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TAL NYSE

TAL Education Group
1W: -13.9% 1M: -14.7% 3M: -1.9% YTD: -10.9% 1Y: -19.1% 3Y: +9.1% 5Y: +127.0%
$10.21
-0.03 (-0.29%)
After Hours: $10.14 (-0.07, -0.64%)
Weekly Expected Move ±6.1%
$9 $10 $10 $11 $11
NYSE · Consumer Defensive · Education & Training Services · Tech Score Sell · Power 38 · $6.2B mcap · 51M float · 8.76% daily turnover · Short 50% of daily vol
Credit Risk of going bust: lower than 72% of companies Debt: 6.1% of company value Bonds: none of note held by US funds details ▾
If the stock fell to about $0.06 (down 99.4%), TAL Education Group would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $405.5M against a stock market value of $6.23B.
Distance to default 7.96 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-05-31, debt counted $202.8M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 44.1%; Altman Z'' 3.97. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.
Oct Typical
☀️
Sunny
+27.6% YTD avg
Midterm Year
☀️
Sunny
+11.9% YTD avg
2026 Now
⛈️
Stormy
Below typical
20yr Avg YTD
+27.6%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
+11.9%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
-11.1%
Below 20yr avg
Typical Vol
63%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
💨
+3.9%
Midterm
☁️
+0.3%
75% win 65% vol
Feb
20yr
💨
+8.7%
Midterm
☁️
-0.2%
62% win 55% vol
Mar
20yr
⛈️
+7.7%
Midterm
⛅
+1.8%
56% win 68% vol
Apr
20yr
💨
+9.6%
Midterm
☀️
+7.6%
69% win 52% vol
May
20yr
⛈️
+10.7%
Midterm
☀️
+18.4%
38% win 59% vol
Jun
20yr
💨
+13.0%
Midterm
☀️
+27.2%
50% win 56% vol
Jul
20yr
💨
+13.4%
Midterm
☀️
+23.8%
56% win 92% vol
Aug
20yr
⛈️
+17.1%
Midterm
☀️
+38.3%
31% win 49% vol
Sep
20yr
💨
+24.0%
Midterm
☀️
+26.6%
69% win 50% vol
Oct
20yr
💨
+26.7%
Midterm
☀️
+20.8%
53% win 63% vol
Now: -15.4%
Nov
20yr
💨
+33.5%
Midterm
☀️
+31.7%
56% win 52% vol
Dec
20yr
💨
+1.1%
Midterm
💨
+1.2%
62% win 52% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: -11.1%

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms