— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice

TGI NYSE

Triumph Group, Inc.
1W: +0.5% 1M: +1.0% 3M: +3.7% 1Y: +52.6% 3Y: +78.4% 5Y: +239.6%
$26.01
Last traded 2025-07-24 — delisted
NYSE · Industrials · Aerospace & Defense · $2.0B mcap · 71M float · 1.91% daily turnover · Short 28% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
46.2 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Cost Advantage  ·  ROIC: 19.0%
Cost Advantage ★
66
Intangibles
61
Switching Cost
33
Network Effect
23
Scale
40
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. TGI shows a Weak competitive edge (46.2/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Cost Advantage. ROIC of 19.0% confirms the company is generating returns well above its cost of capital — a hallmark of durable competitive advantages.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$82
Low
$85
Avg Target
$88
High
Based on 2 analysts since Aug 6, 2025 earnings
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 13Hold: 12Sell: 4Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$85.00
Analysts2
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2026-10-02 B.Riley Financial Hal Goetsch Initiated $82 — +215.3% $26.01
2026-07-23 Stephens Matt Olney Initiated $88 — +238.3% $26.01
2024-10-18 Truist Financial Michael Ciarmoli $22 $12 -10 -19.9% $14.99
2024-09-24 Bank of America Securities Ronald Epstein Initiated $12 — -11.4% $13.55
2024-08-12 Jefferies Sheila Kahyaoglu $20 $14 -6 +3.9% $13.48
2024-07-24 Jefferies Sheila Kahyaoglu Initiated $20 — +17.5% $17.02
2024-05-29 Barclays David Strauss $20 $18 -2 +28.5% $14.01
2024-05-24 Truist Financial Michael Ciarmoli $20 $22 +2 +65.9% $13.26
2024-03-27 Wolfe Research Myles Walton Initiated $18 — +24.1% $14.51
2024-01-15 Robert W. Baird Peter Arment $26 $20 -6 +32.0% $15.15
2024-01-05 Barclays Kannan Venkateshwar Initiated $20 — +27.7% $15.66
2022-07-19 Truist Financial Michael Ciarmoli Initiated $20 — +36.7% $14.63
2022-07-12 Goldman Sachs — $18 $16 -2 +22.1% $13.10
2022-05-20 Goldman Sachs — Initiated $18 — +33.0% $13.53
2022-05-19 Robert W. Baird — Initiated $26 — +67.7% $15.51

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 22 Grade D
Profitability
28
Balance Sheet
37
Earnings Quality
73
Growth
29
Value
33
Momentum
42
Safety
30
Cash Flow
35
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. TGI scores highest in Earnings Quality (73/100) and lowest in Profitability (28/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
1.56
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
4/9
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗
Beneish M-Score
-2.55
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-5.41
Bankruptcy prob: 0.4%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
B-
Score: 20.0/100
Trend: Stable
Earnings Quality
75/100
OCF/NI: 0.93x
Accruals: 0.2%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. TGI scores 1.56, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. TGI scores 4/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. TGI's score of -2.55 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. TGI's implied 0.4% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. TGI receives an estimated rating of B- (score: 20.0/100), with a stable trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). TGI's score of 75/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
49.08x
PEG
-0.53x
P/S
1.60x
P/B
-26.34x
P/FCF
105.18x
P/OCF
52.27x
EV/EBITDA
15.54x
EV/Revenue
2.13x
EV/EBIT
18.74x
EV/FCF
142.88x
Earnings Yield
2.06%
FCF Yield
0.95%
Shareholder Yield
0.14%
Graham Number
—
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 49.1x earnings, TGI is priced for high growth expectations.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.986
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.289
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.114
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.762
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
-18.319
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
-45.2%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. TGI's ROE of -45.2% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.762), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue. A tax burden ratio of 0.99 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$4.45
Price/Value
5.70x
Margin of Safety
-470.01%
Premium
470.01%
Assessment
Overvalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with TGI's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. TGI trades at a 470% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $4.45, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 49.1x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$26.01
Median 1Y
$20.08
5th Pctile
$5.66
95th Pctile
$71.18
Ann. Volatility
75.2%
Analyst Target
$85.00
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical Analyst target
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Current
ROE 40.3% 48.3% 56.7% 56.6% 21.9% 19.1% 11.2% 5.3% 2.8% -12.1% -12.9% -11.3% -11.2% 3.0% 7.0% -1.1% -1.2% -1.4% -1.5% -45.2% -45.20%
ROA -12.7% -15.1% -18.1% -16.7% -9.9% -8.4% -5.1% -2.0% -1.3% 5.5% 5.8% 5.2% 5.2% -1.3% -2.9% 30.4% 32.8% 33.3% 35.1% 2.5% 2.47%
ROIC -37.4% -43.3% -53.6% -43.9% -7.6% -5.9% 2.7% 12.3% 11.4% 25.3% 25.7% 34.7% 28.7% 13.9% 12.8% 17.0% 13.5% 12.0% 12.8% 19.0% 19.04%
ROCE -12.9% -13.9% -16.9% -16.0% -2.1% -1.6% 3.6% 8.5% 10.0% 18.6% 18.0% 16.8% 16.9% 8.6% 7.7% 8.9% 9.4% 8.9% 10.2% 11.7% 11.65%
Gross Margin 20.4% 20.7% 20.0% 23.0% 26.0% 26.6% 27.2% 26.4% 22.0% 32.4% 27.0% 31.1% 26.4% 26.2% 24.6% 28.0% 26.3% 32.9% 30.2% 33.6% 33.63%
Operating Margin -51.0% 1.5% -8.2% -9.9% 5.3% 4.6% 8.8% 6.5% 6.9% 43.0% 10.7% 14.3% 5.7% 9.7% 6.9% 15.6% 2.9% 11.3% 12.5% 15.8% 15.77%
Net Margin -56.0% -7.0% -16.0% -15.7% -7.7% -2.5% 2.3% -2.7% -3.0% 34.6% 3.3% -4.5% -3.9% -0.4% -5.6% 1.5% -5.0% 4.1% 4.6% 7.5% 7.54%
EBITDA Margin -42.7% 8.7% -0.1% -2.9% 6.3% 11.1% 16.4% 7.9% 9.7% 48.6% 13.7% 7.7% 9.3% 12.5% 10.9% 12.7% 8.4% 13.4% 14.4% 17.4% 17.39%
FCF Margin -5.5% -7.1% -8.1% -10.6% -8.2% -8.4% -11.0% -10.7% -7.2% -6.1% -7.0% -5.3% -3.5% -4.3% -2.4% -1.1% -4.5% -5.4% -4.5% 1.5% 1.49%
OCF Margin -4.0% -5.6% -6.6% -9.3% -7.1% -7.2% -9.6% -9.4% -5.7% -4.7% -5.8% -3.8% -1.7% -2.6% -0.6% 0.5% -2.6% -3.3% -2.8% 3.0% 3.00%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 12.81%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 30.51%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 13.62%
Cash ROA snapshot only 2.33%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 5.98%
CROIC snapshot only 2.97%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 9.56%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 3.28%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 16.65%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 1.03%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Current
P/E Ratio -1.44 -0.85 -1.45 -2.35 -6.49 -6.64 -11.41 -38.22 -37.87 6.04 7.46 8.43 9.41 -28.37 -26.84 2.26 2.30 1.89 2.59 48.45 49.075
P/S Ratio 0.18 0.14 0.31 0.57 0.75 0.73 0.78 1.12 0.61 0.41 0.52 0.55 0.60 0.42 0.94 0.88 0.93 0.83 1.17 1.57 1.603
P/B Ratio -0.45 -0.32 -0.62 -1.30 -1.61 -1.45 -1.49 -2.08 -1.07 -0.80 -1.05 -0.95 -1.10 -0.88 -1.90 -11.21 -9.94 -10.52 -17.65 -25.91 -26.344
P/FCF -3.21 -2.01 -3.88 -5.37 -9.22 -8.66 -7.13 -10.43 -8.52 -6.74 -7.55 -10.36 -17.47 -9.70 -38.76 -79.34 -20.74 -15.37 -26.24 105.18 105.177
P/OCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 165.42 — — — 52.27 52.273
EV/EBITDA -29.59 -13.26 -11.50 -13.47 51.16 51.51 25.00 20.35 14.79 7.69 8.55 8.60 9.24 13.85 20.18 12.38 13.82 13.44 14.98 15.54 15.541
EV/Revenue 0.75 0.81 1.05 1.32 1.53 1.59 1.68 2.06 1.64 1.50 1.61 1.61 1.74 1.48 2.02 1.41 1.56 1.54 1.84 2.13 2.132
EV/EBIT -10.51 -7.40 -7.38 -8.93 -99.42 -129.71 60.18 30.66 20.70 9.07 9.99 10.00 10.66 17.81 26.95 15.86 17.83 17.47 18.60 18.74 18.744
EV/FCF -13.77 -11.42 -12.94 -12.46 -18.72 -18.87 -15.30 -19.18 -22.91 -24.60 -23.18 -30.44 -50.14 -34.38 -83.39 -126.93 -34.83 -28.58 -41.36 142.88 142.877
Earnings Yield -69.2% -1.2% -68.9% -42.5% -15.4% -15.1% -8.8% -2.6% -2.6% 16.6% 13.4% 11.9% 10.6% -3.5% -3.7% 44.2% 43.4% 52.9% 38.6% 2.1% 2.06%
FCF Yield -31.1% -49.6% -25.8% -18.6% -10.8% -11.5% -14.0% -9.6% -11.7% -14.8% -13.3% -9.7% -5.7% -10.3% -2.6% -1.3% -4.8% -6.5% -3.8% 1.0% 0.95%
EV/OCF snapshot only 71.011
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 6.885
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 19.295
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 0.14%
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Current
Current Ratio 1.49 2.17 2.09 2.16 1.79 1.76 1.65 1.60 1.63 2.25 2.22 2.35 2.53 2.85 2.66 2.64 2.47 2.47 2.50 2.22 2.225
Quick Ratio 0.89 1.48 1.40 1.61 1.06 1.06 0.95 1.00 0.93 1.13 1.14 1.37 1.28 1.47 1.65 1.75 1.29 1.19 1.23 1.32 1.320
Debt/Equity -1.49 -1.90 -1.89 -2.44 -1.95 -1.94 -1.96 -2.05 -1.97 -2.27 -2.34 -2.12 -2.25 -2.48 -2.43 -10.48 -8.03 -10.15 -11.79 -12.91 -12.911
Net Debt/Equity — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Debt/Assets 0.69 0.80 0.84 0.81 0.86 0.89 0.91 0.92 0.95 1.01 1.01 0.99 1.02 0.99 0.97 0.65 0.64 0.64 0.64 0.61 0.607
Debt/EBITDA -23.14 -13.97 -10.55 -10.89 30.44 31.67 15.34 10.92 10.15 5.98 6.21 6.55 6.60 11.08 12.00 7.24 6.65 6.97 6.35 5.70 5.702
Net Debt/EBITDA -22.68 -10.93 -8.05 -7.67 25.95 27.85 13.35 9.29 9.29 5.58 5.76 5.67 6.02 9.94 10.80 4.64 5.59 6.21 5.47 4.10 4.101
Interest Coverage -1.47 -1.77 -1.88 -1.61 -0.16 -0.13 0.30 0.72 0.87 1.77 1.76 1.68 1.59 0.82 0.71 0.87 0.97 1.05 1.36 1.64 1.638
Equity Multiplier -2.16 -2.38 -2.25 -2.99 -2.28 -2.17 -2.16 -2.24 -2.07 -2.23 -2.32 -2.15 -2.22 -2.50 -2.50 -16.15 -12.49 -15.88 -18.36 -21.28 -21.282
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.702
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 1.975
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.281
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.019
Defensive Interval snapshot only 801.6 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Current
Asset Turnover 1.05 0.90 0.83 0.69 0.85 0.76 0.74 0.69 0.80 0.81 0.82 0.79 0.82 0.87 0.83 0.78 0.81 0.76 0.78 0.76 0.762
Inventory Turnover 4.52 4.08 3.64 3.46 3.13 2.94 2.73 2.82 2.65 2.54 2.53 2.64 2.37 2.43 2.63 2.76 2.39 2.11 2.36 2.58 2.581
Receivables Turnover 9.06 8.24 8.95 4.28 7.92 8.05 9.43 6.06 7.89 7.73 8.12 9.79 8.31 8.20 8.86 8.07 8.65 7.41 9.29 7.11 7.110
Payables Turnover 5.84 5.68 5.82 4.63 5.93 6.53 6.30 6.29 7.07 6.71 6.00 5.92 6.72 6.55 6.59 5.72 6.70 5.81 6.88 5.28 5.276
DSO 40 44 41 85 46 45 39 60 46 47 45 37 44 45 41 45 42 49 39 51 51.3 days
DIO 81 89 100 105 117 124 134 130 138 144 144 138 154 150 139 132 153 173 154 141 141.4 days
DPO 63 64 63 79 62 56 58 58 52 54 61 62 54 56 55 64 54 63 53 69 69.2 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 59 69 78 112 101 113 114 132 132 137 128 114 144 139 125 114 140 160 141 124 123.6 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 8.166
Operating Cycle snapshot only 193.9 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 4.553
Capital Intensity snapshot only 1.289
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Current
Revenue -18.3% -25.3% -31.9% -35.5% -33.5% -30.6% -26.5% -21.9% -20.2% -17.2% -10.9% -5.5% -3.9% 3.0% -1.0% -3.9% -5.8% -13.6% -8.6% -4.7% -4.74%
Net Income -42.4% -1.4% -2.0% -15.1% 36.5% 54.7% 76.7% 90.5% 88.9% 1.5% 1.9% 3.1% 4.8% -1.2% -1.5% 4.8% 4.9% 26.7% 12.8% -92.1% -92.11%
EPS -38.1% -1.3% -1.9% -13.4% 48.8% 63.5% 81.2% 91.5% 89.0% 1.5% 1.9% 3.1% 4.7% -1.2% -1.4% 3.8% 4.1% 26.2% 12.6% -92.1% -92.14%
FCF 0.9% -5.1% -10.2% -4.5% 0.5% 17.4% 0.5% 21.0% 30.1% 40.0% 43.6% 53.5% 53.5% 27.5% 65.5% 79.8% -22.0% -8.0% -68.3% 2.3% 2.28%
EBITDA -2.4% -2.3% -2.6% -1.8% 1.8% 1.4% 1.5% 1.8% 2.0% 4.2% 1.5% 74.9% 62.7% -43.7% -47.5% -41.4% -43.3% -7.5% 12.5% 14.4% 14.42%
Op. Income -33.2% -1.6% -2.5% -6.6% 77.0% 84.5% 1.1% 1.3% 2.8% 5.8% 10.2% 1.7% 1.6% -31.2% -40.5% -48.1% -51.3% -19.5% 5.3% 8.5% 8.53%
OCF Growth snapshot only 4.35%
Asset Growth snapshot only -3.52%
Debt Growth snapshot only -9.83%
Shares Change snapshot only 0.43%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Current
Revenue 3Y -8.0% -10.3% -13.4% -16.4% -18.3% -21.2% -23.1% -24.3% -24.3% -24.6% -23.6% -21.9% -20.1% -16.1% -13.4% -10.9% -10.3% -9.7% -6.9% -4.7% -4.74%
Revenue 5Y -7.6% -9.5% -11.7% -13.6% -14.2% -15.1% -15.9% -16.2% -16.2% -16.2% -15.7% -15.5% -16.0% -16.0% -16.7% -17.0% -17.1% -17.5% -16.6% -15.3% -15.33%
EPS 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EPS 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EBITDA 3Y — — — — -41.6% — — — 48.7% 32.7% 28.0% 2.1% — — — — 39.8% 39.7% 13.9% 5.4% 5.44%
EBITDA 5Y — — — — — -37.7% -37.6% -41.5% -40.1% -32.4% -25.0% -22.5% -0.8% — — — 24.9% 4.0% 4.4% -6.5% -6.54%
Gross Profit 3Y -13.0% -14.5% -18.0% -16.2% -11.8% -10.3% -6.1% -4.2% -11.8% -12.5% -15.5% -13.2% -10.1% -7.7% -4.2% -3.9% -5.2% -4.6% -2.4% 0.3% 0.33%
Gross Profit 5Y -6.5% -8.3% -14.7% 6.4% 11.6% 13.7% 17.5% -14.4% -15.4% -14.4% -13.7% -10.3% -7.2% -6.4% -4.7% -4.5% -8.5% -9.0% -9.7% -8.0% -7.99%
Op. Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — 62.3% — — — — — — 91.7% 15.4% 15.38%
Op. Income 5Y — — — — — — — 9.8% 26.9% — — — — — — — — — — 19.2% 19.21%
FCF 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — -19.8% -19.82%
OCF 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
OCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — -17.1% -17.08%
Assets 3Y -19.1% -16.0% -16.9% -13.6% -18.0% -18.9% -19.3% -15.1% -16.1% -17.2% -15.3% -16.8% -10.0% -12.9% -11.3% -11.7% -7.5% -5.7% -4.8% -2.6% -2.60%
Assets 5Y -18.4% -16.6% -16.9% -12.8% -17.2% -18.0% -18.4% -16.8% -17.2% -18.2% -17.5% -14.7% -13.5% -13.1% -12.8% -10.1% -12.0% -11.4% -10.5% -11.4% -11.40%
Equity 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Book Value 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Dividend 3Y -10.2% -21.4% -37.5% — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Current
Revenue Stability 0.91 0.83 0.79 0.81 0.86 0.87 0.87 0.86 0.88 0.88 0.89 0.90 0.94 0.92 0.89 0.84 0.83 0.81 0.78 0.76 0.757
Earnings Stability 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.20 0.33 0.34 0.45 0.00 0.09 0.19 0.37 0.47 0.87 0.67 0.54 0.61 0.80 0.68 0.63 0.34 0.340
Margin Stability 0.84 0.84 0.80 0.63 0.61 0.58 0.53 0.76 0.83 0.84 0.87 0.85 0.81 0.79 0.75 0.73 0.79 0.82 0.86 0.85 0.855
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence 0.83 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.85 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.00 0.00 — — 0.00 0.000
ROE Trend — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Gross Margin Trend 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.04 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.03 0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0.01 0.02 0.04 0.037
FCF Margin Trend 0.01 -0.03 -0.04 -0.08 -0.03 -0.04 -0.07 -0.06 -0.00 0.02 0.03 0.05 0.04 0.03 0.07 0.07 0.01 -0.00 0.00 0.05 0.047
Sustainable Growth Rate — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Internal Growth Rate — — — — — — — — — 5.8% 6.1% 5.4% 5.5% — — 43.8% 48.8% 49.8% 54.2% 2.5% 2.53%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Current
OCF/Net Income 0.33 0.33 0.31 0.38 0.61 0.66 1.39 3.20 3.54 -0.69 -0.82 -0.58 -0.26 1.74 0.17 0.01 -0.07 -0.08 -0.06 0.93 0.927
FCF/OCF 1.37 1.27 1.23 1.15 1.16 1.17 1.15 1.14 1.26 1.30 1.20 1.40 2.05 1.69 3.99 -2.09 1.70 1.63 1.61 0.50 0.497
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.461
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.219
CapEx/Revenue 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.3% 1.1% 1.2% 1.4% 1.3% 1.5% 1.4% 1.2% 1.5% 1.8% 1.7% 1.8% 1.6% 1.8% 2.1% 1.7% 1.5% 1.51%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.644
Accruals Ratio -0.09 -0.10 -0.13 -0.10 -0.04 -0.03 0.02 0.04 0.03 0.09 0.11 0.08 0.07 0.01 -0.02 0.30 0.35 0.36 0.37 0.00 0.002
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.078
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 1.988
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.750
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Current
Dividend Yield 1.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.12 $0.08 $0.04 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio — — — — — — — — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
FCF Payout Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.0% 0.00%
Total Payout Ratio — — — — — — — — — 3.9% 3.7% 4.0% 2.5% — — 0.3% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 6.6% 6.62%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Chowder Number -0.23 -0.48 -0.74 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.14%
Net Buyback Yield 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% -13.5% -10.7% -11.8% -11.7% 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% -0.1% -0.1% -0.3% -0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.14%
Total Shareholder Return 1.5% 1.5% 0.4% -13.5% -10.7% -11.8% -11.7% 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% -0.1% -0.1% -0.3% -0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.14%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 1.01 0.98 0.99 1.01 1.02 1.02 1.05 1.13 1.32 0.94 0.95 0.94 0.93 1.42 1.29 -42.57 -28.02 -54.11 30.42 0.99 0.986
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.69 1.57 1.54 1.63 7.43 8.76 -2.35 -0.39 -0.15 0.44 0.46 0.43 0.42 -0.12 -0.36 -0.10 -0.16 -0.09 0.15 0.29 0.289
EBIT Margin -0.07 -0.11 -0.14 -0.15 -0.02 -0.01 0.03 0.07 0.08 0.17 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.08 0.07 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.10 0.11 0.114
Asset Turnover 1.05 0.90 0.83 0.69 0.85 0.76 0.74 0.69 0.80 0.81 0.82 0.79 0.82 0.87 0.83 0.78 0.81 0.76 0.78 0.76 0.762
Equity Multiplier -3.17 -3.20 -3.14 -3.39 -2.21 -2.29 -2.21 -2.62 -2.18 -2.20 -2.23 -2.19 -2.14 -2.37 -2.41 -3.77 -3.63 -4.17 -4.24 -18.32 -18.319
Per Share
Metric Trend Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-6.24 $-7.69 $-8.65 $-7.81 $-3.20 $-2.81 $-1.62 $-0.66 $-0.35 $1.42 $1.41 $1.37 $1.31 $-0.27 $-0.62 $6.65 $6.69 $6.81 $7.19 $0.52 $0.52
Book Value/Share $-20.20 $-20.46 $-20.38 $-14.14 $-12.85 $-12.84 $-12.47 $-12.18 $-12.42 $-10.75 $-10.05 $-12.23 $-11.25 $-8.74 $-8.72 $-1.34 $-1.55 $-1.22 $-1.06 $-0.98 $-0.99
Tangible Book/Share $-32.43 $-32.65 $-32.47 $-24.91 $-22.52 $-22.24 $-21.74 $-21.44 $-21.52 $-19.63 $-18.59 $-21.18 $-20.03 $-16.30 $-16.24 $-8.74 $-8.98 $-8.63 $-8.36 $-8.25 $-8.25
Revenue/Share $51.39 $45.66 $39.93 $32.28 $27.55 $25.52 $23.66 $22.59 $21.79 $20.88 $20.05 $21.16 $20.45 $18.36 $17.68 $17.02 $16.57 $15.60 $15.96 $16.15 $16.30
FCF/Share $-2.80 $-3.23 $-3.24 $-3.42 $-2.25 $-2.15 $-2.60 $-2.42 $-1.56 $-1.27 $-1.39 $-1.12 $-0.71 $-0.79 $-0.43 $-0.19 $-0.74 $-0.84 $-0.71 $0.24 $0.24
OCF/Share $-2.04 $-2.55 $-2.64 $-2.99 $-1.95 $-1.84 $-2.26 $-2.12 $-1.24 $-0.98 $-1.16 $-0.80 $-0.35 $-0.47 $-0.11 $0.09 $-0.44 $-0.51 $-0.44 $0.48 $0.49
Cash/Share $0.60 $8.46 $9.09 $10.18 $3.69 $3.01 $3.17 $3.73 $2.08 $1.60 $1.70 $3.49 $2.21 $2.22 $2.12 $5.04 $1.98 $1.35 $1.71 $3.55 $3.58
EBITDA/Share $-1.30 $-2.78 $-3.65 $-3.16 $0.82 $0.79 $1.59 $2.28 $2.42 $4.08 $3.78 $3.96 $3.84 $1.96 $1.77 $1.94 $1.87 $1.78 $1.96 $2.22 $2.22
Debt/Share $30.17 $38.87 $38.47 $34.45 $25.05 $24.94 $24.40 $24.94 $24.53 $24.37 $23.49 $25.95 $25.34 $21.70 $21.21 $14.07 $12.44 $12.43 $12.46 $12.63 $12.63
Net Debt/Share $29.57 $30.41 $29.38 $24.26 $21.36 $21.93 $21.24 $21.21 $22.45 $22.77 $21.79 $22.46 $23.13 $19.48 $19.09 $9.02 $10.47 $11.08 $10.75 $9.08 $9.08
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.558
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 2.453
Piotroski F-Score 3 3 2 3 4 3 2 2 1 4 3 4 4 2 3 5 3 4 4 4 4
Beneish M-Score -3.41 -3.50 -3.58 -3.74 -3.11 -3.03 -2.53 -2.46 -2.46 -2.31 -2.04 -2.13 -2.26 -2.26 -2.80 -1.29 -0.94 -0.95 -0.71 -2.55 -2.549
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -5.406
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-10.55
EVA snapshot only $57281161.89
Credit
Metric Trend Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only B-
Credit Score 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 17.49 17.34 18.57 18.84 19.28 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.000
Credit Grade snapshot only 16
Credit Trend snapshot only 0.000
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 900.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 18
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 21

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