UPCHY OTC
Uni-President China Holdings Ltd
1W: -0.2%
1M: +8.2%
3M: +1.7%
YTD: -11.2%
1Y: -13.3%
3Y: +42.5%
5Y: +36.2%
$96.86
-0.49 (-0.50%)
Weekly Expected Move ±3.3%
$91
$94
$97
$101
$104
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 68% of companies Debt: 90.2% of company value Bonds: none of note held by US funds details ▾
If the stock fell to about $37.55 (down 61%), Uni-President China Holdings Ltd would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $384.1M against a stock market value of $41.8M.
Distance to default 3.61 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $378.0M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 29.1%; Altman Z'' 2.07. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.
Total debt $384.1M against a stock market value of $41.8M.
Distance to default 3.61 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $378.0M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 29.1%; Altman Z'' 2.07. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.
Overview
Chart
Smart Money
Financials
Income Statement
Cash Flow
Balance Sheet
Earnings
Analysis
Technicals
Weather
Peers
ESG
Institutions
Dark Pool
Short Interest
Oct Typical
☀️
Sunny
+11.9% YTD avg
Midterm Year
☀️
Sunny
+6.9% YTD avg
2026 Now
⛈️
Stormy
Below typical
20yr Avg YTD
+11.9%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
+6.9%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
-11.2%
Below 20yr avg
Typical Vol
25%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
⛈️
-0.7%
Midterm
☀️
+5.7%
42% win
35% vol
Feb
20yr
☁️
-2.1%
Midterm
⛅
+4.4%
42% win
28% vol
Mar
20yr
💨
+1.5%
Midterm
🌧️
-1.1%
50% win
42% vol
Apr
20yr
💨
+8.6%
Midterm
⛅
+1.2%
50% win
42% vol
May
20yr
💨
+9.4%
Midterm
⛅
+1.3%
58% win
37% vol
Jun
20yr
💨
+14.6%
Midterm
☀️
+20.2%
50% win
42% vol
Jul
20yr
💨
+16.7%
Midterm
☀️
+24.4%
50% win
44% vol
Aug
20yr
⛈️
+11.2%
Midterm
☀️
+17.7%
33% win
37% vol
Sep
20yr
⛅
+12.8%
Midterm
☀️
+14.4%
42% win
25% vol
Oct
20yr
🌧️
+11.3%
Midterm
☀️
+6.8%
25% win
25% vol
Now:
+8.2%
Nov
20yr
⛈️
+6.5%
Midterm
☀️
+8.3%
36% win
40% vol
Dec
20yr
⛅
+0.8%
Midterm
☁️
-0.3%
45% win
21% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: -11.2%