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SUNC NYSE

SunocoCorp LLC
1W: -5.7% 1M: -8.8% 3M: +1.6% YTD: +47.4%
$71.00
Last traded 2026-10-05 — delisted
NYSE · Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream · Tech Score Sell · Power 40 · $3.7B mcap · 43M float · 1.12% daily turnover · Short 45% of daily vol
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 52% of companies Debt: 80.2% of company value Bonds: none of note held by US funds details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the middle of the pack, about 1 in 580 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $7.80 (down 89%), SunocoCorp LLC would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $14.84B against a stock market value of $3.66B.
Distance to default 4.93 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-05, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $6.66B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 25.0%; Altman Z'' 0.67. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

NO EDGE
38.7 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Cost Advantage  ·  ROIC: 8.1%
Cost Advantage ★
53
Intangibles
28
Switching Cost
53
Network Effect
19
Scale
33
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. SUNC has No discernible competitive edge (38.7/100). The business operates without significant structural advantages. The primary source of advantage is Cost Advantage. ROIC of 8.1% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$80
Low
$82
Avg Target
$83
High
Based on 2 analysts since Aug 4, 2026 earnings
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 2Hold: 0Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$81.50
Analysts2
Consensus Change History
DateFieldFromTo
2026-05-10 _new_coverage None ADDED
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2026-10-15 Barclays — $80 $83 +3 +16.9% $71.00
2026-08-05 Barclays Theresa Chen $78 $80 +2 +8.3% $73.88
2026-07-24 Mizuho Securities — Initiated $83 — +9.6% $75.75
2026-07-14 Barclays — $73 $78 +5 +9.8% $71.07
2026-05-14 Barclays — $63 $73 +10 +4.1% $70.14
2026-05-06 Raymond James — $70 $80 +10 +22.8% $65.16
2026-02-20 Barclays — $60 $63 +3 +8.5% $58.09
2026-02-06 Barclays — Initiated $60 — +10.9% $54.10
2026-01-05 Raymond James Justin Jenkins Initiated $70 — +42.8% $49.02

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

C+
Oct 26, 2026
DCF
1
ROE
3
ROA
3
D/E
1
P/E
2
P/B
3
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. SUNC receives an overall rating of C+. Areas of concern: DCF (1/5), D/E (1/5), P/E (2/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-10-27 None ADDED
2026-10-25 EXISTED None
2026-10-21 None ADDED
2026-10-17 EXISTED None
2026-10-13 None ADDED
2026-10-10 EXISTED None
2026-10-01 C+ B-
2026-09-14 C C+
2026-09-10 C+ C
2026-09-08 C C+

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 30 Grade D
Profitability
12
Balance Sheet
23
Earnings Quality
81
Growth
—
Value
66
Momentum
—
Safety
30
Cash Flow
50
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. SUNC scores highest in Earnings Quality (81/100) and lowest in Profitability (12/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
1.47
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
4/9
✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗
Beneish M-Score
—
—
Ohlson O-Score
-7.49
Bankruptcy prob: 0.1%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BB-
Score: 36.7/100
Earnings Quality
75/100
OCF/NI: 10.24x
Accruals: -5.6%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. SUNC scores 1.47, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. SUNC scores 4/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. SUNC's implied 0.1% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. SUNC receives an estimated rating of BB- (score: 36.7/100). The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). SUNC's score of 75/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
25.33x
PEG
-0.89x
P/S
0.08x
P/B
1.44x
P/FCF
2.61x
P/OCF
1.88x
EV/EBITDA
6.85x
EV/Revenue
0.52x
EV/EBIT
9.89x
EV/FCF
13.13x
Earnings Yield
5.19%
FCF Yield
38.30%
Shareholder Yield
2.84%
Graham Number
$62.45
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 25.3x earnings, SUNC commands a growth premium. An earnings yield of 5.2% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $62.45 per share, 14% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.153
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.667
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.053
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
1.121
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
11.750
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
7.1%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. SUNC's ROE of 7.1% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 11.75x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance. A tax burden ratio of 0.15 suggests the company retains less than 60% of pre-tax earnings after taxes.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$29.83
Price/Value
2.27x
Margin of Safety
-126.83%
Premium
126.83%
Assessment
Neutral
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with SUNC's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. SUNC trades at a 127% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $29.83, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 25.3x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 228 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$71.00
Median 1Y
$102.38
5th Pctile
$68.03
95th Pctile
$153.58
Ann. Volatility
25.0%
Analyst Target
$81.50
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical Analyst target
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
ROE 1.3% 5.5% 7.1% 7.11%
ROA 0.1% 0.5% 0.6% 0.60%
ROIC 0.7% 5.2% 8.1% 8.07%
ROCE 1.3% 4.7% 7.2% 7.20%
Gross Margin 8.2% 13.1% 10.3% 10.27%
Operating Margin 2.0% 8.1% 4.1% 4.09%
Net Margin 0.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.27%
EBITDA Margin 6.1% 10.9% 6.1% 6.09%
FCF Margin 1.8% 2.1% 4.0% 3.98%
OCF Margin 3.5% 3.9% 5.5% 5.52%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 8.02%
Cash ROA snapshot only 6.19%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 11.15%
CROIC snapshot only 8.05%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 4.00%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 3.53%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 3.04%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio 79.34 22.38 19.28 25.331
P/S Ratio 0.30 0.16 0.10 0.083
P/B Ratio 1.00 1.23 1.37 1.436
P/FCF 16.51 7.77 2.61 2.611
P/OCF 8.52 4.23 1.88 1.883
EV/EBITDA 33.63 10.55 6.85 6.853
EV/Revenue 2.06 0.93 0.52 0.523
EV/EBIT 57.47 15.03 9.89 9.892
EV/FCF 115.50 43.73 13.13 13.135
Earnings Yield 1.3% 4.5% 5.2% 5.19%
FCF Yield 6.1% 12.9% 38.3% 38.30%
EV/OCF snapshot only 9.475
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 4.915
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 10.825
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 2.84%
Graham Number snapshot only $62.45
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 1.38 1.40 1.29 1.289
Quick Ratio 0.78 0.92 0.83 0.835
Debt/Equity 6.35 5.96 5.83 5.827
Net Debt/Equity 6.00 5.68 5.52 5.523
Debt/Assets 0.57 0.51 0.50 0.496
Debt/EBITDA 30.51 9.10 5.79 5.793
Net Debt/EBITDA 28.82 8.68 5.49 5.491
Interest Coverage 1.86 3.24 3.11 3.109
Equity Multiplier 11.18 11.69 11.75 11.750
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.147
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 4.487
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.052
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.090
Defensive Interval snapshot only 646.0 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.30 0.64 1.12 1.121
Inventory Turnover 3.31 7.32 12.54 12.543
Receivables Turnover 5.10 5.60 12.53 12.528
Payables Turnover 2.80 4.52 7.47 7.472
DSO 72 65 29 29.1 days
DIO 110 50 29 29.1 days
DPO 130 81 49 48.9 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 52 34 9 9.4 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 2.212
Operating Cycle snapshot only 58.2 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 43.401
Capital Intensity snapshot only 0.892
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability — — — —
Earnings Stability — — — —
Margin Stability — — — —
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence — — — —
Earnings Smoothness — — — —
ROE Trend — — — —
Gross Margin Trend — — — —
FCF Margin Trend — — — —
Sustainable Growth Rate 1.3% 3.6% 3.2% 3.22%
Internal Growth Rate 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.27%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 9.31 5.30 10.24 10.238
FCF/OCF 0.52 0.54 0.72 0.721
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 7.385
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.723
CapEx/Revenue 1.7% 1.8% 1.5% 1.54%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.656
Accruals Ratio -0.01 -0.02 -0.06 -0.056
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.001
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 3.012
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.750
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 1.5% 2.8% 4.12%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.93 $1.92 $2.92
Payout Ratio 0.0% 33.8% 54.7% 54.70%
FCF Payout Ratio 0.0% 11.7% 7.4% 7.41%
Total Payout Ratio 0.0% 33.8% 54.7% 54.70%
Div. Increase Streak — 0 0 0
Chowder Number — — — —
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield -14.5% -11.6% -10.6% -10.55%
Total Shareholder Return -14.5% -10.1% -7.7% -7.72%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.22 0.17 0.15 0.153
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.46 0.69 0.67 0.667
EBIT Margin 0.04 0.06 0.05 0.053
Asset Turnover 0.30 0.64 1.12 1.121
Equity Multiplier 11.18 11.69 11.75 11.750
Per Share
Metric Trend Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $0.62 $2.76 $3.51 $3.51
Book Value/Share $49.23 $50.21 $49.39 $161.17
Tangible Book/Share $-56.31 $-55.14 $-55.46 $-55.46
Revenue/Share $166.93 $374.27 $650.54 $860.47
FCF/Share $2.98 $7.93 $25.92 $24.57
OCF/Share $5.78 $14.59 $35.93 $34.90
Cash/Share $17.30 $13.93 $14.99 $15.00
EBITDA/Share $10.25 $32.87 $49.68 $49.68
Debt/Share $312.71 $299.08 $287.78 $287.78
Net Debt/Share $295.42 $285.15 $272.79 $272.79
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — 1.475
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 0.901
Piotroski F-Score 4 4 4 4
Beneish M-Score — — — —
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -7.487
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-287.78
EVA snapshot only $-320336148.65
Credit
Metric Trend Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BB-
Credit Score 20.48 27.94 36.68 36.683
Credit Grade snapshot only 13
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 550.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 33
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 26

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms