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Not Investment Advice

TRAC OTC

Track Data Corporation, Inc.
1W: +900.0% 1M: +0.0% 3M: -75.0% YTD: -99.5% 1Y: -99.5% 3Y: -99.5% 5Y: -99.5%
$0.10
+0.09 (+900.00%)
 
OTC · Financial Services · Financial - Capital Markets · Tech Score Neutral · Power 50 · $8292 mcap · 36394 float · 0.025% daily turnover · Short 75% of daily vol

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 25 Grade B
Profitability
20
Balance Sheet
87
Earnings Quality
59
Growth
18
Value
72
Momentum
53
Safety
100
Cash Flow
25
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. TRAC scores highest in Safety (100/100) and lowest in Growth (18/100). A grade of B indicates above-average fundamentals with room for improvement in select areas.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman-B Score
8.38
Safe Zone
Piotroski F-Score
4/9
✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗
Beneish M-Score
-2.11
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-6.08
Bankruptcy prob: 0.2%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
A+
Score: 75.8/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
75/100
OCF/NI: 6.80x
Accruals: -8.0%
The Altman-B Score replaces the traditional Z-Score for banks and financial institutions. It weights equity-to-assets, return on assets, retained earnings, market value coverage, and cash reserves — metrics that better capture bank solvency than manufacturing-oriented ratios. TRAC scores 8.38, placing it in the Safe Zone (safe > 3.0, distress < 1.5). Bankruptcy is statistically unlikely within the next two years. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. TRAC scores 4/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. TRAC's score of -2.11 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. TRAC's implied 0.2% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. TRAC receives an estimated rating of A+ (score: 75.8/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). TRAC's score of 75/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
0.01x
PEG
-0.00x
P/S
0.00x
P/B
0.00x
P/FCF
-4.48x
P/OCF
0.89x
EV/EBITDA
-0.87x
EV/Revenue
-0.10x
EV/EBIT
-1.09x
EV/FCF
3.36x
Earnings Yield
16.53%
FCF Yield
-22.30%
Shareholder Yield
0.00%
Graham Number
$233.73
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 0.0x earnings, TRAC trades at a deep value multiple. An earnings yield of 16.5% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $233.73 per share, suggesting a potential 233633% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.581
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.415
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.091
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.631
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
2.004
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
2.8%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. TRAC's ROE of 2.8% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.631), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue. A tax burden ratio of 0.58 suggests the company retains less than 60% of pre-tax earnings after taxes.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$69.04
