— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: SCA-B.ST (STO) · $vol 22M · SCA-A.ST (STO) · $vol 0M · SCABY (OTC) · $vol 0M

SVCBF OTC

Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ)
1W: +0.0% 1M: +10.0% 3M: +23.3% YTD: -6.2% 1Y: -5.8% 3Y: -1.8% 5Y: -18.6%
$12.29
+0.00 (+0.00%)
 
OTC · Basic Materials · Paper, Lumber & Forest Products · Tech Score Buy · Power 69 · $8.6B mcap · 572M float · 0.0003% daily turnover · Short 100% of daily vol

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 0Hold: 0Sell: 1Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusSell
Avg Target$—
Analysts0

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
3
ROE
3
ROA
5
D/E
1
P/E
1
P/B
4
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. SVCBF receives an overall rating of B. Strongest factors: ROA (5/5), P/B (4/5). Areas of concern: D/E (1/5), P/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-07-10 B+ B
2026-07-01 None ADDED
2026-06-23 EXISTED None
2026-06-18 None ADDED
2026-06-17 EXISTED None
2026-06-12 None ADDED
2026-06-07 EXISTED None
2026-06-02 None ADDED
2026-05-20 EXISTED None
2026-05-08 None ADDED

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ — Grade A
Profitability
39
Balance Sheet
66
Earnings Quality
75
Growth
16
Value
—
Momentum
52
Safety
—
Cash Flow
58

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
—
—
Piotroski F-Score
5/9
✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗
Beneish M-Score
-2.42
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-9.89
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
A-
Score: 65.5/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 1.63x
Accruals: -0.9%
The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. SVCBF scores 5/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. SVCBF's score of -2.42 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. SVCBF's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. SVCBF receives an estimated rating of A- (score: 65.5/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). SVCBF's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
37.78x
PEG
-0.91x
P/S
4.23x
P/B
0.83x
P/FCF
—
P/OCF
—
EV/EBITDA
—
EV/Revenue
—
EV/EBIT
—
EV/FCF
—
Earnings Yield
—
FCF Yield
—
Shareholder Yield
—
Graham Number
$101.11
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 37.8x earnings, SVCBF commands a growth premium. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $101.11 per share, suggesting a potential 723% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.824
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
1.068
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.127
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.133
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
1.451
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
2.2%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. SVCBF's ROE of 2.2% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.133), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$26.80
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with SVCBF's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. SVCBF trades at a premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $26.80, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 37.8x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$12.29
Median 1Y
$12.57
5th Pctile
$7.52
95th Pctile
$21.05
Ann. Volatility
30.9%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
ROE 6.6% 7.8% 8.9% 9.5% 9.1% 7.5% 7.0% 5.5% 4.4% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.6% 3.5% 3.5% 3.6% 3.4% 3.1% 2.7% 2.2% 2.16%
ROA 4.5% 5.4% 6.1% 6.5% 6.3% 5.3% 4.8% 3.8% 3.0% 2.6% 2.2% 2.3% 2.6% 2.4% 2.4% 2.5% 2.4% 2.2% 1.9% 1.5% 1.49%
ROIC 5.8% 6.7% 8.7% 9.1% 8.6% 6.4% 5.9% 4.7% 4.4% 2.2% 0.8% 0.0% 0.5% 1.6% 3.0% 4.0% 3.0% 2.5% 2.1% 1.5% 1.46%
ROCE 5.4% 6.2% 7.3% 7.7% 7.3% 6.1% 6.2% 5.0% 4.0% 3.5% 3.1% 3.2% 3.7% 3.6% 3.6% 3.7% 3.4% 2.9% 2.4% 1.8% 1.81%
Gross Margin 83.6% 89.5% 83.3% 87.2% 89.2% 85.6% 85.4% 82.6% 86.7% -12.7% -9.7% 2.8% 84.1% 85.5% 78.6% 84.7% 51.2% 45.4% 63.4% 72.6% 72.64%
Operating Margin 45.3% 50.6% 44.3% 46.4% 41.8% 32.6% 33.2% 26.8% 21.2% -12.7% -9.7% 2.8% 28.1% 21.7% 21.7% 28.0% 13.4% 5.1% 10.6% 12.7% 12.69%
Net Margin 34.4% 41.9% 34.3% 36.3% 32.9% 25.4% 25.3% 20.2% 15.7% 19.5% 17.3% 18.1% 20.4% 16.0% 15.5% 20.2% 16.7% 9.9% 8.0% 10.1% 10.15%
EBITDA Margin 52.5% 59.8% 37.7% 52.5% 50.1% 41.2% 42.8% 36.6% 32.2% 39.3% 25.3% 27.9% 38.4% 27.8% 32.0% 37.9% 33.1% 16.1% 22.5% 23.9% 23.93%
FCF Margin 8.9% 4.6% 6.5% 10.7% 10.3% 1.8% 2.2% -1.1% -2.8% 4.2% 2.7% 2.5% -0.8% 6.5% 3.7% 5.8% 7.7% 5.9% 9.7% 8.0% 7.99%
OCF Margin 28.6% 31.7% 33.0% 35.6% 35.1% 30.4% 31.0% 26.3% 24.1% 21.5% 18.1% 16.3% 12.1% 17.2% 17.2% 19.3% 21.6% 19.7% 20.3% 18.3% 18.28%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 3.00%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 4.60%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 2.07%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 2.27%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 1.46%
Cash ROA snapshot only 2.44%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 3.10%
CROIC snapshot only 1.35%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 8.63%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 13.61%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 12.49%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 37.778
P/S Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 4.226
P/B Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.826
P/FCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
P/OCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBITDA — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/Revenue — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBIT — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/FCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Earnings Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Graham Number snapshot only $101.11
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 1.37 1.31 1.02 1.25 1.32 1.32 1.11 1.36 1.40 1.38 1.24 1.43 1.32 1.26 1.52 1.23 1.63 1.46 1.22 1.24 1.244
Quick Ratio 0.79 0.69 0.56 0.70 0.75 0.69 0.55 0.62 0.64 0.65 0.68 0.68 0.62 0.62 0.80 0.57 0.76 0.62 0.62 0.53 0.526
