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TMST NYSE

TimkenSteel Corporation
1W: +2.7% 1M: +5.9% 3M: -9.6% 1Y: +20.5% 3Y: +125.1% 5Y: +103.9%
$20.40
Last traded 2024-03-26 — delisted
NYSE · Basic Materials · Steel · $895.3M mcap · 38M float · 0.678% daily turnover

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

NO EDGE
32.2 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Efficient Scale  ·  ROIC: 1.0%  ·  5Y Avg: 5.9%
Cost Advantage
28
Intangibles
31
Switching Cost
34
Network Effect
19
Scale ★
50
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. TMST has No discernible competitive edge (32.2/100). The business operates without significant structural advantages. The primary source of advantage is Efficient Scale. ROIC of 1.0% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 3Hold: 4Sell: 1Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusHold
Avg Target$—
Analysts0

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 43 Grade C
Profitability
9
Balance Sheet
76
Earnings Quality
73
Growth
68
Value
45
Momentum
78
Safety
65
Cash Flow
23
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. TMST scores highest in Momentum (78/100) and lowest in Profitability (9/100). A grade of C represents mixed fundamentals — strengths in some areas offset by weaknesses.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
2.53
Grey Zone
Piotroski F-Score
6/9
✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-2.29
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-8.25
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
A-
Score: 65.8/100
Trend: Improving
Earnings Quality
50/100
OCF/NI: 0.74x
Accruals: 0.2%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. TMST scores 2.53, placing it in the Grey Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Financial distress is possible and warrants monitoring. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. TMST scores 6/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. TMST's score of -2.29 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. TMST's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. TMST receives an estimated rating of A- (score: 65.8/100), with a improving trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). TMST's score of 50/100 is moderate — some divergence between reported earnings and underlying cash flows.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
107.37x
PEG
0.04x
P/S
0.73x
P/B
1.23x
P/FCF
-9.54x
P/OCF
155.23x
EV/EBITDA
13.25x
EV/Revenue
0.69x
EV/EBIT
114.72x
EV/FCF
-8.58x
Earnings Yield
0.87%
FCF Yield
-10.48%
Shareholder Yield
0.85%
Graham Number
$8.24
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 107.4x earnings, TMST is priced for high growth expectations. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $8.24 per share, 148% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.786
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
1.411
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.006
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
1.084
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
1.632
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
1.2%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. TMST's ROE of 1.2% is driven by Asset Turnover (1.084), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$1.60
Price/Value
13.53x
Margin of Safety
-1252.78%
Premium
1252.78%
Assessment
Overvalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with TMST's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. TMST trades at a 1253% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $1.60, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 107.4x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$21.61
Median 1Y
$18.26
5th Pctile
$6.39
95th Pctile
$52.30
Ann. Volatility
63.8%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
ROE 17.8% 29.2% 32.6% 32.7% 22.9% 9.6% 6.1% -0.4% 4.8% 9.8% 11.0% 7.6% 3.3% -4.4% -7.5% -7.7% -5.8% -0.2% 0.4% 1.2% 1.17%
ROA 9.6% 15.9% 17.8% 19.2% 13.9% 5.8% 3.7% -0.3% 3.1% 6.1% 6.9% 4.8% 2.1% -2.7% -4.7% -4.9% -3.6% -0.1% 0.3% 0.7% 0.72%
ROIC 19.2% 29.7% 35.5% 42.1% 35.3% 16.1% 9.5% -0.2% 4.2% 17.2% 16.4% 11.9% 5.8% 0.6% -2.9% -2.0% 1.2% -0.1% 0.4% 1.0% 0.99%
ROCE 11.1% 19.0% 21.3% 19.5% 13.1% 6.3% 5.2% 5.9% 10.6% 11.3% 11.0% 7.0% 2.5% -0.6% -3.9% -3.1% -0.5% 0.3% 0.6% 0.9% 0.88%
Gross Margin 19.4% 16.4% 17.0% 19.6% 1.8% -8.3% 12.5% 15.1% 14.4% 16.6% 15.7% 8.2% 5.3% -26.6% 7.8% 10.6% 11.4% 2.2% 8.1% 10.0% 10.00%
Operating Margin 13.6% 11.1% 16.1% 24.9% -3.5% -15.6% 9.6% 9.3% 8.6% 5.4% 8.2% 1.2% -4.6% -4.0% -0.9% 3.1% 3.4% -6.1% 0.9% 3.0% 3.05%
Net Margin 14.6% 16.9% 10.5% 17.9% -4.2% -13.5% 4.5% 8.1% 7.0% 0.4% 7.5% 1.6% -2.6% -22.3% 0.5% 1.2% 2.6% -5.3% 1.8% 2.6% 2.61%
EBITDA Margin 19.9% 25.2% 15.3% 11.5% 0.6% 4.6% 11.0% 15.6% 13.2% 4.4% 8.2% 1.2% -4.6% -52.8% -0.9% 3.1% 8.7% -2.0% 5.4% 7.4% 7.42%
FCF Margin 12.8% 14.4% 13.3% 13.1% 12.7% 8.1% 7.7% 4.7% 2.1% 5.3% 6.6% 6.0% 3.0% -11.2% -19.5% -17.2% -13.6% -8.0% -6.6% -8.0% -7.98%
OCF Margin 13.7% 15.3% 14.5% 14.4% 14.2% 10.1% 10.1% 7.5% 5.9% 9.1% 10.8% 10.9% 8.5% -4.5% -11.6% -9.0% -5.1% 1.4% 2.4% 0.5% 0.49%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 0.23%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 5.74%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 0.23%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 0.01%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 0.86%
Cash ROA snapshot only 0.52%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 1.00%
CROIC snapshot only -16.31%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 0.48%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 0.84%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 7.58%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 1.16%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio 6.97 5.22 5.94 4.52 4.44 12.42 21.07 -318.83 29.81 15.91 12.88 18.61 42.41 -32.83 -18.95 -18.64 -25.07 -750.95 321.91 114.99 107.368
P/S Ratio 0.61 0.70 0.86 0.68 0.48 0.61 0.69 0.82 0.81 0.80 0.74 0.77 0.86 0.94 0.98 0.97 0.90 0.78 0.79 0.76 0.732
P/B Ratio 1.14 1.34 1.67 1.28 0.94 1.18 1.29 1.43 1.42 1.51 1.38 1.38 1.43 1.47 1.48 1.48 1.46 1.31 1.37 1.35 1.226
P/FCF 4.78 4.83 6.52 5.20 3.81 7.53 8.95 17.65 38.11 14.99 11.25 12.80 28.27 -8.40 -5.00 -5.63 -6.60 -9.69 -11.94 -9.54 -9.543
P/OCF 4.44 4.53 5.98 4.74 3.42 6.01 6.82 10.90 13.89 8.81 6.84 7.07 10.13 — — — — 56.32 33.34 155.23 155.232
EV/EBITDA 3.53 2.81 3.65 3.07 2.44 5.08 7.15 7.89 5.63 5.55 5.30 8.38 22.78 -7.39 -6.25 -6.46 -9.01 26.93 17.85 13.25 13.251
EV/Revenue 0.51 0.54 0.72 0.54 0.32 0.44 0.53 0.66 0.66 0.62 0.55 0.58 0.66 0.73 0.82 0.80 0.74 0.66 0.71 0.69 0.685
EV/EBIT 6.10 4.01 4.93 4.21 3.79 10.32 14.83 15.07 8.40 8.14 7.46 11.88 35.18 -158.85 -26.49 -32.42 -200.48 316.39 159.01 114.72 114.725
EV/FCF 4.03 3.75 5.46 4.12 2.55 5.44 6.92 14.24 30.75 11.51 8.43 9.66 21.89 -6.55 -4.19 -4.66 -5.46 -8.16 -10.78 -8.58 -8.581
Earnings Yield 14.3% 19.2% 16.8% 22.1% 22.5% 8.1% 4.7% -0.3% 3.4% 6.3% 7.8% 5.4% 2.4% -3.0% -5.3% -5.4% -4.0% -0.1% 0.3% 0.9% 0.87%
FCF Yield 20.9% 20.7% 15.3% 19.2% 26.2% 13.3% 11.2% 5.7% 2.6% 6.7% 8.9% 7.8% 3.5% -11.9% -20.0% -17.8% -15.2% -10.3% -8.4% -10.5% -10.48%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.040
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 1.350
EV/OCF snapshot only 139.582
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 8.358
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 111.665
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 0.85%
Graham Number snapshot only $8.24
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 2.18 2.32 2.50 2.58 3.04 2.98 2.66 2.85 3.05 2.64 2.71 3.11 2.64 2.09 2.03 2.03 1.90 1.76 1.73 1.75 1.752
Quick Ratio 1.30 1.48 1.56 1.57 1.96 1.95 1.60 1.64 1.81 1.73 1.72 2.06 1.68 1.31 1.21 1.22 1.12 0.98 0.85 0.88 0.875
Debt/Equity 0.10 0.09 0.07 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.021
Net Debt/Equity -0.18 -0.30 -0.27 -0.27 -0.31 -0.33 -0.29 -0.28 -0.28 -0.35 -0.34 -0.34 -0.32 -0.32 -0.24 -0.25 -0.25 -0.21 -0.13 -0.14 -0.136
Debt/Assets 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.013
Debt/EBITDA 0.36 0.24 0.18 0.13 0.18 0.29 0.26 0.24 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.25 0.72 -0.16 -0.11 -0.12 -0.17 0.53 0.28 0.23 0.233
Net Debt/EBITDA -0.66 -0.81 -0.71 -0.80 -1.21 -1.95 -2.09 -1.89 -1.35 -1.67 -1.77 -2.72 -6.64 2.08 1.21 1.34 1.88 -5.03 -1.92 -1.49 -1.486
Interest Coverage 12.49 28.80 37.75 41.38 29.02 14.51 17.26 22.75 66.60 74.50 73.07 14.70 3.29 -0.52 -6.08 -16.25 -1.91 0.49 1.77 4.06 4.056
Equity Multiplier 1.80 1.74 1.69 1.58 1.53 1.58 1.64 1.61 1.58 1.61 1.58 1.52 1.59 1.62 1.61 1.61 1.65 1.66 1.67 1.65 1.651
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.345
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 35.111
Cash to Debt snapshot only 7.388
FCF to Debt snapshot only -6.639
Defensive Interval snapshot only 1029.6 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 1.10 1.19 1.22 1.27 1.27 1.19 1.12 1.05 1.12 1.22 1.20 1.16 1.04 0.95 0.92 0.94 0.99 1.03 1.06 1.08 1.084
Inventory Turnover 5.03 5.46 5.14 5.03 5.81 5.97 5.03 4.41 5.01 5.59 4.83 4.82 4.41 4.74 4.48 4.92 4.86 4.59 4.26 4.50 4.495
Receivables Turnover 10.94 15.66 11.77 10.31 12.36 14.78 9.93 8.47 10.85 14.31 11.14 10.94 9.86 10.63 8.49 8.90 9.65 10.69 8.69 8.65 8.655
Payables Turnover 9.50 9.19 7.29 7.49 9.55 9.43 6.99 6.61 8.48 9.54 7.30 8.12 7.97 8.41 7.27 8.15 8.24 7.87 6.83 7.40 7.396
DSO 33 23 31 35 30 25 37 43 34 26 33 33 37 34 43 41 38 34 42 42 42.2 days
DIO 73 67 71 73 63 61 73 83 73 65 76 76 83 77 81 74 75 79 86 81 81.2 days
DPO 38 40 50 49 38 39 52 55 43 38 50 45 46 43 50 45 44 46 53 49 49.4 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 68 50 52 59 54 47 57 71 63 52 58 64 74 68 74 70 69 67 74 74 74.0 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 2.108
Operating Cycle snapshot only 123.4 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 11.257
Capital Intensity snapshot only 0.935
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 36.5% 54.4% 61.2% 42.4% 23.1% 3.7% -4.4% -14.3% -10.1% 3.6% 5.7% 5.8% -7.2% -21.3% -24.2% -19.9% -4.7% 6.9% 13.7% 16.1% 16.12%
Net Income 1.8% 3.8% 7.2% 4.9% 53.7% -61.9% -78.6% -1.0% -77.5% 6.6% 86.3% 18.1% -31.2% -1.4% -1.7% -2.0% -2.7% 96.1% 1.1% 1.1% 1.15%
EPS 1.6% 3.8% 7.4% 5.3% 80.1% -53.7% -76.4% -1.0% -78.4% 0.7% 92.7% 18.2% -30.1% -1.4% -1.7% -2.0% -2.7% 95.6% 1.1% 1.2% 1.16%
FCF 7.1% 17.9% 69.4% 40.9% 22.6% -41.9% -44.7% -69.6% -84.9% -31.4% -9.3% 37.5% 31.9% -2.6% -3.2% -3.3% -5.3% 23.3% 61.6% 46.0% 46.02%
EBITDA 3.0% 12.0% 4.6% 1.4% 12.3% -53.3% -64.2% -59.1% -21.0% 33.2% 48.8% -12.1% -76.8% -1.7% -1.9% -2.4% -3.7% 1.3% 1.3% 1.5% 1.48%
Op. Income 1.8% 3.3% 6.5% 6.3% 85.5% -22.1% -54.7% -94.0% -69.8% 2.3% 28.1% 4.4% -32.3% -91.2% -1.2% -1.2% -79.3% -89.0% 1.3% 1.6% 1.58%
OCF Growth snapshot only 1.06%
Asset Growth snapshot only 2.81%
Equity Growth snapshot only 0.33%
Debt Growth snapshot only -8.12%
Shares Change snapshot only -8.49%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 3Y -9.2% -7.3% -5.3% -1.7% 0.8% 3.2% 5.8% 10.7% 14.8% 18.4% 17.7% 8.9% 0.9% -5.5% -8.5% -10.1% -7.4% -4.5% -3.0% -0.5% -0.53%
Revenue 5Y 6.1% 8.1% 7.2% 6.1% 3.4% 0.0% -1.5% -3.4% -3.7% -3.1% -3.0% -2.9% -3.1% -2.2% -1.0% 2.8% 6.0% 6.9% 7.0% 3.7% 3.73%
EPS 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — 20.6% -35.2% — — — — — -57.4% — —
EPS 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — -22.2% -22.25%
Net Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — 13.8% -38.1% — — — — — -59.1% — —
Net Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — -26.2% -26.24%
EBITDA 3Y 35.6% 59.1% 60.9% 72.4% 68.6% — — — — 1.0% 44.0% -5.0% -41.0% — — — — -37.4% -21.3% -15.4% -15.38%
EBITDA 5Y — — 73.9% 49.8% 27.7% 19.5% 13.2% 12.0% 17.2% 20.2% 17.3% 13.0% -2.6% — — — — 8.2% -0.4% -10.0% -9.98%
Gross Profit 3Y 27.4% 28.0% 30.2% 35.4% 28.8% 36.6% 55.7% — — 1.3% 76.7% 18.5% -7.0% -53.0% — -79.7% -50.1% -9.1% -2.8% 8.1% 8.06%
Gross Profit 5Y 86.6% — — — 69.2% 13.3% 8.3% -0.2% 7.6% 14.0% 13.5% 11.5% 8.7% -14.4% — — — 43.6% 20.6% -1.8% -1.80%
Op. Income 3Y — 1.9% 1.3% 1.6% 2.3% — — — — — — 33.2% -27.6% -58.7% — — -65.1% -78.5% -57.8% -20.1% -20.09%
Op. Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — 81.2% 48.3% 41.2% 48.4% — — — — — — -25.9% -25.87%
FCF 3Y — — — — 88.1% 49.3% -8.7% -24.2% -41.7% -22.2% -5.3% -16.2% -37.5% — — — — — — — —
FCF 5Y 25.5% 42.3% — — — — — — — — — — 5.8% — — — — — — — —
OCF 3Y — 1.2% 2.6% 88.8% 41.4% 24.1% -7.9% -17.7% -23.5% -10.3% 6.6% -0.5% -14.1% — — — — -50.8% -40.2% -60.0% -59.98%
OCF 5Y 9.9% 21.5% 47.7% 69.7% 94.7% 65.3% 49.1% — — 46.6% 1.0% 35.9% 7.1% — — — — -37.9% -25.6% -47.2% -47.18%
Assets 3Y -2.6% -1.1% -0.5% 1.1% 0.4% -0.1% 2.0% 4.6% 5.5% 5.7% 3.6% 1.8% 0.5% -1.2% -2.4% -3.0% 0.8% 1.8% 0.1% -0.2% -0.15%
Assets 5Y 0.7% 1.6% 0.9% 1.2% -0.6% -1.3% -1.3% -1.5% -0.9% -0.4% -0.7% -1.0% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 2.1% 3.2% 2.8% 1.7% 1.5% 1.47%
Equity 3Y 2.6% 7.5% 9.1% 8.2% 7.0% 6.8% 8.4% 10.5% 12.4% 13.0% 12.9% 8.9% 4.7% 1.3% -0.8% -3.5% -1.7% -0.0% -0.4% -0.9% -0.92%
Book Value 3Y -3.2% 0.8% 3.0% 2.4% 6.1% 7.1% 5.5% 8.7% 10.1% 19.5% 19.4% 15.4% 9.5% 6.1% 3.7% 0.2% -2.5% 2.2% 3.7% 2.2% 2.20%
Dividend 3Y — — — — — — -6.7% -5.7% -6.1% — — — — — — — — — — — —
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.03 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.07 0.17 0.01 0.00 0.07 0.16 0.19 0.20 0.14 0.142
Earnings Stability 0.19 0.46 0.46 0.52 0.50 0.41 0.34 0.25 0.34 0.42 0.37 0.22 0.22 0.10 0.05 0.01 0.00 0.04 0.10 0.27 0.268
Margin Stability 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.20 0.16 0.18 0.38 0.45 0.56 0.70 0.32 0.08 0.00 0.06 0.26 0.19 0.35 0.349
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.50 0.97 0.50 0.20 0.88 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.200
Earnings Smoothness — — — 0.00 0.58 0.10 0.00 — 0.00 0.94 0.40 — 0.63 — — — — — — — —
ROE Trend 0.33 0.40 0.42 0.37 0.26 0.03 -0.05 -0.18 -0.14 -0.08 -0.06 -0.07 -0.10 -0.14 -0.16 -0.11 -0.10 -0.03 -0.01 0.01 0.014
Gross Margin Trend 0.13 0.14 0.15 0.13 0.07 0.00 -0.03 -0.08 -0.05 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.00 -0.10 -0.12 -0.10 -0.09 -0.00 0.01 0.01 0.011
FCF Margin Trend 0.04 0.04 0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.09 -0.05 -0.09 -0.11 -0.06 -0.04 -0.03 -0.04 -0.18 -0.27 -0.23 -0.16 -0.05 -0.00 -0.02 -0.024
Sustainable Growth Rate 17.8% 23.3% 27.0% 27.6% 17.9% 9.6% 1.7% — 0.6% 5.5% 11.0% 7.6% 3.3% — — — — — 0.4% 1.2% 1.17%
Internal Growth Rate 10.7% 14.5% 17.2% 19.3% 12.1% 6.2% 1.1% — 0.4% 3.6% 7.4% 5.1% 2.1% — — — — — 0.3% 0.7% 0.72%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.57 1.15 0.99 0.95 1.30 2.07 3.09 -29.25 2.15 1.81 1.88 2.63 4.19 1.57 2.26 1.73 1.41 -13.33 9.66 0.74 0.741
FCF/OCF 0.93 0.94 0.92 0.91 0.90 0.80 0.76 0.62 0.36 0.59 0.61 0.55 0.36 2.48 1.68 1.91 2.69 -5.81 -2.79 -16.27 -16.267
FCF/Net Income snapshot only -12.049
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.095
CapEx/Revenue 1.0% 1.0% 1.2% 1.3% 1.4% 2.0% 2.4% 2.9% 3.7% 3.7% 4.2% 4.9% 5.4% 6.7% 7.9% 8.2% 8.6% 9.4% 9.0% 8.5% 8.47%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 1.853
Accruals Ratio -0.05 -0.02 0.00 0.01 -0.04 -0.06 -0.08 -0.08 -0.04 -0.05 -0.06 -0.08 -0.07 0.02 0.06 0.04 0.01 -0.02 -0.02 0.00 0.002
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.092
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 0.058
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.500
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 3.8% 2.9% 3.5% 5.0% 0.0% 3.4% 3.0% 2.9% 2.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.63 $0.64 $0.65 $0.75 $0.00 $0.62 $0.64 $0.63 $0.64 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio 0.0% 20.1% 17.3% 15.7% 22.1% 0.0% 71.2% — 86.5% 43.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — — — — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
FCF Payout Ratio 0.0% 18.6% 19.0% 18.0% 19.0% 0.0% 30.3% 52.2% 1.1% 41.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — — — — — — — —
Total Payout Ratio 0.8% 20.1% 19.6% 22.0% 43.7% 82.9% 2.2% — 2.3% 95.4% 29.4% 21.6% 41.2% — — — — — 0.0% 97.5% 97.53%
Div. Increase Streak — 0 0 0 0 — 0 0 0 0 — — — — — — — — — — —
Chowder Number — — — — — — -0.09 -0.09 -0.09 — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield 0.1% 0.0% 0.4% 1.4% 4.9% 6.7% 6.9% 6.3% 5.0% 3.3% 2.3% 1.2% 1.0% 3.7% 3.7% 3.7% 3.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.8% 0.85%
Net Buyback Yield 0.0% -0.5% -0.0% 1.0% 4.3% 5.7% 5.9% 5.3% 4.0% 3.0% 2.2% 1.1% 0.8% 3.4% 3.4% 3.4% 3.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.8% 0.82%
Total Shareholder Return 0.0% 3.3% 2.9% 4.5% 9.2% 5.7% 9.2% 8.2% 6.9% 5.8% 2.2% 1.1% 0.8% 3.4% 3.4% 3.4% 3.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.8% 0.82%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.96 0.67 0.55 -0.08 0.39 0.72 0.73 0.74 0.73 -6.74 2.39 2.73 20.30 -0.63 0.41 0.79 0.786
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.07 1.02 1.02 1.21 1.33 1.72 1.66 0.75 0.88 0.92 1.06 1.15 1.46 -0.92 0.70 0.77 0.48 0.79 1.32 1.41 1.411
EBIT Margin 0.08 0.13 0.15 0.13 0.09 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.08 0.08 0.07 0.05 0.02 -0.00 -0.03 -0.02 -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.006
Asset Turnover 1.10 1.19 1.22 1.27 1.27 1.19 1.12 1.05 1.12 1.22 1.20 1.16 1.04 0.95 0.92 0.94 0.99 1.03 1.06 1.08 1.084
Equity Multiplier 1.85 1.84 1.84 1.70 1.65 1.66 1.66 1.60 1.55 1.59 1.61 1.57 1.59 1.61 1.59 1.57 1.62 1.64 1.64 1.63 1.632
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $1.88 $3.16 $3.69 $4.14 $3.38 $1.46 $0.87 $-0.07 $0.73 $1.47 $1.68 $1.16 $0.51 $-0.66 $-1.14 $-1.16 $-0.86 $-0.03 $0.07 $0.19 $0.19
Book Value/Share $11.51 $12.28 $13.07 $14.56 $15.98 $15.43 $14.20 $15.05 $15.25 $15.53 $15.70 $15.63 $15.13 $14.66 $14.57 $14.65 $14.81 $16.45 $15.81 $16.06 $16.64
Tangible Book/Share $11.38 $12.16 $12.96 $14.45 $15.86 $15.31 $14.11 $14.97 $15.18 $15.48 $15.64 $15.55 $15.05 $14.59 $14.50 $14.58 $14.75 $16.38 $15.75 $16.00 $16.00
Revenue/Share $21.44 $23.71 $25.30 $27.46 $30.93 $29.89 $26.72 $26.26 $26.72 $29.26 $29.22 $27.90 $25.21 $23.01 $22.14 $22.35 $24.02 $27.78 $27.46 $28.36 $29.39
FCF/Share $2.74 $3.41 $3.36 $3.60 $3.93 $2.41 $2.05 $1.22 $0.57 $1.56 $1.92 $1.69 $0.76 $-2.57 $-4.32 $-3.84 $-3.28 $-2.23 $-1.81 $-2.26 $-2.35
OCF/Share $2.94 $3.64 $3.66 $3.95 $4.38 $3.02 $2.69 $1.98 $1.56 $2.66 $3.16 $3.06 $2.13 $-1.04 $-2.57 $-2.01 $-1.22 $0.38 $0.65 $0.14 $0.14
Cash/Share $3.19 $4.80 $4.46 $4.52 $5.71 $5.78 $4.67 $4.69 $4.71 $5.96 $5.90 $5.79 $5.41 $5.11 $3.83 $4.05 $4.07 $3.76 $2.41 $2.52 $2.61
EBITDA/Share $3.12 $4.55 $5.03 $4.84 $4.10 $2.58 $1.99 $2.21 $3.11 $3.25 $3.06 $1.95 $0.73 $-2.28 $-2.90 $-2.77 $-1.99 $0.68 $1.09 $1.47 $1.47
Debt/Share $1.13 $1.10 $0.91 $0.64 $0.75 $0.74 $0.52 $0.52 $0.51 $0.52 $0.49 $0.49 $0.53 $0.36 $0.33 $0.34 $0.33 $0.36 $0.31 $0.34 $0.34
Net Debt/Share $-2.06 $-3.70 $-3.55 $-3.88 $-4.96 $-5.04 $-4.15 $-4.17 $-4.20 $-5.44 $-5.41 $-5.30 $-4.88 $-4.75 $-3.50 $-3.71 $-3.73 $-3.40 $-2.10 $-2.18 $-2.18
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 2.530
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 3.457
Piotroski F-Score 8 9 8 7 8 7 6 5 6 6 9 8 4 2 2 3 3 7 8 6 6
Beneish M-Score -2.60 -2.26 -2.22 -2.16 2.33 -4.79 -2.97 -3.07 -2.98 -3.28 -3.10 -2.84 -2.16 -3.60 -1.70 -2.25 -2.63 -9.01 -2.46 -2.29 -2.287
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -8.245
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 0.89%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $2.33
EVA snapshot only $-53941941.75
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only A-
Credit Score 76.01 83.68 88.59 88.72 89.40 81.99 83.23 84.68 89.04 89.03 89.63 86.57 72.83 48.20 48.93 48.75 47.67 47.98 53.92 65.81 65.807
Credit Grade snapshot only 7
Credit Trend snapshot only 17.055
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 175.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 66
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 57

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