— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: UGPA3.SA (SAO) · $vol 68M

UGP NYSE

Ultrapar Participações S.A.
1W: +4.8% 1M: +4.3% 3M: +37.5% YTD: +94.8% 1Y: +95.8% 3Y: +131.1% 5Y: +195.2%
$7.45
+0.11 (+1.50%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±4.0%
$7 $7 $7 $8 $8
NYSE · Energy · Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · Tech Score Buy · Power 61 · $8.0B mcap · 1.07B float · 0.337% daily turnover · Short 51% of daily vol

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$6
Low
$7
Avg Target
$8
High
Based on 2 analysts since Aug 12, 2026 earnings
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 4Hold: 6Sell: 1Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusHold
Avg Target$6.85
Analysts2
Consensus Change History
DateFieldFromTo
2026-09-18 consensus Buy Hold
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2026-09-04 UBS — $7 $8 +1 +9.0% $7.25
2026-08-26 Goldman Sachs Bruno Amorim $6 $6 -1 -13.4% $6.70
2026-07-01 Goldman Sachs — $7 $6 -1 +29.5% $5.02
2026-06-17 UBS — Initiated $7 — +48.5% $4.85
2026-05-12 Goldman Sachs Bruno Amorim $5 $7 +2 +21.3% $6.02
2026-02-04 Goldman Sachs — Initiated $5 — +9.8% $4.92
2025-08-14 Banco Santander Rodrigo Reis Initiated $4 — +26.6% $3.16

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

A-
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
4
ROE
5
ROA
5
D/E
1
P/E
3
P/B
3
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. UGP receives an overall rating of A-. Strongest factors: DCF (4/5), ROE (5/5), ROA (5/5). Areas of concern: D/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-10-01 B+ A-
2026-05-12 A- B+
2026-05-11 B+ A-
2026-05-08 A- B+
2026-04-01 B+ A-
2026-03-02 A- B+
2026-02-24 A A-
2026-01-26 A- A
2026-01-03 B+ A-

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ — Grade B
Profitability
34
Balance Sheet
63
Earnings Quality
83
Growth
63
Value
—
Momentum
89
Safety
—
Cash Flow
62

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
—
—
Piotroski F-Score
8/9
✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-2.89
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-8.39
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BBB
Score: 57.3/100
Trend: Stable
Earnings Quality
75/100
OCF/NI: 1.82x
Accruals: -5.9%
The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. UGP scores 8/9, signaling strong financial health across all three dimensions. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. UGP's score of -2.89 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. UGP's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. UGP receives an estimated rating of BBB (score: 57.3/100), with a stable trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). UGP's score of 75/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
11.99x
PEG
0.58x
P/S
0.27x
P/B
2.30x
P/FCF
—
P/OCF
—
EV/EBITDA
—
EV/Revenue
—
EV/EBIT
—
EV/FCF
—
Earnings Yield
—
FCF Yield
—
Shareholder Yield
—
Graham Number
$34.30
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 12.0x earnings, UGP trades at a reasonable valuation. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $34.30 per share, suggesting a potential 360% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.622
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.656
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.055
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
3.138
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
2.890
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
20.5%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. UGP's ROE of 20.5% is driven by Asset Turnover (3.138), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
15.00%
Fair P/E
38.50x
Intrinsic Value
$122.85
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with UGP's realized 15.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. UGP actually compounded EPS at 33.6% over three years; the model uses 15%, the highest rate it will extrapolate — of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it over the following seven years. UGP trades at a premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $122.85, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 38.5x compares to the current market P/E of 12.0x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$7.44
Median 1Y
$7.12
5th Pctile
$3.02
95th Pctile
$16.74
Ann. Volatility
51.8%
Analyst Target
$6.85
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical Analyst target

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
11,302
+18.2% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$12,349,402
Rev: $139,572,947,000
Profit / Employee
$212,852
NI: $2,405,651,000
SGA / Employee
$413,525
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
ROE 51.7% 5.5% 43.8% 22.9% 18.2% 17.5% 75.3% 64.6% 32.2% 19.4% 32.3% 33.7% 30.4% 16.5% 15.6% 19.2% 19.1% 15.9% 32.4% 20.5% 20.54%
ROA 13.2% 1.4% 11.7% 6.3% 5.6% 5.0% 23.5% 21.0% 10.5% 6.5% 12.0% 12.5% 11.2% 6.1% 6.1% 6.9% 7.0% 5.5% 12.5% 7.1% 7.11%
ROIC 34.0% 4.9% 26.8% 63.7% 11.2% 15.8% 74.3% 59.9% 76.7% 15.7% 13.7% 14.2% 12.6% 11.9% 11.5% 11.7% 12.7% 11.7% 67.8% 18.5% 18.51%
ROCE 38.9% 4.8% 25.4% 42.2% 9.4% 15.1% 73.7% 63.9% 86.2% 18.7% 20.2% 21.6% 19.1% 15.3% 15.2% 15.1% 16.3% 16.3% 96.8% 22.3% 22.27%
Gross Margin 4.0% 4.8% 4.7% 5.0% 4.0% 6.8% 5.6% 5.7% 8.8% 9.2% 6.8% 6.5% 6.5% 6.1% 6.4% 6.3% 6.7% 6.8% 8.6% 11.1% 11.12%
Operating Margin 1.9% 1.5% 1.8% 2.2% 1.7% 4.4% 2.2% 1.7% 4.8% 5.5% 2.7% 2.9% 3.1% 6.0% 2.9% 4.1% 3.9% 3.0% 5.0% 7.7% 7.66%
Net Margin 1.3% 1.2% 1.4% 1.2% 0.5% 2.3% 0.9% 0.7% 2.7% 3.3% 1.4% 1.4% 1.8% 2.4% 1.0% 3.2% 1.9% 0.9% 2.4% 3.7% 3.73%
EBITDA Margin 2.1% 3.4% 2.5% 2.9% 2.2% 5.3% 3.1% 2.9% 6.6% 7.2% 4.1% 4.6% 4.6% 3.6% 3.9% 7.6% 6.1% 4.5% 7.2% 8.7% 8.70%
FCF Margin 1.1% 1.8% 1.4% 0.4% 0.9% 1.2% 0.7% 0.8% 1.4% 1.5% 1.6% 1.6% 0.6% 0.9% 1.2% 1.4% 1.3% 1.0% 1.3% 3.1% 3.13%
OCF Margin 2.4% 3.1% 2.4% 1.0% 1.5% 1.8% 1.4% 1.6% 2.2% 2.4% 2.5% 2.6% 1.7% 2.0% 2.4% 2.8% 2.5% 2.1% 2.4% 4.1% 4.13%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 19.15%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 36.23%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 6.80%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 11.57%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 15.20%
Cash ROA snapshot only 12.10%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 22.56%
CROIC snapshot only 17.09%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 3.39%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 3.64%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 3.38%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 11.991
P/S Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.269
P/B Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 2.301
P/FCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
P/OCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBITDA — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/Revenue — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBIT — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/FCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Earnings Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.582
Graham Number snapshot only $34.30
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 1.77 1.97 1.71 1.57 1.53 1.48 1.87 1.97 1.81 1.66 1.68 1.55 1.57 1.53 1.76 1.82 1.83 1.62 1.67 1.64 1.644
Quick Ratio 1.23 1.66 1.40 1.10 1.14 1.10 1.41 1.53 1.42 1.28 1.23 1.16 1.11 1.16 1.26 1.38 1.40 1.26 1.30 1.26 1.261
Debt/Equity 1.86 1.76 1.63 1.34 1.26 1.15 1.13 1.18 1.10 0.98 1.04 1.06 1.04 1.04 0.99 1.18 1.13 1.39 1.28 1.09 1.089
Net Debt/Equity 1.27 1.36 1.32 0.78 0.72 0.62 0.74 0.70 0.60 0.52 0.75 0.77 0.76 0.74 0.81 0.93 0.88 0.95 0.85 0.57 0.574
Debt/Assets 0.48 0.46 0.45 0.40 0.40 0.36 0.39 0.41 0.38 0.35 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.40 0.40 0.42 0.41 0.43 0.41 0.37 0.371
Debt/EBITDA 1.14 9.19 1.77 1.04 4.73 2.92 0.55 0.65 0.48 2.09 2.17 2.08 2.27 2.79 2.64 2.78 2.49 2.77 0.46 1.89 1.893
Net Debt/EBITDA 0.78 7.09 1.44 0.60 2.70 1.57 0.36 0.39 0.26 1.11 1.56 1.51 1.64 1.97 2.16 2.20 1.95 1.88 0.30 1.00 0.998
Interest Coverage 3.00 1.79 1.76 1.57 1.61 2.69 2.73 3.25 3.97 4.35 4.69 4.94 5.75 3.65 2.92 3.20 2.76 2.54 2.60 2.99 2.991
Equity Multiplier 3.89 3.85 3.59 3.36 3.12 3.17 2.85 2.85 2.88 2.83 2.65 2.68 2.67 2.61 2.48 2.84 2.78 3.21 3.10 2.94 2.937
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.648
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 3.609
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.473
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.247
Defensive Interval snapshot only 1176.4 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 14.86 2.20 12.65 4.82 5.52 3.78 19.48 19.21 6.21 3.35 5.81 5.66 5.64 3.43 3.67 3.29 3.29 3.17 6.07 3.14 3.138
Inventory Turnover 116.48 20.57 105.57 32.71 40.40 30.66 164.86 133.75 46.87 25.20 45.42 49.87 44.17 30.43 30.03 32.24 30.56 32.60 53.65 29.76 29.756
Receivables Turnover 118.43 18.85 97.93 35.50 37.16 29.00 140.22 145.16 41.50 24.62 44.63 49.66 50.90 31.84 33.26 34.49 35.74 33.57 63.08 33.75 33.748
Payables Turnover 108.07 16.19 92.73 29.18 29.79 20.48 132.84 122.09 33.76 17.69 43.90 43.29 45.64 24.36 32.27 33.30 33.75 28.99 61.14 28.04 28.044
DSO 3 19 4 10 10 13 3 3 9 15 8 7 7 11 11 11 10 11 6 11 10.8 days
DIO 3 18 3 11 9 12 2 3 8 14 8 7 8 12 12 11 12 11 7 12 12.3 days
DPO 3 23 4 13 12 18 3 3 11 21 8 8 8 15 11 11 11 13 6 13 13.0 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 3 15 3 9 7 7 2 2 6 9 8 6 7 8 12 11 11 9 7 10 10.1 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 11.067
Operating Cycle snapshot only 23.1 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 16.695
Capital Intensity snapshot only 0.341
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 23.7% 2.8% 13.6% 12.1% 12.2% 71.9% 53.4% 30.8% 13.4% -12.2% -11.8% -5.0% 2.3% 5.9% 8.4% 7.4% 6.3% 6.6% 6.9% 11.6% 11.62%
Net Income 3.5% -39.7% -0.7% 69.4% 28.7% 2.5% 1.0% 10.2% 87.6% 27.9% 51.9% 91.6% 21.1% -3.2% -13.2% 2.9% 13.4% 3.9% 32.4% 19.8% 19.82%
EPS 8.6% -39.6% -1.0% 68.9% 28.6% 2.5% 98.7% 9.4% 86.4% 28.0% 50.9% 89.0% 19.4% -3.9% -13.2% 3.8% 14.7% 5.8% 34.5% 21.5% 21.46%
FCF -45.5% -24.7% 15.1% -72.6% -7.0% 12.4% -27.9% 2.1% 81.5% 12.3% 1.0% 79.0% -54.7% -39.0% -14.0% -4.3% 1.2% 18.4% 14.0% 1.5% 1.45%
EBITDA 10.4% -45.4% -40.7% -18.5% -0.4% 1.4% 1.3% 69.8% 1.0% 37.8% 39.7% 60.3% 16.0% -10.8% -14.1% -6.6% 9.8% 39.0% 61.6% 51.5% 51.54%
Op. Income 53.6% -18.8% -16.9% 5.1% 12.4% 1.5% 1.5% 70.7% 1.0% 26.0% 26.2% 49.9% 8.1% 8.0% 8.0% 7.7% 26.3% -0.2% 13.0% 36.7% 36.69%
OCF Growth snapshot only 61.99%
Asset Growth snapshot only 15.45%
Equity Growth snapshot only 11.55%
Debt Growth snapshot only 3.14%
Shares Change snapshot only -1.35%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 57.14%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 4.4% -2.7% 0.8% 4.9% 8.4% 17.2% 16.6% 17.2% 16.3% 15.8% 15.4% 11.7% 9.2% 16.9% 13.6% 10.1% 7.2% -0.3% 0.7% 4.4% 4.43%
Revenue 5Y 5.1% 1.6% 4.0% 6.3% 7.9% 12.4% 11.7% 9.6% 7.7% 6.8% 6.8% 7.5% 8.1% 8.4% 8.7% 10.4% 11.3% 11.9% 12.2% 10.8% 10.80%
EPS 3Y 22.5% -3.0% 12.1% 34.8% 29.2% 1.2% 1.3% 1.4% 1.8% 39.6% 43.7% 51.7% 42.0% 62.9% 37.6% 29.0% 36.7% 9.2% 20.8% 33.6% 33.57%
EPS 5Y 4.0% -19.2% -11.0% 16.1% 10.1% 4.2% 21.9% 20.6% 34.5% 32.7% 33.4% 38.3% 36.9% 68.2% 74.1% 92.8% 99.4% 22.5% 28.2% 34.5% 34.52%
