— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice

TRS NASDAQ

TriMas Corporation
1W: -0.5% 1M: +0.2% 3M: +0.6% YTD: +9.0% 1Y: -1.0% 3Y: +70.7% 5Y: +22.7%
$39.51
+0.21 (+0.53%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±2.2%
$38 $39 $40 $40 $41
NASDAQ · Consumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containers · Tech Score Buy · Power 60 · $1.4B mcap · 27M float · 1.46% daily turnover · Short 73% of daily vol
Credit Risk of going bust: lower than 73% of companies Debt: 23.6% of company value Bonds: $27.8M held by 72 funds, 159 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the safest four tenths, about 1 in 3,500 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $0.70 (down 98%), TriMas Corporation would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $437.8M against a stock market value of $1.42B.
Distance to default 8.13 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $206.5M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 29.0%; Altman Z 2.75. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
Oct Typical
☀️
Sunny
+20.5% YTD avg
Midterm Year
☀️
Sunny
+19.0% YTD avg
2026 Now
☀️
Sunny
Below typical
20yr Avg YTD
+20.5%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
+19.0%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
+9.0%
Below 20yr avg
Typical Vol
55%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
⛈️
-2.5%
Midterm
⛈️
-9.2%
26% win 37% vol
Feb
20yr
🌫️
-4.2%
Midterm
⛈️
-11.6%
47% win 38% vol
Mar
20yr
💨
-1.9%
Midterm
⛈️
-8.7%
47% win 59% vol
Apr
20yr
💨
+4.4%
Midterm
⛅
+2.2%
68% win 50% vol
May
20yr
💨
+10.2%
Midterm
⛅
+3.6%
50% win 45% vol
Jun
20yr
💨
+11.3%
Midterm
☀️
+6.9%
70% win 42% vol
Jul
20yr
💨
+16.3%
Midterm
☀️
+9.4%
45% win 43% vol
Aug
20yr
🌫️
+19.9%
Midterm
☀️
+12.8%
55% win 41% vol
Sep
20yr
⛈️
+18.8%
Midterm
☀️
+12.4%
45% win 39% vol
Oct
20yr
💨
+18.6%
Midterm
☀️
+15.5%
60% win 55% vol
Now: +2.4%
Nov
20yr
🌫️
+22.6%
Midterm
☀️
+34.7%
42% win 61% vol
Dec
20yr
💨
+2.9%
Midterm
🌫️
-0.4%
63% win 47% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: +9.0%

Sign in to InsiderStreet

You'll also get our free weekly newsletter with
smart money signals, market insights, and alpha ideas.
Unsubscribe anytime.

For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms