UHS NYSE
Universal Health Services, Inc.
1W: -4.4%
1M: +0.0%
3M: +5.5%
YTD: -19.2%
1Y: -15.7%
3Y: +43.7%
5Y: +37.2%
$177.32
-8.39 (-4.52%)
Weekly Expected Move ±3.2%
$175
$181
$187
$193
$199
Credit Risk of going bust: lower than 56% of companies Debt: 36.5% of company value Bonds: $175.9M held by 199 funds, 105 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the middle of the pack, about 1 in 580 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $6.59 (down 96%), Universal Health Services, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $5.26B against a stock market value of $9.17B.
Distance to default 5.72 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $2.81B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 32.8%; Altman Z'' 3.72. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $6.59 (down 96%), Universal Health Services, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $5.26B against a stock market value of $9.17B.
Distance to default 5.72 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $2.81B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 32.8%; Altman Z'' 3.72. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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Short Interest
Supply Chain
Oct Typical
☀️
Sunny
+11.4% YTD avg
Midterm Year
☀️
Sunny
+13.4% YTD avg
2026 Now
⛈️
Stormy
Below typical
20yr Avg YTD
+11.4%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
+13.4%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
-19.2%
Below 20yr avg
Typical Vol
37%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
⛅
+2.3%
Midterm
⛅
+1.8%
60% win
28% vol
Feb
20yr
⛅
+4.0%
Midterm
⛅
+4.7%
65% win
32% vol
Mar
20yr
💨
+6.2%
Midterm
☀️
+7.9%
65% win
46% vol
Apr
20yr
💨
+9.9%
Midterm
☀️
+5.2%
55% win
40% vol
May
20yr
☀️
+12.9%
Midterm
☀️
+10.4%
65% win
28% vol
Jun
20yr
🌧️
+11.7%
Midterm
⛅
+4.6%
35% win
29% vol
Jul
20yr
⛅
+13.2%
Midterm
☀️
+11.2%
55% win
32% vol
Aug
20yr
🌧️
+12.9%
Midterm
☀️
+10.4%
50% win
27% vol
Sep
20yr
☁️
+13.0%
Midterm
☀️
+12.3%
50% win
28% vol
Oct
20yr
⛈️
+9.6%
Midterm
☀️
+13.9%
38% win
37% vol
Now:
+1.9%
Nov
20yr
⛅
+12.9%
Midterm
☀️
+18.9%
80% win
32% vol
Dec
20yr
⛅
+0.7%
Midterm
⛅
+0.9%
65% win
30% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: -19.2%