STZ NYSE
Constellation Brands, Inc.
1W: -1.6%
1M: +15.7%
3M: -0.1%
YTD: -5.5%
1Y: -3.7%
3Y: -39.5%
5Y: -33.7%
$130.63
-4.99 (-3.68%)
Pre-Market: $131.00 (+0.37, +0.28%)
Weekly Expected Move ±3.8%
$128
$133
$139
$144
$149
Credit Risk of going bust: lower than 61% of companies Debt: 31.8% of company value Bonds: $239.7M held by 334 funds, 67 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the safest four tenths, about 1 in 3,500 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $4.07 (down 97%), Constellation Brands, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $10.32B against a stock market value of $22.11B.
Distance to default 6.33 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-08-31, debt counted $5.77B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 31.2%; Altman Z 2.76. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $4.07 (down 97%), Constellation Brands, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $10.32B against a stock market value of $22.11B.
Distance to default 6.33 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-08-31, debt counted $5.77B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 31.2%; Altman Z 2.76. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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Cash Flow
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Analysis
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Weather
Peers
ESG
Institutions
ETF Exposure
Dark Pool
Short Interest
Supply Chain
Oct Typical
☀️
Sunny
+9.9% YTD avg
Midterm Year
☀️
Sunny
+8.6% YTD avg
2026 Now
⛈️
Stormy
Below typical
20yr Avg YTD
+9.9%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
+8.6%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
-5.5%
Below 20yr avg
Typical Vol
31%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
⛈️
-2.4%
Midterm
☁️
+0.7%
40% win
38% vol
Feb
20yr
🌫️
-2.0%
Midterm
☁️
-0.8%
45% win
41% vol
Mar
20yr
⛅
-0.3%
Midterm
⛅
+2.9%
70% win
34% vol
Apr
20yr
⛅
+3.1%
Midterm
☀️
+5.5%
75% win
31% vol
May
20yr
☁️
+2.8%
Midterm
⛅
+3.1%
50% win
26% vol
Jun
20yr
⛅
+5.7%
Midterm
⛅
+2.2%
50% win
32% vol
Jul
20yr
⛅
+5.9%
Midterm
⛅
+2.6%
45% win
24% vol
Aug
20yr
☀️
+8.7%
Midterm
⛅
+5.0%
55% win
25% vol
Sep
20yr
🌧️
+9.1%
Midterm
☀️
+6.8%
55% win
23% vol
Oct
20yr
⛅
+9.8%
Midterm
☀️
+9.1%
67% win
31% vol
Now:
+15.5%
Nov
20yr
☀️
+12.6%
Midterm
☀️
+13.5%
70% win
28% vol
Dec
20yr
⛅
+1.4%
Midterm
🌧️
-3.0%
70% win
24% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: -5.5%