— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: TOU.TO (TSX) · $vol 114M

TRMLF OTC

Tourmaline Oil Corp.
1W: +0.2% 1M: -4.2% 3M: +4.9% YTD: -2.5% 1Y: +0.2% 3Y: -4.5% 5Y: +75.4%
$43.54
+0.91 (+2.13%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±4.2%
$40 $42 $44 $45 $47
OTC · Energy · Oil & Gas Exploration & Production · Tech Score Strong Sell · Power 36 · $16.9B mcap · 368M float · 0.056% daily turnover · Short 39% of daily vol

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$0
Low
$65
Avg Target
$65
High
Based on 1 analyst ratings (12 mo)
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 1Hold: 0Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$65.00
Analysts1
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2025-11-20 Morgan Stanley — Initiated $65 — +50.5% $43.20

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B+
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
5
ROE
3
ROA
5
D/E
1
P/E
1
P/B
3
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. TRMLF receives an overall rating of B+. Strongest factors: DCF (5/5), ROA (5/5). Areas of concern: D/E (1/5), P/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-08-14 B B+
2026-08-10 B+ B
2026-05-11 A- B+
2026-05-08 B A-
2026-05-04 B+ B
2026-04-01 B B+
2026-03-06 A- B
2026-01-23 A A-

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ — Grade B
Profitability
37
Balance Sheet
61
Earnings Quality
63
Growth
17
Value
—
Momentum
53
Safety
—
Cash Flow
31

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
—
—
Piotroski F-Score
4/9
✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗
Beneish M-Score
-2.20
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-9.65
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BBB
Score: 55.3/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
75/100
OCF/NI: 8.27x
Accruals: -12.0%
The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. TRMLF scores 4/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. TRMLF's score of -2.20 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. TRMLF's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. TRMLF receives an estimated rating of BBB (score: 55.3/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). TRMLF's score of 75/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
63.91x
PEG
-0.84x
P/S
4.14x
P/B
1.51x
P/FCF
—
P/OCF
—
EV/EBITDA
—
EV/Revenue
—
EV/EBIT
—
EV/FCF
—
Earnings Yield
—
FCF Yield
—
Shareholder Yield
—
Graham Number
$29.99
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 63.9x earnings, TRMLF is priced for high growth expectations. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $29.99 per share, 45% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.787
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
2.744
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.030
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.252
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
1.423
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
2.3%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. TRMLF's ROE of 2.3% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.252), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$8.28