Price/Value
0.71x
Margin of Safety
28.84%
Premium
-28.84%
Assessment
Neutral
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with TRAC's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. TRAC trades at a -29% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $69.04, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 0.0x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$0.10
Median 1Y
$0.00
5th Pctile
$0.00
95th Pctile
$0.07
Ann. Volatility
306.6%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q4'04 Q1'05 Q2'05 Q3'05 Q4'05 Q1'06 Q2'06 Q3'06 Q4'06 Q1'07 Q2'07 Q3'07 Q4'07 Q1'08 Q2'08 Q3'08 Q4'08 Q1'09 Q2'09 Q3'09 Current
ROE 20.5% 17.5% 13.8% 14.1% -0.2% 1.6% 6.7% 9.5% 7.0% 3.0% -3.2% -5.0% -0.6% 1.9% 6.5% 10.5% 5.8% 4.1% 3.7% 2.8% 2.77%
ROA 7.3% 7.1% 5.0% 6.6% -0.1% 0.9% 3.7% 5.6% 4.4% 1.8% -2.1% -3.2% -0.4% 1.0% 3.9% 6.2% 2.9% 2.4% 2.0% 1.4% 1.38%
ROIC -12.4% -26.3% 3.9% -4.9% -20.7% -12.9% -4.7% -0.5% -2.2% -10.8% -59.8% -25.8% -20.8% -7.1% 0.8% 36.1% 6.9% 4.9% 4.4% 5.1% 5.15%
ROCE 2.7% 0.4% -2.1% -4.9% -7.3% -5.7% -2.6% -0.3% -1.0% -5.2% -8.2% -11.4% -8.0% -3.7% 1.4% 4.7% 5.5% 11.8% 10.0% 9.8% 9.84%
Gross Margin 38.1% 30.7% 28.8% 30.4% 33.0% 30.1% 25.3% 26.7% 28.0% 24.3% 24.1% 24.0% 34.9% 35.1% 38.6% 37.7% 39.6% 36.2% 44.2% 25.2% 25.20%
Operating Margin 3.3% -3.8% -9.6% -7.9% -4.5% 2.0% 1.1% -0.3% -6.5% -8.2% -12.0% -8.8% 1.7% 2.8% 6.3% 8.7% 1.9% -0.3% 11.0% 7.9% 7.87%
Net Margin 33.7% 2.8% -3.6% -3.1% 2.9% 6.7% 7.6% 2.2% -3.2% -1.8% -6.0% -2.0% 8.5% 5.0% 7.1% 9.4% -5.2% -0.1% 6.9% 5.4% 5.41%
EBITDA Margin 5.5% -1.9% -7.3% -5.6% -2.7% 3.5% 2.5% 1.3% -4.9% -6.1% -9.7% -6.7% 3.7% 5.4% 14.8% 11.2% 18.7% 2.8% 14.1% 10.1% 10.11%
FCF Margin -17.0% -24.0% -22.6% -15.7% -3.8% 4.1% 3.4% 2.2% 0.7% 1.2% 1.7% -3.9% -2.0% 3.4% 5.5% 8.0% 8.8% 3.3% -10.6% -3.0% -2.96%
OCF Margin -15.3% -22.4% -20.5% -13.4% -1.8% 6.2% 5.4% 4.5% 3.1% 3.6% 4.5% -1.4% 0.5% 5.7% 6.9% 9.2% 10.4% 5.1% 8.6% 14.9% 14.91%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 2.54%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 6.35%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 0.99%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 3.00%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 3.57%
Cash ROA snapshot only 8.88%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 25.94%
CROIC snapshot only -5.14%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 2.96%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 3.77%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 31.55%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q4'04 Q1'05 Q2'05 Q3'05 Q4'05 Q1'06 Q2'06 Q3'06 Q4'06 Q1'07 Q2'07 Q3'07 Q4'07 Q1'08 Q2'08 Q3'08 Q4'08 Q1'09 Q2'09 Q3'09 Current
P/E Ratio 4.42 2.88 3.41 4.87 -356.78 33.81 7.82 8.25 9.70 21.44 -18.07 -9.94 -72.16 20.54 6.30 2.80 2.53 3.41 3.65 6.05 0.006
P/S Ratio 0.57 0.32 0.30 0.41 0.37 0.35 0.31 0.42 0.36 0.36 0.35 0.32 0.28 0.27 0.29 0.21 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.13 0.000
P/B Ratio 0.86 0.48 0.46 0.73 0.61 0.57 0.55 0.76 0.67 0.65 0.59 0.51 0.42 0.38 0.40 0.28 0.14 0.14 0.13 0.16 0.000
P/FCF -3.37 -1.33 -1.33 -2.60 -9.55 8.60 9.16 19.18 54.26 29.86 20.88 -8.19 -13.84 7.94 5.18 2.62 1.26 3.29 -1.06 -4.48 -4.484
P/OCF — — — — — 5.66 5.80 9.23 11.49 9.90 7.94 — 52.62 4.71 4.13 2.28 1.07 2.13 1.31 0.89 0.889
EV/EBITDA -1.43 -12.12 302.14 -17.26 -0.25 -0.74 -2.73 10.81 2.07 1.47 3.59 0.61 2.67 5.20 -5.41 -5.30 -1.95 -1.57 -0.26 -0.87 -0.872
EV/Revenue -0.10 -0.35 -0.74 0.34 0.01 0.02 0.00 0.15 0.02 -0.02 -0.16 -0.04 -0.13 -0.10 -0.22 -0.46 -0.24 -0.19 -0.03 -0.10 -0.099
EV/EBIT -2.30 -83.20 28.67 -8.11 -0.16 -0.42 -0.19 -68.91 -2.55 0.67 2.54 0.47 1.85 2.41 -12.78 -7.32 -2.44 -1.99 -0.32 -1.09 -1.093
EV/FCF 0.58 1.48 3.26 -2.14 -0.27 0.48 0.11 6.96 2.71 -1.71 -9.58 1.06 6.30 -3.02 -3.97 -5.75 -2.73 -5.68 0.28 3.36 3.360
Earnings Yield 22.6% 34.7% 29.3% 20.5% -0.3% 3.0% 12.8% 12.1% 10.3% 4.7% -5.5% -10.1% -1.4% 4.9% 15.9% 35.8% 39.5% 29.3% 27.4% 16.5% 16.53%
FCF Yield -29.7% -75.3% -75.1% -38.4% -10.5% 11.6% 10.9% 5.2% 1.8% 3.3% 4.8% -12.2% -7.2% 12.6% 19.3% 38.2% 79.2% 30.4% -94.7% -22.3% -22.30%
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 0.176
EV/OCF snapshot only -0.666
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only -0.282
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only -1.807
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 0.00%
Graham Number snapshot only $233.73
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q4'04 Q1'05 Q2'05 Q3'05 Q4'05 Q1'06 Q2'06 Q3'06 Q4'06 Q1'07 Q2'07 Q3'07 Q4'07 Q1'08 Q2'08 Q3'08 Q4'08 Q1'09 Q2'09 Q3'09 Current
Current Ratio 13.82 9.85 10.95 4.95 6.54 5.51 5.59 5.78 6.10 2.03 5.74 5.66 7.95 10.40 11.31 11.90 14.71 2.32 1.41 1.54 1.543
Quick Ratio 13.82 9.85 10.95 4.95 6.54 5.51 5.59 5.78 6.10 2.03 5.74 5.66 7.95 10.40 11.31 11.90 14.71 2.32 1.41 1.54 1.543
Debt/Equity 0.00 0.05 0.22 0.06 0.05 0.04 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.03 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.05 0.053
Net Debt/Equity -1.00 -1.01 -1.60 -0.13 -0.60 -0.54 -0.55 -0.49 -0.64 -0.69 -0.86 -0.57 -0.61 -0.53 -0.70 -0.89 -0.46 -0.37 -0.17 -0.29 -0.287
Debt/Assets 0.00 0.03 0.11 0.04 0.03 0.02 0.03 0.02 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.03 0.025
Debt/EBITDA 0.00 1.18 -59.56 -1.73 -0.74 -0.91 -20.58 1.48 2.71 -1.85 -0.45 -0.11 -0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.12 0.38 0.375
Net Debt/EBITDA -9.72 -23.01 425.59 3.79 8.35 12.40 232.77 -18.99 -39.23 27.09 11.41 5.29 8.55 18.88 -12.48 -7.71 -2.84 -2.48 -1.21 -2.03 -2.035
Interest Coverage — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 17.28 62.88 94.38 73.68 334.75 156.50 156.500
Equity Multiplier 2.58 1.95 2.09 1.68 1.68 1.57 1.55 1.72 1.55 1.89 1.53 1.44 1.45 1.78 1.81 1.92 2.49 1.62 1.95 2.08 2.083
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.363
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 196.167
Cash to Debt snapshot only 6.423
FCF to Debt snapshot only -0.691
Defensive Interval snapshot only 1433.4 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q4'04 Q1'05 Q2'05 Q3'05 Q4'05 Q1'06 Q2'06 Q3'06 Q4'06 Q1'07 Q2'07 Q3'07 Q4'07 Q1'08 Q2'08 Q3'08 Q4'08 Q1'09 Q2'09 Q3'09 Current
Asset Turnover 0.56 0.64 0.56 0.79 0.68 0.85 0.92 1.11 1.18 1.05 1.07 0.99 1.01 0.79 0.85 0.82 0.67 0.74 0.64 0.63 0.631
Inventory Turnover — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Receivables Turnover 24.61 21.18 22.70 21.16 17.56 12.55 16.74 17.66 26.02 14.23 16.46 14.73 25.63 19.39 24.27 17.76 19.67 27.72 29.78 28.24 28.242
Payables Turnover 5.34 5.46 5.89 6.76 5.94 5.38 6.53 6.72 7.98 6.14 6.39 5.54 6.69 5.41 5.74 5.14 10.79 10.51 4.57 5.11 5.113
DSO 15 17 16 17 21 29 22 21 14 26 22 25 14 19 15 21 19 13 12 13 12.9 days
DIO 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO 68 67 62 54 61 68 56 54 46 59 57 66 55 67 64 71 34 35 80 71 71.4 days
Cash Conversion Cycle -54 -50 -46 -37 -41 -39 -34 -34 -32 -34 -35 -41 -40 -49 -49 -50 -15 -22 -68 -58 -58.5 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 2.529
Cash Velocity snapshot only 3.642
Capital Intensity snapshot only 1.679
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q4'04 Q1'05 Q2'05 Q3'05 Q4'05 Q1'06 Q2'06 Q3'06 Q4'06 Q1'07 Q2'07 Q3'07 Q4'07 Q1'08 Q2'08 Q3'08 Q4'08 Q1'09 Q2'09 Q3'09 Current
Revenue -1.9% -3.7% -5.9% -5.4% -10.0% -7.4% 5.1% 10.3% 16.3% 11.2% -8.1% -15.8% -18.8% -19.5% -12.3% -8.8% -10.0% -9.8% -10.4% -2.9% -2.86%
Net Income 82.7% 15.4% -15.9% 1.2% -1.0% -91.3% -52.5% -33.8% 42.9% 80.2% -1.5% -1.5% -1.1% -37.6% 3.0% 3.1% 11.2% 1.2% -39.2% -71.7% -71.73%
EPS 86.7% 17.9% -13.7% 5.6% -1.0% -90.0% -46.0% -26.9% 44.9% 79.9% -1.5% -1.5% -1.1% -37.6% 3.0% 3.1% 11.2% 1.2% -39.2% -71.6% -71.62%
FCF -2.4% -6.6% -22.9% -1.9% 79.8% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% -67.1% -54.1% -2.5% -3.5% 1.2% 1.9% 2.9% 4.9% -10.6% -2.7% -1.4% -1.36%
EBITDA -20.7% -74.8% -1.0% -1.2% -1.6% -1.8% 43.0% 1.8% 1.2% 41.4% -30.5% -5.1% -5.5% -11.9% 1.8% 2.2% 3.3% 6.6% 1.6% 27.0% 26.97%
Op. Income -21.3% -95.0% -1.3% -1.7% -2.3% -11.1% 23.3% 94.2% 87.1% 26.3% -2.1% -32.7% -6.9% -10.3% 1.0% 1.5% 1.7% 2.0% 15.9% 9.6% 9.59%
OCF Growth snapshot only 56.88%
Asset Growth snapshot only 12.80%
Equity Growth snapshot only 4.14%
Shares Change snapshot only -0.38%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q4'04 Q1'05 Q2'05 Q3'05 Q4'05 Q1'06 Q2'06 Q3'06 Q4'06 Q1'07 Q2'07 Q3'07 Q4'07 Q1'08 Q2'08 Q3'08 Q4'08 Q1'09 Q2'09 Q3'09 Current
Revenue 3Y -13.6% -12.1% -11.5% -11.9% -14.2% -12.6% -8.3% -4.0% 0.9% -0.3% -3.1% -4.2% -5.3% -6.0% -5.4% -5.4% -5.3% -6.9% -10.3% -9.3% -9.31%
Revenue 5Y -3.0% -3.8% -5.0% -6.5% -9.3% -10.4% -9.7% -8.9% -7.6% -6.9% -7.7% -8.7% -9.8% -9.8% -9.0% -7.4% -5.6% -6.3% -6.5% -4.9% -4.88%
EPS 3Y -17.8% -5.0% -7.4% 15.4% — -47.2% -15.3% -8.8% -13.8% -40.5% — — — -51.8% -20.9% -5.6% — 35.8% -17.7% -31.2% -31.17%
EPS 5Y — — — — — -42.6% -29.8% -28.1% -28.2% -31.2% — — — -30.2% -11.0% -2.7% -11.1% -21.7% -23.6% -24.1% -24.11%
Net Income 3Y -22.3% -9.0% -10.6% 10.9% — -50.5% -20.2% -13.4% -18.4% -43.5% — — — -54.0% -24.2% -8.8% — 35.8% -17.7% -31.3% -31.31%
Net Income 5Y — — — — — -47.3% -34.8% -32.6% -32.5% -34.8% — — — -32.8% -14.1% -5.7% -14.0% -24.2% -25.9% -26.3% -26.33%
EBITDA 3Y -42.5% -53.8% — — — — — -52.3% -53.0% — — — — — — — — — — 82.6% 82.60%
EBITDA 5Y — — — — — — — -48.9% -52.2% — — — — — -25.1% -12.2% 1.6% -5.0% -5.3% 1.0% 0.97%
Gross Profit 3Y -20.3% -21.2% -21.7% -21.3% -24.6% -22.0% -19.2% -17.8% -13.3% -16.8% -19.5% -20.0% -18.0% -13.0% -6.3% -1.3% 1.4% 0.2% -1.0% -2.7% -2.66%
Gross Profit 5Y -6.6% -9.6% -12.6% -14.5% -18.3% -19.6% -19.7% -19.8% -18.8% -18.7% -18.8% -18.8% -18.8% -16.4% -13.8% -11.4% -8.2% -9.4% -8.9% -8.7% -8.71%
Op. Income 3Y -47.5% -73.7% — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Op. Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — -52.7% -17.1% -6.7% -17.3% -13.5% -5.8% -5.85%
FCF 3Y — — — — — -36.7% -31.7% -48.7% -61.2% -33.9% 16.7% — — — — — — -12.9% — — —
FCF 5Y — — — — — -42.8% -48.4% -49.3% -50.1% — — — — -28.5% -16.0% -17.5% -10.7% -10.3% — — —
OCF 3Y — — — — — -28.4% -21.9% -35.5% -37.2% -15.7% 12.2% — — — — — — -12.5% 4.8% 35.1% 35.11%
OCF 5Y — — — — — -38.5% -43.8% -41.7% -33.1% — — — -48.8% -21.4% -13.1% -15.8% -9.7% -9.2% 16.3% — —
Assets 3Y -3.4% -21.9% -24.1% -20.4% -7.9% -18.0% -17.5% -10.7% -22.0% -16.2% -26.0% -19.3% -22.0% -7.2% -6.7% 9.0% 17.6% 3.0% 11.0% 10.0% 10.01%
Assets 5Y 22.6% 15.4% 20.1% 10.4% 8.1% -5.0% -12.2% -3.8% -14.6% -16.9% -22.2% -14.8% -6.6% -8.6% -7.4% -3.4% -4.3% -11.7% -10.6% -2.9% -2.88%
Equity 3Y 5.1% 9.0% 10.2% 5.2% 3.2% 5.3% 5.5% 2.8% -2.0% -2.0% -2.6% -2.7% -5.4% -4.3% -2.1% 4.2% 3.1% 1.9% 2.7% 3.3% 3.30%
Book Value 3Y 11.2% 13.8% 14.2% 9.5% 9.0% 12.2% 12.0% 8.2% 3.6% 3.3% 2.5% 2.2% -0.8% 0.2% 2.1% 7.8% 4.8% 1.8% 2.7% 3.5% 3.50%
Dividend 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q4'04 Q1'05 Q2'05 Q3'05 Q4'05 Q1'06 Q2'06 Q3'06 Q4'06 Q1'07 Q2'07 Q3'07 Q4'07 Q1'08 Q2'08 Q3'08 Q4'08 Q1'09 Q2'09 Q3'09 Current
Revenue Stability 0.17 0.28 0.48 0.76 0.84 0.93 0.87 0.77 0.64 0.68 0.77 0.74 0.72 0.78 0.87 0.83 0.54 0.68 0.85 0.75 0.748
Earnings Stability 0.22 0.13 0.05 0.00 0.15 0.75 0.62 0.44 0.55 0.70 0.78 0.43 0.42 0.61 0.57 0.33 0.34 0.58 0.54 0.33 0.326
Margin Stability 0.90 0.87 0.85 0.84 0.82 0.80 0.77 0.75 0.74 0.73 0.73 0.74 0.75 0.80 0.81 0.77 0.79 0.78 0.78 0.79 0.789
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.50 1.00 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence 0.50 0.94 0.94 1.00 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.86 0.20 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.85 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness 0.41 0.86 0.83 0.99 — 0.00 0.29 0.59 — 0.43 — — — 0.54 — — — 0.24 0.51 0.00 0.000
ROE Trend 0.06 0.01 -0.03 0.01 -0.16 -0.15 -0.08 -0.05 -0.03 -0.06 -0.14 -0.17 -0.04 -0.01 0.04 0.08 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.00 0.003
Gross Margin Trend -0.03 -0.07 -0.10 -0.12 -0.12 -0.10 -0.10 -0.09 -0.09 -0.08 -0.06 -0.05 -0.02 0.01 0.05 0.10 0.11 0.10 0.10 0.04 0.044
FCF Margin Trend -0.27 -0.31 -0.27 -0.20 -0.01 0.14 0.14 0.13 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.03 -0.00 0.01 0.03 0.09 0.09 0.01 -0.14 -0.05 -0.050
