.90 0.92 0.93 0.90 0.96 0.96 0.94 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.86 0.85 0.88 0.88 0.87 0.86 0.89 0.91 0.92 0.93 0.933
Rev. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.50 0.500
Earn. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.93 0.97 0.96 0.88 0.98 0.98 0.93 0.87 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.98 0.99 0.99 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.96 0.91 0.913
Earnings Smoothness 0.84 0.92 0.91 0.63 0.95 0.94 0.84 0.72 0.70 0.70 0.71 0.70 0.95 0.98 0.98 0.94 0.95 0.94 0.90 0.76 0.757
ROE Trend 0.03 0.02 0.01 -0.03 -0.01 -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.04 -0.06 -0.062
Gross Margin Trend 0.00 -0.00 -0.01 -0.03 -0.01 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.03 0.02 0.01 0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.024
FCF Margin Trend 0.02 0.04 0.05 0.04 0.00 -0.01 0.00 -0.05 -0.08 -0.08 -0.05 -0.03 0.01 0.06 0.07 0.09 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.08 0.078
Sustainable Growth Rate 13.3% 12.8% 12.1% 10.0% 11.6% 12.8% 13.7% 13.5% 15.5% 17.0% 17.6% 17.2% 15.0% 14.2% 14.6% 14.0% 14.0% 13.5% 11.5% 9.0% 9.04%
Internal Growth Rate 8.4% 7.6% 6.5% 5.7% 7.0% 7.2% 7.1% 7.2% 8.5% 8.8% 8.6% 8.7% 7.6% 7.0% 7.1% 7.0% 7.4% 7.0% 5.8% 4.7% 4.71%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 0.98 1.11 1.18 1.59 1.23 1.06 1.02 0.61 0.31 0.33 0.52 0.64 0.88 1.28 1.36 1.51 1.51 1.65 2.04 2.27 2.269
FCF/OCF 0.71 0.75 0.72 0.76 0.70 0.58 0.55 0.16 -0.61 -0.54 0.10 0.30 0.46 0.65 0.69 0.72 0.76 0.81 0.84 0.84 0.838
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 1.903
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.985
CapEx/Revenue 2.5% 2.3% 2.6% 2.7% 2.9% 3.5% 3.7% 4.1% 4.6% 5.0% 4.7% 4.6% 4.5% 4.1% 4.0% 4.1% 3.5% 3.1% 2.8% 2.7% 2.70%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.616
Accruals Ratio 0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.04 -0.02 -0.00 -0.00 0.03 0.07 0.06 0.05 0.03 0.01 -0.02 -0.03 -0.04 -0.04 -0.05 -0.07 -0.08 -0.079
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.060
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 3.544
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.750
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 2.03%
Dividend/Share $0.70 $0.72 $0.74 $0.77 $0.81 $0.82 $0.83 $0.87 $0.90 $0.93 $0.93 $1.02 $1.07 $1.12 $1.13 $1.17 $1.21 $1.24 $1.24 $1.30 $1.33
Payout Ratio 18.8% 20.7% 21.7% 24.5% 21.6% 20.3% 19.2% 19.5% 17.0% 16.3% 15.5% 16.4% 18.6% 19.7% 18.8% 19.6% 19.8% 20.2% 22.3% 27.4% 27.39%
FCF Payout Ratio 27.1% 25.1% 25.5% 20.4% 25.3% 33.3% 34.3% 2.0% — — 3.1% 85.3% 46.2% 23.8% 20.1% 18.1% 17.1% 15.1% 13.0% 14.4% 14.39%
Total Payout Ratio 70.3% 68.3% 72.4% 95.9% 97.4% 95.0% 86.3% 79.7% 63.7% 59.8% 52.5% 49.6% 50.2% 48.0% 45.7% 46.8% 43.3% 46.9% 51.9% 54.4% 54.39%
Div. Increase Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Total Shareholder Return — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.74 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.74 0.74 0.74 0.74 0.76 0.76 0.76 0.76 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.753
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.94 0.93 0.93 0.92 0.92 0.91 0.89 0.87 0.88 0.86 0.86 0.85 0.83 0.83 0.84 0.84 0.85 0.86 0.86 0.78 0.777
EBIT Margin 0.13 0.12 0.11 0.10 0.11 0.12 0.12 0.13 0.14 0.15 0.16 0.16 0.15 0.14 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.13 0.13 0.126
Asset Turnover 1.09 1.08 1.00 1.01 1.08 1.07 1.00 1.02 1.02 0.98 0.92 0.94 0.92 0.89 0.84 0.85 0.88 0.85 0.82 0.84 0.842
Equity Multiplier 1.72 1.80 1.97 1.85 1.79 1.91 2.07 2.00 1.98 2.11 2.22 2.15 2.12 2.17 2.21 2.13 2.04 2.07 2.09 2.01 2.009
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $3.69 $3.49 $3.43 $3.15 $3.74 $4.05 $4.34 $4.48 $5.30 $5.71 $6.04 $6.24 $5.74 $5.66 $6.01 $5.96 $6.14 $6.13 $5.56 $4.75 $4.75
Book Value/Share $22.74 $22.28 $22.77 $24.32 $26.13 $26.19 $26.67 $27.45 $29.19 $28.91 $30.53 $32.18 $32.49 $34.44 $35.86 $35.67 $37.48 $37.08 $38.45 $39.97 $40.01
Tangible Book/Share $16.57 $14.60 $15.01 $16.24 $17.36 $17.11 $17.40 $18.18 $19.55 $19.39 $20.83 $22.39 $22.79 $24.22 $25.59 $25.71 $27.29 $24.77 $26.00 $27.43 $27.43
Revenue/Share $42.32 $42.31 $43.91 $44.65 $48.52 $51.56 $53.13 $54.70 $57.13 $58.08 $59.58 $61.16 $60.87 $61.56 $62.22 $62.16 $63.28 $63.57 $64.19 $64.45 $64.48
FCF/Share $2.57 $2.88 $2.91 $3.77 $3.20 $2.47 $2.43 $0.45 $-1.01 $-1.02 $0.30 $1.20 $2.31 $4.70 $5.63 $6.48 $7.08 $8.19 $9.56 $9.03 $9.04
OCF/Share $3.62 $3.86 $4.05 $4.99 $4.60 $4.29 $4.40 $2.71 $1.65 $1.87 $3.12 $4.01 $5.03 $7.24 $8.15 $9.02 $9.29 $10.14 $11.33 $10.77 $10.78
Cash/Share $-2.30 $-2.22 $-2.18 $-2.39 $-2.65 $-2.81 $-2.98 $-3.04 $-3.47 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.89 $1.45 $1.17 $1.25 $0.80 $1.72 $2.53 $2.53
EBITDA/Share $6.46 $6.15 $6.15 $5.83 $6.80 $7.54 $8.16 $8.59 $9.97 $10.64 $11.34 $11.54 $11.05 $10.95 $11.49 $11.61 $11.84 $12.09 $11.28 $10.94 $10.94
Debt/Share $10.49 $13.51 $16.88 $15.55 $15.40 $18.64 $22.84 $22.57 $24.11 $28.18 $30.74 $29.95 $28.44 $30.22 $32.25 $29.10 $27.74 $34.22 $31.03 $30.14 $30.14
Net Debt/Share $12.80 $15.72 $19.06 $17.95 $18.06 $21.45 $25.82 $25.61 $27.58 $28.18 $30.74 $29.95 $28.44 $29.33 $30.79 $27.93 $26.49 $33.42 $29.31 $27.61 $27.61
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Piotroski F-Score 5 6 6 5 6 7 7 6 6 5 6 6 5 6 6 6 7 7 6 5 5
Beneish M-Score -2.30 -2.07 -2.35 -2.41 -2.45 -2.46 -2.55 -2.32 -2.17 -2.14 -2.31 -2.27 -2.48 -2.63 -2.65 -2.70 -2.54 -2.72 -2.80 -2.66 -2.665
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -8.545
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 13.98%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $0.92
EVA snapshot only $-33901060.25
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only A-
Credit Score 76.75 74.00 71.90 74.90 74.00 72.50 68.50 66.10 64.60 63.40 63.60 64.50 65.10 66.00 67.50 68.40 68.40 70.00 70.90 67.50 67.500
Credit Grade snapshot only 7
Credit Trend snapshot only -0.900
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 175.000

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