— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: UHR.SW (SIX) · $vol 21M · 0QJV.L (LSE) · $vol 6M · UHRN.SW (SIX) · $vol 2M · 0QM4.L (LSE) · $vol 1M · SWGAF (OTC) · $vol 0M · SWGNF (OTC) · $vol 0M

SWGAY OTC

The Swatch Group AG
1W: -0.8% 1M: -2.5% 3M: -10.1% YTD: +3.3% 1Y: +15.3% 3Y: -11.2% 5Y: -15.9%
$10.98
-0.07 (-0.63%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±3.3%
$10 $11 $11 $11 $12
OTC · Consumer Cyclical · Luxury Goods · Tech Score Neutral · Power 54 · $11.4B mcap · 36M float · 0.219% daily turnover · Short 33% of daily vol

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 0Hold: 1Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusHold
Avg Target$—
Analysts0

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B-
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
3
ROE
1
ROA
4
D/E
2
P/E
1
P/B
4
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. SWGAY receives an overall rating of B-. Strongest factors: ROA (4/5), P/B (4/5). Areas of concern: ROE (1/5), D/E (2/5), P/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-10-01 B B-
2026-08-17 B- B
2026-08-14 B B-
2026-07-25 B- B
2026-07-01 B B-
2026-05-12 B- B
2026-05-11 B B-
2026-04-28 B- B
2026-04-01 B B-
2026-03-19 C+ B

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ — Grade B
Profitability
13
Balance Sheet
85
Earnings Quality
81
Growth
7
Value
—
Momentum
45
Safety
—
Cash Flow
49

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
—
—
Piotroski F-Score
3/9
✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗
Beneish M-Score
-2.30
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-11.34
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
AA-
Score: 82.8/100
Trend: Improving
Earnings Quality
75/100
OCF/NI: 15.47x
Accruals: -7.3%
The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. SWGAY scores 3/9, suggesting weak financial fundamentals — the company fails the majority of these accounting tests. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. SWGAY's score of -2.30 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. SWGAY's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. SWGAY receives an estimated rating of AA- (score: 82.8/100), with a improving trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). SWGAY's score of 75/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
1070.88x
PEG
-12.55x
P/S
1.49x
P/B
0.83x
P/FCF
—
P/OCF
—
EV/EBITDA
—
EV/Revenue
—
EV/EBIT
—
EV/FCF
—
Earnings Yield
—
FCF Yield
—
Shareholder Yield
—
Graham Number
$4.04
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 1070.9x earnings, SWGAY is priced for high growth expectations. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $4.04 per share, 172% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.209
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
1.071
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.024
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.924
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
1.177
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
0.6%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. SWGAY's ROE of 0.6% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.924), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue. A tax burden ratio of 0.21 suggests the company retains less than 60% of pre-tax earnings after taxes.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$0.57
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with SWGAY's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. SWGAY trades at a premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $0.57, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 1070.9x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$10.98
Median 1Y
$10.19
5th Pctile
$5.89
95th Pctile
$17.56
Ann. Volatility
33.7%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
ROE 15.4% 13.3% 11.7% 13.8% 14.2% 15.7% 13.9% 7.4% 6.1% 4.9% 6.2% 11.9% 13.7% 15.5% 14.1% 12.6% 8.8% 4.9% 1.6% 0.6% 0.59%
ROA 12.9% 11.0% 9.8% 11.2% 11.8% 12.9% 11.6% 6.2% 5.1% 4.0% 5.2% 10.0% 11.7% 13.2% 12.0% 10.8% 7.6% 4.2% 1.4% 0.5% 0.50%
ROIC 18.3% 15.1% 14.2% 15.9% 16.2% 17.2% 16.5% 9.0% 7.9% 6.2% 8.2% 15.2% 17.5% 19.3% 10.1% 7.5% 3.4% -0.8% 2.1% 1.0% 0.96%
ROCE 18.9% 16.1% 14.9% 17.2% 17.9% 14.9% 9.5% 1.8% -2.8% -2.7% -2.7% 0.0% 0.0% 2.5% 6.3% 8.1% 9.0% 7.4% 3.9% 2.5% 2.54%
Gross Margin 78.4% 79.9% 78.8% 81.1% 81.3% 44.3% 42.3% 22.3% 38.9% 40.5% 45.6% 43.7% 47.4% 48.9% 46.7% 84.6% 71.0% 83.5% 81.0% 36.6% 36.62%
Operating Margin 11.8% 10.0% 14.8% 14.7% 12.8% 13.4% 11.4% -14.9% 11.2% 11.9% 15.8% 13.9% 16.9% 17.1% -12.8% 5.9% 3.0% 2.2% 2.1% 1.7% 1.67%
Net Margin 8.4% 7.2% 10.9% 10.7% 9.2% 9.9% 7.8% -13.8% 7.4% 7.9% 12.7% 8.6% 12.8% 12.1% 9.9% 3.9% 1.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.3% 0.29%
EBITDA Margin 15.1% 17.7% 18.3% 21.6% 16.3% 9.6% 8.1% -4.2% 8.4% 9.2% 10.2% 9.8% 10.6% 10.9% 17.2% 12.5% 8.8% 9.0% 8.7% 8.2% 8.20%
FCF Margin 8.2% 6.7% 8.8% 9.1% 8.3% 7.5% 7.6% 6.4% 9.6% 12.2% 12.1% 12.6% 8.9% 5.3% 0.9% -1.0% -2.8% -2.4% -0.9% 1.5% 1.53%
OCF Margin 15.1% 13.1% 14.6% 14.4% 13.4% 12.8% 13.0% 12.1% 14.8% 16.6% 16.4% 16.6% 13.7% 11.6% 8.7% 7.5% 6.5% 6.2% 6.5% 8.4% 8.39%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 8.14%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 9.11%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 6.93%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 3.34%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 0.87%
Cash ROA snapshot only 7.97%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 10.46%
CROIC snapshot only 1.91%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 0.77%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 2.60%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 17.81%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.05%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1070.882
P/S Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.493
P/B Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.831
P/FCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
P/OCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBITDA — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/Revenue — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBIT — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/FCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Earnings Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Graham Number snapshot only $4.04
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 7.49 6.84 6.89 6.24 6.11 5.74 7.02 7.34 7.62 7.99 7.34 7.93 9.23 8.46 8.61 8.19 9.79 8.41 9.76 7.70 7.703
Quick Ratio 2.31 2.06 2.29 1.89 1.64 1.46 1.99 1.68 2.41 2.53 2.70 2.72 3.13 2.60 2.62 2.03 2.31 2.01 2.34 1.92 1.925
Debt/Equity 0.01 0.03 0.00 0.03 0.02 0.04 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.02 0.021
Net Debt/Equity -0.12 -0.10 -0.14 -0.11 -0.09 -0.06 -0.12 -0.09 -0.16 -0.18 -0.22 -0.21 -0.21 -0.17 -0.16 -0.12 -0.11 -0.09 -0.10 -0.10 -0.099
Debt/Assets 0.01 0.02 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.04 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.02 0.018
Debt/EBITDA 0.05 0.11 0.01 0.10 0.07 0.18 0.05 0.14 0.10 0.02 0.11 0.05 0.01 0.02 0.04 0.02 0.01 0.11 0.03 0.21 0.213
Net Debt/EBITDA -0.44 -0.39 -0.60 -0.43 -0.33 -0.25 -0.57 -0.71 -1.84 -2.34 -2.83 -1.77 -1.72 -1.31 -1.06 -0.74 -0.75 -0.66 -0.94 -1.01 -1.012
Interest Coverage — — — — — — — — — — — — — 158.00 205.25 174.67 167.00 153.50 69.25 44.05 44.045
Equity Multiplier 1.19 1.20 1.20 1.22 1.22 1.23 1.20 1.19 1.18 1.18 1.19 1.18 1.16 1.17 1.17 1.17 1.16 1.17 1.16 1.18 1.183
Cash Ratio snapshot only 1.075
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 157.615
Cash to Debt snapshot only 5.758
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.830
Defensive Interval snapshot only 85.8 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 1.24 1.21 1.16 1.19 1.23 1.27 1.23 1.11 1.04 0.98 0.94 1.08 1.11 1.14 1.10 1.09 1.05 0.99 0.94 0.92 0.924
Inventory Turnover 0.54 0.53 0.52 0.51 0.49 0.72 0.95 1.06 1.28 1.21 1.20 1.22 1.25 1.21 1.20 0.93 0.77 0.56 0.36 0.55 0.546
Receivables Turnover 15.92 15.81 15.04 16.45 18.33 19.07 17.47 20.45 17.54 17.51 16.68 23.73 21.98 22.07 22.27 21.57 22.94 20.53 20.56 19.69 19.691
Payables Turnover 9.64 10.87 8.92 8.43 9.16 17.50 18.79 24.09 25.09 30.49 25.34 30.30 28.42 31.30 26.02 21.94 19.73 15.60 9.26 14.29 14.286
DSO 23 23 24 22 20 19 21 18 21 21 22 15 17 17 16 17 16 18 18 19 18.5 days
DIO 673 692 707 721 741 509 383 343 286 301 305 298 293 301 305 393 473 657 1024 668 668.1 days
DPO 38 34 41 43 40 21 19 15 15 12 14 12 13 12 14 17 19 23 39 26 25.6 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 658 682 691 700 721 507 385 346 292 310 312 301 296 306 307 393 470 652 1002 661 661.1 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 4.146
Operating Cycle snapshot only 686.6 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 9.421
Capital Intensity snapshot only 1.053
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Revenue -6.8% -10.5% -9.4% -4.1% 2.9% 8.3% 7.6% -9.0% -15.9% -21.8% -22.8% -2.2% 7.0% 17.4% 19.2% 6.3% -1.3% -11.5% -15.4% -16.2% -16.18%
Net Income -49.7% -54.1% -47.1% -26.7% -5.1% 21.8% 20.5% -46.2% -57.0% -68.4% -54.7% 63.1% 1.3% 2.3% 1.3% 13.0% -32.4% -67.7% -88.3% -95.4% -95.39%
EPS -48.9% -53.1% -45.6% -24.8% -2.6% 25.6% 23.2% -45.3% -56.7% -68.5% -54.9% 62.8% 1.3% 2.3% 1.3% 12.8% -32.1% -67.5% -88.3% -95.4% -95.40%
FCF -15.2% -37.3% -14.7% 39.1% 5.0% 20.9% -7.5% -36.2% -3.1% 27.7% 22.8% 92.2% -0.8% -49.3% -91.2% -1.1% -1.3% -1.4% -1.9% 2.3% 2.31%
