Also trades as: TLNE (OTC) · $vol 78M
TLN NASDAQ
Talen Energy Corporation
1W: -1.1%
1M: +13.9%
3M: +9.3%
YTD: -12.9%
1Y: -15.2%
3Y: +564.9%
$345.73
+7.95 (+2.35%)
Weekly Expected Move ±9.7%
$264
$296
$328
$360
$392
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 73% of companies Debt: 36.9% of company value Bonds: $606.7M held by 413 funds, 196 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the third-riskiest tenth, about 1 in 140 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $19.65 (down 94%), Talen Energy Corporation would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $9.57B against a stock market value of $16.35B.
Distance to default 3.19 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $4.80B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 56.9%; Altman Z'' -0.03. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $19.65 (down 94%), Talen Energy Corporation would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $9.57B against a stock market value of $16.35B.
Distance to default 3.19 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $4.80B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 56.9%; Altman Z'' -0.03. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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Short Interest
Supply Chain
Oct Typical
☀️
Sunny
+71.0% YTD avg
2026 Now
⛈️
Stormy
Below typical
20yr Avg YTD
+71.0%
Day 146 of 252
2026 YTD
-13.2%
Below 20yr avg
Typical Vol
50%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
💨
+6.3%
67% win
70% vol
Feb
20yr
💨
+7.8%
67% win
45% vol
Mar
20yr
💨
+21.6%
33% win
65% vol
Apr
20yr
💨
+24.5%
100% win
54% vol
May
20yr
💨
+37.2%
100% win
44% vol
Jun
20yr
💨
+44.4%
50% win
40% vol
Jul
20yr
💨
+71.0%
75% win
69% vol
Aug
20yr
💨
+2.7%
75% win
40% vol
Sep
20yr
💨
+8.2%
75% win
37% vol
Oct
20yr
💨
+1.6%
75% win
50% vol
Now:
+10.6%
Nov
20yr
💨
+8.4%
67% win
47% vol
Dec
20yr
🌫️
+0.2%
33% win
38% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: -13.2%