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with TRMLF's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. TRMLF trades at a premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $8.28, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 63.9x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$43.54
Median 1Y
$51.78
5th Pctile
$27.69
95th Pctile
$97.02
Ann. Volatility
39.8%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
ROE 18.1% 19.8% 19.9% 22.9% 33.2% 24.9% 25.5% 22.7% 7.3% 12.5% 12.7% 10.9% 11.5% 8.6% 8.3% 9.8% 8.7% 1.7% 4.5% 2.3% 2.34%
ROA 12.7% 14.4% 14.5% 16.9% 23.9% 18.4% 18.7% 16.9% 5.3% 8.9% 9.1% 7.9% 8.2% 6.0% 5.8% 6.9% 6.0% 1.2% 3.1% 1.6% 1.64%
ROIC 14.5% 16.7% 17.3% 20.3% 28.3% 22.3% 23.5% 20.9% 7.8% 11.8% 11.6% 9.3% 9.9% 7.4% 7.3% 8.7% 7.2% 1.4% 2.1% 0.3% 0.25%
ROCE 14.5% 18.0% 22.4% 34.6% 39.6% 34.0% 32.4% 22.1% 8.1% 12.0% 11.8% 10.6% 10.9% 8.3% 8.2% 9.3% 8.5% 2.1% 2.7% 0.8% 0.84%
Gross Margin 70.6% 86.8% 73.1% 73.7% 71.1% 73.9% 72.0% 65.5% 68.3% 66.4% 64.8% 49.4% 59.6% 63.5% 65.9% 62.3% 16.6% -51.9% 31.1% 28.0% 28.03%
Operating Margin 36.0% 73.9% 18.9% 44.9% 1.4% 0.3% 17.7% 47.4% 26.2% 58.3% 22.0% 23.9% 38.9% 36.8% 16.9% 50.6% 11.6% -55.7% 27.1% 23.5% 23.53%
Net Margin 26.7% 57.1% 13.9% 34.0% 1.0% -1.3% 12.8% 40.3% 19.1% 44.4% 15.8% 25.3% 27.9% 26.8% 11.7% 36.0% 14.7% -42.7% 40.6% 13.6% 13.55%
EBITDA Margin 55.8% 76.3% 63.3% 1.1% 1.5% 13.4% 33.8% 71.6% 48.2% 80.9% 46.9% 75.3% 66.9% 62.7% 40.2% 79.3% 57.0% 55.6% 54.6% 54.3% 54.29%
FCF Margin 7.7% 16.9% 19.6% 29.9% 34.0% 31.6% 34.8% 37.8% 36.4% 37.2% 25.1% 20.1% 17.4% 8.8% 11.6% 9.0% 6.8% 6.2% 6.8% 3.6% 3.60%
OCF Margin 52.0% 55.6% 53.9% 55.0% 57.5% 54.1% 58.5% 62.4% 64.2% 70.6% 60.1% 57.9% 56.8% 50.9% 56.6% 53.5% 55.4% 55.8% 55.1% 54.1% 54.07%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 7.31%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 12.84%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 5.15%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 4.71%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 0.25%
Cash ROA snapshot only 13.76%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 18.16%
CROIC snapshot only 1.21%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 0.76%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 8.31%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 4.30%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.54%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 63.907
P/S Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 4.144
P/B Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.506
P/FCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
P/OCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBITDA — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/Revenue — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBIT — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/FCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Earnings Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Graham Number snapshot only $29.99
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 0.58 0.66 0.51 0.62 1.28 1.56 1.12 1.22 0.89 0.81 0.90 1.11 1.01 0.89 0.67 0.72 0.48 0.83 0.88 0.72 0.716
Quick Ratio 0.58 0.65 0.50 0.61 1.28 1.56 1.12 1.22 0.89 0.81 0.89 1.11 1.01 0.89 0.67 0.72 0.48 0.83 0.88 0.72 0.716
Debt/Equity 0.13 0.08 0.05 0.04 0.03 0.05 0.03 0.05 0.04 0.08 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.08 0.08 0.10 0.11 0.12 0.07 0.08 0.082
Net Debt/Equity 0.11 0.08 0.06 0.04 0.03 0.05 0.03 0.04 0.03 0.08 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.08 0.08 0.10 0.11 0.12 0.07 0.08 0.082
Debt/Assets 0.09 0.06 0.04 0.03 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.05 0.07 0.07 0.08 0.05 0.06 0.058
Debt/EBITDA 0.49 0.27 0.16 0.08 0.06 0.09 0.07 0.12 0.18 0.32 0.37 0.42 0.40 0.40 0.37 0.44 0.50 0.55 0.32 0.41 0.410
Net Debt/EBITDA 0.42 0.27 0.16 0.08 0.05 0.09 0.05 0.11 0.16 0.32 0.38 0.42 0.40 0.40 0.37 0.44 0.50 0.55 0.32 0.41 0.410
Interest Coverage 43.75 49.60 58.49 99.77 165.01 132.76 123.87 88.95 31.88 64.74 43.51 28.40 24.21 16.45 16.36 22.29 22.79 5.55 8.34 2.73 2.733
Equity Multiplier 1.40 1.32 1.35 1.33 1.38 1.38 1.37 1.34 1.36 1.43 1.43 1.42 1.43 1.44 1.45 1.42 1.45 1.48 1.44 1.43 1.429
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.000
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 49.940
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.000
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.159
Defensive Interval snapshot only 1098.1 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.31 0.36 0.42 0.51 0.46 0.51 0.52 0.46 0.37 0.32 0.31 0.30 0.28 0.25 0.26 0.28 0.28 0.27 0.26 0.25 0.252
Inventory Turnover — 229.72 269.49 159.27 — 219.79 441.50 402.49 — 388.35 361.48 — — — 403.21 — — — — — —
Receivables Turnover 10.22 10.08 10.45 12.22 12.11 9.94 11.47 11.30 9.76 6.84 8.44 10.03 8.68 7.04 8.00 10.24 9.57 7.75 7.84 9.06 9.062
Payables Turnover 2.53 2.09 1.85 2.62 2.41 2.62 2.44 3.56 2.15 1.87 1.83 3.31 2.14 1.75 1.66 2.30 2.29 3.39 3.64 4.93 4.926
DSO 36 36 35 30 30 37 32 32 37 53 43 36 42 52 46 36 38 47 47 40 40.3 days
DIO -0 2 1 2 -0 2 1 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO 145 174 198 139 151 139 150 103 170 196 200 110 170 208 219 159 159 108 100 74 74.1 days
Cash Conversion Cycle -109 -137 -161 -107 -121 -101 -117 -69 -133 -141 -156 -74 -128 -156 -173 -123 -121 -60 -54 -34 -33.8 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 0.288
Capital Intensity snapshot only 3.930
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 97.9% 1.4% 1.2% 1.3% 98.4% 69.4% 46.9% 2.7% -12.9% -28.1% -33.3% -26.5% -22.9% -14.2% -3.8% 8.0% 11.9% 13.4% 4.7% -3.6% -3.63%
Net Income 31.9% 2.3% 1.3% 87.4% 1.5% 55.6% 54.0% 15.9% -75.9% -44.9% -44.9% -47.8% 54.9% -27.2% -28.8% 0.9% -14.9% -79.2% -42.4% -74.5% -74.50%
EPS 26.2% 1.7% 99.1% 65.0% 1.4% 55.2% 51.9% 15.5% -76.0% -46.7% -46.7% -49.5% 50.1% -28.7% -33.0% -5.7% -22.2% -80.7% -44.2% -75.1% -75.12%
FCF 12.2% 17.0% 2.3% 13.6% 7.8% 2.2% 1.6% 29.8% -6.7% -15.2% -51.8% -60.8% -63.2% -79.8% -55.4% -51.8% -56.2% -19.4% -39.1% -61.4% -61.42%
EBITDA 1.3% 83.7% 1.0% 1.5% 1.8% 1.2% 69.7% -16.2% -68.3% -50.4% -45.3% -29.6% 40.4% -6.9% -8.6% 5.9% -1.8% 4.8% 9.6% -12.3% -12.25%
Op. Income 18.9% 2.8% 1.5% 1.1% 1.8% 62.2% 61.1% 15.2% -75.7% -46.6% -46.6% -49.3% 49.8% -27.0% -28.4% 10.8% -12.9% -80.1% -71.3% -97.3% -97.31%
OCF Growth snapshot only -2.57%
Asset Growth snapshot only -2.19%
Equity Growth snapshot only -2.96%
Debt Growth snapshot only -17.65%
Shares Change snapshot only 2.49%
Dividend Growth snapshot only -21.89%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 30.5% 33.3% 37.8% 48.8% 54.9% 59.5% 63.7% 56.9% 50.7% 42.8% 29.8% 20.0% 10.0% 1.5% -1.9% -6.6% -9.1% -11.2% -12.4% -8.5% -8.54%
Revenue 5Y 32.0% 35.4% 34.8% 35.9% 36.1% 39.7% 38.2% 34.3% 30.9% 23.6% 20.8% 20.0% 20.1% 20.2% 23.0% 25.1% 24.2% 23.2% 17.1% 12.5% 12.47%
EPS 3Y 66.4% 59.7% 65.8% 58.3% 94.5% 99.1% 1.3% 2.3% 1.5% 30.3% 17.3% -1.3% -4.6% -16.2% -18.4% -18.1% -34.6% -58.2% -41.6% -50.9% -50.90%
EPS 5Y — — 72.6% 45.7% 59.5% 48.6% 45.8% 50.1% 21.6% 27.5% 29.8% 18.2% 21.5% 24.6% 35.2% 76.8% 78.9% -21.2% -9.6% -25.8% -25.76%
Net Income 3Y 77.1% 71.5% 78.3% 70.9% 1.1% 1.1% 1.5% 2.6% 1.7% 41.1% 24.3% 4.3% -2.1% -14.5% -15.5% -15.2% -31.8% -56.3% -39.1% -48.8% -48.79%
Net Income 5Y — — 80.7% 52.9% 67.4% 55.5% 52.8% 57.3% 27.5% 34.0% 36.9% 24.7% 28.2% 31.6% 44.4% 89.2% 92.3% -15.7% -4.7% -21.8% -21.84%
EBITDA 3Y 31.0% 32.6% 41.0% 60.5% 80.6% 80.5% 71.5% 58.0% 28.4% 25.4% 23.0% 14.1% 8.2% -0.0% -5.4% -14.5% -24.1% -21.5% -18.2% -13.2% -13.19%
EBITDA 5Y 34.3% 37.5% 34.9% 38.5% 46.1% 40.2% 36.9% 31.2% 15.2% 20.1% 21.1% 19.5% 21.2% 22.2% 20.3% 24.1% 23.9% 14.0% 13.3% 6.7% 6.66%
Gross Profit 3Y 43.6% 44.9% 49.9% 62.9% 71.3% 75.7% 1.0% 96.1% 82.9% 68.5% 33.5% 19.1% 6.3% -5.6% -8.8% -12.2% -18.8% -38.0% -49.6% -61.6% -61.62%
Gross Profit 5Y 56.2% 56.5% 49.8% 46.9% 46.2% 52.8% 49.3% 44.7% 39.8% 27.6% 23.7% 22.2% 22.2% 22.6% 35.6% 39.6% 32.1% 11.1% -12.9% -31.9% -31.91%
Op. Income 3Y 59.4% 60.7% 66.3% 76.0% 1.2% 1.3% 1.8% 2.1% 1.4% 49.2% 28.3% 7.4% 0.2% -14.2% -14.9% -13.5% -31.8% -57.3% -52.1% -75.3% -75.28%
Op. Income 5Y — 1.9% 66.2% 47.4% 61.4% 50.1% 47.9% 50.5% 22.2% 29.2% 31.7% 26.1% 30.3% 35.2% 54.0% 76.6% 77.1% -13.5% -15.4% -48.3% -48.30%
FCF 3Y 59.9% 1.4% — — — — — — — 2.6% 61.4% 95.0% 44.6% -18.3% -17.6% -37.4% -46.8% -48.3% -49.2% -58.2% -58.23%
FCF 5Y — — — — — — — — 1.0% 1.1% — — — — — — — 51.3% 2.7% 6.7% 6.65%
OCF 3Y 19.5% 30.9% 34.8% 45.3% 56.2% 58.7% 65.3% 67.9% 60.7% 57.6% 31.8% 20.2% 13.3% -1.4% -0.3% -7.4% -10.2% -10.3% -14.1% -12.8% -12.78%
OCF 5Y 23.6% 32.5% 30.2% 32.6% 33.9% 31.7% 33.9% 31.8% 29.5% 28.3% 21.8% 19.5% 20.4% 18.4% 22.9% 26.4% 25.3% 24.7% 16.2% 11.0% 11.04%
Assets 3Y 12.7% 12.5% 12.4% 13.2% 22.0% 19.1% 17.5% 16.3% 16.5% 16.3% 16.3% 14.8% 10.7% 13.4% 13.1% 14.1% 5.8% 6.5% 8.7% 8.9% 8.93%
Assets 5Y 13.9% 10.3% 10.0% 10.3% 15.1% 13.2% 12.0% 11.7% 11.3% 13.4% 12.9% 12.9% 12.9% 14.8% 15.1% 15.8% 16.2% 12.3% 12.7% 11.7% 11.68%
Equity 3Y 13.0% 15.4% 14.7% 15.0% 23.4% 20.7% 19.6% 19.3% 19.1% 16.7% 15.8% 13.8% 9.9% 10.2% 10.5% 11.9% 4.2% 4.1% 6.6% 6.8% 6.75%
Book Value 3Y 6.1% 7.5% 6.6% 6.5% 14.2% 12.1% 10.5% 10.2% 10.0% 7.9% 9.3% 7.7% 7.1% 8.1% 6.7% 8.0% -0.1% -0.5% 2.3% 2.3% 2.34%
