THC NYSE
Tenet Healthcare Corporation
1W: +1.0%
1M: +3.5%
3M: +2.4%
YTD: +34.8%
1Y: +30.0%
3Y: +376.6%
5Y: +327.1%
$262.05
-6.90 (-2.57%)
After Hours: $263.53 (+1.48, +0.57%)
Weekly Expected Move ±2.8%
$253
$261
$268
$276
$284
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 58% of companies Debt: 38.0% of company value Bonds: $1.43B held by 520 funds, 120 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the middle of the pack, about 1 in 580 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $12.34 (down 95%), Tenet Healthcare Corporation would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $13.25B against a stock market value of $21.66B.
Distance to default 4.38 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $6.70B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 42.1%; Altman Z'' 2.25. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $12.34 (down 95%), Tenet Healthcare Corporation would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $13.25B against a stock market value of $21.66B.
Distance to default 4.38 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $6.70B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 42.1%; Altman Z'' 2.25. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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Supply Chain
Oct Typical
☀️
Sunny
+25.3% YTD avg
Midterm Year
☀️
Sunny
+5.5% YTD avg
2026 Now
☀️
Sunny
Above typical
20yr Avg YTD
+25.3%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
+5.5%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
+31.3%
Above 20yr avg
Typical Vol
60%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
💨
+3.3%
Midterm
⛅
+3.3%
60% win
48% vol
Feb
20yr
💨
+7.9%
Midterm
☀️
+8.1%
70% win
51% vol
Mar
20yr
💨
+11.7%
Midterm
☀️
+11.5%
65% win
60% vol
Apr
20yr
💨
+20.9%
Midterm
☀️
+18.6%
55% win
70% vol
May
20yr
💨
+28.6%
Midterm
☀️
+21.9%
50% win
56% vol
Jun
20yr
⛈️
+23.4%
Midterm
☀️
+11.5%
40% win
49% vol
Jul
20yr
💨
+29.5%
Midterm
☀️
+19.9%
60% win
49% vol
Aug
20yr
⛈️
+31.8%
Midterm
☀️
+18.6%
50% win
49% vol
Sep
20yr
⛈️
+31.7%
Midterm
☀️
+14.7%
35% win
48% vol
Oct
20yr
⛈️
+25.7%
Midterm
⛅
+4.1%
38% win
60% vol
Now:
+2.5%
Nov
20yr
💨
+22.7%
Midterm
☁️
-0.8%
55% win
73% vol
Dec
20yr
💨
+5.4%
Midterm
💨
+7.8%
55% win
65% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: +31.3%