TDGMW OTC
Tidewater Inc.
1W: +5.6%
1M: +70.2%
3M: -20.6%
YTD: +10.2%
$93.65
+5.65 (+6.42%)
Weekly Expected Move ±25.9%
$45
$69
$94
$118
$142
Credit Risk of going bust: lower than 55% of companies Debt: 13.3% of company value Bonds: none of note held by US funds details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the middle of the pack, about 1 in 580 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $1.43 (down 98%), Tidewater Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $653.2M against a stock market value of $4.26B.
Distance to default 5.67 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-23, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $329.4M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 48.7%; Altman Z 3.69. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $1.43 (down 98%), Tidewater Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $653.2M against a stock market value of $4.26B.
Distance to default 5.67 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-23, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $329.4M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 48.7%; Altman Z 3.69. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.
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Oct Typical
☀️
Sunny
+39.8% YTD avg
Midterm Year
☀️
Sunny
+60.7% YTD avg
2026 Now
☀️
Sunny
Below typical
20yr Avg YTD
+39.8%
Day 17 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
+60.7%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
+10.2%
Below 20yr avg
Typical Vol
147%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
💨
+33.7%
Midterm
☀️
+52.9%
100% win
166% vol
Feb
20yr
⛅
+56.9%
Midterm
☀️
+84.6%
100% win
35% vol
Mar
20yr
💨
+6.7%
Midterm
💨
+25.0%
67% win
156% vol
Apr
20yr
💨
+16.8%
100% win
138% vol
May
20yr
💨
+15.0%
100% win
189% vol
Jun
20yr
⛈️
-0.9%
Midterm
💨
+21.4%
40% win
183% vol
Jul
20yr
💨
+6.3%
Midterm
⛈️
-8.7%
75% win
135% vol
Aug
20yr
💨
+4.3%
Midterm
⛈️
-0.7%
60% win
132% vol
Sep
20yr
⛈️
-0.8%
Midterm
💨
+9.0%
40% win
112% vol
Oct
20yr
💨
+2.8%
Midterm
⛅
+55.4%
50% win
147% vol
Now:
+7.4%
Nov
20yr
💨
+6.1%
Midterm
⛈️
-12.8%
50% win
281% vol
Dec
20yr
💨
+5.8%
Midterm
💨
+4.6%
67% win
120% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: +10.2%