Net Income 3Y -5.1% -22.4% -13.1% 4.5% 0.2% 72.2% 78.8% 85.1% 1.2% 39.8% 44.5% 52.9% 43.0% 63.7% 38.2% 29.5% 37.1% 8.7% 20.4% 33.2% 33.17%
Net Income 5Y -11.2% -19.2% -10.9% -0.8% -6.0% 4.4% 6.4% 3.2% 15.6% 16.2% 14.8% 19.2% 17.9% 44.6% 49.7% 65.7% 71.4% 22.4% 28.2% 34.5% 34.53%
EBITDA 3Y -5.7% -18.4% -20.0% -11.7% -9.5% 16.2% 18.9% 19.5% 30.1% 21.3% 24.7% 30.4% 32.3% 42.8% 41.1% 36.5% 36.6% 19.5% 24.7% 31.4% 31.40%
EBITDA 5Y -8.2% -15.3% -15.1% -10.2% -9.8% -0.8% 2.8% 2.8% 10.9% 12.2% 10.9% 13.4% 11.5% 14.1% 15.1% 20.6% 22.9% 17.2% 21.9% 25.7% 25.71%
Gross Profit 3Y -9.2% -16.0% -13.9% -7.5% -4.9% 6.4% 7.8% 9.1% 14.9% 18.4% 21.1% 23.6% 24.9% 33.2% 30.9% 22.3% 19.9% 8.3% 11.0% 20.4% 20.44%
Gross Profit 5Y -7.3% -12.2% -11.1% -7.0% -6.3% 0.2% 1.4% 1.2% 5.9% 8.6% 9.7% 10.9% 9.6% 7.1% 7.4% 8.8% 9.3% 10.8% 13.8% 19.4% 19.40%
Op. Income 3Y -1.0% -8.4% -10.5% 0.8% 1.5% 41.0% 40.0% 40.4% 52.1% 36.7% 37.8% 39.1% 35.3% 50.3% 50.3% 40.2% 40.7% 10.7% 15.5% 30.2% 30.19%
Op. Income 5Y -9.8% -14.0% -12.8% -5.9% -6.3% 4.9% 9.3% 8.0% 17.3% 19.3% 17.7% 21.3% 18.2% 30.7% 30.2% 34.9% 36.9% 22.5% 26.1% 31.7% 31.69%
FCF 3Y 66.2% 0.5% -15.0% -47.8% -28.2% -0.1% -23.3% -16.9% -2.8% -1.7% 18.7% 15.0% -8.5% -8.3% 7.7% 74.5% 22.4% -6.7% 25.4% 61.4% 61.36%
FCF 5Y -6.1% 12.0% 0.8% -20.4% 2.9% 50.9% — — 50.6% 5.1% -2.3% -4.6% -21.1% -7.3% -4.8% -0.3% -1.4% -7.3% 10.4% 29.0% 28.95%
OCF 3Y 6.9% -3.6% -13.6% -35.6% -24.1% -4.9% -15.8% -11.8% -3.3% -1.0% 10.8% 8.1% -3.0% 0.9% 13.1% 57.2% 26.9% 5.9% 20.1% 42.6% 42.62%
OCF 5Y -4.8% 0.6% -6.3% -19.9% -9.8% 2.0% 2.8% 5.9% 7.4% 1.1% -1.7% -2.7% -10.9% -1.9% -1.0% 4.2% 2.3% -1.0% 8.5% 19.5% 19.50%
Assets 3Y -38.3% 8.5% -36.6% -39.4% 2.3% 67.7% 1.1% -40.6% 3.4% 1.2% 75.7% 2.1% 77.9% 0.5% 68.1% 87.1% 10.2% 10.7% 15.3% 94.7% 94.67%
Assets 5Y -19.5% 10.1% -19.2% -22.3% 5.5% 5.5% -25.2% -24.3% -24.5% 4.6% 3.3% 4.1% 4.3% 38.2% 42.3% 6.0% 47.1% 6.4% 8.7% 7.9% 7.92%
Equity 3Y -42.0% 2.4% -38.6% -40.2% 4.0% 70.8% 10.1% -35.0% 14.9% 12.3% 1.0% 13.9% 1.0% 14.4% 89.9% 97.9% 14.5% 10.2% 12.1% 92.7% 92.65%
Book Value 3Y -25.1% 28.0% -20.7% -22.8% 34.2% 1.2% 41.8% -16.2% 48.1% 12.1% 1.0% 13.0% 1.0% 13.8% 89.1% 97.2% 14.2% 10.6% 12.5% 93.2% 93.23%
Dividend 3Y 80.7% 69.1% 4.0% 3.7% 9.3% 10.6% 61.6% 59.9% 25.1% -3.6% 11.4% 12.2% 22.6% 26.0% 5.3% 5.5% -6.7% 31.7% 16.5% 16.1% 16.08%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.49 0.05 0.41 0.81 0.76 0.43 0.51 0.68 0.74 0.46 0.54 0.77 0.96 0.57 0.66 0.86 0.95 0.63 0.69 0.86 0.864
Earnings Stability 0.62 0.70 0.45 0.10 0.17 0.00 0.03 0.06 0.28 0.50 0.50 0.59 0.67 0.84 0.88 0.94 0.98 0.76 0.88 0.94 0.944
Margin Stability 0.78 0.76 0.74 0.76 0.71 0.72 0.73 0.78 0.79 0.79 0.78 0.80 0.80 0.79 0.78 0.80 0.83 0.87 0.87 0.81 0.809
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.50 0.84 1.00 0.50 0.89 0.50 0.50 0.96 0.50 0.89 0.50 0.50 0.92 0.99 0.95 0.99 0.95 0.98 0.87 0.92 0.921
Earnings Smoothness 0.00 0.50 0.99 0.48 0.75 0.00 0.33 0.90 0.39 0.76 0.59 0.37 0.81 0.97 0.86 0.97 0.87 0.96 0.72 0.82 0.820
ROE Trend 0.38 -0.07 0.05 0.59 -0.20 0.09 0.28 0.23 0.55 0.07 -0.37 -0.42 -0.30 -0.02 -0.31 -0.21 -0.33 -0.01 0.74 0.00 0.005
Gross Margin Trend -0.02 -0.03 -0.03 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.00 0.00 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.01 -0.00 0.00 0.01 0.013
FCF Margin Trend -0.02 -0.00 -0.00 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 -0.01 -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 -0.00 0.02 0.016
Sustainable Growth Rate 9.8% -1.7% 30.4% 18.4% 11.2% 13.4% 52.5% 42.4% 26.2% 16.2% 23.2% 25.0% 21.6% 10.8% 9.6% 13.5% 15.1% 4.0% 17.8% 12.6% 12.61%
Internal Growth Rate 2.6% — 8.8% 5.3% 3.6% 4.0% 19.6% 16.0% 9.3% 5.7% 9.5% 10.2% 8.7% 4.1% 3.9% 5.1% 5.9% 1.4% 7.4% 4.6% 4.56%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 2.67 4.80 2.61 0.75 1.48 1.32 1.18 1.48 1.30 1.25 1.22 1.17 0.83 1.12 1.43 1.35 1.17 1.22 1.17 1.82 1.824
FCF/OCF 0.45 0.58 0.60 0.37 0.59 0.67 0.48 0.52 0.65 0.62 0.61 0.62 0.38 0.43 0.52 0.50 0.53 0.46 0.55 0.76 0.758
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 1.382
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.617
CapEx/Revenue 1.3% 1.3% 1.0% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.7% 0.8% 0.8% 0.9% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.1% 1.1% 1.4% 1.2% 1.1% 1.1% 1.0% 1.00%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.874
Accruals Ratio -0.22 -0.05 -0.19 0.02 -0.03 -0.02 -0.04 -0.10 -0.03 -0.02 -0.03 -0.02 0.02 -0.01 -0.03 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.06 -0.059
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.003
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 2.201
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.750
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 5.18%
Dividend/Share $0.66 $0.65 $0.24 $0.24 $0.40 $0.40 $0.47 $0.46 $0.37 $0.36 $0.66 $0.65 $0.68 $0.73 $0.78 $0.78 $0.56 $1.69 $1.24 $1.23 $2.00
Payout Ratio 81.0% 1.3% 30.6% 19.7% 38.3% 23.3% 30.2% 34.3% 18.7% 16.4% 28.0% 25.9% 29.1% 34.4% 38.2% 29.9% 21.0% 74.8% 45.1% 38.6% 38.63%
FCF Payout Ratio 67.3% 47.2% 19.5% 71.6% 44.0% 26.5% 53.6% 44.1% 22.2% 21.2% 37.4% 35.6% 92.2% 70.7% 51.5% 44.2% 33.8% 1.3% 70.6% 28.0% 27.96%
Total Payout Ratio 81.0% 1.3% 30.6% 19.7% 38.3% 23.3% 30.2% 34.3% 18.7% 16.4% 28.0% 25.9% 29.1% 40.8% 49.0% 43.3% 34.5% 84.7% 49.9% 39.0% 39.00%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 1 1 1
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Total Shareholder Return — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.72 0.81 1.69 2.11 1.51 1.02 0.82 0.71 0.69 0.68 0.67 0.66 0.66 0.59 0.57 0.61 0.62 0.64 0.65 0.62 0.622
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.63 0.53 0.39 0.34 0.36 0.52 0.56 0.60 0.68 0.71 0.72 0.70 0.72 0.90 0.89 0.87 0.81 0.61 0.61 0.66 0.656
EBIT Margin 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.055
Asset Turnover 14.86 2.20 12.65 4.82 5.52 3.78 19.48 19.21 6.21 3.35 5.81 5.66 5.64 3.43 3.67 3.29 3.29 3.17 6.07 3.14 3.138
Equity Multiplier 3.92 3.86 3.76 3.66 3.23 3.48 3.21 3.08 3.08 2.99 2.68 2.71 2.70 2.71 2.56 2.77 2.73 2.91 2.59 2.89 2.890
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $0.82 $0.49 $0.78 $1.22 $1.05 $1.73 $1.56 $1.34 $1.96 $2.22 $2.35 $2.53 $2.34 $2.13 $2.04 $2.63 $2.68 $2.26 $2.74 $3.19 $3.19
Book Value/Share $1.64 $9.29 $2.02 $1.89 $9.94 $10.64 $2.12 $2.27 $2.30 $12.29 $12.44 $12.76 $13.13 $13.68 $13.68 $14.49 $14.80 $14.40 $3.02 $16.38 $18.72
Tangible Book/Share $1.35 $7.94 $1.70 $1.58 $8.23 $8.87 $1.75 $1.88 $1.89 $9.97 $10.76 $11.00 $11.20 $11.96 $11.81 $11.19 $11.87 $11.35 $2.40 $13.33 $13.33
Revenue/Share $92.13 $76.58 $84.79 $94.40 $103.33 $130.54 $129.17 $122.60 $116.45 $114.69 $113.25 $114.92 $117.44 $120.50 $122.81 $124.52 $126.24 $130.94 $133.39 $140.89 $143.23
FCF/Share $0.98 $1.37 $1.23 $0.34 $0.91 $1.53 $0.88 $1.04 $1.65 $1.72 $1.76 $1.84 $0.74 $1.04 $1.51 $1.77 $1.66 $1.25 $1.75 $4.41 $5.83
OCF/Share $2.18 $2.37 $2.04 $0.92 $1.55 $2.29 $1.83 $1.99 $2.54 $2.77 $2.86 $2.95 $1.95 $2.39 $2.91 $3.54 $3.14 $2.75 $3.21 $5.82 $7.63
Cash/Share $0.96 $3.74 $0.61 $1.06 $5.37 $5.66 $0.82 $1.07 $1.13 $5.66 $3.65 $3.69 $3.78 $4.17 $2.46 $3.59 $3.63 $6.46 $1.31 $8.44 $8.65
EBITDA/Share $2.67 $1.78 $1.85 $2.44 $2.65 $4.19 $4.31 $4.12 $5.29 $5.78 $5.98 $6.51 $6.04 $5.11 $5.14 $6.14 $6.71 $7.23 $8.44 $9.43 $9.43
Debt/Share $3.05 $16.36 $3.29 $2.53 $12.55 $12.22 $2.39 $2.67 $2.52 $12.10 $12.98 $13.52 $13.70 $14.25 $13.54 $17.07 $16.70 $20.07 $3.88 $17.85 $17.85
Net Debt/Share $2.09 $12.62 $2.68 $1.47 $7.18 $6.57 $1.56 $1.60 $1.39 $6.44 $9.33 $9.83 $9.92 $10.08 $11.08 $13.48 $13.06 $13.61 $2.56 $9.41 $9.41
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Piotroski F-Score 7 6 5 6 5 7 8 7 8 8 5 5 2 4 6 5 7 6 7 8 8
Beneish M-Score -2.59 -0.37 -2.94 -4.17 0.91 1.52 -2.62 -2.71 -5.26 -2.61 2.11 1.23 -0.43 -2.21 -2.58 -2.55 -1.90 -2.56 -4.44 -2.89 -2.890
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -8.392
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 37.01%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-8.43
EVA snapshot only $2402451281.52
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BBB
Credit Score 62.15 44.20 55.90 53.90 47.30 52.95 60.90 65.55 67.50 59.55 58.05 58.05 60.30 57.15 55.80 58.05 53.40 52.80 62.40 57.30 57.300
Credit Grade snapshot only 9
Credit Trend snapshot only -0.750
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 275.000

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms