— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: 0L9F.L (LSE) · $vol 0M

STWD NYSE

Starwood Property Trust, Inc.
1W: +2.0% 1M: -10.2% 3M: -24.8% YTD: -32.5% 1Y: -33.3% 3Y: -16.4% 5Y: -28.8%
$12.44
-0.10 (-0.76%)
After Hours: $12.58 (+0.14, +1.13%)
Weekly Expected Move ±3.8%
$12 $12 $13 $13 $14
NYSE · Real Estate · REIT - Mortgage · Tech Score Strong Sell · Power 36 · $4.6B mcap · 350M float · 1.36% daily turnover · Short 50% of daily vol
Credit Risk of going bust: not rated, financial company (lending is its business) Bonds: $576.2M held by 493 funds, 164 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Not rated: lending and leverage are a financial company's business, which the model misreads.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

NO EDGE
38.1 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Efficient Scale  ·  ROIC: 4.4%  ·  5Y Avg: 3.8%
Cost Advantage
33
Intangibles
36
Switching Cost
42
Network Effect
35
Scale ★
45
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. STWD has No discernible competitive edge (38.1/100). The business operates without significant structural advantages. The primary source of advantage is Efficient Scale. ROIC of 4.4% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$20
Low
$20
Avg Target
$20
High
Based on 1 analyst since Aug 6, 2026 earnings
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 1Buy: 15Hold: 5Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$20.00
Analysts1
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2026-08-17 Wells Fargo — $24 $20 -4 +22.7% $16.30
2026-06-02 UBS Marissa Lobo Initiated $20 — +19.0% $16.80
2026-03-06 Credit Suisse — Initiated $19 — +5.8% $17.95
2026-03-06 Morgan Stanley — Initiated $19 — +5.9% $17.94
2024-09-20 Wells Fargo Donald Fandetti Initiated $24 — +13.7% $21.11
2022-08-09 JMP Securities — Initiated $26 — +10.1% $23.62
2022-07-18 Raymond James — Initiated $30 — +39.6% $21.49

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

C+
Oct 27, 2026
DCF
3
ROE
2
ROA
2
D/E
1
P/E
2
P/B
3
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. STWD receives an overall rating of C+. Areas of concern: ROE (2/5), ROA (2/5), D/E (1/5), P/E (2/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-10-12 B C+
2026-10-01 C+ B
2026-09-04 B- C+
2026-08-10 C+ B-
2026-08-06 B- C+
2026-05-11 C+ B-
2026-05-08 B C+
2026-04-24 B+ B
2026-04-01 B- B+
2026-02-27 C B-

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 33 Grade D
Profitability
44
Balance Sheet
13
Earnings Quality
88
Growth
29
Value
62
Momentum
61
Safety
0
Cash Flow
48
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. STWD scores highest in Earnings Quality (88/100) and lowest in Safety (0/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
-0.02
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
5/9
✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-2.63
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-4.51
Bankruptcy prob: 1.1%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
CCC
Score: 12.1/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 4.32x
Accruals: -1.2%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. STWD scores -0.02, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. STWD scores 5/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. STWD's score of -2.63 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. STWD's implied 1.1% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. STWD receives an estimated rating of CCC (score: 12.1/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). STWD's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
18.48x
PEG
-0.49x
P/S
2.27x
P/B
0.70x
P/FCF
13.70x
P/OCF
6.10x
EV/EBITDA
16.50x
EV/Revenue
14.46x
EV/EBIT
17.82x
EV/FCF
66.69x
Earnings Yield
3.79%
FCF Yield
7.30%
Shareholder Yield
14.84%
Graham Number
$15.74
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 18.5x earnings, STWD trades at a reasonable valuation. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $15.74 per share, suggesting a potential 27% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.762
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.182
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.811
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.033
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
9.551
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
3.5%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. STWD's ROE of 3.5% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 9.55x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$5.28
Price/Value
3.10x
Margin of Safety
-210.08%
Premium
210.08%
Assessment
Overvalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with STWD's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. STWD trades at a 210% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $5.28, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 18.5x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$12.43
Median 1Y
$11.64
5th Pctile
$6.73
95th Pctile
$20.16
Ann. Volatility
35.1%
Analyst Target
$20.00
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical Analyst target

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
324
+13.3% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$5,803,015
Rev: $1,880,177,000
Profit / Employee
$1,270,198
NI: $411,544,000
SGA / Employee
—
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
ROE 10.2% 8.3% 12.0% 13.6% 14.7% 13.7% 9.3% 8.6% 6.4% 5.3% 7.0% 5.6% 5.9% 5.7% 5.0% 5.9% 5.5% 6.2% 5.4% 3.5% 3.53%
ROA 0.6% 0.5% 0.8% 0.9% 1.0% 1.1% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.37%
ROIC 2.9% 3.0% 5.4% 5.3% 7.6% 5.9% 6.0% 5.2% 2.3% 4.9% 6.1% 9.0% 8.6% 6.2% 3.3% 0.9% 3.0% 3.2% 3.8% 4.4% 4.42%
ROCE 0.1% 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.9% 0.7% 0.9% 1.0% 0.4% 1.0% 1.4% 2.1% 2.1% 1.5% 1.3% 0.6% 1.3% 2.2% 2.5% 3.3% 3.28%
Gross Margin 66.6% 61.9% 1.5% 1.2% 73.8% 52.0% 30.1% 76.1% 95.8% 87.1% 89.1% 89.2% 95.8% 17.4% 40.9% 27.9% 79.4% 76.8% 75.2% 75.4% 75.43%
Operating Margin 23.5% 69.6% 1.5% 19.7% 91.1% 0.0% 78.5% -13.0% 0.4% 81.3% 92.9% 92.4% -4.7% -2.9% 28.7% 10.7% 81.1% 80.5% 67.5% 65.1% 65.11%
Net Margin 42.0% 29.8% 1.0% 63.9% 47.4% 29.2% 10.6% 32.4% 8.9% 13.7% 25.1% 15.9% 15.6% 11.5% 26.8% 27.3% 14.8% 19.1% 10.1% 1.3% 1.28%
EBITDA Margin -0.2% 45.4% 66.2% -0.3% 1.0% 0.0% 67.1% -0.3% -0.2% 78.9% 88.9% 85.7% -0.3% 0.0% 1.0% 0.0% 92.7% 98.6% 81.1% 78.4% 78.41%
FCF Margin 2.8% -85.3% -93.9% -50.0% 21.7% 12.4% 0.4% -17.9% -7.0% 24.4% 26.9% 21.0% 15.9% 30.3% 43.5% 36.1% 42.4% 40.9% 24.3% 21.7% 21.68%
OCF Margin 4.9% -83.1% -91.4% -47.9% 23.7% 14.1% 1.8% -16.4% -5.6% 25.6% 28.1% 22.2% 17.2% 31.7% 45.0% 37.6% 42.8% 51.7% 41.9% 48.7% 48.68%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 4.97%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 7.02%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 0.50%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 2.95%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 4.36%
Cash ROA snapshot only 1.61%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 3.31%
CROIC snapshot only 1.47%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 64.94%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 14.79%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 2.80%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 2.70%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio 10.75 11.69 8.31 6.44 5.32 5.20 7.24 8.75 12.13 16.37 13.15 15.00 15.58 16.52 20.00 17.86 17.83 14.75 16.53 26.36 18.482
P/S Ratio 4.17 4.33 4.44 3.86 3.20 2.94 2.52 2.55 2.45 2.69 2.66 2.44 2.80 2.91 3.45 3.61 3.56 3.21 2.92 2.97 2.270
P/B Ratio 1.10 0.85 0.86 0.75 0.66 0.69 0.67 0.75 0.78 0.89 0.93 0.85 0.90 0.92 0.99 1.03 0.95 0.89 0.87 0.92 0.700
P/FCF 148.50 -5.07 -4.73 -7.72 14.77 23.60 675.03 -14.25 -34.92 11.03 9.87 11.62 17.56 9.61 7.93 10.00 8.40 7.86 12.01 13.70 13.696
P/OCF 85.39 — — — 13.54 20.82 139.11 — — 10.50 9.47 11.02 16.29 9.19 7.66 9.59 8.32 6.21 6.97 6.10 6.100
EV/EBITDA 65.43 89.77 40.82 39.32 17.00 22.14 17.37 17.45 40.81 19.25 15.10 10.16 10.33 15.00 17.57 36.79 19.69 19.95 20.86 16.50 16.503
EV/Revenue 10.59 10.30 11.44 10.76 9.65 9.09 7.66 6.90 6.59 6.87 6.58 6.47 6.73 7.09 8.02 8.49 9.43 14.53 14.39 14.46 14.458
EV/EBIT 124.42 232.51 52.04 48.30 18.28 24.09 18.65 18.74 48.36 20.67 15.92 10.51 10.68 15.50 18.26 38.78 20.57 21.04 22.39 17.82 17.819
EV/FCF 376.94 -12.08 -12.19 -21.50 44.51 73.11 2051.37 -38.54 -94.02 28.12 24.46 30.84 42.19 23.41 18.47 23.53 22.22 35.57 59.11 66.69 66.689
Earnings Yield 9.3% 8.6% 12.0% 15.5% 18.8% 19.2% 13.8% 11.4% 8.2% 6.1% 7.6% 6.7% 6.4% 6.1% 5.0% 5.6% 5.6% 6.8% 6.0% 3.8% 3.79%
FCF Yield 0.7% -19.7% -21.1% -12.9% 6.8% 4.2% 0.1% -7.0% -2.9% 9.1% 10.1% 8.6% 5.7% 10.4% 12.6% 10.0% 11.9% 12.7% 8.3% 7.3% 7.30%
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 1.036
EV/OCF snapshot only 29.704
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 18.853
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 19.693
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 14.84%
Graham Number snapshot only $15.74
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 1.17 — 0.33 27.50 0.27 — 0.75 0.87 0.79 0.36 — — — — — — — 0.36 0.08 0.06 0.059
Quick Ratio 1.23 — 0.33 27.67 0.27 — 0.75 0.87 0.79 0.36 — — — — — — — 0.36 0.08 0.06 0.059
Debt/Equity 1.75 1.23 1.39 1.40 1.39 1.50 1.55 1.46 1.47 1.42 1.44 1.46 1.34 1.40 1.40 1.45 1.62 3.27 3.47 3.65 3.646
Net Debt/Equity 1.69 1.17 1.35 1.33 1.34 1.44 1.37 1.29 1.33 1.38 1.37 1.40 1.27 1.33 1.32 1.39 1.57 3.15 3.41 3.58 3.576
Debt/Assets 0.10 0.09 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.12 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.15 0.18 0.35 0.37 0.39 0.388
Debt/EBITDA 41.09 54.71 25.75 26.38 11.80 15.59 13.21 12.46 28.46 12.05 9.46 6.59 6.36 9.33 10.66 21.98 12.69 16.12 16.89 13.37 13.369
Net Debt/EBITDA 39.66 52.07 24.97 25.20 11.36 14.99 11.66 11.00 25.65 11.70 9.01 6.33 6.03 8.84 10.03 21.15 12.25 15.54 16.62 13.11 13.113
Interest Coverage 0.23 0.12 0.57 0.54 1.14 0.72 0.69 0.57 0.20 0.47 0.61 0.90 0.92 0.69 0.63 0.32 0.67 1.02 0.97 1.22 1.223
Equity Multiplier 18.27 13.81 12.93 13.00 12.41 12.23 12.12 11.41 11.12 11.12 10.55 10.31 9.82 9.72 9.70 9.71 9.10 9.30 9.31 9.39 9.393
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.041
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 1.321
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.019
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.019
Defensive Interval snapshot only 3600.6 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.033
Inventory Turnover — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Receivables Turnover 12.68 11.23 10.73 10.07 10.20 10.64 11.13 11.80 12.36 11.16 11.62 11.14 11.40 11.07 10.94 10.12 10.05 11.44 12.40 11.07 11.071
Payables Turnover 2.08 2.14 0.85 -0.10 -0.09 0.40 2.60 3.09 4.40 2.05 2.11 1.66 2.39 4.17 — — — — — — —
DSO 29 33 34 36 36 34 33 31 30 33 31 33 32 33 33 36 36 32 29 33 33.0 days
DIO -56 0 -44 — — 0 0 -29 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO 175 170 429 — — 903 141 118 83 178 173 221 153 87 0 0 0 0 0 0 —
Cash Conversion Cycle -202 -138 -439 — — -869 -108 -116 -53 -146 -142 -188 -121 -55 33 36 36 32 29 33 —
Cash Velocity snapshot only 4.472
Capital Intensity snapshot only 30.177
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue -3.8% 4.9% 9.0% 7.9% 13.4% 27.2% 40.5% 53.3% 51.2% 36.0% 28.5% 13.7% 4.3% -1.0% -15.6% -15.1% -13.2% -7.4% 7.6% 10.5% 10.53%
Net Income 15.8% 32.9% 27.4% 53.5% 75.9% 94.1% -8.5% -25.4% -49.3% -60.4% -25.4% -36.5% -7.1% 6.1% -28.0% 5.5% -3.4% 14.3% 10.5% -38.4% -38.37%
EPS 14.6% 23.2% 19.3% 43.5% 64.2% 85.9% -7.3% -24.3% -48.3% -59.7% -30.3% -37.3% -9.8% -1.5% -29.4% -1.9% -8.4% 14.4% 10.6% -43.3% -43.34%
FCF -96.9% -2.0% -2.0% -2.1% 7.8% 1.2% 1.0% 45.1% -1.5% 1.7% 91.7% 2.3% 3.4% 22.9% 36.2% 45.9% 1.3% 24.8% -39.7% -33.6% -33.59%
EBITDA -27.7% -28.6% 77.0% 76.6% 3.0% 3.6% 1.2% 1.2% -57.0% 18.1% 27.1% 83.3% 3.2% 31.3% -11.6% -69.3% -36.1% 42.6% 62.6% 3.2% 3.20%
Op. Income 1.2% 1.3% 2.5% 1.7% 2.0% 1.2% 2.9% -13.7% -70.8% -16.0% 13.4% 1.1% 3.5% 33.5% -42.1% -90.7% -60.9% -1.3% 1.2% 10.0% 10.00%
OCF Growth snapshot only 42.94%
Asset Growth snapshot only -2.12%
Equity Growth snapshot only 1.20%
Debt Growth snapshot only 1.55%
Shares Change snapshot only 8.78%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 23.49%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 3.7% 2.3% 1.2% 0.7% 3.3% 5.3% 9.5% 15.0% 18.2% 22.0% 25.3% 23.5% 21.4% 19.7% 15.1% 14.0% 11.1% 7.6% 5.3% 2.2% 2.20%
Revenue 5Y 13.0% 12.1% 10.1% 9.1% 10.2% 11.5% 12.5% 13.6% 13.8% 13.1% 13.4% 12.2% 11.7% 9.5% 7.3% 8.0% 8.4% 10.7% 12.3% 12.1% 12.05%
EPS 3Y 2.4% 1.4% 17.6% 22.4% 20.1% 15.0% 13.4% 10.7% -0.9% -2.7% -8.3% -12.0% -8.5% -9.7% -23.0% -22.5% -24.7% -23.1% -18.4% -29.6% -29.61%
EPS 5Y 2.0% 0.6% 4.3% 6.8% 9.4% 12.1% 4.9% 5.8% -1.8% -4.8% 1.0% -2.7% -4.2% -9.6% -6.5% -3.6% -4.3% 0.8% -9.7% -17.6% -17.63%
Net Income 3Y 6.1% 4.9% 22.4% 26.0% 23.6% 19.2% 17.0% 13.0% 1.1% 0.8% -4.6% -10.1% -6.1% -6.5% -21.1% -20.7% -23.1% -21.7% -16.0% -25.6% -25.56%
Net Income 5Y 6.2% 4.0% 8.1% 10.8% 13.6% 16.6% 8.4% 7.4% 1.3% -2.4% 4.6% -1.1% -2.3% -6.6% -3.0% -0.7% -1.5% 4.4% -7.1% -13.9% -13.94%
EBITDA 3Y 7.7% -11.2% 20.2% 20.1% 57.3% 33.1% 41.6% 41.6% 7.4% 56.6% 70.7% 92.9% 93.1% 91.9% 35.4% 7.7% 4.9% 30.3% 22.2% 33.2% 33.23%
EBITDA 5Y — -8.1% 10.2% 10.2% 29.5% 32.5% 37.4% 37.4% 16.4% 30.3% 37.3% 47.7% 47.7% 29.6% 26.1% 9.9% 27.2% 48.4% 48.2% 56.1% 56.07%
Gross Profit 3Y 5.3% 2.9% 13.7% 22.5% 23.9% 19.2% 10.1% 8.5% 13.6% 23.9% 32.3% 33.1% 33.7% 25.6% 3.1% -12.3% -17.1% -8.6% 5.6% 12.4% 12.44%
Gross Profit 5Y 6.8% 5.5% 11.7% 17.1% 19.9% 21.6% 14.0% 10.6% 13.8% 16.2% 21.6% 23.3% 21.8% 12.9% 6.9% -0.1% -2.8% 6.4% 9.5% 13.5% 13.46%
Op. Income 3Y 11.3% 17.1% 45.2% 38.3% 57.1% 40.7% 46.6% 50.4% 24.2% 62.8% 60.1% 70.7% 57.8% 35.1% -12.3% -44.6% -20.2% 3.5% 13.7% 29.4% 29.40%
Op. Income 5Y -8.8% -3.9% 10.9% 11.0% 17.9% 27.9% 24.8% 22.6% 4.0% 24.3% 29.0% 37.0% 38.2% 25.6% 15.6% -7.7% 27.2% 41.5% 39.7% 38.5% 38.54%
FCF 3Y -29.9% — — — — — -70.2% — — -21.0% -18.9% -5.8% 1.2% — — — 38.9% 60.0% 3.2% — —
FCF 5Y -45.9% — — — — — — — — -1.0% 11.3% 15.3% — — 27.2% -11.3% -6.0% -5.4% -15.2% -4.1% -4.09%
OCF 3Y -27.3% — — — — — -51.5% — — -20.3% -18.3% -5.4% 84.6% — — — 35.3% 66.0% 2.0% — —
OCF 5Y -36.4% — — — 18.9% — -5.8% — — -2.0% 8.9% 13.8% — — 25.1% -11.1% -6.2% -1.3% -5.9% 11.8% 11.80%
Assets 3Y 9.2% 7.1% 4.0% 4.4% 2.4% 0.4% -0.1% -2.8% -4.5% -4.9% -6.0% -7.6% -7.8% -9.3% -8.5% -9.1% -7.9% -7.2% -7.1% -5.9% -5.86%
Assets 5Y -0.2% 1.7% 2.9% 5.2% 5.0% 4.7% 4.8% 3.8% 2.2% 0.4% -1.7% -2.6% -2.9% -4.3% -4.3% -4.8% -5.0% -4.8% -4.9% -5.6% -5.57%
Equity 3Y -1.0% 9.7% 10.8% 11.3% 11.5% 11.2% 12.8% 12.6% 11.9% 11.7% 11.9% 11.6% 13.4% 2.0% 0.7% 0.1% 2.1% 1.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.44%
Book Value 3Y -4.4% 6.1% 6.4% 8.2% 8.2% 7.4% 9.3% 10.3% 9.7% 7.9% 7.5% 9.3% 10.4% -1.4% -1.8% -2.1% -0.0% -0.2% -1.4% -5.0% -5.03%
Dividend 3Y -3.0% -2.9% -3.1% -1.6% -1.2% -1.3% -1.3% -0.7% -1.0% -2.9% -3.4% -1.6% -2.1% -2.3% -1.0% -0.4% 8.0% 8.1% 7.2% 4.3% 4.33%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.78 0.63 0.57 0.62 0.78 0.69 0.64 0.62 0.64 0.69 0.68 0.69 0.73 0.72 0.61 0.63 0.64 0.74 0.66 0.61 0.610
Earnings Stability 0.49 0.07 0.45 0.46 0.48 0.41 0.75 0.58 0.19 0.07 0.32 0.06 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.01 0.62 0.59 0.592
Margin Stability 0.83 0.85 0.85 0.77 0.78 0.81 0.85 0.77 0.79 0.83 0.84 0.74 0.76 0.84 0.82 0.69 0.69 0.82 0.86 0.75 0.752
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.50 0.00 1.00 0.50 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.94 0.87 0.89 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.97 0.90 0.80 0.50 0.90 0.85 0.97 0.98 0.89 0.98 0.99 0.94 0.96 0.85 0.847
Earnings Smoothness 0.85 0.72 0.76 0.58 0.45 0.36 0.91 0.71 0.35 0.14 0.71 0.55 0.93 0.94 0.67 0.95 0.97 0.87 0.90 0.53 0.525
ROE Trend 0.01 -0.02 0.00 0.02 0.03 0.06 -0.02 -0.03 -0.05 -0.05 -0.03 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.03 -0.01 -0.01 0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.022
Gross Margin Trend 0.02 -0.02 0.18 0.32 0.31 0.26 -0.16 -0.29 -0.20 -0.06 0.11 0.11 0.07 -0.08 -0.13 -0.28 -0.35 -0.17 -0.10 0.08 0.083
FCF Margin Trend -0.32 -1.29 -1.53 -1.22 -0.23 0.10 -0.02 -0.17 -0.19 0.61 0.74 0.55 0.09 0.12 0.30 0.35 0.38 0.13 -0.11 -0.07 -0.069
Sustainable Growth Rate -2.1% -2.1% 1.6% 3.1% 4.1% 4.2% -0.0% -0.7% -3.0% -4.1% -2.6% -4.0% -3.6% -4.1% -4.9% -4.3% -6.7% -6.3% -7.6% -9.8% -9.80%
Internal Growth Rate — — 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 0.13 -2.25 -1.71 -0.80 0.39 0.25 0.05 -0.56 -0.28 1.56 1.39 1.36 0.96 1.80 2.61 1.86 2.14 2.38 2.37 4.32 4.320
FCF/OCF 0.57 1.03 1.03 1.04 0.92 0.88 0.21 1.09 1.24 0.95 0.96 0.95 0.93 0.96 0.97 0.96 0.99 0.79 0.58 0.45 0.445
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 1.924
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.556
CapEx/Revenue 2.1% 2.2% 2.4% 2.1% 2.0% 1.7% 1.4% 1.5% 1.4% 1.2% 1.1% 1.2% 1.2% 1.4% 1.5% 1.6% 0.4% 10.9% 17.6% 27.0% 27.00%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 4.172
Accruals Ratio 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 0.00 -0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.012
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.170
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 0.700
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield 11.2% 10.7% 10.5% 12.0% 13.6% 13.3% 13.9% 12.3% 12.1% 10.8% 10.4% 11.5% 10.3% 10.4% 9.9% 9.7% 12.5% 13.7% 14.6% 14.3% 15.48%
Dividend/Share $1.87 $1.82 $1.80 $1.82 $1.84 $1.86 $1.92 $1.93 $1.93 $1.92 $1.82 $1.93 $1.90 $1.84 $1.87 $1.90 $2.42 $2.46 $2.51 $2.35 $1.92
Payout Ratio 1.2% 1.3% 87.0% 77.2% 72.2% 69.1% 1.0% 1.1% 1.5% 1.8% 1.4% 1.7% 1.6% 1.7% 2.0% 1.7% 2.2% 2.0% 2.4% 3.8% 3.78%
FCF Payout Ratio 16.7% — — — 2.0% 3.1% 93.6% — — 1.2% 1.0% 1.3% 1.8% 1.0% 78.6% 97.1% 1.0% 1.1% 1.8% 2.0% 1.96%
Total Payout Ratio 1.2% 1.3% 87.0% 77.2% 72.2% 69.1% 1.0% 1.1% 1.5% 1.8% 1.4% 1.7% 1.6% 1.7% 2.0% 1.7% 2.2% 2.0% 2.4% 3.9% 3.91%
Div. Increase Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Chowder Number 0.13 0.12 0.13 0.16 0.19 0.20 0.19 0.17 0.15 0.12 0.12 0.13 0.12 0.14 0.14 0.15 0.47 0.48 0.49 0.49 0.487
Buyback Yield 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.5% 0.50%
Net Buyback Yield 0.1% -7.6% -7.3% -9.0% -10.0% -1.2% -1.2% -0.4% -0.4% -0.1% -0.1% -0.1% -6.7% -6.7% -6.2% -6.5% -0.0% -0.0% -0.3% -0.0% -0.01%
Total Shareholder Return 11.3% 3.1% 3.1% 3.0% 3.6% 12.1% 12.6% 11.9% 11.7% 10.8% 10.3% 11.5% 3.6% 3.8% 3.7% 3.2% 12.5% 13.7% 14.3% 14.3% 14.33%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.87 0.88 0.85 0.81 0.85 0.86 0.89 0.91 0.87 0.81 0.84 0.88 0.86 0.89 0.87 0.91 0.88 0.86 0.85 0.76 0.762
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 5.22 9.49 2.85 3.34 1.34 1.74 0.95 0.87 1.71 0.61 0.58 0.30 0.33 0.43 0.45 1.01 0.50 0.37 0.32 0.18 0.182
EBIT Margin 0.09 0.04 0.22 0.22 0.53 0.38 0.41 0.37 0.14 0.33 0.41 0.62 0.63 0.46 0.44 0.22 0.46 0.69 0.64 0.81 0.811
Asset Turnover 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.033
Equity Multiplier 18.06 15.60 14.96 15.12 14.81 13.00 12.52 12.20 11.77 11.68 11.34 10.87 10.46 10.41 10.12 10.00 9.45 9.50 9.51 9.55 9.551
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $1.55 $1.45 $2.07 $2.35 $2.54 $2.69 $1.92 $1.78 $1.31 $1.08 $1.33 $1.12 $1.19 $1.07 $0.94 $1.10 $1.09 $1.22 $1.04 $0.62 $0.62
Book Value/Share $15.19 $19.92 $20.04 $20.30 $20.36 $20.31 $20.65 $20.69 $20.35 $19.95 $18.96 $19.83 $20.45 $19.08 $18.98 $19.05 $20.36 $20.16 $19.77 $17.72 $19.59
Tangible Book/Share $14.09 $18.86 $19.01 $19.24 $19.31 $19.27 $19.60 $19.63 $19.30 $18.91 $17.98 $18.80 $19.45 $18.13 $18.04 $18.12 $18.31 $18.09 $17.73 $15.81 $15.81
Revenue/Share $3.99 $3.91 $3.86 $3.92 $4.23 $4.76 $5.50 $6.11 $6.51 $6.58 $6.61 $6.87 $6.60 $6.05 $5.47 $5.43 $5.43 $5.61 $5.89 $5.52 $5.52
FCF/Share $0.11 $-3.33 $-3.62 $-1.96 $0.92 $0.59 $0.02 $-1.09 $-0.46 $1.61 $1.78 $1.44 $1.05 $1.83 $2.38 $1.96 $2.31 $2.29 $1.43 $1.20 $1.20
OCF/Share $0.20 $-3.25 $-3.53 $-1.88 $1.00 $0.67 $0.10 $-1.00 $-0.37 $1.69 $1.85 $1.52 $1.13 $1.92 $2.46 $2.04 $2.33 $2.90 $2.47 $2.69 $2.69
Cash/Share $0.93 $1.19 $0.84 $1.27 $1.07 $1.18 $3.78 $3.54 $2.95 $0.82 $1.29 $1.14 $1.42 $1.40 $1.58 $1.04 $1.16 $2.37 $1.12 $1.23 $1.23
EBITDA/Share $0.65 $0.45 $1.08 $1.07 $2.40 $1.96 $2.43 $2.42 $1.05 $2.35 $2.88 $4.38 $4.30 $2.86 $2.50 $1.25 $2.60 $4.08 $4.06 $4.83 $4.83
Debt/Share $26.55 $24.54 $27.87 $28.32 $28.34 $30.50 $32.06 $30.13 $29.94 $28.29 $27.24 $28.86 $27.34 $26.69 $26.60 $27.54 $33.04 $65.84 $68.63 $64.61 $64.61
Net Debt/Share $25.63 $23.35 $27.02 $27.05 $27.26 $29.33 $28.28 $26.59 $26.99 $27.47 $25.95 $27.72 $25.92 $25.29 $25.02 $26.49 $31.88 $63.47 $67.51 $63.38 $63.38
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — -0.023
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only -0.833
Piotroski F-Score 4 3 4 5 5 4 5 3 5 6 5 5 4 5 3 4 3 6 7 5 5
Beneish M-Score -2.05 -2.16 -2.52 -2.59 -2.12 -1.78 0.21 -1.50 -2.38 -2.78 -2.78 -2.58 -2.37 -0.59 -2.08 -1.52 -2.38 -2.78 -2.38 -2.63 -2.630
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -4.507
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-145.09
EVA snapshot only $-1660369981.05
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only CCC
Credit Score 25.55 20.86 17.34 32.96 24.47 24.17 20.32 22.04 20.24 17.62 27.11 27.72 27.61 26.39 27.01 27.34 29.20 22.11 10.35 12.09 12.092
Credit Grade snapshot only 17
Credit Trend snapshot only -15.247
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 1200.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 16
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 1

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