Dividend 3Y 6.4% 32.8% 57.4% 79.8% 99.5% 65.5% 37.5% 17.9% -0.7% -12.8% -20.6% -25.5% -22.9% -20.5% -14.3% -7.6% -4.6% -2.4% -6.4% -11.0% -10.98%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.76 0.65 0.64 0.61 0.65 0.71 0.76 0.79 0.77 0.66 0.61 0.57 0.49 0.37 0.34 0.33 0.26 0.20 0.15 0.25 0.249
Earnings Stability 0.47 0.66 0.66 0.62 0.60 0.76 0.79 0.82 0.32 0.62 0.64 0.51 0.16 0.23 0.21 0.20 0.01 0.08 0.08 0.29 0.292
Margin Stability 0.69 0.72 0.73 0.74 0.76 0.74 0.73 0.72 0.75 0.78 0.89 0.89 0.88 0.87 0.76 0.75 0.76 0.63 0.57 0.49 0.492
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.94 0.50 0.82 0.82 0.81 0.50 0.89 0.88 1.00 0.94 0.50 0.83 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness 0.00 0.00 0.23 0.39 0.14 0.57 0.57 0.85 0.00 0.42 0.42 0.37 0.57 0.69 0.66 0.99 0.84 0.00 0.46 0.00 0.000
ROE Trend 0.12 0.12 0.11 0.13 0.21 0.11 0.10 0.04 -0.14 -0.08 -0.08 -0.11 -0.07 -0.10 -0.10 -0.07 -0.01 -0.09 -0.06 -0.07 -0.074
Gross Margin Trend 0.20 0.27 0.26 0.25 0.22 0.15 0.05 0.01 -0.01 -0.06 -0.08 -0.10 -0.12 -0.10 -0.09 -0.04 -0.12 -0.40 -0.50 -0.58 -0.580
FCF Margin Trend 0.11 0.17 0.14 0.31 0.31 0.22 0.18 0.20 0.16 0.13 -0.02 -0.14 -0.18 -0.26 -0.18 -0.20 -0.20 -0.17 -0.12 -0.11 -0.110
Sustainable Growth Rate 15.8% 15.3% 11.2% 9.6% 16.4% 3.9% 1.7% -1.0% -11.8% -3.5% -0.1% 0.3% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 1.5% 0.2% -6.4% -2.7% -3.9% -3.87%
Internal Growth Rate 12.4% 12.5% 8.9% 7.6% 13.4% 3.0% 1.2% — — — — 0.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0% 1.1% 0.2% — — — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.28 1.41 1.57 1.67 1.11 1.49 1.63 1.68 4.48 2.54 2.03 2.19 1.98 2.16 2.58 2.17 2.53 12.86 4.57 8.27 8.273
FCF/OCF 0.15 0.30 0.36 0.54 0.59 0.58 0.60 0.61 0.57 0.53 0.42 0.35 0.31 0.17 0.21 0.17 0.12 0.11 0.12 0.07 0.067
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.550
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.977
CapEx/Revenue 44.4% 38.7% 34.3% 25.1% 23.5% 22.5% 23.7% 24.6% 27.8% 33.3% 35.0% 37.7% 39.4% 42.2% 44.9% 44.5% 48.5% 49.5% 48.4% 50.5% 50.47%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.965
Accruals Ratio -0.03 -0.06 -0.08 -0.11 -0.03 -0.09 -0.12 -0.11 -0.19 -0.14 -0.09 -0.09 -0.08 -0.07 -0.09 -0.08 -0.09 -0.14 -0.11 -0.12 -0.120
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.137
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 0.797
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.750
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 3.63%
Dividend/Share $0.64 $1.39 $2.63 $4.15 $6.16 $7.83 $8.54 $8.60 $7.64 $6.36 $4.92 $4.04 $3.68 $3.31 $3.25 $3.31 $3.31 $3.26 $2.92 $2.58 $2.25
Payout Ratio 12.7% 23.1% 43.7% 58.2% 50.6% 84.2% 93.4% 1.0% 2.6% 1.3% 1.0% 97.4% 84.0% 93.8% 99.3% 84.5% 97.2% 4.8% 1.6% 2.7% 2.65%
FCF Payout Ratio 67.6% 54.2% 76.3% 64.3% 77.1% 96.8% 96.3% 1.0% 1.0% 95.8% 1.2% 1.3% 1.4% 2.5% 1.9% 2.3% 3.1% 3.3% 2.9% 4.8% 4.82%
Total Payout Ratio 12.7% 23.1% 43.7% 58.2% 50.6% 84.2% 93.4% 1.0% 2.6% 1.3% 1.0% 97.4% 84.0% 93.8% 99.3% 84.5% 97.2% 4.8% 1.6% 2.7% 2.65%