Debt/Equity 0.13 0.12 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.13 0.13 0.14 0.01 0.12 0.15 0.14 0.01 0.13 0.01 0.01 0.14 0.13 0.16 0.15 0.152
Net Debt/Equity 0.12 0.11 -0.01 -0.00 -0.01 0.12 0.12 0.13 -0.00 0.12 0.12 0.14 0.00 0.12 -0.01 0.00 0.14 0.13 0.14 0.15 0.151
Debt/Assets 0.09 0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.09 0.10 0.00 0.09 0.10 0.10 0.00 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.09 0.11 0.10 0.104
Debt/EBITDA 1.44 1.17 0.05 0.04 0.06 1.28 1.27 1.61 0.08 1.86 2.52 2.57 0.09 2.26 0.09 0.08 2.20 2.21 2.90 3.26 3.261
Net Debt/EBITDA 1.28 1.05 -0.07 -0.03 -0.07 1.20 1.18 1.58 -0.05 1.79 2.10 2.49 0.06 2.04 -0.12 0.07 2.11 2.12 2.47 3.23 3.227
Interest Coverage 45.04 65.47 87.11 124.29 183.15 189.48 93.64 35.59 18.00 17.94 13.04 12.16 13.05 10.02 10.25 11.12 11.00 9.24 10.31 11.80 11.805
Equity Multiplier 1.44 1.42 1.46 1.45 1.44 1.43 1.44 1.43 1.42 1.42 1.46 1.43 1.42 1.43 1.43 1.44 1.44 1.44 1.49 1.46 1.459
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.018
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 22.175
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.011
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.102
Defensive Interval snapshot only 170.1 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.18 0.17 0.17 0.18 0.17 0.16 0.16 0.15 0.14 0.13 0.12 0.13 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.13 0.13 0.133
Inventory Turnover 0.95 0.78 0.71 0.71 0.63 0.63 0.57 0.57 0.57 1.37 2.17 2.93 2.99 2.11 1.42 0.62 0.89 1.14 1.27 1.34 1.335
Receivables Turnover 6.96 8.40 7.11 6.60 6.87 7.53 6.85 5.96 6.58 6.17 5.67 5.69 6.26 6.59 6.02 5.70 5.78 6.30 5.51 5.27 5.270
Payables Turnover 1.13 0.95 0.88 0.89 0.77 0.85 0.78 0.80 0.77 1.99 3.03 4.29 4.43 2.82 2.04 0.90 1.36 1.56 1.82 1.93 1.935
DSO 52 43 51 55 53 48 53 61 55 59 64 64 58 55 61 64 63 58 66 69 69.3 days
DIO 386 465 515 515 578 582 636 640 641 266 168 124 122 173 257 591 412 319 288 273 273.4 days
DPO 324 384 413 409 474 429 471 457 476 183 120 85 82 129 179 403 269 234 200 189 188.7 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 114 125 154 162 157 202 219 244 221 142 112 103 98 99 138 252 206 143 154 154 154.0 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 0.298
Operating Cycle snapshot only 342.6 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 121.807
Capital Intensity snapshot only 7.483
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 2.9% 2.2% 10.5% 15.9% 10.9% 10.5% 4.7% -7.1% -10.2% -13.0% -13.4% -3.8% 4.9% 11.9% 16.9% 12.9% 5.9% 0.7% -4.2% -5.7% -5.69%
Net Income -63.3% 6.9% 5.4% 2.6% 55.9% 12.0% -10.1% -33.8% -45.9% -45.5% -48.1% -34.9% -9.5% -1.0% 12.5% 15.3% -3.8% -12.1% -23.9% -41.4% -41.42%
EPS -63.3% 6.9% 5.4% 2.6% 55.9% 12.0% -10.1% -33.8% -45.9% -45.5% -48.1% -34.9% -9.5% -1.0% 12.6% 15.3% -3.8% -12.1% -23.9% -41.4% -41.42%
FCF 45.2% -16.9% 47.0% 1.1% 28.5% -57.8% -64.4% -1.1% -1.2% 1.1% 7.0% 3.2% 71.2% 73.3% 55.8% 1.6% 11.5% -9.0% 1.5% 30.4% 30.42%
EBITDA -62.4% 1.8% 2.6% 1.5% 47.2% 13.0% 0.3% -21.4% -31.1% -28.0% -38.6% -30.5% -10.8% -11.3% 10.6% 24.3% 6.1% 0.8% -15.8% -33.8% -33.77%
Op. Income -62.1% 5.7% 4.6% 2.4% 49.9% 13.2% -9.0% -32.6% -43.7% -63.2% -85.8% -99.0% -88.3% -27.8% 2.4% 81.7% 6.0% 54.0% -24.4% -60.3% -60.33%
OCF Growth snapshot only -10.68%
Asset Growth snapshot only -1.21%
Equity Growth snapshot only -2.31%
Debt Growth snapshot only 27.33%
Shares Change snapshot only 0.00%
Dividend Growth snapshot only -1.00%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 1.1% 0.1% 0.4% 1.3% 0.8% 2.0% 2.2% 0.9% 0.8% -0.6% 0.1% 1.1% 1.5% 2.4% 1.9% 0.3% -0.1% -0.7% -1.0% 0.8% 0.79%
Revenue 5Y -30.6% -30.6% -26.7% -21.2% -13.7% 4.5% 3.8% 1.9% 0.5% -0.7% -1.7% -1.5% -0.7% 0.6% 1.5% 2.2% 2.6% 2.1% 2.3% 2.0% 1.96%
EPS 3Y 12.4% 18.1% 21.6% 30.0% 32.5% -24.2% -25.5% -30.3% -32.4% 68.6% 44.0% 15.8% -8.6% -15.5% -19.3% -20.8% -22.2% -22.0% -23.7% -24.0% -23.95%
EPS 5Y -7.2% 1.6% 4.9% -44.5% -44.5% -45.6% -46.4% 10.7% 3.6% 0.1% -3.5% -1.1% 2.6% -25.2% -24.7% -23.9% -23.1% 33.0% 20.7% 1.0% 0.97%
Net Income 3Y 12.4% 18.1% 21.6% 30.0% 32.5% -24.2% -25.5% -30.3% -32.4% 68.6% 44.0% 15.8% -8.6% -15.5% -19.3% -20.8% -22.2% -22.0% -23.7% -24.0% -23.96%
Net Income 5Y -7.2% 1.6% 4.9% -44.5% -44.5% -45.6% -46.4% 10.7% 3.6% 0.1% -3.5% -1.1% 2.6% -25.2% -24.7% -24.0% -23.1% 33.1% 20.7% 1.0% 0.96%
EBITDA 3Y 13.4% 18.3% 20.8% 25.4% 26.3% -23.1% -22.0% -25.7% -27.5% 31.2% 30.6% 10.4% -3.3% -10.3% -12.0% -12.1% -13.2% -13.7% -17.0% -17.0% -16.98%
EBITDA 5Y -10.3% -5.4% 5.6% 8.0% 7.1% 21.2% 19.3% 13.9% 8.2% 6.1% 1.7% 1.5% 4.4% -21.9% -20.3% -18.8% -18.4% 15.1% 15.7% 2.0% 2.05%
Gross Profit 3Y 6.1% 5.6% 7.0% 8.4% 9.4% -15.0% -14.8% -16.7% -17.5% -4.0% -19.2% -40.0% -37.8% -18.3% -8.1% -0.8% -4.9% -9.4% -11.7% -11.4% -11.40%
Gross Profit 5Y -13.5% -12.9% -8.7% -3.7% 1.6% 10.0% 9.2% 6.9% 4.9% -3.5% -13.8% -27.1% -23.7% -21.9% -14.8% -9.4% -11.2% 1.4% -0.1% -2.9% -2.91%
Op. Income 3Y 20.1% 24.0% 27.2% 29.2% 31.0% -24.0% -25.2% -29.8% -31.6% 40.6% -9.9% -71.9% -53.7% -33.0% -24.1% -18.6% -22.5% -25.8% -28.6% -31.8% -31.77%
Op. Income 5Y -12.7% -7.5% 0.2% 7.0% 14.9% 28.0% 22.5% 15.3% 7.9% -4.5% -23.2% -57.4% -31.7% -34.9% -27.4% -22.6% -23.4% 25.3% 13.3% -6.2% -6.18%
FCF 3Y 84.0% 27.2% 10.5% 35.6% 9.9% -28.8% -10.9% — — -9.9% -17.5% -23.7% — 15.1% -15.9% -18.4% -9.5% 48.7% 61.6% — —
FCF 5Y -22.9% -32.5% -30.0% -21.1% -15.6% -37.1% -17.8% — — 12.6% -12.5% -12.0% — 5.5% 3.4% 39.0% 1.1% 2.9% 17.2% 8.2% 8.25%
OCF 3Y 14.2% 19.5% 21.6% 30.2% 27.2% 24.3% 28.7% 18.3% 11.0% 1.7% -6.1% -12.4% -23.8% -16.4% -18.0% -18.3% -15.0% -14.1% -14.1% -10.7% -10.68%
OCF 5Y -18.7% -17.4% -16.6% -13.0% -8.1% -2.8% 5.6% 9.7% 4.6% 2.1% -2.2% -2.0% -7.7% 1.1% 3.6% 5.7% 6.4% 1.6% 0.8% -4.4% -4.36%
Assets 3Y 22.7% 25.0% 24.3% 25.1% 26.9% 11.5% 11.4% 11.2% 10.7% 12.2% 12.4% 11.3% 10.8% 8.1% 7.5% 6.3% 5.1% 2.1% 2.4% 2.2% 2.18%
Assets 5Y -7.6% -6.5% -9.2% 17.2% 17.9% 19.4% 18.7% 18.7% 18.4% 19.6% 19.1% 18.6% 18.9% 8.5% 8.5% 8.2% 7.9% 6.9% 7.0% 6.4% 6.44%
Equity 3Y 25.6% 28.6% 28.9% 29.9% 30.6% 12.0% 12.1% 11.8% 12.1% 13.1% 12.1% 11.7% 11.3% 7.8% 8.3% 6.3% 5.1% 1.7% 1.4% 1.5% 1.46%
Book Value 3Y 25.6% 28.6% 28.9% 29.9% 30.6% 12.0% 12.1% 11.8% 12.1% 13.1% 12.1% 11.7% 11.3% 7.8% 8.3% 6.4% 5.1% 1.7% 1.4% 1.5% 1.47%
Dividend 3Y — — — 17.5% 17.5% 17.5% 17.5% -8.4% -8.4% -8.4% -8.4% 3.2% 3.2% 3.2% 3.2% -51.4% -51.4% -51.4% -51.4% — —
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.65 0.64 0.68 0.70 0.48 0.27 0.02 0.01 0.07 0.10 0.00 0.03 0.12 0.33 0.23 0.29 0.56 0.561
Earnings Stability 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.41 0.40 0.43 0.43 0.01 0.01 0.05 0.07 0.08 0.10 0.28 0.31 0.39 0.62 0.00 0.01 0.11 0.108
Margin Stability 0.41 0.44 0.45 0.47 0.50 0.63 0.63 0.64 0.64 0.86 0.71 0.56 0.58 0.52 0.50 0.43 0.42 0.75 0.71 0.55 0.545
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.95 0.96 0.86 0.82 0.82 0.81 0.86 0.96 1.00 0.95 0.94 0.98 0.95 0.90 0.83 0.834
Earnings Smoothness 0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.56 0.89 0.89 0.59 0.40 0.41 0.37 0.58 0.90 0.99 0.88 0.86 0.96 0.87 0.73 0.48 0.478
ROE Trend -0.07 -0.05 -0.03 -0.03 -0.04 0.03 0.02 -0.01 -0.03 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.03 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.00 -0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.012
Gross Margin Trend -0.32 -0.26 -0.25 -0.28 -0.30 0.11 0.10 0.06 0.02 -0.23 -0.50 -0.70 -0.68 -0.32 0.01 0.33 0.24 0.14 0.12 0.09 0.089
FCF Margin Trend 0.05 -0.01 0.02 0.07 0.06 -0.03 -0.03 -0.09 -0.12 0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.05 0.04 0.01 0.05 0.09 0.01 0.06 0.04 0.038
Sustainable Growth Rate 4.7% 6.0% 7.1% 6.6% 6.3% 5.0% 4.4% 3.6% 2.5% 1.9% 1.5% 1.3% 1.7% 1.6% 1.7% 3.4% 3.2% 2.9% 2.5% 2.2% 2.16%
Internal Growth Rate 3.3% 4.3% 5.1% 4.8% 4.6% 3.6% 3.2% 2.6% 1.8% 1.4% 1.0% 0.9% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 2.4% 2.3% 2.1% 1.7% 1.5% 1.51%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.11 0.99 0.93 0.97 0.97 0.94 1.02 1.01 1.10 1.06 0.99 0.92 0.64 0.96 0.98 1.07 1.26 1.25 1.46 1.63 1.630
FCF/OCF 0.31 0.14 0.20 0.30 0.29 0.06 0.07 -0.04 -0.12 0.19 0.15 0.16 -0.06 0.38 0.21 0.30 0.35 0.30 0.48 0.44 0.437
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.713
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.763
CapEx/Revenue 19.6% 27.2% 26.5% 24.9% 24.8% 28.7% 28.8% 27.4% 26.9% 17.3% 15.4% 13.8% 12.9% 10.7% 13.5% 13.5% 13.9% 13.8% 10.6% 10.3% 10.29%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.919
Accruals Ratio -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.009
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.014
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 1.777
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 2.52%
Dividend/Share $2.00 $2.00 $2.00 $3.25 $3.25 $3.25 $3.25 $2.50 $2.50 $2.50 $2.50 $2.75 $2.75 $2.75 $2.75 $0.32 $0.32 $0.32 $0.32 $0.00 $3.00
Payout Ratio 29.2% 23.3% 20.2% 30.0% 30.4% 33.8% 36.5% 34.9% 43.3% 47.8% 54.1% 58.9% 52.6% 53.1% 52.9% 5.9% 6.3% 6.9% 8.0% 0.0% 0.00%
FCF Payout Ratio 84.5% 1.6% 1.1% 1.0% 1.1% 6.3% 5.0% — — 2.3% 3.6% 4.1% — 1.5% 2.5% 18.3% 14.0% 18.5% 11.5% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Payout Ratio 29.2% 23.3% 20.2% 30.0% 30.4% 33.8% 36.5% 34.9% 43.3% 47.8% 54.1% 58.9% 52.6% 53.1% 52.9% 5.9% 6.3% 6.9% 8.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 — —