EBITDA -29.0% -36.1% -32.2% -15.1% 0.9% 4.4% -11.4% -54.9% -69.7% -69.8% -61.4% 1.7% 59.8% 90.6% 1.1% 43.9% 23.4% 3.4% -31.8% -43.1% -43.05%
Op. Income -36.5% -45.2% -43.5% -23.5% -3.7% 25.9% 21.2% -40.8% -50.4% -60.3% -51.0% 54.2% 1.0% 1.6% 25.7% -44.8% -77.3% -1.0% -67.5% -72.6% -72.56%
OCF Growth snapshot only -6.24%
Asset Growth snapshot only -5.31%
Equity Growth snapshot only -6.23%
Debt Growth snapshot only 5.92%
Shares Change snapshot only 0.17%
Dividend Growth snapshot only -24.30%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 73.7% 34.1% 16.5% 6.0% 4.2% 3.5% 0.9% -4.2% -6.9% -8.8% -9.1% -5.1% -2.5% -0.2% -0.3% -1.8% -3.9% -6.7% -8.0% -4.5% -4.50%
Revenue 5Y — — — — — — — — 35.3% 15.4% 5.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.3% -1.1% -1.8% -3.2% -4.7% -5.4% -5.3% -5.33%
EPS 3Y 46.3% 6.9% -9.5% -14.9% -17.0% -15.6% -22.1% -37.2% -40.0% -43.0% -32.8% -12.5% -0.8% 9.3% 9.2% 0.2% -12.1% -30.4% -50.2% -56.1% -56.11%
EPS 5Y — — — — — — — — 5.8% -13.5% -16.2% -11.3% -10.6% -9.0% -13.0% -14.6% -19.5% -27.6% -39.2% -48.9% -48.92%
Net Income 3Y 45.8% 6.3% -10.2% -15.7% -18.0% -17.0% -23.5% -38.2% -41.0% -43.9% -33.9% -13.7% -1.9% 8.4% 8.6% -0.3% -12.4% -30.3% -50.1% -56.0% -56.03%
Net Income 5Y — — — — — — — — 4.8% -14.3% -16.9% -12.1% -11.3% -9.8% -13.8% -15.4% -20.3% -28.3% -39.8% -49.3% -49.30%
EBITDA 3Y 54.9% 15.4% -0.2% -7.8% -9.5% -13.5% -19.3% -33.0% -39.9% -41.4% -38.6% -26.9% -21.2% -15.6% -10.9% -12.9% -15.8% -15.9% -18.4% -5.9% -5.87%
EBITDA 5Y — — — — — — — — 2.6% -13.5% -19.4% -18.5% -18.6% -17.9% -15.9% -15.1% -15.6% -16.9% -20.0% -20.4% -20.40%
Gross Profit 3Y 73.8% 34.2% 16.7% 7.3% 5.6% 0.9% -5.7% -17.0% -26.3% -28.7% -28.4% -23.0% -19.7% -16.4% -16.4% -12.7% -12.0% -7.3% -0.1% 5.0% 5.01%
Gross Profit 5Y — — — — — — — — 17.4% -0.5% -8.5% -10.2% -10.1% -9.4% -10.4% -8.2% -7.7% -6.8% -5.2% -8.2% -8.21%
Op. Income 3Y 46.4% 6.9% -8.2% -13.7% -15.5% -14.1% -16.6% -30.7% -32.8% -35.1% -30.5% -11.3% -1.1% 9.8% -9.3% -20.4% -38.9% — -41.5% -38.4% -38.42%
Op. Income 5Y — — — — — — — — 8.4% -9.4% -14.4% -10.1% -9.5% -7.8% -18.6% -22.3% -32.6% — -32.8% -36.2% -36.19%
FCF 3Y 35.1% 14.7% 17.7% 18.6% 18.1% 4.5% 0.4% -21.0% -4.8% -1.1% -1.0% 19.5% 0.3% -7.9% -53.6% — — — — -40.7% -40.71%
FCF 5Y — — — — — — — — 20.2% 18.4% 13.1% 15.4% 9.6% -5.9% -35.8% — — — — -28.6% -28.63%
OCF 3Y 52.8% 25.4% 18.1% 12.2% 9.0% 1.9% -2.1% -16.7% -13.5% -12.9% -13.3% -3.2% -5.7% -4.2% -16.2% -21.0% -24.5% -26.6% -26.8% -15.5% -15.46%
OCF 5Y — — — — — — — — 24.7% 16.3% 8.9% 7.7% 3.5% -2.5% -10.3% -17.9% -21.4% -23.8% -23.5% -16.4% -16.39%
Assets 3Y 15.0% 13.3% 11.2% 9.8% 6.8% 8.6% 5.6% 2.6% 0.4% 0.8% 1.0% 0.9% 2.0% 2.9% 1.8% 1.3% 0.8% -0.3% -0.8% 1.6% 1.64%
Assets 5Y — — — — — — — — 8.4% 8.2% 6.9% 5.8% 4.4% 5.6% 4.1% 3.7% 1.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.16%
Equity 3Y 15.7% 13.6% 11.6% 9.5% 6.3% 9.2% 6.3% 3.3% 1.0% 1.8% 1.2% 2.6% 2.9% 3.9% 2.9% 2.7% 2.7% 1.4% 0.5% 1.9% 1.86%
Book Value 3Y 16.2% 14.3% 12.5% 10.5% 7.5% 11.0% 8.1% 5.0% 2.6% 3.4% 2.8% 4.0% 4.0% 4.8% 3.4% 3.2% 3.1% 1.4% 0.3% 1.7% 1.67%
Dividend 3Y 2.0% -1.7% -1.5% -1.6% -1.3% 3.7% 3.8% -0.8% -0.9% -15.5% -15.5% -11.4% -11.6% 9.5% 9.2% 12.0% 11.9% -1.6% -0.8% -9.0% -8.98%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.67 0.61 0.50 0.44 0.28 0.15 0.00 0.79 0.48 0.35 0.19 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.21 0.62 0.64 0.57 0.58 0.72 0.718
Earnings Stability 0.16 0.01 0.12 0.48 0.02 0.01 0.23 0.72 0.05 0.21 0.46 0.67 0.64 0.54 0.59 0.55 0.54 0.51 0.56 0.54 0.542
Margin Stability 0.99 0.99 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.96 0.89 0.81 0.75 0.74 0.74 0.73 0.68 0.69 0.70 0.73 0.69 0.71 0.70 0.76 0.756
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence 0.80 0.50 0.81 0.89 0.98 0.91 0.92 0.82 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.95 0.87 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness 0.34 0.26 0.38 0.69 0.95 0.80 0.81 0.40 0.20 0.00 0.25 0.52 0.21 0.00 0.19 0.88 0.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
ROE Trend -0.16 -0.19 -0.18 -0.14 -0.09 -0.06 -0.03 -0.09 -0.08 -0.09 -0.07 0.01 0.03 0.05 0.04 0.03 -0.01 -0.05 -0.08 -0.11 -0.113
Gross Margin Trend 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 -0.07 -0.17 -0.28 -0.41 -0.38 -0.32 -0.23 -0.15 -0.08 -0.04 0.09 0.20 0.28 0.37 0.19 0.187
FCF Margin Trend 0.01 -0.02 0.00 0.00 -0.00 -0.01 -0.02 -0.01 0.01 0.05 0.04 0.05 -0.00 -0.05 -0.09 -0.10 -0.12 -0.11 -0.07 -0.04 -0.043
Sustainable Growth Rate 7.9% 6.1% 4.9% 7.0% 7.5% 8.3% 6.8% 1.1% -0.2% 0.7% 2.2% 7.7% 9.7% 10.3% 9.1% 7.2% 3.5% 0.1% -3.3% -3.6% -3.59%
Internal Growth Rate 7.1% 5.3% 4.3% 6.0% 6.6% 7.3% 6.0% 0.9% — 0.6% 1.9% 7.0% 9.0% 9.7% 8.4% 6.5% 3.1% 0.1% — — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.45 1.44 1.74 1.53 1.40 1.25 1.38 2.18 3.01 4.03 2.96 1.79 1.29 1.00 0.80 0.76 0.89 1.46 4.34 15.47 15.475
FCF/OCF 0.54 0.51 0.60 0.63 0.62 0.58 0.59 0.53 0.65 0.73 0.74 0.76 0.65 0.45 0.10 -0.13 -0.43 -0.38 -0.14 0.18 0.182
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 2.822
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.968
CapEx/Revenue 6.9% 6.4% 5.8% 5.3% 5.1% 5.3% 5.4% 5.7% 5.1% 4.4% 4.3% 4.0% 4.7% 6.3% 7.8% 8.5% 9.2% 8.6% 7.4% 6.8% 6.78%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 1.085
Accruals Ratio -0.06 -0.05 -0.07 -0.06 -0.05 -0.03 -0.04 -0.07 -0.10 -0.12 -0.10 -0.08 -0.03 0.00 0.02 0.03 0.01 -0.02 -0.05 -0.07 -0.073
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.098
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 0.790
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.750
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 2.47%
Dividend/Share $0.76 $0.71 $0.72 $0.71 $0.72 $0.78 $0.78 $0.67 $0.67 $0.45 $0.45 $0.45 $0.45 $0.57 $0.57 $0.62 $0.63 $0.55 $0.56 $0.47 $0.23
Payout Ratio 48.7% 54.1% 58.1% 49.6% 47.6% 47.1% 51.2% 85.6% 1.0% 85.8% 65.1% 35.1% 29.6% 33.3% 35.6% 43.0% 60.8% 98.3% 3.0% 7.1% 7.08%
FCF Payout Ratio 61.9% 73.3% 55.3% 51.2% 54.7% 64.4% 63.5% 74.4% 52.4% 29.0% 29.8% 25.9% 35.3% 73.5% 4.4% — — — — 2.5% 2.51%
Total Payout Ratio 70.4% 88.3% 99.2% 78.1% 85.2% 75.9% 78.1% 1.3% 1.1% 86.0% 66.8% 36.1% 30.5% 34.1% 35.7% 46.4% 65.5% 1.1% 3.2% 7.1% 7.08%
Div. Increase Streak 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Total Shareholder Return — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.76 0.76 0.73 0.74 0.74 0.74 0.73 0.68 0.65 0.60 0.68 0.72 0.74 0.75 0.74 0.74 0.71 0.63 0.39 0.21 0.209
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.97 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 1.28 1.84 5.64 -3.21 -2.78 -3.22 — — 7.56 2.77 1.94 1.28 0.99 1.04 1.07 1.071
EBIT Margin 0.14 0.12 0.12 0.13 0.13 0.11 0.07 0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.03 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.05 0.07 0.08 0.07 0.04 0.02 0.024
Asset Turnover 1.24 1.21 1.16 1.19 1.23 1.27 1.23 1.11 1.04 0.98 0.94 1.08 1.11 1.14 1.10 1.09 1.05 0.99 0.94 0.92 0.924
Equity Multiplier 1.20 1.21 1.20 1.23 1.21 1.22 1.20 1.21 1.20 1.21 1.19 1.18 1.17 1.17 1.18 1.17 1.16 1.17 1.16 1.18 1.177
Per Share
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $1.55 $1.32 $1.24 $1.44 $1.51 $1.66 $1.53 $0.79 $0.66 $0.52 $0.69 $1.28 $1.52 $1.73 $1.61 $1.45 $1.03 $0.56 $0.19 $0.07 $0.07
Book Value/Share $10.26 $10.05 $10.61 $10.61 $10.72 $10.77 $11.05 $10.39 $10.52 $10.72 $11.13 $11.23 $11.55 $11.58 $11.74 $11.66 $11.74 $11.23 $11.14 $10.92 $11.05
Tangible Book/Share $10.13 $9.92 $10.47 $10.47 $10.58 $10.63 $10.90 $10.25 $10.39 $10.59 $10.99 $11.09 $11.41 $11.44 $11.65 $11.52 $11.59 $11.09 $11.00 $10.79 $10.79
Revenue/Share $14.94 $14.61 $14.72 $15.28 $15.78 $16.31 $16.19 $14.17 $13.36 $12.70 $12.45 $13.82 $14.28 $14.89 $14.81 $14.66 $14.17 $13.24 $12.54 $12.27 $6.10
FCF/Share $1.22 $0.98 $1.30 $1.39 $1.32 $1.22 $1.23 $0.91 $1.29 $1.55 $1.51 $1.74 $1.27 $0.78 $0.13 $-0.14 $-0.39 $-0.31 $-0.11 $0.19 $0.26
OCF/Share $2.25 $1.91 $2.15 $2.20 $2.12 $2.08 $2.10 $1.71 $1.97 $2.11 $2.04 $2.29 $1.95 $1.72 $1.29 $1.10 $0.92 $0.82 $0.82 $1.03 $0.61
Cash/Share $1.36 $1.25 $1.54 $1.47 $1.18 $1.16 $1.42 $1.09 $1.73 $1.92 $2.56 $2.38 $2.45 $2.05 $1.97 $1.41 $1.35 $1.24 $1.19 $1.30 $1.31
EBITDA/Share $2.82 $2.51 $2.50 $2.79 $2.92 $2.70 $2.27 $1.28 $0.89 $0.81 $0.87 $1.30 $1.42 $1.55 $1.80 $1.87 $1.76 $1.61 $1.23 $1.06 $1.06
Debt/Share $0.13 $0.27 $0.04 $0.27 $0.21 $0.47 $0.12 $0.18 $0.09 $0.02 $0.10 $0.07 $0.01 $0.03 $0.07 $0.03 $0.02 $0.18 $0.04 $0.23 $0.23
Net Debt/Share $-1.23 $-0.98 $-1.50 $-1.19 $-0.97 $-0.69 $-1.30 $-0.91 $-1.64 $-1.90 $-2.46 $-2.31 $-2.45 $-2.02 $-1.90 $-1.38 $-1.33 $-1.06 $-1.15 $-1.08 $-1.08
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Piotroski F-Score 6 5 6 7 6 6 7 6 6 5 6 7 8 6 7 7 5 5 7 3 3
Beneish M-Score -2.94 -2.81 -2.91 -2.91 -2.72 -2.22 -2.29 -1.63 -2.55 -3.19 -3.33 -2.78 -2.92 -2.54 -2.12 -2.89 -2.15 -3.26 -3.35 -2.30 -2.303
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -11.341
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 2.68%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $7.43
EVA snapshot only $-924945840.50
Credit
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only AA-
Credit Score 80.25 80.25 80.25 80.25 80.25 80.25 80.25 80.25 80.25 80.25 80.25 80.25 80.25 82.75 82.75 79.60 79.60 79.60 79.60 82.75 82.750
Credit Grade snapshot only 4
Credit Trend snapshot only 3.150
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 100.000

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