TREX NYSE
Trex Company, Inc.
1W: +6.7%
1M: +10.7%
3M: +12.6%
YTD: +38.4%
1Y: +0.9%
3Y: -9.5%
5Y: -48.0%
$49.85
+0.28 (+0.56%)
After Hours: $49.47 (-0.38, -0.77%)
Weekly Expected Move ±4.6%
$46
$48
$50
$53
$55
Credit Risk of going bust: lower than 56% of companies Debt: 5.4% of company value Bonds: none of note held by US funds details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the middle of the pack, about 1 in 580 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $0.54 (down 99%), Trex Company, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $290.8M against a stock market value of $5.05B.
Distance to default 5.78 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $253.0M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 53.5%; Altman Z 7.82. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $0.54 (down 99%), Trex Company, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $290.8M against a stock market value of $5.05B.
Distance to default 5.78 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $253.0M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 53.5%; Altman Z 7.82. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.
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Short Interest
Supply Chain
Oct Typical
☀️
Sunny
+9.3% YTD avg
Midterm Year
⛈️
Stormy
-16.5% YTD avg
2026 Now
☀️
Sunny
Above typical
20yr Avg YTD
+9.3%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
-16.5%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
+39.2%
Above 20yr avg
Typical Vol
57%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
💨
+1.9%
Midterm
⛈️
-13.3%
55% win
46% vol
Feb
20yr
💨
+4.0%
Midterm
⛈️
-10.9%
60% win
51% vol
Mar
20yr
⛈️
+4.4%
Midterm
⛈️
-8.2%
50% win
67% vol
Apr
20yr
💨
+7.1%
Midterm
⛈️
-6.6%
50% win
50% vol
May
20yr
🌫️
+6.0%
Midterm
⛈️
-11.1%
40% win
53% vol
Jun
20yr
💨
+6.5%
Midterm
⛈️
-15.2%
50% win
47% vol
Jul
20yr
💨
+12.8%
Midterm
⛈️
-6.6%
60% win
53% vol
Aug
20yr
💨
+17.4%
Midterm
🌧️
-3.9%
60% win
50% vol
Sep
20yr
⛈️
+12.4%
Midterm
⛈️
-11.6%
25% win
43% vol
Oct
20yr
💨
+10.2%
Midterm
⛈️
-15.0%
52% win
57% vol
Now:
+14.5%
Nov
20yr
💨
+20.8%
Midterm
⛈️
-14.2%
65% win
61% vol
Dec
20yr
💨
+4.0%
Midterm
⛅
+3.5%
65% win
45% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: +39.2%