Div. Increase Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Total Shareholder Return — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.86 0.80 0.80 0.77 0.77 0.76 0.76 0.77 0.78 0.80 0.80 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.76 0.76 0.76 0.76 0.77 0.79 0.787
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.98 0.99 0.81 0.64 0.75 0.70 0.77 0.99 0.97 0.98 0.97 0.96 0.97 0.96 0.96 0.97 0.96 0.79 1.63 2.74 2.744
EBIT Margin 0.48 0.50 0.52 0.67 0.89 0.68 0.62 0.49 0.19 0.36 0.38 0.36 0.38 0.32 0.30 0.34 0.30 0.07 0.10 0.03 0.030
Asset Turnover 0.31 0.36 0.42 0.51 0.46 0.51 0.52 0.46 0.37 0.32 0.31 0.30 0.28 0.25 0.26 0.28 0.28 0.27 0.26 0.25 0.252
Equity Multiplier 1.43 1.38 1.38 1.36 1.39 1.35 1.36 1.34 1.37 1.41 1.40 1.38 1.40 1.43 1.44 1.42 1.44 1.46 1.45 1.42 1.423
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $5.05 $6.00 $6.02 $7.13 $12.17 $9.31 $9.14 $8.23 $2.92 $4.96 $4.88 $4.15 $4.38 $3.53 $3.27 $3.92 $3.41 $0.68 $1.82 $0.97 $0.97
Book Value/Share $32.38 $34.35 $33.88 $34.38 $42.26 $40.41 $38.42 $38.26 $37.86 $40.03 $39.50 $39.51 $39.75 $43.44 $41.12 $43.32 $42.15 $39.85 $41.10 $41.01 $41.16
Tangible Book/Share $32.38 $36.91 $33.88 $34.38 $42.26 $40.85 $38.42 $38.26 $37.86 $40.03 $39.50 $39.51 $39.75 $43.44 $41.12 $43.32 $42.15 $39.85 $41.10 $41.01 $41.01
Revenue/Share $12.39 $15.16 $17.58 $21.60 $23.48 $25.62 $25.47 $22.12 $20.39 $17.83 $16.45 $15.72 $15.24 $14.97 $14.91 $15.85 $15.58 $15.69 $15.11 $14.91 $14.95
FCF/Share $0.95 $2.56 $3.45 $6.45 $7.98 $8.10 $8.87 $8.35 $7.42 $6.64 $4.14 $3.16 $2.65 $1.32 $1.74 $1.42 $1.06 $0.98 $1.02 $0.54 $0.54
OCF/Share $6.44 $8.43 $9.48 $11.87 $13.50 $13.86 $14.90 $13.79 $13.09 $12.59 $9.89 $9.10 $8.66 $7.63 $8.43 $8.48 $8.62 $8.75 $8.33 $8.06 $8.08
Cash/Share $0.64 $-0.03 $-0.03 $-0.03 $0.26 $-0.03 $0.32 $0.14 $0.20 $0.00 $-0.07 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
EBITDA/Share $8.71 $9.76 $11.47 $17.12 $23.71 $21.04 $19.20 $14.31 $7.48 $10.11 $10.16 $9.74 $10.19 $9.21 $8.74 $9.63 $9.13 $8.92 $9.27 $8.25 $8.25
Debt/Share $4.28 $2.61 $1.85 $1.37 $1.34 $1.86 $1.34 $1.75 $1.38 $3.22 $3.80 $4.05 $4.03 $3.64 $3.24 $4.21 $4.57 $4.88 $2.93 $3.38 $3.38
Net Debt/Share $3.64 $2.64 $1.88 $1.40 $1.08 $1.89 $1.02 $1.61 $1.17 $3.22 $3.87 $4.05 $4.03 $3.64 $3.24 $4.21 $4.57 $4.88 $2.93 $3.38 $3.38
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Piotroski F-Score 7 7 7 8 8 7 7 5 3 3 3 3 5 4 5 5 4 4 6 4 4
Beneish M-Score 21.33 33.05 23.43 -1.84 -1.24 -1.77 -2.55 -2.71 -3.56 -3.31 -3.13 -2.62 -2.80 -2.80 -2.77 -2.82 -1.48 -4.27 -2.23 -2.20 -2.196
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -9.647
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 0.90%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-14.00
EVA snapshot only $-1687159828.19
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BBB
Credit Score 71.20 82.75 82.75 82.75 82.75 82.75 82.75 82.75 82.75 82.75 82.75 82.75 82.75 78.35 81.50 79.60 70.00 66.25 74.60 55.30 55.300
Credit Grade snapshot only 9
Credit Trend snapshot only -24.300
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 275.000

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