Also trades as: 0LFS.L (LSE) · $vol 0M
TOL NYSE
Toll Brothers, Inc.
1W: +4.8%
1M: +4.2%
3M: -5.3%
YTD: +5.5%
1Y: +3.7%
3Y: +111.7%
5Y: +152.6%
$141.95
+1.55 (+1.10%)
Weekly Expected Move ±4.1%
$128
$134
$140
$146
$151
Credit Risk of going bust: lower than 69% of companies Debt: 18.2% of company value Bonds: $68.7M held by 163 funds, 62 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the safest four tenths, about 1 in 3,500 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $2.23 (down 98%), Toll Brothers, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $2.91B against a stock market value of $13.08B.
Distance to default 7.44 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-07-31, debt counted $1.45B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 34.2%; Altman Z'' 8.79. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $2.23 (down 98%), Toll Brothers, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $2.91B against a stock market value of $13.08B.
Distance to default 7.44 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-07-31, debt counted $1.45B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 34.2%; Altman Z'' 8.79. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
Overview
News
Chart
Smart Money
Financials
Income Statement
Cash Flow
Balance Sheet
Earnings
Dividends
Analysis
Technicals
Weather
Peers
ESG
Institutions
ETF Exposure
Dark Pool
Short Interest
Supply Chain
Oct Typical
☀️
Sunny
+6.4% YTD avg
Midterm Year
⛈️
Stormy
-22.0% YTD avg
2026 Now
☀️
Sunny
Tracking typical
20yr Avg YTD
+6.4%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
-22.0%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
+5.5%
Below 20yr avg
Typical Vol
39%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
💨
+3.0%
Midterm
⛈️
-5.0%
65% win
38% vol
Feb
20yr
⛈️
+0.7%
Midterm
⛈️
-6.2%
50% win
41% vol
Mar
20yr
⛈️
+1.0%
Midterm
⛈️
-8.7%
60% win
60% vol
Apr
20yr
💨
+2.3%
Midterm
⛈️
-8.9%
55% win
42% vol
May
20yr
💨
+3.2%
Midterm
⛈️
-12.0%
60% win
39% vol
Jun
20yr
⛈️
+0.9%
Midterm
⛈️
-19.4%
45% win
36% vol
Jul
20yr
💨
+3.5%
Midterm
⛈️
-20.9%
60% win
36% vol
Aug
20yr
💨
+7.4%
Midterm
⛈️
-20.0%
65% win
41% vol
Sep
20yr
⛈️
+5.6%
Midterm
⛈️
-21.8%
40% win
36% vol
Oct
20yr
💨
+4.8%
Midterm
⛈️
-22.5%
48% win
39% vol
Now:
+5.6%
Nov
20yr
💨
+11.3%
Midterm
⛈️
-17.2%
80% win
42% vol
Dec
20yr
🌫️
+0.3%
Midterm
⛅
+1.6%
50% win
39% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: +5.5%