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Total Shareholder Return — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.78 0.80 0.80 0.79 0.80 0.78 0.79 0.80 0.81 0.83 0.84 0.82 0.81 0.79 0.79 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.81 0.82 0.824
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.11 1.08 1.08 1.07 1.07 1.08 0.98 0.97 0.95 0.91 0.88 0.87 0.88 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 1.00 1.02 1.07 1.068
EBIT Margin 0.30 0.37 0.41 0.43 0.43 0.38 0.39 0.34 0.29 0.27 0.25 0.25 0.27 0.25 0.24 0.25 0.23 0.20 0.17 0.13 0.127
Asset Turnover 0.18 0.17 0.17 0.18 0.17 0.16 0.16 0.15 0.14 0.13 0.12 0.13 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.13 0.13 0.133
Equity Multiplier 1.46 1.44 1.45 1.45 1.44 1.42 1.45 1.44 1.43 1.42 1.45 1.43 1.42 1.43 1.44 1.44 1.43 1.44 1.46 1.45 1.451
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $6.86 $8.58 $9.89 $10.83 $10.69 $9.61 $8.89 $7.17 $5.78 $5.23 $4.62 $4.67 $5.23 $5.18 $5.20 $5.38 $5.03 $4.55 $3.96 $3.15 $3.15
Book Value/Share $108.43 $118.25 $117.68 $122.65 $127.17 $137.20 $136.72 $137.94 $138.42 $148.48 $147.14 $147.96 $149.36 $148.13 $149.55 $147.54 $147.72 $144.18 $142.61 $144.13 $144.15
Tangible Book/Share $107.73 $117.51 $116.58 $121.57 $126.09 $136.15 $135.19 $136.75 $137.27 $147.32 $145.89 $146.43 $147.90 $146.68 $147.97 $145.54 $145.86 $142.34 $140.76 $142.33 $142.33
Revenue/Share $26.56 $26.80 $28.00 $29.55 $29.45 $29.61 $29.32 $27.44 $26.44 $25.74 $25.38 $26.39 $27.74 $28.81 $29.68 $29.81 $29.38 $29.02 $28.43 $28.11 $28.18
FCF/Share $2.37 $1.23 $1.83 $3.17 $3.04 $0.52 $0.65 $-0.30 $-0.74 $1.08 $0.70 $0.67 $-0.21 $1.87 $1.09 $1.72 $2.25 $1.70 $2.75 $2.25 $2.25
OCF/Share $7.58 $8.51 $9.25 $10.53 $10.34 $9.01 $9.10 $7.21 $6.37 $5.54 $4.59 $4.31 $3.36 $4.96 $5.09 $5.75 $6.35 $5.70 $5.76 $5.14 $5.15
Cash/Share $1.60 $1.50 $1.66 $1.08 $1.94 $1.19 $1.24 $0.32 $1.32 $0.71 $3.55 $0.66 $0.29 $1.89 $1.89 $0.11 $0.89 $0.84 $3.36 $0.23 $0.23
EBITDA/Share $10.01 $11.98 $13.74 $14.96 $14.74 $13.54 $13.78 $11.76 $10.16 $9.75 $8.46 $8.17 $9.07 $8.65 $9.36 $10.16 $9.62 $8.71 $7.88 $6.73 $6.73
Debt/Share $14.46 $14.05 $0.70 $0.66 $0.84 $17.39 $17.44 $18.92 $0.85 $18.17 $21.34 $21.03 $0.84 $19.55 $0.80 $0.77 $21.18 $19.28 $22.82 $21.95 $21.95
Net Debt/Share $12.85 $12.54 $-0.96 $-0.41 $-1.10 $16.20 $16.20 $18.60 $-0.47 $17.46 $17.79 $20.36 $0.55 $17.66 $-1.09 $0.67 $20.30 $18.44 $19.46 $21.72 $21.72
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Piotroski F-Score 7 6 7 7 7 6 5 4 5 6 4 4 5 5 8 8 6 5 4 5 5
Beneish M-Score -2.06 -2.13 -1.99 -2.23 -2.18 -2.24 -2.58 -2.45 -2.78 -7.11 -7.84 12.17 -2.15 2.71 2.21 2.15 -2.29 -2.23 -2.41 -2.42 -2.419
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -9.892
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 3.68%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-50.19
EVA snapshot only $-9939178089.55
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only A-
Credit Score 72.25 71.95 82.75 82.75 82.75 70.45 69.10 68.95 70.40 69.50 65.25 65.25 69.15 66.75 80.25 80.25 69.00 64.25 67.65 65.55 65.550
Credit Grade snapshot only 7
Credit Trend snapshot only -14.700
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 175.000

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