Sustainable Growth Rate 18.6% 17.5% 13.8% 14.1% — 1.6% 6.7% 9.5% 7.0% 3.0% — — — 1.9% 6.5% 10.5% 5.8% 4.1% 3.7% 2.8% 2.77%
Internal Growth Rate 7.1% 7.6% 5.2% 7.1% — 0.9% 3.8% 5.9% 4.6% 1.8% — — — 1.0% 4.0% 6.6% 3.0% 2.4% 2.0% 1.4% 1.40%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q4'04 Q1'05 Q2'05 Q3'05 Q4'05 Q1'06 Q2'06 Q3'06 Q4'06 Q1'07 Q2'07 Q3'07 Q4'07 Q1'08 Q2'08 Q3'08 Q4'08 Q1'09 Q2'09 Q3'09 Current
OCF/Net Income -1.18 -2.03 -2.32 -1.59 17.73 5.98 1.35 0.89 0.84 2.17 -2.28 0.43 -1.37 4.36 1.53 1.23 2.37 1.60 2.78 6.80 6.804
FCF/OCF 1.11 1.07 1.11 1.17 2.11 0.66 0.63 0.48 0.21 0.33 0.38 2.83 -3.80 0.59 0.80 0.87 0.85 0.65 -1.24 -0.20 -0.198
FCF/Net Income snapshot only -1.349
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 1.308
CapEx/Revenue 1.7% 1.5% 2.2% 2.3% 2.0% 2.1% 2.0% 2.3% 2.5% 2.4% 2.8% 2.5% 2.5% 2.3% 1.4% 1.2% 1.6% 1.8% 19.2% 17.9% 17.86%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 7.754
Accruals Ratio 0.16 0.22 0.17 0.17 0.01 -0.04 -0.01 0.01 0.01 -0.02 -0.07 -0.02 -0.01 -0.03 -0.02 -0.01 -0.04 -0.01 -0.04 -0.08 -0.080
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.537
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 0.835
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.750
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q4'04 Q1'05 Q2'05 Q3'05 Q4'05 Q1'06 Q2'06 Q3'06 Q4'06 Q1'07 Q2'07 Q3'07 Q4'07 Q1'08 Q2'08 Q3'08 Q4'08 Q1'09 Q2'09 Q3'09 Current
Dividend Yield 2.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $5.06 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio 9.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
FCF Payout Ratio — — — — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — — —
Total Payout Ratio 24.9% 18.6% 15.8% 6.2% — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Div. Increase Streak 0 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield 3.5% 6.5% 4.6% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield 3.5% 6.5% 4.6% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Shareholder Return 5.6% 6.5% 4.6% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q4'04 Q1'05 Q2'05 Q3'05 Q4'05 Q1'06 Q2'06 Q3'06 Q4'06 Q1'07 Q2'07 Q3'07 Q4'07 Q1'08 Q2'08 Q3'08 Q4'08 Q1'09 Q2'09 Q3'09 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.59 0.59 0.58 0.58 0.17 0.79 0.64 0.63 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.75 0.56 0.59 0.59 0.57 0.56 0.55 0.58 0.581
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 5.12 44.15 -5.87 -3.47 0.09 -0.28 -3.34 -36.68 -8.74 -0.91 0.51 0.61 0.07 -0.55 4.49 2.01 0.78 0.61 0.60 0.41 0.415
EBIT Margin 0.04 0.00 -0.03 -0.04 -0.06 -0.05 -0.02 -0.00 -0.01 -0.03 -0.06 -0.09 -0.07 -0.04 0.02 0.06 0.10 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.091
Asset Turnover 0.56 0.64 0.56 0.79 0.68 0.85 0.92 1.11 1.18 1.05 1.07 0.99 1.01 0.79 0.85 0.82 0.67 0.74 0.64 0.63 0.631
Equity Multiplier 2.82 2.46 2.77 2.13 2.18 1.77 1.83 1.70 1.62 1.73 1.54 1.59 1.50 1.83 1.67 1.69 1.98 1.70 1.89 2.00 2.004
Per Share
Metric Trend Q4'04 Q1'05 Q2'05 Q3'05 Q4'05 Q1'06 Q2'06 Q3'06 Q4'06 Q1'07 Q2'07 Q3'07 Q4'07 Q1'08 Q2'08 Q3'08 Q4'08 Q1'09 Q2'09 Q3'09 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $53.71 $45.33 $35.31 $34.06 $-0.42 $4.51 $19.06 $24.91 $18.45 $8.11 $-8.60 $-13.33 $-1.57 $5.06 $17.46 $28.62 $15.98 $11.28 $10.62 $8.12 $8.12
Book Value/Share $277.52 $271.85 $260.37 $228.50 $244.86 $268.32 $268.72 $269.62 $267.17 $267.06 $263.94 $261.56 $270.90 $273.26 $277.23 $285.96 $281.45 $283.16 $290.71 $298.95 $281.45
Tangible Book/Share $257.89 $252.10 $240.43 $208.06 $223.27 $245.64 $246.04 $247.03 $244.54 $244.42 $241.30 $238.92 $248.26 $250.62 $254.59 $263.32 $261.19 $262.91 $270.45 $278.61 $278.61
Revenue/Share $414.13 $409.75 $399.73 $405.19 $410.14 $435.67 $477.81 $494.07 $500.04 $483.91 $438.52 $416.92 $406.10 $389.68 $384.62 $380.23 $365.34 $351.62 $344.72 $370.77 $365.34
FCF/Share $-70.57 $-98.20 $-90.45 $-63.74 $-15.70 $17.73 $16.26 $10.71 $3.30 $5.83 $7.45 $-16.17 $-8.20 $13.10 $21.23 $30.54 $32.07 $11.70 $-36.70 $-10.96 $32.07
OCF/Share $-63.51 $-91.88 $-81.83 $-54.29 $-7.45 $26.96 $25.69 $22.27 $15.58 $17.58 $19.58 $-5.72 $2.16 $22.09 $26.63 $35.09 $37.88 $18.05 $29.49 $55.26 $37.88
Cash/Share $278.37 $289.93 $473.54 $43.52 $158.64 $154.47 $160.30 $141.15 $181.80 $196.54 $235.76 $152.67 $165.11 $143.57 $194.21 $255.54 $128.16 $104.91 $94.39 $101.79 $128.16
EBITDA/Share $28.65 $11.98 $-0.98 $-7.89 $-17.44 $-11.61 $-0.63 $6.90 $4.34 $-6.79 $-19.89 $-28.27 $-19.30 $-7.60 $15.56 $33.14 $45.05 $42.23 $40.60 $42.24 $42.24
Debt/Share $0.00 $14.17 $58.13 $13.65 $12.92 $10.51 $13.02 $10.21 $11.75 $12.57 $8.88 $3.05 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $45.28 $15.85 $15.85
Net Debt/Share $-278.37 $-275.76 $-415.41 $-29.87 $-145.72 $-143.96 $-147.27 $-130.94 $-170.05 $-183.97 $-226.88 $-149.62 $-165.11 $-143.57 $-194.21 $-255.54 $-128.16 $-104.91 $-49.11 $-85.94 $-85.94
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q4'04 Q1'05 Q2'05 Q3'05 Q4'05 Q1'06 Q2'06 Q3'06 Q4'06 Q1'07 Q2'07 Q3'07 Q4'07 Q1'08 Q2'08 Q3'08 Q4'08 Q1'09 Q2'09 Q3'09 Current
Altman-B Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 8.379
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 3.031
Piotroski F-Score 5 4 4 4 2 6 6 6 6 6 4 3 6 7 8 8 7 6 5 4 4
Beneish M-Score -1.66 -1.48 -2.12 1.13 -2.71 -2.74 2.46 -2.18 -2.48 -2.23 -3.26 -2.80 -2.66 -2.67 -1.35 -2.28 -0.48 -2.49 -2.63 -2.11 -2.105
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -6.082
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 11.27%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $138.07
EVA snapshot only $-864372.37
Credit
Metric Trend Q4'04 Q1'05 Q2'05 Q3'05 Q4'05 Q1'06 Q2'06 Q3'06 Q4'06 Q1'07 Q2'07 Q3'07 Q4'07 Q1'08 Q2'08 Q3'08 Q4'08 Q1'09 Q2'09 Q3'09 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only A+
Credit Score 89.00 92.23 85.51 90.63 61.23 79.64 88.32 92.18 88.28 84.90 66.90 60.08 61.94 77.91 85.35 89.00 86.56 82.72 76.12 75.82 75.818
Credit Grade snapshot only 5
Credit Trend snapshot only -13.182
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 125.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 65
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 78

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms